Kenny G said he would take the Angels at even money in Texas. He highlighted Yusei Kikuchi’s quietly solid 3.42 ERA and the fact Los Angeles is 4-1 in his last five starts, including seven strong innings of one-run ball versus Cincinnati last week. Patrick Corbin, meanwhile, owns a 4.61 ERA and has been “pretty terrible” in four straight appearances. The Rangers offense remains banged-up and was just shut out in the series opener; they sit 23rd in runs and 25th in batting average. Texas’ elite 3.60 bullpen gives him pause, but he believes the starting-pitching edge tilts to LAA and the coin-flip odds provide value. Globe Life Field has played 41-23-1 to the under this year, another sign Texas bats can disappear. Kenny therefore recommended a small play on the Angels moneyline at +100.

Eric Lindquist flagged Nolan Schanuel as a home-run sprinkle at +1000 on Novig. He expects Schanuel to return to the two-hole after Thursday’s rest and face Chicago right-hander Ben Brown, whose profile is perfect for power hunting: 47% hard-hit rate, 4.73 xSLG and only a 6.8% walk rate that forces him into the zone. Lindquist noted Schanuel has "nearly ten" homers off righties already and will swing in warm Anaheim conditions that should offset the normal marine layer. With plenty of liquidity still posted at the four-figure price, Lindquist said he’s looking to add the play to his official card.

Stephen noted that Cincinnati carries the ninth-highest strike-out rate versus left-handed pitching (24.0%) over the past three weeks, making Yusei Kikuchi an intriguing strike-out-prop candidate. Kikuchi sports a 29% K-rate against lefty batters and averages more than a strike-out per inning, with recent game logs of 3-7-7-5-4 Ks illustrating both ceiling and floor. Home/road splits are neutral, and the Reds’ projected lineup could feature six right-handers who collectively whiff at a 26% clip against four-seam/slider combinations—the exact mix Kikuchi throws 83% of the time. The tout suggested monitoring books for a 5.5 total at plus odds or using Kikuchi in DFS tournaments where strike-outs carry extra scoring weight.

Kenny G leaned toward backing the Angels at -125 in the series finale with Cincinnati. Yusei Kikuchi enters with a solid 3.52 ERA, while the Reds counter with Nick Martinez (10-9, 4.73 ERA) who is “fresh off getting shelled by the Brewers.” Cincinnati’s lineup has scored four runs or fewer in four of its last six and ranks only 16th in batting average and 17th in OBP despite sitting 11th in total runs. Los Angeles’ offense is inconsistent but still features Taylor Ward chasing 100 RBI, and the Angels own a 33-30 home record. Kenny acknowledged L.A.’s bottom-five bullpen but noted the Reds’ relief corps (3.93 ERA) is merely decent, giving Kikuchi and home field the slight edge. Because of those factors he would “lean just slightly toward the Angels,” though he stopped short of making it a best-bet recommendation.

Ruffolo took the Angels moneyline against Cincinnati. He argued the Reds are in a brutal travel spot—coming off an emotion-charged division set with Milwaukee and now flying west to face a team that is 31-25 at Angel Stadium. He does not trust Brady Singer, highlighting a 5.12 road ERA and .344 wOBA allowed to lefties, which puts Taylor Ward and Nolan Schanuel in strong splits. With the Halos’ bullpen ranking seventh in xFIP since the All-Star break, Ruffolo expects Los Angeles to control the late innings and sees value at pick-em pricing.

Guy Boston Sports is leaning toward the Angels as underdogs and to the full-game over. He acknowledges Yusei Kikuchi’s road ERA issues but notes the left-hander dominates left-handed bats – important because several of Oakland’s key hitters (Nick Kurtz, etc.) swing lefty. Perkins has been unspectacular for the A’s, and both bullpens are bottom-tier. While Oakland’s 30-day offensive numbers look better in aggregate, the Angels have scored 6-7-7-5-7-5-4-3-5-8 runs in their last ten, showing steadier output. Given the pitching matchup, disastrous relief corps on both sides and recent scoring trends, he wants Angels plus money and will sprinkle on the over.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the moneyline price with Los Angeles. The Angels have covered 58.7 % of road run lines and an impressive 70 % when installed as away favorites. Oakland, by contrast, covers only 45.8 % of the time as a home dog. L.A. is 4-0 in the season series and sports a 62.9 % cover rate after a win, versus the A’s 57.4 % after a loss. With the Halos’ lineup in an uptick and the Athletics continuing to scuffle, the tout called Los Angeles the ‘prime play.’

