Andy Lang warned bettors not to auto-parlay the Over or ‘fight goes distance’ in Lupita Godinez vs Jessica Andrade. He noted recent women’s bouts where presumed durability imploded (Rebosos–Baby Shark) and outlined two finishing paths: a checked-out Andrade collecting a paycheck and capitulating on the mat, or a vintage Andrade blitz scoring a knockout. Either way, Lang thinks banking on 15 full minutes is dangerous and suggests avoiding over props or looking at inside-the-distance plus money.

Andy Lang loves undefeated Lerone Murphy at +160 against Bellator transplant Aaron Pico in the UFC 319 co-main. Lang pointed out that recent Bellator debuts have looked flat and expects a similar adjustment curve for Pico. He envisions the live line swinging to Murphy -200 after one round and potentially -500 after two once Pico feels the UFC pace. Lang is betting the current plus-money money-line and sprinkling decision props, confident the market will move hard toward Murphy.

Andy Lang advised eating the -205 on Karine Silva against short-notice opponent Diana Barbosa at UFC 319. Barbosa accepted the bout on roughly two weeks’ notice, while Silva has been in a full camp and is eager to rebound from her recent loss. Lang flagged Barbosa’s inability to get up after Miranda Maverick’s lone takedown as evidence Silva’s wrestling and top control will translate. Once grounded, Silva can either ride out rounds or hunt the submission, making her moneyline a safe parlay piece despite the juice.

Andy Lang recommended betting Edson Barboza at the current -135 moneyline, framing the wager mainly as a fade of Drakkar Klose. Lang noted Klose’s post-whiplash run has included only one true step-up fight—Joel Alvarez—who "absolutely nuked" him. He questioned Klose’s reluctance to engage, back-foot style, and an inflated 15-3 record built on favorable matchmaking. Barboza, meanwhile, has remained competitive with higher-level names such as Lerone Murphy, Sodiq Yusuff, and Giga Chikadze and still brings high-volume kick-heavy pressure that will read well to judges. Lang believes the short price on Barboza offers clear value before the market corrects.

Andy Lang is also on the Lerone Murphy side, calling the Brit the best underdog on the card. He noted that recent Bellator transplants have looked “overwhelmed and out of place” against UFC competition, and thinks Pico could fall into the same trap under the bright lights of his promotional debut. Lang praised Murphy’s evolution through tough fights with Barboza, Ige and Emmett, and expects him to use superior speed and footwork to bank points while avoiding the big left hook. With the crowd behind the established UFC talent, Lang projects a decision win for Murphy and believes the current plus line will shorten as money comes in later in the week.

Andy Lang sided with Khamzat Chimaev but insisted the only pre-fight angle with value is Chimaev inside the distance. At roughly –200 the straight moneyline is almost identical to the ITD prop because books expect a finish. Lang predicts Chimaev will launch a two-round blitz similar to his Whitaker performance; if he secures early top position, the fight likely ends. However, Lang warned that live numbers will crater toward Du Plessis the instant Round 2 starts, so bettors must lock in the ITD play before the opening bell rather than chasing a live price.

Andy Lang took a stronger stance, calling the Chargers’ over 9.5 wins one of his favorite season bets and pegging 10-7 as “the floor.” His case: Jim Harbaugh “wins wherever he goes,” already imprinting a run-first identity behind PFF’s No.10 offensive line. He trusts the quarterback’s regular-season ball security (low interception rate) and loves the sneaky addition of Najee Harris to a committee that will bludgeon tired fronts. Lang highlighted a string of winnable match-ups (Raiders twice, Giants, Colts, Titans, Steelers, Vikings) and the advantage of opening at home versus a slow-starting Chiefs squad. With a proven coach/QB/OL trio, he is happy to bet on double-digit victories.

Lang likes William Mouw at $7,100 on DraftKings. The rookie followed his breakthrough win at the ISCO with a 7th-place finish at the 3M Open and ranks 7th in this field in total strokes gained over the past 30 days. Lang believes confidence can carry Mao to another high finish at a bargain salary.

