Mason Cameron played Garrett Wilson over 5.5 receptions at +105 on Fanatics. The Wilson–Justin Fields connection opened 2025 with 7 catches, 95 yards and a score against Pittsburgh, earning Wilson an 87.7 PFF receiving grade (second among WRs). Buffalo finished 30th in coverage grade against wideouts last season and allowed an open target on 61.1 % of throws in Week 1 versus Baltimore. With Buffalo’s secondary still springing leaks, Cameron expects another high-volume outing that beats the 5.5 line.

Dalton Wasserman backed Josh Allen over 6.5 rush attempts at -114 on FanDuel. He framed Bills-Jets as a potential shootout featuring two explosive offenses and shaky defenses. New York played man coverage at the fifth-highest rate in Week 1, a look that historically triggers Allen scrambles. Buffalo also leads the league in designed quarterback sneaks and finishes every half with kneel-downs that count as rushes. Those built-in plays plus freelance runs push the PFF projection past seven carries, giving Wasserman confidence in the over.

Will Hill took the Jets +6.5, pointing out that Josh Allen and the Bills have dropped two of their past three Meadowlands trips and the lone Buffalo win came 23-20 after New York missed a pair of makeable field goals. Despite the Bills’ reputation as an elite team, recent head-to-head data suggests this matchup stays within one score yet again.

Anthony Dabbundo said to grab the Jets +7. He pointed to Buffalo’s lingering problems on defense—24th in defensive EPA per drive from Week 9 of last season and already shredded by Baltimore’s option attack in Week 1. Dabbundo reminded readers that those flaws forced the Bills into 2024 shoot-outs with the Lions, Rams, and even run-heavy New England. Meanwhile New York’s attack, under new play-caller Shane Waldron, surprised Pittsburgh by posting a top-six success rate; most important, Justin Fields was sacked only once, a huge departure from his career trend. With the Jets showing a Baltimore-lite run/pass mix and the benefit of MetLife crowd noise, Dabbundo expects them to stay inside the touchdown and possibly win outright.