While the total is his top look, Kenny G also likes Los Angeles at −110 on the road. The Angels just swept the Dodgers, sit five games out of the AL Wild Card and have scored 6, 7 and 7 runs in that span. Kikuchi’s recent dominance of Oakland provides a pitching edge, and although the Angels’ bullpen is bottom-three, Oakland’s relief corps is even worse. The A’s lineup has produced only 2, 6, 4, 3, 11, 2 and 6 runs across its last seven, giving the Angels enough margin to justify a near-pick’em price.

Guy Boston Sports targeted Jo Adell for an under style prop (hits, total bases, or over on strikeouts) because Charlie Morton is expected to throw a "ton of curveballs." Adell owns a .137 wOBA and a 44% strike-out rate versus curveballs this season, numbers Boston called ugly enough that he’s "considering [it] a final play" despite Adell homering the last time they faded him.

Guy Boston Sports is eyeing Jo Adell UNDER props (0.5 hits or 1.5 total bases) because Charlie Morton throws his curveball 36% of the time and Adell has been hopeless against that pitch: .137 wOBA with a 44% strikeout rate this season. Despite Adell burning him with a first-AB homer the last time he faded him, the tout will go back to the well, reasoning that Detroit’s game plan will feature a steady diet of breakers and Adell’s 34.2% whiff rate versus curveballs makes multiple productive plate appearances unlikely.

Guy Boston Sports is betting OVER 8.5 in Detroit–LA largely because of Yusei Kikuchi’s brutal road profile: 1.61 WHIP, .275 average against and a 12.5% walk rate away from Anaheim. Detroit sends Charlie Morton—stellar in his Tigers debut (6 IP, 1 ER, 6 K, 0 BB)—but the tout reminded listeners Morton has allowed 3+ earned in 8 of 20 starts this year, so regression is always lurking. He expects the Angels’ improving lineup to scratch out runs while Detroit’s more consistent bats exploit Kikuchi’s fastball when he falls behind. Both bullpens sit in the bottom half of xFIP over the last month, adding late-inning paths to the OVER. Side lean is Tigers -115 but total is the official recommendation.

B Wade is taking Yusei Kikuchi under 17.5 outs recorded, effectively betting that the left-hander will not complete six innings in Detroit. Kikuchi began the year with four straight quality starts but has ‘cooled off significantly’, reaching six innings in only 30 percent of his last 20 outings and none of his last five road starts. Detroit has historically handled him, scoring 3.6 runs per start across three meetings, including a 10-run outburst earlier this season when Kikuchi was in better form. Given those trends, Wade does not see him surviving the sixth inning on Saturday.

B Wade said he is betting the over 2.5 strikeouts for Kyle Hendricks. Hendricks has cleared this line in 14 of 21 appearances this season (67%) and has topped it in seven of ten road outings while averaging just under four strikeouts per road start. He comes off a one-run pitchers’ duel where he fell short, but he has not missed this number in back-to-back games since April, consistently bouncing back the very next time out. In his only prior meeting with the upcoming opponent he recorded exactly three punch-outs, aligning with the statistical rebound pattern. Books have the true price closer to –160/–170 even though one screen shows –207, so Wade views the prop as under-priced value.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the Angels moneyline, noting Tampa Bay’s 23-28 road record and eight losses in its last ten while batting just .222 and scoring 3.9 runs per game. Monday’s 5-1 Angels win featured a Jo Adell two-run blast, a pair of timely Taylor Ward RBIs and 12 staff punch-outs, boosting clubhouse confidence. With Jose Soriano trending up and Angel Stadium favoring the home side, the tout believes Los Angeles extends its 3-1 season-series edge over Ryan Pepiot and the sputtering Rays.