In the Spieth-vs-Bhatia matchup, Lang sided with Jordan Spieth despite Spieth’s volatility. His main angle: Bhatia has never made the cut in four Wyndham starts, while Spieth’s all-around game gives him a higher safety floor. Lang wants no exposure to Bhatia and is comfortable laying the small juice on Spieth.

Lang jumped on Jake Knapp at plus money in the tournament head-to-head against Hideki Matsuyama (Hideki −140). He argues the market is pricing Matsuyama on legacy name value while Knapp’s current form—highlighted by a recent T3 and elite putting—makes him the more likely finisher. Lang called the line a clear mis-price favoring Knapp backers.

Lang labeled Gary Woodland a sneaky play: four straight made cuts, a T20 last week, and finishes of 27th and 28th at Sedgefield the past two years. Around-the-green play is his weakness, but Lang notes the easy-to-hit greens and calm forecast should minimize scrambling. At a sub-$7,500 salary Woodland supplies reliable cut equity with mild top-20 upside.

Lang called Kevin Roy the ultimate DraftKings darling. Priced at only $7,000, Roy has made the cut in 10 of his last 11 starts and has gained strokes in every major category over the past three months. Four top-30s in his last six outings give him both floor and sneaky upside for DFS cash and GPP builds.

Lang cannot back Akshay Bhatia despite four consecutive made cuts because the upside is missing—no top-20 finishes in that span—and he is 0-for-4 making the weekend at Sedgefield. Lang considers that record especially damning given the course is short and the field weak. He will not bet or roster Bhatia this week.

Lang labeled Ben Griffin a fade after back-to-back missed cuts. During the past 30 days Griffin is losing 0.3 strokes per round putting, yet DraftKings has posted him as a top-four salary. With sharper recent trends available in the same tier, Lang is leaving Griffin off all cards and DFS lineups.

Andy Lang warned that Aaron Rai is being priced on name recognition from last year’s Wyndham victory rather than current form. Rai owns just one top-10 in 2025 and has not cracked the top-15 since mid-March. Over the past three months he ranks 21st in the field in total strokes gained, and putting remains a glaring weakness on a week where Lang believes a hot flat stick will be mandatory. At his current DFS salary and betting odds Lang called Rai an “easy pass.”

Andy Lang said he is locking Jake Knapp in as his Wyndham Championship one-and-done pick because Knapp is surf-riding elite current form. Lang rattled off a third-place finish last week, plus 22nd, 21st and 4th in the five-to-six-week window, noting that Knapp’s year-long stat profile is only "okay" but his recent strokes-gained surge is undeniable. Lang expects that groove to translate into another high finish on a gettable Sedgefield track and believes Knapp offers the highest floor/ceiling combo of the expensive options for season-long formats.

Andy Lang initially thought oddsmakers nailed the Packers at 9.5 wins, but after reviewing the schedule and revisiting Jordan Love’s under-reported 2024 injury, he moved to the over. Lang emphasized that Love played through a severely swollen leg last season—explaining the dip in rushing and overall efficiency—yet Green Bay still managed 11 wins. He walked through the slate, highlighting a favorable mid-season run (Bengals, Cardinals, Steelers, Panthers) that could offset a rough early stretch and an annoyingly early Week-5 bye. Lang now believes 10 wins is the more accurate baseline and is comfortable backing the over, though not quite as aggressively as Alexander.

Andy Lang recommended betting the 49ers over 10.5 wins, calling their 2025 slate “one of the craziest schedules I’ve seen.” He rattled off a run of opponents—Seahawks, Saints, Cardinals, Jaguars, Rams, Buccaneers, Falcons, Texans, Giants, Panthers, Browns, Titans, Colts and Bears—and argued the only matchup that looks remotely scary on paper is at Tampa Bay. Lang backed up the bullish view with Pro Football Focus grades that had last year’s six-win 49ers fourth in offensive efficiency, 15th on defense, 10th on special teams, 12th on the offensive line and 21st on the defensive line. He noted Kyle Shanahan–coached teams routinely rip off post-bye winning streaks, so even a slow start could flip fast. If Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey stay healthy, Lang expects a double-digit win total to come easily and is willing to accept injury risk for the payout on the over.

