Makinen grabbed New Orleans +7. Spencer Rattler has opened 2025 with 421 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs, helping Alvin Kamara regain burst. League-wide angles support winless sides: 0-2 teams vs 1-1 are 40-17-1 ATS, and dogs of +3.5 or more that haven’t won yet cover 66 %. The Saints travel well (36-23 ATS on the road since 2018). Seattle QB Sam Darnold is 4-13-1 ATS in his last 18 starts against losing teams. Makinen thinks the number is inflated and expects the Saints to hang around all game.

Burke also sprinkled Jaxon Smith-Njigba at +650, reasoning that Seattle’s WRs have inexplicably seen zero red-zone targets through two weeks despite JSN soaking up 23 of the team’s 52 overall targets and 17 of 38 receptions. He expects Kubiak to break that pattern against a defense he knows well, scheming an early first-look for his chain-moving slot weapon. If the Seahawks, favored to score first, throw instead of handing off, Burke believes the ball goes to Smith-Njigba.

Seattle opened ‑8.5 but slid to ‑7/-7.5, putting them on Tuley’s teaser card at ‑1/-1.5. He prefers the proven home favorite to the erratic Saints in their first road game. This is his lone chalk leg in a dog-heavy portfolio.

Everett laid 7.5 with Seattle, calling Mike Macdonald’s unit still underrated after clamping down on San Francisco and Pittsburgh. He expects the Seahawks’ pass rush and raucous Lumen Field crowd to rattle Spencer Rattler, who is coming off a career performance. With Seattle’s defense trending up and the Saints traveling cross-country, Everett foresees Rattler crashing back to earth and the Seahawks winning comfortably.

Brad Gagnon scooped up the 7.5 with New Orleans, pointing to Seattle’s startling 1-7 straight-up and 1-6-1 ATS home record since last October. The Saints may be 0-2, but both losses came by one score, signalling grit that pairs well with a generous number. With Spencer Rattler making only his first road start of 2025 and Seattle facing a quick Thursday turnaround against Arizona, Gagnon thinks Pete Carroll’s staff could throttle down late, leaving the ‘back-door wide-open’ for a Saints cover.

Citing BetMGM, Giannotto argued that Spencer Rattler’s clean 2-game resume (0 INT, 118.1 rating, 307-yard, 3-TD outing vs San Francisco) makes New Orleans +7.5 a live bet in Seattle. The Saints have already stayed within one score of the Cardinals and 49ers, and their quick-game approach mitigates the Seahawks’ elite edge rush. With New Orleans throwing at a 66% clip on first down, Giannotto sees a pass-heavy script that supports Rattler overs and a back-door cover.