Kenny G recommended taking the Angels at −125 over Tampa Bay. Angels starter Jose Soriano (7-8, 3.65 ERA) has strung together four excellent outings and already shut down the Rays once early this year. Rays right-hander Ryan Pepiot owns a 3.80 ERA but was “shelled by the Yankees” in his last start, and Tampa’s once-elite bullpen has slipped to a 3.79 ERA. Offensively, the Rays have "really started to bottom out" and are only 23-28 away from Tropicana Field. Los Angeles, 29-28 at home, brings an attack that sits 17th in runs and 13th in slugging and has been swinging well of late. Given the hotter pitcher, the livelier bats, and a struggling opponent, Kenny expects a second straight Angels win and is ignoring the 8.5-run total.

Lindquist labeled Yusei Kikuchi a “strike-out especial,” starting with the posted 6.5 number and recommending climbing the ladder for escalator prices. He pointed to Kikuchi’s own 23.9 % K-rate and, more importantly, to Tampa Bay’s projected lineup full of left-handed whiff machines: Brandon Lau and Josh Lowe will both be in, while Christopher Morel carries a 36.4 % strike-out rate versus southpaws. With a handful of Rays’ depth bats injured, Lindquist expects even less contact. He believes the Angels will let Kikuchi work deep enough to threaten double-digit punch-outs and is prepared to add alt-overs one rung (maybe two) above 6.5 if books open affordable numbers.

Byron Power advised fading Kyle Hendricks when he is priced as a favorite. Hendricks relies on an 86–87 mph sinker/four-seam mix thrown about half the time, mixes in a changeup and a get-me-over curve, and pounds the zone with strikes. That approach has produced one of the league’s lowest strikeout and whiff rates, meaning hitters are putting almost everything in play. Power argued that a pitcher with so little swing-and-miss upside is always one bloop and a blast away from a three- or four-run inning, making the –150 price tag against an improving White Sox lineup far too steep. His recommendation is to either take the plus-money dog or pass on the game entirely rather than trust Hendricks in this spot.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended backing the Los Angeles Angels on the money-line in Friday’s series opener with Chicago. The tout noted that Los Angeles has been the second-most profitable AL club this season and has cashed eight of Tyler Anderson’s last ten starts against sub-.500 opponents. Anderson owns strong home splits and the Angels have taken six of their last seven series openers with him. Chicago, still without a named starter and ranking 29th in slugging, provides little resistance. With a dependable home arm and a lifeless White Sox offense, the Angels are the pick.

B Wade said to smash the over on Tyler Anderson allowing 2.5 earned runs. Anderson has been touched up in 7 of his last 10 outings and surrendered four earned to this same club a season ago. The Angels’ staff as a whole has "become unraveled" and now faces a Chicago lineup averaging 7.5 runs in nine games since the All-Star break, including five double-digit explosions and 18 total runs in their recent three-game set with Philadelphia. Wade expects that hot stretch to carry right into Friday, projecting at least three runs on Anderson before the bullpen even shows.

Just A Bet Outside highlighted Yusei Kikuchi’s strikeout prop as the lone premium K spot on the 16-game slate. Over the past three weeks Texas has the league’s highest strike-out rate versus left-handed pitching at 29.5%. Kikuchi has punched out 127 hitters in 122.2 innings and owns a 29.2% K-rate against lefties specifically. Although his last five starts have bounced between four and eight strikeouts, Kikuchi has already racked up 10 Ks in 11 innings across two earlier meetings with Texas. Steven likes the Over 5.5 Ks (available at –115 on DraftKings) and views Kikuchi as a mid-tier pitching anchor in DFS contests.