Andy Lang said the one bet we will kick ourselves for missing is the Over/‘Fight Goes the Distance’ in Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen. Lang reminded listeners that Vettori is an automatic scorecard magnet—nine of his last ten MMA bouts (plus a grappling match) have gone to decision because of his granite chin and low-risk style. He rattled off Vettori’s recent record, stressing the Italian has not been finished since 2014 and rarely finishes anyone himself. While Jim Malaro previously mentioned Allen’s submission upside, Lang countered that Allen’s own gas tank often fades in rounds two and three, making a late tap unlikely. With neither man likely to get knocked out or subbed, Lang expects a typical Vettori slog and views any plus money on the fight to go the full 15 minutes—or alternate Overs—as a ‘woulda, coulda, shoulda’ wager that bettors will regret passing on.

Andy Lang called Paulo Costa the most live dog on the main card, arguing Roman Kopylov’s ballooning price ignores lingering flaws: shaky cardio, zero head-movement and a face that cuts at the first jab. Lang has cashed repeatedly on Kopylov’s rise but believes the Russian’s decision over Chris Curtis masked how frequently he still eats clean shots. Costa, despite only one win since 2019, just survived the full 15 with Robert Whittaker and pushed Sean Strickland hard, proving his chin, pace and kicks still translate over three rounds. Lang expects the Mexican crowd to roar every time Costa lands a thudding body kick or hooks that visibly bloody Kopylov, influencing scorecards in a bout he pegs 50-50. His plan is simple: take pre-fight Costa moneyline at big plus numbers, then be ready to live-bet Kopylov if "the circus music" shows up and Costa gases. Official play: Costa by split or majority decision, cashing on visible damage rather than volume.

Andy Lang backed Dan Ige on the money-line, arguing the matchup tilts toward Ige’s legendary durability and counter power. Lang noted that Patricio Pitbull has logged 44 pro fights—most of them wars where he exits bleeding—and pointed to the Brazilian spending fight week "on a yacht fishing" as anecdotal evidence of a dwindling grind-set. Pitbull publicly vowed to push a faster pace after being too patient in the Yair loss, and Lang thinks that is exactly what Ige wants: a smaller featherweight barreling straight into exchanges instead of staying long. Ige proved impossible to put away in three-round slugfests against Lerone Murphy and even the 6'2" Shawn Woodson, eventually finding Woodson’s chin late. Against a same-size opponent he won’t need to solve range first, Lang anticipates Ige’s counter right hand piling up damage while Pitbull’s mileage shows in rounds two and three. He forecasted either a late finish or a clear 29-28 decision and advised bettors to ride the plus-money Ige line rather than gamble on props.

Andy Lang said he is not really "betting on" Brendan Allen so much as he is betting against Marvin Vettori. Lang compared Vettori’s recent movement to a stationary extra in an old Tom Cruise boxing movie, arguing the Italian no longer has the athletic pop that once made his pressure style work. He pointed to Vettori getting walked down by Jared Cannonier and Roman Dolidze, the lingering effects of a major shoulder surgery, and the fighter’s own admission that his downtime was spent partying in Miami. Lang added that Vettori is juggling personal issues outside the cage that could further sap focus. Because Lang believes washed veterans rarely regain quick-twitch explosiveness "unless they jump on the Barcelos vitamin plan," he is eager to fade Vettori wherever plus-money is available on Allen or derivative props like Allen decision/submission.

Andy Lang said his preferred way to attack Francisco Prado-Nikolas Veretennikov is the distance prop instead of a side. Lang thinks both men are too tough – and too limited – to finish each other. Prado’s stubby 61-inch reach leaves him swinging at air against the 74-inch wingspan of Veretennikov, while Veretennikov has no meaningful offensive wrestling to exploit that size edge on the mat. Lang expects a bloody, close-range slog with Prado marching forward but landing little clean and Veretennikov circling without real knockout power. Because he distrusts both resumes – Veretennikov was finished by Austin Vanderford and barely squeaked by a flu-stricken Danny Barlow, while Prado is coming off back-to-back losses – Lang prefers the plus-money "fight goes the distance" ticket to laying chalk on either fighter or chasing volatile KO props.

