Kunath called Da'Mon Blackshear the easiest bet on the slate, noting the line has already ballooned from –350 to roughly –440 and still might not be wide enough. He emphasized Blackshear’s clear physical advantages—four inches of reach, superior frame, and seven‑year youth edge—paired with an aggressive wrestling game that averages 2.2 takedowns per 15 minutes. Alatengheili has defended only 55 percent of takedowns in the UFC and attempts fewer than one submission per three full fights, giving him no realistic escape once grounded. Kunath referenced Blackshear’s last outing against Cody Gibson where, despite some early adversity, Blackshear’s cardio and scrambles wore the veteran down—evidence that the Favor graduate can gut through tough spots. Because Alatengheili’s striking output sits under 3.0 significant strikes per minute, Kunath expects him to be stuck on the fence before a level‑change leads to a quick back take. Actionable call: bet Blackshear by submission (round 2 prop for plus money) and lock him into DFS cores for a likely 100‑point ceiling.