Guy Boston Sports completely reversed his earlier lean, now betting the full-game UNDER (8.5 or better) when Patrick Corbin meets Yusei Kikuchi. He noted Corbin has already stifled the Angels twice this season and owns solid familiarity edge. Los Angeles keeps hitting for average but has produced only 4-2-3-2-3-3 runs in its last six, leaving piles of runners and showing limited power. Kikuchi’s home WHIP sits at 1.20, and his four-seam/curveball mix removes Texas’ usual advantage against sliders. With the Rangers’ top-10 bullpen waiting behind Corbin and Anaheim’s relief corps serviceable in lower-leverage spots, he expects scoring to dry up once the starters leave. Final advice: ignore his earlier over talk and lock in the UNDER before books adjust.

Guy Boston Sports said he will back the Angels if books hang a pick-em or better price with Yusei Kikuchi on the mound. Kikuchi’s home splits jump off the page: 1.20 WHIP, .228 average against and a 24.2 percent strikeout rate in Anaheim. Texas mashes sliders (Kikuchi’s favorite pitch) but sits bottom-10 versus his four-seam and curveball, giving the left-hander multiple avenues for success. On the other side Patrick Corbin relies on a slider–sinker mix that several top-of-order Angels—specifically Mike Trout and Nolan Schanuel—grade well against in run-value charts. He also leaned full-game OVER because once Kikuchi exits, Los Angeles rolls out a shaky pen and the Rangers lineup has been ‘quietly grooving,’ averaging five runs over its last week. Final recommendation: Angels ML to –110, plus a look at O 8.5 if the market opens there.

Thomas’s favorite prop for the same game is Zach Neto over 0.5 RBI. The Angels’ rookie leadoff hitter has been, in Thomas’s words, "flying under the radar" while driving the team’s recent offensive surge. Neto already has a signed ball in Thomas’s collection, so the capper has tracked him closely and sees the kid "starting to pay dividends." With Los Angeles bats hot, Texas pitching traveling, and Neto occupying the top of the order, Thomas expects plenty of run-scoring opportunities and feels the plus-price on a single RBI is mis-priced.

Kevin Thomas advised taking the Angels at roughly +166 in Monday’s series opener against Texas. He argued the spot strongly favors Los Angeles: the Rangers just finished a draining home sweep of Atlanta and now fly cross-country, a travel angle Thomas believes produces "tired bats." Meanwhile the Angels quietly took two of three from Seattle and have been winning with the sticks despite limited production from Mike Trout. Thomas noted Jacob deGrom’s last appearance versus the Halos—5 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, and a no-decision—illustrating that L.A.’s lineup can touch him. With plus money at home and their offense trending up, Thomas labeled the Angels the “free winner” for July 28.

Eric Lindquist advised playing Jose Soriano’s strikeout over and even sprinkling the ladder against Seattle. Although Soriano owns only a 20 % season-long K-rate, Lindquist noted the right-hander strikes out righties at a higher clip and will face a projected Mariners order heavy on swing-and-miss right-handed bats such as Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez and Mitch Garver. Seattle’s league-worst 27 % team strikeout rate dovetails with Soriano’s 97 mph sinker that generates chase, and Lindquist is unfazed by Soriano’s shaky 11 % walk rate because the Angels bullpen can cover late innings. Weather is neutral in Anaheim, keeping the roof open scenario from inflating offense. He labeled Soriano a “clear-cut K play” after similar ladders cashed earlier in the week.

Eric Lindquist said to attack the Jose Soriano strikeout prop and even consider a ladder against Seattle. He noted that Soriano’s raw stuff plays up in K markets – the rookie owns a 26% strike-out rate, pairs an upper-90s sinker with a wipe-out curve, and still generates a 55% ground-ball rate that keeps him in the game long enough to pile up punch-outs. Seattle strikes out 27% of the time versus right-handed pitching (second-worst in MLB) and just lost the newly-acquired Josh Naylor for Friday’s lineup, removing one of the few low-K bats. Lindquist feels the baseline 4.5 line is too low and expects 6–7 Ks with ceiling for more, making standard over plays and incremental ladders (+650 at 8+, +1200 at 9+) worth a look.

