Guy Boston Sports gave a cautious thumbs-up to Seattle moneyline and the full-game under versus Minnesota. He likes the matchup of Brian Wu—‘dealing’ despite Seattle dropping four of five—against rookie Zebby Matthews, who struck out nine Royals in four innings but still owns only one big-league start. The handicap hinges on keeping the game low-scoring: the Twins offence cooled after its 12-game heater, while the Mariners have managed just three runs across their last two contests. With T-Mobile Park suppressing homers and both starters boasting double-digit swinging-strike rates, he envisions something like a 4-2 Mariners win. The only reservation is Seattle’s inconsistent bats, so he advises pairing M’s ML (around ‑120) with under 8 for a correlated parlay or smaller split-stake.

Kenny G endorsed Seattle −152 (with an eye toward −1 alt lines) because Bryan Woo has been lights-out while Zebby Matthews is still getting his MLB feet wet. Woo sits at 5-2, 2.40 ERA and the Mariners are 4-1 over his last five starts; even his ‘bad’ outing featured only two earned runs across six frames against Houston. Matthews, a 25-year-old making just his third career start, owns a 7.71 ERA and has yet to record more than four innings in a game. That likely forces Minnesota’s excellent but already-taxed bullpen (3.19 ERA, 4th best) to cover five-plus frames. Offensively, the Twins have scored 0-4-2-1-5 in their last five and rank 22nd in runs, 24th in OBP. Seattle’s lineup has cooled as well—still 10th in runs but just 20th in average—yet Kenny trusts them more at T-Mobile Park, where the club is 14-12 and 15-9-2 to the OVER. Market notes: Minnesota is 12-17 on the road and a staggering 17-9-3 to the UNDER away from Target Field, suggesting run support for Matthews could be scarce. Kenny concluded that Woo’s form plus the Twins’ weak road profile justify eating the moderate juice on Seattle.

Lindquist will fire a Cal Raleigh home-run ticket if books open longer than +235. He ranks Raleigh as Friday’s most likely long-ball candidate thanks to Twins rookie Zebby Matthews’ extreme fly-ball profile (22.3° average launch angle, 14 % barrel rate in 2023). T-Mobile Park suppresses right-handed power but actually plays neutral-to-favorable for lefty pull hitters like Raleigh. Seattle’s cooler, sea-level air is less of a concern because Matthews lives at the top of the zone, feeding Raleigh’s pull-side loft. Lindquist’s model shows a 28 % HR probability, giving +235 implied odds ample cushion for both betting and one-off DFS builds.

Lonte Smith prefers the total in Twins-Mariners, projecting a 3-1 or 4-0 type of contest and targeting any opening number of 8 or higher. He trusts Bryan Wu’s 1.10 ERA over three home starts and 31% chase rate to muzzle a Minnesota offense striking out 25% of the time versus righties. Although Zebby Matthews owns a bloated 7.71 ERA, Smith pointed to his above-average whiff rate and believes spacious T-Mobile Park plus two under-trending lineups (six unders in ten for both clubs) will keep damage in check. If the market drops to 7.5, he wants plus money; otherwise he’ll play the under at standard juice.

Scott Reichel isolated the opening five innings in Twins-Mariners, backing Seattle –0.5 with Bryan Wu versus Zebby Matthews. Wu has delivered eight quality starts in ten trips and has yielded just two combined earned runs over his last three, while Matthews carries a 7.71 ERA and profiles as a 4A arm. Minnesota is batting only .213 against right-handers the past two weeks, and Reichel prefers avoiding bullpens altogether to maximize the pitching mismatch. He projects a multi-run Seattle cushion by the middle frames and is comfortable laying up to –120 on the F5 run line, expecting the full-game price to settle in the –150 range.

LM Tipster laid ‑1.5 with Seattle. Bryce Woo (5-2, 2.40 ERA) owns a 0.91 WHIP and faces rookie Zebby Matthews, who was tagged for six runs in his debut (7.71 ERA). The Twins strike out 29% versus righties, worst in MLB, giving Woo path to a deep outing.

Scott Reichel said Royce Lewis remains an auto-fade in the prop market until he shows signs of life. Reichel hammered Lewis’ ‘no singles’ prop at –129 on Thursday, pointing out that the Twins’ third baseman has not recorded a single since May 19 and now has zero singles in 16 of his first 20 games. Overall, Lewis is slashing .138/.200/.138 with zero hits in his last 25 plate appearances and just nine total hits for the entire month of May. Reichel added that Lewis has never played more than 82 games in a season and suggested Minnesota may eventually demote him if the drought continues. Until the books adjust, Reichel believes bettors should keep fading Lewis’ total bases, hits and single props, as the market is still pricing him like a league-average hitter rather than someone mired in a historic slump.