Andy Lang said the only way to attack this fight is in the live market. Dulatov’s first-round blitz is undeniable—every win on his record comes inside the opening five minutes—but nobody has any data on what the Dagestani looks like if that all-action style hits a cardio wall. Lang pointed out that Fugitt went the distance with Josh Quinlan and has shown he can push three rounds, so if the American can wrestle, clinch or simply stay upright long enough to hear the horn, bettors will be staring at a DOUBLE-DIGIT live number. Lang wants no part of Dulatov chalk in parlays, has no pre-fight ticket, and will look to grab Fugitt at 10-to-1 or better once the early hurricane passes.

Andy Lang projected a Ryan Spann knockout, pointing to Lucas Breski’s evaporated durability: three straight KO losses to Mick Parkin, Kennedy Nzechukwu, and Waldo Cortez-Acosta. Lang joked that Breski’s CV’s lone bright spot is a victory over the pre-transformation ‘Fat’ Chase Sherman. Both fighters tire quickly, but Lang thinks Spann needs only one clean right hand to shut the lights because Breski’s chin ‘is completely gone.’ He advised bettors to target inside-the-distance props rather than choosing an exact round or method.

Andy Lang agreed that Ferreira is the side but focused on derivative markets, recommending ‘fight ends in Round 1’ or under totals because books have already steamed Ferreira’s money line. He expects McVay to blitz from the opening horn, creating a high-variance brawl tailor-made for Ferreira’s power. Lang noted every betting angle is juiced but still prefers any plus-money prop tied to a sub-60-second finish over laying huge chalk on the favorite.

Andy Lang agreed with the over on Jacksonville’s 7.5-win total but wants to attack it after Week 5-6. Lang noted the opening gauntlet—road trips to the Bengals and 49ers plus a home date with the Chiefs—could push the market into panic mode, giving bettors a cheaper number. After the early bye the Jaguars face Raiders, Cardinals, Titans, and the Colts twice, a stretch Lang called "perfect" for a late-season surge. While he hates trusting historically mismanaged franchises, the post-bye schedule and potential for early line movement outweigh his concerns about Trevor Lawrence’s durability. His recommendation: wait for the inevitable 1-3 or 1-4 start, then grab a live over once the win total dips, banking on a friendlier second half to cash the ticket.

Andy Lang echoed Alexander’s enthusiasm, labeling the Rams a "schedule win" play over 9.5 victories. He ran through the slate and counted double-digit approachable games—Texans, Titans, Colts, Panthers, Cardinals twice, Seahawks twice, Buccaneers, Saints—and likes that the brutal Eagles and Ravens contests are on the road, preserving easier home dates. Lang trusts Sean McVay to scheme out two wins every season on coaching alone and notes the defense was extremely young last year and should improve with experience. With divisional rivals 49ers and Seahawks "down," Lang projects 11-12 wins and calls the over "one of my favorite totals along with the Falcons."

Andy Lang countered by taking the Dolphins over 8.5 wins, projecting a 10-win 'wonky good' season at plus money. His case: (1) The schedule is again top-five easiest and offers only three cold-weather road games after Oct. 26, with New England in Week 18 possibly meaningless. (2) A neutral-site game vs. the Commanders and several late-season home dates in Miami heat historically tire visiting teams, giving the Dolphins a home-field boost. (3) Lang acknowledges health concerns for Tua Tagovailoa but is betting on marginal improvement—"maybe he runs out of bounds, just throw the ball away"—arguing even average durability unlocks the offense led by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. (4) He notes incremental offensive-line upgrades plus linebacker/safety additions, and believes continuity under Mike McDaniel can gel in Year 3. Lang plans to hedge mid-season if the team sputters, but views the plus-money over as the sharper dice-roll.