Kenny G prefers the Angels at –120 against Seattle. He trusts Yusei Kikuchi’s steadier profile—4-6, 3.13 ERA and just two earned allowed last time out—over 24-year-old Logan Gilbert (called "Logan Evans" in the transcript), who owns a 3.81 ERA but has been wildly inconsistent, surrendering nine walks and 12 earned across his last three outings. Seattle’s bullpen has ballooned to a 3.90 ERA, while the Angels’ pen is worse (5.09) but will be partly shielded by a home crowd and power-heavy offense that ranks eighth in slugging. Seattle’s bats have cooled off (two, one and zero runs the past three games), and home teams have dominated league-wide, a trend Kenny specifically mentioned. Add in Mike Trout’s recent spark and the Halos’ 24-23 home record, and he sees enough edges to justify the small lay price.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Los Angeles Angels on the moneyline against Seattle. He rode ace Yusei Kikuchi, who owns a microscopic 0.39 ERA across four career starts versus the Mariners and brings a 3.13 season ERA that earned him an All-Star nod. The handicap leans on Seattle’s light-hitting profile—fresh off a 1-0 win that required a solo Cal Raleigh homer—and their dependence on tight, low-run games. Logan Evans, the Mariners’ rookie starter, was torched for six earned in four innings by the Yankees in his last outing, exposing a volatile bullpen early. Team trends amplify the play: the Angels are 4-2 as home favorites against AL West foes, while Seattle is 3-7 in its past ten trips to Anaheim. With a healthy lineup of Taylor Ward, Mike Trout, Jo Adell, and Jorge Soler supporting Kikuchi and the Angels exploiting Seattle’s shaky pitching depth, he labeled the Halos the clear betting side.

Bill Harrelson advised betting Jo Adell NOT to score a run. Adell has failed to record a run in 7 of his last 10 games, including four straight, and is 14-for-20 (70 %) to the "no run" side. Historically against Seattle he is 11-for-18 (61 %) in this prop. Over a 92-game 2025 sample his under rate is 64 %, and last season’s 127-game sample was similar at 61 %. He sees roughly four plate appearances per game but has been mediocre at the plate (.240 AVG versus both righties and lefties). Thursday’s opposing starter, Evans, allows a .255 average to right-handed hitters—9.5 % lower than his season average—further reducing Adell’s chances of scoring. Every major pick-em site, including Underdog, posts the no-run side as the favorite, so Harrelson expects Adell’s cold streak to continue.

Brad PickDawgz took Angels moneyline, noting the club has won five straight when listed as a favorite immediately after a loss. He highlighted having ‘their ace Kikuchi on the mound’ and said the Angels have been ‘sneaky good.’ Brad also faded Seattle starter Logan Evans (Gilbert), pointing out his surface stats are propped up by pitching in spacious T-Mobile Park and that a shift to a hitter-friendly environment should hurt him.

Harrelson took Jo Adell to NOT score a run. Adell has failed to reach home in 7 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20 (70 %). Versus Seattle he has stayed under in 11 of the last 18 meetings. Season-long data (92 games) shows a 64 % under rate, and last season’s 61 % adds confidence in a larger sample. He noted opposing starter Evans is tougher on right-handed bats (overall .277 BAA drops to .255 vs RHB, a 9.5 % improvement), while Adell is merely a .240 hitter from either side. With sportsbooks and pick-em apps unanimously pricing the under, Harrelson expects another scoreless night from the Angels outfielder.

Calling it his favorite play of the week, Lindquist locked in Angels ML at –115 against Seattle. Yusei Kikuchi owns a respectable 4.03 xFIP and has limited RH power all season, while projected Seattle starter Logan Evans ranks dead last on the slate with a 5.50+ expected ERA. Lindquist sees a massive starting-pitching mismatch and notes that Seattle’s dominant bullpen is far less intimidating away from T-Mobile Park. He made the line Angels –160, so anything south of that is an auto-bet in his model.

Bamford is targeting an Angels first-five (or even first-three) wager rather than a full-game play. His angle hinges on Seattle’s well-documented struggles against left-handed pitching—they often start slowly before adjusting—and southpaw Yusei Kikuchi’s decent surface numbers at home. Conversely, Seattle rookie Logan Evans owns a 5.06 ERA in five road starts with 39 hits, six homers, and eight walks in only 26.2 innings, making him highly hittable early. Bamford concedes the Halos’ bullpen is shaky, so he wants exposure only to the opening frames where those splits favor Los Angeles.

