Chirimbes predicted a 37-16 rout, arguing Indianapolis can run away with the AFC South. Rookie QB Cam Ward looks overwhelmed behind Tennessee’s porous line, while Daniel Jones—Chirimbes’ Comeback Player of the Year candidate—has stabilized a Colts offense that already averages 27.2 PPG. With Indy 4-0 ATS in its last four and Tennessee’s pass protection allowing the third-highest sack rate, Chirimbes is comfortable eating the big number.

Curtis Hirsch recommended a passing-yards ladder on Cam Ward—over 204.5 yards (-112) with escalators at 250 (+262), 270 (+424) and 300 (+870). Ward averages 6.7 YPA on first down but just 4.5 and 5.5 on later downs, making early-down pass volume critical. In Week 7 the Titans opened 17 drives with a pass and only 8 with a run; those pass-first drives produced a new set of downs or a touchdown 82.4% of the time. Tennessee threw 4% above expectation on first down while chasing the Patriots, and Hirsch expects a similar script as the two-touchdown underdog to an Indianapolis team that leads the league with 18.1 first-half points per game and is missing two defensive starters. The Titans rank ninth in deep-pass EPA per play, while the Colts are 21st versus throws 20+ yards and trending the wrong way. Ward has averaged 37 attempts and 247 yards over the last three weeks; Hirsch believes game script, defensive injuries and Tennessee’s willingness to throw deep combine to give Ward a ceiling game that can cash every rung of the ladder.

Indianapolis has won five straight over Tennessee, including a 41-20 road drubbing in Week 3. Joyner trusts Shane Steichen’s ultra-aggressive approach—Indy has shown no interest in coasting regardless of opponent. With the Titans still reeling and Colts immune to AFC South jitters outside Jacksonville and Houston, he stamped a confidence-level-7 on the Colts –14.

Hill bet Colts Team Total Over 30.5. Indy hung 41 on Tennessee back in Week 3 and has posted 38, 31 and 40 points the last three weeks. With the Titans’ defense now further depleted, Hill expects Shane Steichen’s unit to eclipse 30 yet again.

Dabbundo highlighted that Indianapolis vaulted from eighth to fifth in market power ratings after obliterating the Chargers. The Colts rank on pace to be one of the top offenses of the past 25 years and are doubling the league’s No. 2 rushing EPA (0.16 vs 0.07). Jonathan Taylor is running away with OPOY, and he now faces a Titans defense missing two blue-chip starters in L’Jarius Sneed and Jeffrey Simmons. Tennessee’s brief post-coach-fire bump lasted one quarter, and QB Cam Ward is posting worse numbers than his predecessor, taking sacks and giving the ball away. Dabbundo sees no path for Tennessee to keep the Colts under 31. Verdict: Bet Colts team total over 30.5 (–110).

Tuley jumped on Tennessee +14, calling the spread an overreaction to the Colts’ 6-1 start and the Titans’ 1-6 record. The look-ahead was Colts ‑12 before Indy blasted the Chargers 38-24 and Tennessee fell 31-13 to New England. Even if Indianapolis is the AFC’s feel-good story, Tuley said, two full touchdowns is too rich in a rivalry series and historically profitable spot for double-digit divisional underdogs.