Lindquist bet Mike Yastrzemski OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at +105 against Chris Bassitt and would chase it to −115/−120. Bassitt owns a .180 expected ISO versus left-handed bats, and with Yastrzemski entrenched in the leadoff spot he’s virtually guaranteed four plate appearances. Lindquist cited the Giants’ balanced order—Luis Matos, Patrick Bailey, Jung-Hoo Lee—behind Yaz as additional run/RBI equity and expects Toronto’s bullpen to be forced in early if Bassitt’s reverse-splits issues surface.

Mark leaned hard toward Toronto at ‑135, labelling it his unofficial third-favorite wager of the slate. His case: Chris Bassitt is 9-4 with a 4.12 ERA and typically works deep, whereas Justin Verlander has yet to record a win this season and has looked hittable in every start. The Jays are at home, own the bullpen edge, and present a tough lineup for right-handers. Mark admitted the line felt a bit ‘fishy,’ but ultimately said it is Blue Jays or nothing given the starting-pitching mismatch and Toronto’s better recent form.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed Toronto on the money line, citing Chris Bassitt’s 2.81 home ERA and the Jays’ league-best AL home record. Toronto hits .271 at Rogers Centre (2nd MLB) and has won four of the last six meetings with San Francisco, outscoring the Giants 26-18. On the flip side, Justin Verlander carries a 4.99 road ERA, and the Giants own the third-worst batting average in baseball. The tout emphasized Toronto’s offensive depth and bullpen stability, predicting the Jays “take care of business in the opener” as they extend pre-break momentum.

Perrault took the Blue Jays at ‑130 on the money line against the Giants, focusing on the stark contrast between starting pitchers. Justin Verlander is winless (0-7, 4.70 ERA overall; 0-2 on the road with 17 ER in 30 IP) and his last five starts have all been lopsided San Francisco losses (13-0, 11-2, 5-2, 4-2, 4-2), each cashing the run line. Meanwhile, Chris Bassitt has been elite at Rogers Centre: 6-0, 2.81 ERA, and a microscopic .059 opponent average, with Toronto winning seven of his eight home turns. Books are dangling a +155 run line, which Perrault views as a clue to a potential one-run outcome, so he prefers the safer ML while still fading Verlander’s road woes.

Lonte Smith backed Bo Bichette’s home-run prop against Justin Verlander, pointing to Bichette’s active 10-game hit streak and a hard-contact spike that has yet to translate into loft. Verlander’s opponents are batting .299 the first time through the order and his four-seam/slider combo has produced the highest hard-hit rate of his career. Bichette, who owns a .554 slugging percentage versus four-seamers, draws the park upgrade of Rogers Centre and is overdue after two weeks without a long ball. Smith expects Verlander’s early-count pitch-to-contact approach to feed right into Bichette’s aggressive swing path and likes the HR prop at anything 5-1 or better.

Lonte Smith echoed Bamford’s enthusiasm for Toronto but pushed bettors toward two angles: lay the –130 moneyline and grab Chris Bassitt to record the win at roughly +120. Smith pointed out that Bassitt is 4-1 across his last eight outings and allows opponents to hit just .203 at home. The Blue Jays are 7-3 over their last 10 games while slashing .260 versus right-handed pitching and an even better .280 in that split during the recent hot streak. In contrast, San Francisco ranks near the bottom of MLB in road OPS and Verlander has surrendered at least seven hits in three of his last five turns. Smith argued the market over-corrected after early Giants money moved the price down from –140 to –130, leaving value on the better pitcher, better lineup, and better bullpen. For a little extra plus money, he prefers Bassitt’s win prop, trusting Toronto’s deep lineup to stake him to a lead before turning the ball over to a rested back-end bullpen.

Malcom Bamford labeled Toronto –130 a ‘bargain’ with every major checkbox favoring the Jays. Justin Verlander carries a 4.99 road ERA and San Francisco has dropped 10 of his 12 starts, including five straight defeats heading into the break, so Bamford sees no reason to pay the veteran tax on his name. Chris Bassitt, by contrast, owns a sparkling 2.81 ERA at Rogers Centre and Toronto is 32-16 at home. Bamford dismissed Verlander’s supposed ‘bad luck’ narrative, pointing instead to declining strikeout and whiff rates that make him hittable in the zone. He expects the Blue Jays’ right-heavy lineup—teed up by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette—to punish Verlander’s four-seam/slider combo that has produced the highest hard-hit rate of his career. Given Toronto’s bullpen advantage and superior defense, Bamford is content to lay the modest price and would consider escalators on the –1.5 run line if the number drifts toward pick’em.