Eric Lindquist likes a Mike Trout home-run ticket at roughly +310 against Sean Manaea. Manaea leaned on his four-seam fastball a whopping 70 % in their first meeting, produced plenty of fly-balls, and still showed “really good hard-hit numbers” against him. Lindquist noted that a pitcher cannot live at 70 % four-seam when "you have Mike Trout sitting on fastballs—he takes it to the gun show." Because Trout rarely shows value at short HR prices, Lindquist said this is one of the rare times the model still pops, so he is willing to put a quarter-unit on Trout to go yard.

Bill Harrelson loves Zach Neto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs against the Mets. Neto has cleared this line in nine of his last ten outings, including an eye-popping six H/R/RBI game versus the Phillies. He’s surpassed the mark in eight straight contests, averaging four combined stats in that span. Over his 80-game 2025 sample he has hit at a 61% clip (49 of 80). Head-to-head, he’s 2-for-3 against the Mets with one eruption for eight H/R/RBI. Neto’s matchup is a right-handed pitcher, and he’s actually better versus righties this season (.302 average vs .280 overall). Harrelson notes that Underdog Fantasy is the only book hanging this prop, signaling a potential edge. With nearly five plate appearances per game lately, Neto’s volume plus recent form make the over a strong play.

Lindquist is running the Angels back at +105, citing multiple matchup edges. Rookie Jack Kochanowicz’s 53.1% ground-ball rate and sinker-heavy arsenal attack Texas where they struggle most—the Rangers own the worst wRC+ in baseball versus fastballs. Kochanowicz has started upping four-seam usage and both his slider and changeup have ticked up, giving him just enough strikeout ability to survive. On the other side, Patrick Corbin is still targetable and the Angels’ bullpen metrics grade out better than Texas’s shaky relief corps. Lindquist likes grabbing plus money before the market corrects and believes Los Angeles can squeeze out a second straight win.

Rockford called the Angels a live home dog at +110 and made them –115 in his numbers. Kumar Rocker’s 9.41 road ERA, 2.2 HR/9 and 10% walk rate turn every away start into a potential disaster, and Texas’ bats do him no favors— the Rangers are averaging just 3.7 runs on the highway. Kyle Hendricks has quietly stabilized for Los Angeles, yielding fewer than four earned in five straight starts, while the Angels are 3-1 in his last four at the Big A. Given Rocker’s home-run issues, the improved Angels bullpen (3.62 ERA last 14 days) and L.A.’s .743 OPS versus right-handers, Rockford said any plus money is “an autoplay on the Halos.”

Lindquist took the Angels straight-up against Texas, citing a huge pitching edge. Kyle Hendricks may sport only a 15.9 % K-rate, but his old-man changeup/sinker act still limits damage—86 mph average exit velocity and a parade of soft infield contact keep the Cubs veteran relevant. Conversely, Kumar Rocker’s big-league cameo has been a mess: 47.6 % hard-hit rate, 11.9 % barrel rate, .294 expected average and just a 20.3 % strikeout clip. Lindquist expects lefty bats like Nolan Schanuel, Zach Neto, and Taylor Ward to get multiple cracks at Rocker before a compromised Texas bullpen takes over. With the Halos priced near even money, he projects them as slight favorites and fired on the moneyline.

Eric Lindquist is eyeing Jose Soriano’s earned-runs under (2.5 at standard juice or even a plus-money 1.5 alt line) against Texas. Soriano sports a 66.9 percent ground-ball rate, an elite profile that keeps the ball in the yard, and his four-seam/sinker combo carries a strong run value. That pitch mix is especially troublesome for the Rangers, whom Lindquist noted are "the worst team in baseball against the fastball" this season. With Texas’ lineup scuffling and Soriano generating worm-burners, the tout expects limited damage across six innings or so and prefers the earned-runs under to traditional strikeout props.

