Romanelli laid the -1.5 with Toronto, citing four straight Jays wins (several run-line cashes) behind Chris Bassitt and the veteran’s ability to work deep while limiting the long ball—only one homer surrendered across his last three starts. Adrian Houser’s sparkling 2.15 ERA is due for regression in Ron’s eyes, especially away from Guaranteed Rate Field, and the Jays’ right-hand heavy lineup presents a tough task. Given Bassitt’s consistency and Toronto’s recent success in his turns, Ron is comfortable eating the chalk at Rogers Centre.

Kenny G said Toronto is worth laying the wood against Chicago because virtually every matchup angle breaks the Jays’ way. Chris Bassitt has a 3.75 ERA and Toronto is a perfect 4-0 in his last four outings, while Adrian Houser comes off the paternity list with only a 2.15 ERA but limited strike-out punch and a mediocre five-inning, three-run line versus Texas in his last start. The White Sox own MLB’s worst road record at 8-31, rank dead-last in batting average (.223) and 29th in slugging (.347), and drag a 4.30 bullpen ERA that rarely holds a lead. Toronto, on the other hand, is 25-15 at Rogers Centre, 25-14-1 to the over there thanks to a lineup batting .255 (top-7) with a .324 OBP (8th) and a bullpen that has settled in at 3.59. Kenny noted the market lists Toronto at –220 on the moneyline and roughly –115 on the –1.5 run line; he prefers the run-line exposure but would still include the ML in parlays, calling it a justifiable chalk spot given Chicago’s punch-less offense and Bassitt’s consistency.

Cash Out Sports Picks continued the profitable "fade the White Sox" theme, recommending Toronto to win and cover. Chicago is 24-53, has lost nine of ten and provides little betting value. Adrian Houser’s tidy 2.15 ERA may not survive Chicago’s pitcher-unfriendly environment. Conversely, the Blue Jays are on a quiet heater and Chris Bassitt has dominated at Rogers Centre (2.74 ERA, .260 BAA in 46 innings). With Toronto surging and Chicago sinking, the tout felt comfortable laying the run line.

Razzle has conditional interest in Spencer Turnbull if reports confirm an 80-pitch leash (he threw 51 last time). The veteran owns a 31.5% K-rate through two appearances and faces a White Sox roster sitting dead-last in wOBA against righties. DraftKings hung a 4.5 K-prop, implying five frames of work. If beat writers indicate no hard cap, Razzle will sprinkle Turnbull at $6.2k as a salary-saving SP2.

Malcolm Bamford recommended betting the Blue Jays team-total over rather than a traditional side or full-game total. He highlighted Davis Martin’s 4.62 road ERA and 1.40 WHIP, noting the right-hander has allowed at least one homer in five of his last six away starts. Toronto, meanwhile, is markedly better at Rogers Centre (OPS nearly 60 points higher at home) and doesn’t have to worry about Bowden Francis, who hit the IL with a shoulder impingement after surrendering 7.40 ERA in 14 starts. By stripping out the Jays’ uncertain pitching situation and focusing solely on their bats, Bamford believes a 4.5 or even 5-run team total is reachable against a pitcher giving up loud contact and struggling to miss bats (18.9 % K-rate on the road).

Matt Perrault played the Blue Jays’ team total over 4.5 runs (–146) based on their consistent power output at Rogers Centre and the White Sox’ road woes. Toronto is 24-14 at home and has scored 5-8-5 runs in its last three in the building, with earlier home eruptions of 8-8-11-12 versus Oakland. The Jays are 41-31-2 to the over at home, and their lethal lineup now faces Davis Martin, who carries a 4.62 road ERA, 1–5 record and .272 opponent average. Chicago is 7-31 away from Guaranteed Rate Field, regularly hemorrhaging runs. Perrault expects at least five Toronto tallies and prefers the team-total angle to a pricey –210 money line or a multi-leg parlay.

Kenny G said he is willing to lay the hefty –210 moneyline—or even the –1.5 run line if the price is right—on the Blue Jays to beat the White Sox. His confidence stems from several edges: Toronto’s lineup has quietly surged over the last month, climbing to 5th in team batting average (.256) and 7th in OBP (.325), and they are 25-13 to the over at Rogers Centre thanks to consistent run production. Chicago, by contrast, owns an MLB-worst 7-31 road record and just played a double-header yesterday, raising fatigue concerns. Spencer Turnbull is stretched out for only two or three innings, meaning Toronto’s 3.60 ERA bullpen will carry the bulk of the game against a Chicago offense that sits bottom-five in most categories. Kenny noted the Jays’ 24-14 home mark while the White Sox trend 23-14-1 to the under away from Guaranteed Rate, illustrating how little run support Turnbull is likely to receive. He labeled Toronto a potential “lock of the day” and encouraged bettors to shop for the best run-line price.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed Toronto to win comfortably, laying the run-line rather than the steep money-line. He hammered Chicago’s current free-fall: the White Sox limp in on a six-game skid and will be coming off a Thursday double-header before even reaching Toronto. Offensively they rank 28th or worse in four key categories, while their pitching staff slots 21st or lower in four major metrics. Starter Davis Martin has not staunched the bleeding, surrendering 10 runs on 17 hits across his last 18 innings, with the club losing four of his last five outings. In stark contrast, the Blue Jays have ripped off 14 wins in their last 19 overall and an eye-popping 11 of their past 12 at Rogers Centre. Toronto’s lineup sits 5th in batting average and 7th in OBP, and its staff checks in 13th in batting average against and 14th in WHIP. Even though emergency starter Spencer Turnbull has logged only 4.1 big-league innings this season, the tout argued the matchup disparity and bullpen advantage make Toronto a strong bet to cover the spread at home.