He advised taking Baltimore, highlighting Colorado’s 0-6 record in Kyle Gomber’s last six starts and a staff ERA north of 6.00. Gomber has yielded a homer in four straight appearances and was rocked for five runs by St. Louis in his most recent outing. Baltimore counters with Sugano, who owns the better ERA and strikeout-to-walk ratio. Given the Orioles’ overall stronger season and Colorado’s league-worst 27-76 record, the tout expects Baltimore to rebound from Friday’s loss and hand the Rockies another defeat.

Mark urged listeners to ‘find a way to bet Baltimore,’ suggesting either pairing the Orioles (-260) with Minnesota in a two-team moneyline parlay or hammering the Orioles team-total Over 4.5/5.5. He reminded viewers that games at Camden Yards have been lucrative for overs and for Baltimore’s team totals specifically. Although Colorado has cashed three straight plus-money tickets, Mark expects Antonio Senzatela to be out-matched by Trevor Rogers and a far superior Orioles lineup that is ‘due’ after Friday’s loss.

It’s The Final Round said Jackson Holliday is a strong Saturday prop target at Camden Yards. The play is built around Antonio Senzatela’s extreme splits: the Rockies right-hander is allowing a .359 average to left-handed hitters overall and an even worse .380 on the road. Holliday, fresh off a three-hit night, owns a .364 average versus righties over the past week and is hitting .294 with 10 knocks in eight games since the break. AI projections from Outlier place Holliday at 75% to record a hit, 45% to score, 40% to drive in a run, and 8-10 fantasy points. The tout noted the Orioles are finally back home after a long trip, adding to the feel-good spot for their No. 1 prospect.

Eric Pathi advised grabbing the Colorado Rockies money-line at +220 on Saturday strictly as a play against Baltimore’s poor record when laying chalk. Pathi highlighted that the Orioles are 19-26 as favorites this season compared with 22-27 as underdogs and just dropped a 6-5 game to these same Rockies in Friday’s matchup. His angle is a simple situational fade: any time Baltimore is favored, back the other side regardless of opponent. With Colorado again installed as a sizeable underdog, Pathi believes the spot offers built-in value and labeled the Rockies his complimentary selection.

Scott Reichel advised playing Baltimore –1.5 at even money, citing a massive form and venue edge. Dean Kremer is on a 14-inning scoreless streak and has allowed just one run total in his last two starts (14 IP), while Colorado trots out Kyle Freeland and his 2-10 record/5.19 ERA. Even though Freeland has been marginally better the past three outings, the Rockies remain a horrific 12-38 away from Coors Field. Reichel expects Baltimore’s power-heavy lineup (top-10 in ISO) to capitalize on Freeland’s .344 road wOBA and trusts Kremer to cruise against a Rockies squad that just broke a 220-game shutout drought. He projected a comfortable multi-run win and sees no reason to pay a steep moneyline when the run line is available at plus juice.

Lonte Smith prefers attacking Baltimore’s team-total over rather than the full game total. He highlighted Colorado’s 5.58 bullpen ERA on the road and noted that the Rockies have allowed six or more runs in five of their last eight games. Smith projects Baltimore for 6–7 runs, pointing to Camden Yards’ friendly summer hitting conditions and Freeland’s .509 SLG allowed to right-handed bats on the road. Even though the Orioles have dropped seven of eight, Smith believes the offense is too potent to stay quiet, especially with Cedric Mullins and Adley Rutschman both healthy. He expects Kramer’s 14-inning home scoreless streak to keep Colorado to one or two runs, making an O’s team total play safer than the full-game over.

Kenny G leaned toward backing the Rockies at +185 in Baltimore, insisting the Orioles have no business laying -225. He cited Kyle Freeland’s quiet turnaround—six scoreless innings versus St. Louis two starts ago and 6 IP/1 ER against Minnesota last time out—while Baltimore’s offense has managed just 4, 2, 3, 5 and 5 runs in its last five and ranks 24th in both runs and OBP. Kenny acknowledged Colorado’s bullpen ERA near 5.00 and league-worst 12-38 road record but argued those negatives are fully baked into the price. Meanwhile the Rockies lineup has produced 6, 8, 2, 1 and 10 runs across the last five and could stay hot against an Orioles relief unit he called "bad all season." All told, he sees enough on-field value to justify a small play on Colorado.