Just A Bet Outside doubled down on fading the Angels’ offense Monday and said bettors can safely move past the standard 6.5 and attack an alternate team-total under 5.5 runs. His confidence rests on Jacob deGrom’s flawless track record: opponents have finished with six or fewer runs in all 17 of deGrom’s starts this season. The right-hander is now working deeper into games, which minimizes exposure to Texas’ bullpen that has quietly improved over the past month. The host added that Los Angeles has cashed the under 6.5 in 30 of 40 home dates, underscoring its vulnerability in a power-sapping Angel Stadium. With deGrom’s 29.2% whiff rate against left-handed bats and the Rangers’ relief corps posting a 3.11 ERA since mid-June, he believes the stricter 5.5 total still offers plus-EV value for straight bets or as one leg of an alt-line SGP.

B Wade said Tyler Anderson should clear 3.5 strikeouts despite Toronto’s league-low K-rate. Anderson has gone over this number in 14 of 17 outings and in eight of nine road starts. He already fanned seven Blue Jays earlier this season and logged games of eight and three strikeouts against them last year, for a 6.0 K average in the matchup. His season average sits at 4.5 Ks with only a slight dip to 4.3 on the road, keeping him firmly in the four-to-six strikeout window almost every night. Wade concluded that the microscopic line is more about Toronto’s reputation than Anderson’s actual floor, making the over a strong prop play.

Lonte Smith likes Toronto -1.5 and the full-game Over because interim manager Ray Montgomery has shortened Angels starters’ leashes. Only 3 of 9 starters under him have hit 90 pitches, and Kochanowicz has failed to reach the sixth inning in six of his last eight outings. That means an overtaxed bullpen will have to cover at least four frames against a Jays offense that already ranks top-10 in hard-hit rate at home. Kochanowicz’s 41% fly-ball rate makes him susceptible to Rogers Centre’s short porches, and Smith expects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and company to capitalize quickly. Even if Max Scherzer is merely average, Smith projects Toronto to win by multiple runs in a 7-4 type game.

Scott Reichel recommended attacking the Blue Jays’ team-total Over (first five or full game) because Angels rookie Jack Kochanowicz owns a 3-8 record and bloated 5.44 ERA and relies almost entirely on pitch-to-contact stuff. Reichel sees that profile getting torched inside Rogers Centre, where Toronto’s right-hand power bats thrive. He is largely ignoring Max Scherzer’s uneven form and focusing on the matchup he trusts: a highly motivated Toronto lineup versus a hittable debutant who has allowed a .288 opponent AVG and 1.5 HR/9 across Triple-A. Anything at 4.5 or lower on the Jays’ total is an automatic bet for him.

Just A Bet Outside took a half-unit stab on the Los Angeles Angels at +140 in Toronto, framing it as a classic let-down spot for the Jays after their emotional four-game sweep of the Yankees that exhausted the bullpen. Spot starter Eric Lauer rarely goes beyond five frames and has yielded seven earned across his last 19 innings, meaning that tired relief corps should be asked for four plus innings. Over the past three weeks the Angels are 10th in wRC+, 5th in slugging and league-best in ISO versus left-handed pitching, giving them quick-strike power. Kyle Hendricks has quietly allowed only six earned in his last 22 innings with a 6.2% walk rate, providing a serviceable counter. With the starting-pitcher edge narrow and Toronto possibly flat, the host likes the plus-money bite on Anaheim.

It’s The Final Round backed Joe Adell to collect a hit against Braves right-hander Bryce Elder. Elder has been torched by righties recently, giving up a .432 batting average in his past three outings while leaning heavily on a sinker (52 % usage) and slider (42 %), both allowing opponents over .280. Adell owns a .308 average versus right-handers, hit .286 against sinkers and .385 against sliders in June, and is on a 12-game hit streak. Those splits moved the tout to bet Adell over 0.5 hits and view him as a dependable DFS play while he stays hot.