Andy Lang said the Texans are a clear over bet on their 9.5-win total. He reminded listeners that Houston already won 10 games last season despite ranking dead last on every major offensive-line metric. Lang expects at least marginal improvement after the team replaced the offensive coordinator and hired a new OL coach. Walking through the 2024 schedule, he flagged only three true uphill spots (at Ravens, vs Bills, at Chiefs) and rattled off a dozen matchups he expects the Texans to be favored in, including soft divisional dates against the Colts, Titans, and Jaguars. Lang trusts D'Amico Ryans to keep the defense inside the top five and loves the addition of C.J. Gardner-Johnson for his championship pedigree. With C.J. Stroud’s continued growth and a deeper receiver room, Lang projects five to six AFC South victories and easily finds another four elsewhere, putting double-digit wins firmly in play. Over 9.5 wins is one of his favorite season-long bets.

Andy Lang echoed the under on Detroit’s 10.5-win total, stressing that replacing both coordinators and five assistants is simply too much overhaul to expect immediate success. Lang walked through the early slate—at Packers, Bears, at Ravens, Bengals, Chiefs, Buccaneers—calling it a “brutal” stretch that could drop Detroit below .500 before the bye. He noted that Dan Campbell sets tone and aggression, but without Ben Johnson’s play-calling or Aaron Glenn’s defensive tweaks, the Lions will struggle to match last season’s 12-win pace. Lang added that the NFC North improved across the board, further squeezing Detroit’s margin for error. His recommendation is to bet the under now before market sentiment shifts.

Andy Lang said he is betting Denver over 9.5 wins and projects 10-11 victories. His conviction rests on several factors: he trusts Sean Payton's track record of squeezing wins out of sound defense-first rosters, he calls 2024 first-rounder Bo Nix "the real deal," and he loves the front-seven upgrades (Evan Engram, Dre Greenlaw, a former 49ers safety and the re-signing of DJ Jones). Lang ran through the schedule, flagging Tennessee, Indianapolis, the Jets, Giants, Cowboys, Houston and the Raiders twice as clear win opportunities and expects Denver to split with both the Chargers and Chiefs. With that path, he believes double-digit wins are the most likely outcome.

Andy Lang is fading Cincinnati’s 9.5-win number because he does not trust Joe Burrow’s surgically repaired wrist to hold up for 17 games. Lang called the injury "terrifying" and argued that without Burrow the Bengals are "dead in the water." He also cited a brutal mid-season gauntlet (back-to-back road trips to the Ravens, Bills, and Dolphins) and a defense that ranked 21st on PFF with no meaningful offseason upgrades. The Bengals’ notoriously frugal front office and lack of offensive-line improvements further cement his under stance.

Andy Lang leaned Under 6.5 wins, pointing to a brutal final 10-game stretch that features Bills, Packers, Falcons, 49ers, Rams, Seahawks and the Buccaneers twice. He expects at least eight of those opponents to be in playoff races, leaving little slack for a young Carolina squad that will be underdogs in most of them. Lang thinks the Panthers must sweep the Saints and grab several early coin-flip games (at Jaguars, at Cardinals, vs Falcons, Patriots, Dolphins, Cowboys, at Jets) just to stay on pace; losing even one Saints matchup likely kills the over. Because of that late-season gauntlet and numerous toss-ups, his slight betting preference is the Under.

Andy Lang leaned to the OVER on Arizona’s 8.5 wins, arguing the market is underrating a team that already scraped to 8-9 last year despite a bottom-10 defense. He believes the front-seven makeover (Josh Sweat, Dalvin Tomlinson, L.J. Collier) plus rookie Marvin Harrison Jr. give the roster real upside. Lang pointed out an inviting opening stretch—Saints, Panthers, 49ers, Seahawks, Titans, Colts, Packers—that could easily start 5-2 and, in his words, “has to be 2-0 right there” with New Orleans and Carolina. He thinks the NFC West is weaker than perception: Seattle and San Francisco defenses are shells of their 2023 versions, and the Rams remain volatile. If Arizona nabs a winning record inside the division, he sees them sneaking to nine or ten wins. Depth at running back behind James Conner, a mid-season bye for a reset, and an offense that finished 7th in DVOA last year all pushed him toward an OVER bet, even if he concedes bettors might wait to confirm Kyler Murray’s health in Weeks 1-2.

