It’s The Final Round backed Joe Adell to collect a hit against Braves right-hander Bryce Elder. Elder has been torched by righties recently, giving up a .432 batting average in his past three outings while leaning heavily on a sinker (52 % usage) and slider (42 %), both allowing opponents over .280. Adell owns a .308 average versus right-handers, hit .286 against sinkers and .385 against sliders in June, and is on a 12-game hit streak. Those splits moved the tout to bet Adell over 0.5 hits and view him as a dependable DFS play while he stays hot.

Martin grabbed the Halos at +130, noting that the Angels have quietly been one of the league’s most profitable sides because they continually catch plus money. Jose Soriano just surrendered eight earned to Washington, but before that he logged three straight starts of 7.0 IP with either zero or one earned run, and Martin has "bet on him for years." Offensively, the Angels own the best team wRC+ over the past week while Atlanta sits bottom-five. Braves starter Bryce Elder lasted only two innings while giving up 10 runs to Philadelphia and has issued more walks than strikeouts across his last three appearances. Given Atlanta’s cold bats and Elder’s control woes, Martin believes the hotter lineup and the superior recent pitching form make the Angels a worthy underdog play.

Just A Bet Outside bet the Angels team-total OVER 2.5 runs, citing Bryce Elder’s full-scale meltdown. Elder has been bludgeoned for 25 hits and 18 earned runs across his last 10.2 innings, coughing up nearly two hits and two runs per inning while posting an 8/8 K-to-BB ratio. The Angels have scored 3+ runs in ten straight games (6.1 per game over that span) and 16 of their last 20 overall, flexing middling power from Jo Adell to Jorge Soler. As the road side they receive nine cracks at Elder plus an overworked Atlanta bullpen, making three runs a soft hurdle for an offense already on a double-digit OVER streak.

Lindquist is betting the Angels money line at plus money against Atlanta largely because he wants to attack 20-year-old Didier Fuentes, who sports an 8.27 expected ERA through 161 big-league pitches. He dissected Fuentes’ last two outings—87 pitches versus Miami and a follow-up against the Mets—and highlighted the lack of swing-and-miss (only nine whiffs against the Marlins) combined with loud contact allowed. While acknowledging Yusei Kikuchi-style barrel issues on the Angels’ side, he still trusts their contact-oriented lineup to string hits together and believes Ronald Acuna and company look "ready for the All-Star break" after consecutive quiet nights. Lindquist also hinted at stacking Angels hitter props for extra exposure to the matchup.

It’s The Final Round likes Jo Adell to keep his 11-game hit streak alive against Didier Fuentes. Fuentes throws a four-seam fastball 61 % of the time and has yielded a staggering .571 average on it through two big-league starts, plus a sweeper 31 % of the time. Adell hit .333 against four-seamers in June and .333 against sweepers in early July, while batting .333 versus right-handers over the past 10 days. Fuentes has allowed a .400 BAA overall, so the tout believes Adell 1+ hit is very live with home-run upside if Fuentes’ fastball command remains suspect.

Just A Bet Outside bet the Angels team total over 2.5 runs, spotlighting how badly 20-year-old starter Fuentes has scuffled in his first taste of the majors. Fuentes has allowed 10 earned runs, 14 hits and only recorded four strikeouts across 8.1 innings in two starts (4 ER vs Miami, 6 ER vs the light-hitting Mets), a clear sign that his minor-league stuff is not fooling big-league bats yet. The Angels, meanwhile, have scored at least three runs in nine of their last ten contests and are averaging 5.9 runs—essentially six a game—during that stretch. Over the past three weeks they sit mid-pack in wRC+ versus righties but boast the second-highest walk rate, a profile the tout expects to force the wild rookie into the zone. With Los Angeles on the road (guaranteeing nine offensive innings), an 85-degree evening, just a light five-mph wind, and a game total that opened high, he projected three or more runs as a low bar and labeled the over 2.5 a priority leg in his alt-team-total parlay.