Martin grabbed the Halos at +130, noting that the Angels have quietly been one of the league’s most profitable sides because they continually catch plus money. Jose Soriano just surrendered eight earned to Washington, but before that he logged three straight starts of 7.0 IP with either zero or one earned run, and Martin has "bet on him for years." Offensively, the Angels own the best team wRC+ over the past week while Atlanta sits bottom-five. Braves starter Bryce Elder lasted only two innings while giving up 10 runs to Philadelphia and has issued more walks than strikeouts across his last three appearances. Given Atlanta’s cold bats and Elder’s control woes, Martin believes the hotter lineup and the superior recent pitching form make the Angels a worthy underdog play.

Just A Bet Outside bet the Angels team-total OVER 2.5 runs, citing Bryce Elder’s full-scale meltdown. Elder has been bludgeoned for 25 hits and 18 earned runs across his last 10.2 innings, coughing up nearly two hits and two runs per inning while posting an 8/8 K-to-BB ratio. The Angels have scored 3+ runs in ten straight games (6.1 per game over that span) and 16 of their last 20 overall, flexing middling power from Jo Adell to Jorge Soler. As the road side they receive nine cracks at Elder plus an overworked Atlanta bullpen, making three runs a soft hurdle for an offense already on a double-digit OVER streak.

Just A Bet Outside played the Angels’ alternate team total over 2.5 runs against 20-year-old righty Hurston Fuentes. Fuentes has been shelled for 10 earned runs on 14 hits with only four strikeouts across his first 8.1 MLB innings—losses to the Marlins and Mets, two below-average offenses. The Angels, meanwhile, have plated three-plus in nine of their last ten and are averaging six runs per game. Over the past three weeks they own the league’s second-highest walk rate versus right-handers, forcing pitchers like Fuentes into the zone. Stephen also noted that L.A. has hit better on the road all season. He needs only three runs before the Braves’ bullpen enters, making the over 2.5 a preferred leg of his parlay.

Lindquist is betting the Angels money line at plus money against Atlanta largely because he wants to attack 20-year-old Didier Fuentes, who sports an 8.27 expected ERA through 161 big-league pitches. He dissected Fuentes’ last two outings—87 pitches versus Miami and a follow-up against the Mets—and highlighted the lack of swing-and-miss (only nine whiffs against the Marlins) combined with loud contact allowed. While acknowledging Yusei Kikuchi-style barrel issues on the Angels’ side, he still trusts their contact-oriented lineup to string hits together and believes Ronald Acuna and company look "ready for the All-Star break" after consecutive quiet nights. Lindquist also hinted at stacking Angels hitter props for extra exposure to the matchup.

It’s The Final Round likes Jo Adell to keep his 11-game hit streak alive against Didier Fuentes. Fuentes throws a four-seam fastball 61 % of the time and has yielded a staggering .571 average on it through two big-league starts, plus a sweeper 31 % of the time. Adell hit .333 against four-seamers in June and .333 against sweepers in early July, while batting .333 versus right-handers over the past 10 days. Fuentes has allowed a .400 BAA overall, so the tout believes Adell 1+ hit is very live with home-run upside if Fuentes’ fastball command remains suspect.

Kenny G thinks the Angels are live at +135. Tyler Anderson (2-5, 4.41 ERA) finally looked competent against Boston and now faces an Atlanta offense that has cratered to 24th in runs and 21st in batting average, tallying only 1, 6, 0, 0, 3 runs in its last five. Rookie right-hander Sion Fuentes gets the ball for the Braves with an ugly 0-2 record and 10.80 ERA after getting shelled by both Miami and the Mets. While Atlanta’s bullpen has climbed to a 3.63 ERA, Kenny emphasized it has carried a heavy workload because Fuentes rarely sees the fifth inning. Conversely, even though the Angels’ relief corps remains bottom-five, Anderson’s ability to pitch deeper could mask that weakness. Los Angeles’ lineup is hardly elite—27th OBP, 26th AVG—but Kenny trusts it more than a Braves unit that has been “bottoming out all year.” With Atlanta laying –160 despite a raw rookie starter and anemic bats, Kenny tagged the Halos as a worthy underdog play and another candidate for his featured dog post.