Andy Lang doubled-down on Cody Durden as a plus-money play, saying the current 2-to-1 price on Tatsuro Achoa is wildly inflated. Lang argued Achoa has only faced "Home Depot" level competition, whereas Durden owns the clear strength-of-schedule edge and brings a relentless pressure-wrestling style Achoa has never dealt with. Lang expects Durden to shoot early and often, forcing Achoa to defend takedowns and neutralizing the Brazilian’s shoot-box striking. Because the threat of the takedown will also stifle Achoa’s volume, Lang believes the fight should be lined close to pick’em and labeled it a classic "dog-or-pass" spot, recommending a straight bet on Durden to win.

Andy Lang thinks the market over-corrected by making newcomer Tatsuro Achoa a 2-1 favorite over Cody Durden. Durden owns the strength-of-schedule edge with UFC bouts against Charles Johnson, Muhammad Mokaev, and Jake Hadley, while Achoa’s recent pre-UFC opponents had losing records. Lang expects Durden’s relentless pressure wrestling to smother Achoa and sees significant underdog value on the veteran.

Andy Lang likes Joaquin Buckley’s knockout prop around +150 in Saturday’s five-round main event. He argued the 38-year-old former champion opposite Buckley is clearly declining— diminished explosiveness since the Covington bouts, two sluggish showings versus Leon Edwards, and well-documented knee problems that sap his wrestling base. Buckley, meanwhile, is 6-0 since dropping to 170 lbs, finishing four of those wins. Lang expects Buckley to stuff takedowns, dictate pace on the feet, and eventually land a fight-ending shot before the scorecards.

Andy Lang said the Seahawks are an "easy under" on their 7.5-win total and urged bettors to fade Seattle now rather than wait. Lang argued the front office blew up a 10-win roster and replaced its core with huge question marks: Geno Smith, DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are gone, leaving Sam Darnold at quarterback and 31-year-old Cooper Kupp to headline the passing game. Lang does not believe Darnold will replicate the brief "Good Sam" stretch he flashed in Minnesota and pointed to the lack of pre-existing chemistry between Darnold and breakout WR1 Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He emphasized that Kupp thrives on timing-based routes with Matthew Stafford, timing that will not exist in Seattle. The schedule adds volatility—nine matchups Lang labeled coin-flips plus trips to San Francisco and Pittsburgh out of the gate—making it hard to find eight wins even if Darnold plays well. He also questioned how many games the oft-injured Kupp will suit up for. In short, Lang sees roster downgrades at quarterback and receiver, uncertain coaching direction in Year 2 under Mike Macdonald, and a slate full of 50/50 games as a perfect recipe for six wins or fewer, making the under 7.5 a bet he is willing to lock in today.

Andy Lang also leaned under 9.5 wins, stressing how Washington’s quirky schedule leaves no margin for error. The first 11 weeks bounce between soft spots (home Giants, Raiders, Dolphins) and brutal draws (at Packers, at Chiefs, home Lions) with a slew of coin-flip road games in Atlanta and Los Angeles. December is the killer: at Giants on Dec 14, home Eagles six days later, home Cowboys five days after that on Christmas, then a potential flexed finale versus Philadelphia. Mix in six primetime dates and multiple short weeks and Lang thinks even one missed start from Jaden Daniels — despite the Mariota insurance signing — could sink the season. Because books posted a near-perfect 9.5, he can only make a “slight” wager to the under, but he would have fired a full position if the market opened at 10.5.

In one-and-done formats, Andy Lang is rolling with J.T. Poston, citing Colonial’s modest 7,200-yard layout as a perfect match for the straight but shorter hitter. Poston is coming off a fifth-place finish last week and logged a T12 at Colonial in 2024, proving the fit. Lang added that Poston’s putter heated up over the weekend—gaining 4.1 strokes on the greens—and feels his recent spike in birdie rate makes him an ideal high-floor option for gamers chasing season-long prize pools without burning an elite stud.

Andy Lang labeled Hideki Matsuyama a potential "trap" this week, noting that after his statement win at The Sentry the Japanese star has failed to crack a top-10 finish and has missed the cut in three of his last five starts. Despite eye-catching strokes-gained numbers that mirror Fleetwood’s, books have Matsuyama priced inside the top-five outright tier. Lang sees no recent evidence—let alone top-10 upside—to warrant that number and recommends avoiding exposure until Hideki strings together at least one contending weekend.

