Dylan Rockford backed the Marlins moneyline at plus-money, noting multiple edges over Minnesota. His model made the Twins only a –105 favorite, yet books opened them closer to –125, creating immediate value. Miami enters on an eight-game heater (9-1 last 10) while Minnesota is 18-28 on the road and has been shut out in consecutive games, landing them on Dylan’s personal do-not-bet list. Statistically, David Festa owns a 6.92 road ERA and has struggled to miss bats, whereas Eury Perez’s issues are less severe at home. Rockford also pointed to a stronger Marlins bullpen and a currently deeper lineup, making the Fish the side to ride until the market adjusts.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised betting the Marlins money line in the series finale. He noted Miami entered Wednesday on an eight-game winning streak and continues to "find ways to win" with power from Stowers and balanced production throughout the order. Rookie right-hander Yuri Perez, a 22-year-old top prospect, gets the ball and is expected to improve each turn. Minnesota, meanwhile, is reeling: the Twins have been shut out in back-to-back games and mustered only four total hits across those contests, highlighting the absence of a true lineup anchor. With the Twins 40-45 and ice-cold at the plate and the Marlins surging at 38-45, the tout believes the motivational and form edge clearly sits with Miami.

B Wade played Yuri Perez OVER 1.5 walks, calling it a pure numbers bet. Perez has only four starts in 2025, but he’s issued 2, 2, 3 and 2 free passes in those outings, a 100% hit rate on this prop. Three of the four were on the road, this one will be in Miami, but Wade sees no reason to buck the early trend for a 2.4x payout on ParlayPlay.

B Wade said to play David Festa UNDER 4.5 hits allowed against Miami. His case: the Marlins offense has cooled, plating just one run on Wednesday. Festa has stayed under this number in 13 of his last 18 appearances and in three of five starts this season, largely because Minnesota rarely lets him work deep—he has reached the 6th inning only twice all year. When Festa shows the slightest wobble Rocco Baldelli yanks him, cutting down the window for extra knocks. On the road he surrendered only two hits in each of his last two outings. Wade acknowledged the seven-hit blow-up Miami tagged him for last September but framed it as an outlier given the long-term under trend.

It’s The Final Round said he is betting Byron Buxton to record at least one hit Thursday against Marlins rookie Yuri Perez. The tout pointed out that Perez has surrendered a .357 average to right-handed hitters over his last three starts and that his primary pitch, a four-seam fastball he throws 49 % of the time, has been ripped for a .444 average. Buxton is swinging it well: .303 versus right-handers the last 10 days, .286 against four-seamers and .364 against sliders in June, and hits in eight of his last ten games. All of that led the host to back the over 0.5 hits prop and label Buxton a solid DFS one-off.

Jay Yang backed the Marlins moneyline at roughly +100, citing several data-driven edges despite Yuri Perez’s uneven year. Miami enters on an eight-game winning streak, and Yang emphasized that home underdogs have been the single most profitable MLB angle this season. He dug into pitch-type splits, noting Minnesota’s lineup is batting below .220 against 95-plus mph heaters while Perez routinely sits 97-99. If Perez commands the fastball, Yang expects the Twins to struggle to make hard contact. Even if Perez’s control wavers, Minnesota’s own starter Louie Varland Festa has a nearly identical volatility profile, walking five per nine, which sets up Miami’s patient offense (top-10 walk rate during the streak) to run his pitch count into the fourth inning. With Miami’s momentum, home-field edge, and a lineup Yang deems “more trustworthy” in high-leverage spots, he labeled the Marlins a value play to keep the streak alive.

Drew Martin advised laying the –136 with Miami, calling it a "one-way look" because the clubs are moving in opposite directions. The Marlins entered Wednesday on an eight-game heater while the Twins had lost 14 of their last 18. Martin likes Eddie Perez’s electric 100-mph arm even though the 22-year-old rarely sees the sixth inning; Miami’s bullpen owns the third-best WHIP in MLB over the past month and can cover those frames. On the flip side, Minnesota’s relief corps ranks dead last by that same WHIP metric. Starter Dave Festa brings a 5-plus ERA and inconsistent command, giving Miami another edge in the early innings. Add in the Fish’s home park advantage and Martin is comfortable backing the red-hot Marlins to extend the streak.

Rockford grabbed Miami at +112, saying the market still hasn’t caught up to their 8-2 surge. He made Minnesota only –105 because Simeon Woods Richardson carries a 5.06 road ERA and the Twins are 1-4 in his last five away starts. Walks (11.7% BB rate) and hard contact (41% hard-hit on the road) make him volatile. Janson Junk’s overall numbers look pedestrian, but at loanDepot Park he’s thrown 13 scoreless frames with a 0.77 WHIP. Miami’s lineup has slugged .446 over the last two weeks – 10th best in MLB – while the Twins remain bottom-10 in road OPS. Dylan thinks the live home crowd and bullpen edge (MIA pen 3.46 ERA in June) push the Fish across.

Xavier Edwards is 2-for-2 lifetime against Woods-Rich and has collected hits in seven of his last ten (11 of 14). The tout suggested him as a deeper-card hit prop if the market posts a low line due to limited MLB exposure.

It’s The Final Round said Byron Buxton is a plus bet to record a hit – and possibly more – against Jansen Junk. Junk has surrendered a .269 batting average over his past three outings and leans on a four-seam fastball 36 % of the time that opponents are torching at a .333 clip. He mixes in a slider 33 % of the time (.250 BAA) and an occasional sweeper. Buxton owns a .345 average versus right-handers the last 10 days, is hitting .286 against four-seamers in the past month and an even better .367 against sliders. He has at least one hit in seven of his last ten games, so the tout’s baseline play is Buxton 1+ hit with upside for multi-hit or power if Junk stays in the zone.

B Wade paired Guerrero with Jazz Chisholm Jr. over 0.5 hits. Chisholm owns hits in seven of his last ten games (10-for-38) and has avoided back-to-back hitless outings all but once since mid-April. He is 1-for-3 against Wednesday starter Jose Berrios and carries a .243 average versus right-handers, slightly better than his line against lefties. After an early-season slump that included a five-game drought, Chisholm has been locked in for the past month, and Wade trusts the bounce-back trend to continue, needing just a single safety to cash the prop.

Chris Ruffolo backed the Miami Marlins at plus money, laying out several edges. He called Simeon Woods Richardson the clear weak link in Minnesota’s rotation and pointed out that Miami is crushing right-handed pitching over the last two weeks with a .295 team average and top-five OPS, while Minnesota is hitting just .237 against righties in the same span. The Twins have dropped eight of their last 11 and Ruffolo views them as a streaky club you fade when they are cold. Even though Minnesota’s bullpen is considered the roster’s best unit, he still trusts Miami’s relief corps more based on superior performance over the past seven days. With Jansen Junk’s lone bad start coming after a solid debut, Ruffolo expects a rebound and believes the Marlins’ current form plus the bullpen edge make them the smarter play as underdogs.

Eric Pathi said to bet the Miami Marlins at +105 as a home underdog in their next game. His home-team-dog system is firing because the Marlins have now won eight straight games when priced as dogs, including Monday’s 2-0 win at +118. Pathi noted that home underdogs went 2-0 today (Blue Jays +140, Marlins +118) and believes oddsmakers continue to undervalue Miami despite the streak. Although the traditional 'rule of 10' warns against chasing double-digit winning streaks, he is comfortable extending the ride given the current plus money price. The actionable takeaway: grab the Marlins at +105 before the line moves.