Calling it an "entertaining but not technical" matchup, TheWeasle forecasted a quick knockout for Ryan Spann. He views Lucas Bresci as having a puncher’s chance but "no chin, no defense," while Spann’s wild, heavy-handed flurries usually find the target early. Even unconventional weapons like Spann’s spinning heel kick could land because of Bresci’s porous defense. Expect chaos, but Spann’s power should put Bresci away inside the opening round.

Jim Malaro called Lucas Breski ‘cannon-fodder’ and predicted Spann will hurt him on the feet, then jump on a submission for a Round 1 finish. He noted Breski instinctively ducks his head when rocked, a tendency tailor-made for Spann’s guillotine and opportunistic grappling. Malaro views Breski as a fighter who should have been cut already and wants to cash in before that chance disappears. As with similar spots, he recommends taking Spann inside the distance, freeing bettors from picking between KO or sub.

Andy Lang projected a Ryan Spann knockout, pointing to Lucas Breski’s evaporated durability: three straight KO losses to Mick Parkin, Kennedy Nzechukwu, and Waldo Cortez-Acosta. Lang joked that Breski’s CV’s lone bright spot is a victory over the pre-transformation ‘Fat’ Chase Sherman. Both fighters tire quickly, but Lang thinks Spann needs only one clean right hand to shut the lights because Breski’s chin ‘is completely gone.’ He advised bettors to target inside-the-distance props rather than choosing an exact round or method.

Madlab Michael Lurato is backing Ryan Spann inside the distance, warning bettors the heavyweight move stems from pure diet indiscipline—coaches once bribed Spann with potato chips and ice cream to keep a 205-pound cut on track. Even so, Lurato believes the 6'5" Texan possesses vastly superior power, athleticism and submission threats compared to Lucas Brzeski, whom he mocked as a "heavyweight with salami tits" that folds once hit clean. Books have Spann –225 and Under 1.5 at –170; Lurato said bettors must assume an early finish because Spann becomes “Jekyll and Hyde” after five minutes. He projects a Spann knockout or club-and-sub within Round 1 and would walk away from the sport if Spann somehow loses.

Kunath said Ryan Spann is only live for about five minutes in his heavyweight bout with Lucas Breske, so the smart angle is to bet Spann Round 1—or inside-the-distance—then flip to a live wager on Breske if the fight starts Round 2. He reminded listeners that Spann routinely fades after the first frame at light heavyweight and now looks even slower while carrying extra weight. Still, Spann’s early power and guillotine/triangle threats give him a clear edge over Breske, whose chin has already been cracked by softer punchers like Mick Parkin and ‘Salsa Boy’ and who lucked into a win over Waldo Cortes-Acosta. If Spann doesn’t end things quickly, Kunath expects Breske’s superior cardio and size to take over, so hedging in-fight is critical.

Gumby Vreeland said Ryan Spann is worth the –210 price because Lucas Brezhsky gives bettors nothing to respect. Brezhsky is just 1-5 in the UFC and has been knocked out in three of his last four, with Vreeland noting the Pole’s lone win came when "Walter Walker exhausted himself and fell down." That chin liability meets Spann’s proven finishing arsenal—13 of his 22 career wins are by submission or knockout, including the guillotine he clamped on Ovince Saint Preux. Vreeland conceded Spann’s heavyweight debut versus Waldo Cortez-Acosta looked rough, but Cortez-Acosta’s improved takedown defense has aged better than expected. Against Brezhsky, Spann owns the superior grappling (13 career subs) and enough pop to end it standing, so Vreeland is comfortable fading the fragile underdog even at a chalky number.