Andy Lang advised fading Tommy Fleetwood in outright and top-end markets, saying the Englishman simply "doesn’t have the upside to win." Fleetwood’s last runner-up came in 2022 and he has still never lifted a PGA Tour trophy. While the underlying metrics are solid across the board, Lang argued that books have priced him as a top-three choice based on aesthetics rather than actual win equity. Given Colonial’s premium on closing ability—seven of the last eight winners held a 54-hole lead—Lang refuses to pay a premium for a golfer who repeatedly stalls on Sundays.

Andy Lang warned bettors to steer clear of Jordan Spieth despite the predictable Texas narrative. Spieth missed the cut last week and has posted finishes of 37th and MC the past two years at Colonial. While books have him priced as a top-five option in a weak field, Lang sees nothing in the recent data to justify that premium. He called Spieth "very inconsistent," noting the brief run of four straight strong results has already faded and that small-field pricing inflates his odds artificially. Lang’s bottom line: there are better ways to deploy your bankroll than forcing a Spieth ticket based solely on hometown vibes.

Andy Lang went “back on Sam Ryder” at $6,800, calling him the DraftKings darling of 2025. Ryder has missed only one cut all season and immediately bounced back with a T13 the very next week, underscoring his consistency. Lang cited Ryder’s +0.75 strokes-gained putting average as the engine behind that reliability and noted that Colonial’s small greens further accentuate putting prowess. With a year-long track record of making weekends and generating birdie chances, Lang views Ryder as the safest sub-$7k option to pair with Scheffler in DFS builds.

Andy Lang highlighted Kevin Roy at $6,600 as a steady salary-saver for DraftKings builds that start with Scheffler. Roy has made the weekend in four straight PGA Tour events, a streak Lang values in this weak field. Although the irons have been merely average, Roy’s flatstick has been hot enough to offset the approach concerns. Lang noted Colonial is not overly demanding off the tee, so a solid putting week should translate into useful fantasy scoring. If Roy extends the cut-making streak, Lang expects him to pay off handsomely relative to price.

Andy Lang tabbed Brian Campbell as his favorite punt play on DraftKings at just $6,400. Lang admitted the rookie is one of the shortest hitters on TOUR but said Colonial’s 7,200-yard layout neutralizes distance and rewards Campbell’s strengths. Over the last 30 days Campbell ranks top-15 in both strokes-gained approach and strokes-gained putting, numbers Lang called “incredible for a guy this cheap.” Campbell has made four of his last five cuts, and Lang argued that simply getting to the weekend at this salary unlocks the cap room needed to jam Scottie Scheffler. He sees realistic T25 upside if the irons stay hot.

Andy Lang said Daniel Berger is "going to win one of these" sooner rather than later and urged bettors to pounce before the market fully adjusts. Lang pointed to Berger’s elite ball-striking numbers – a +1.38 strokes-gained approach average over the last 30 days that trails only Scottie Scheffler – and noted that the former Colonial champion is second in the field in total strokes gained over the last three months. Tee-to-green play remains "fantastic," with off-the-tee gains every week since March, and Berger has turned that into eight top-25 finishes in his last 10 starts (worst finish T33 at the PGA). The lone blemish is the putter, but Lang reminded listeners that hot putting streaks come in waves and expects positive regression on familiar, slower Colonial greens. Given the consistency and proven course history, Lang recommended outright tickets as well as top-10/20 props before the number shortens further.

Andy Lang called the matchup a layup for Yadir DelValle inside the distance. Re-watching DelValle's Contender Series bout, Lang noted relentless forward pressure, heavy clinch knees and violent ground-and-pound. Meanwhile Connor Matthews was dominated by Francis Marshall, then returned to regional shows and still could not finish low-level foes like Jose Ferris. Lang cited Matthews’ leaky striking defense and tendency to tire under pressure, predicting DelValle will overwhelm him and score a KO. He is comfortable playing either the straight KO prop or generic ITD line.