Matt LaMarca pointed out that J.K. Dobbins handled 62% of Denver’s carries and most short-yardage snaps while second-rounder R.J. Harvey saw only 23%. With the second-largest gap between projected ownership and optimal-lineup rate in SimLabs, Dobbins is flagged as one of the slate’s most undervalued tournament backs at $5,600, especially with Sean Payton historically slow to elevate first-year players.

Calling Indianapolis "not a serious team," Bartel is doubling down on his preseason fade of the Colts and laying –2.5 with Denver. He concedes the Broncos looked shaky against Tennessee, but argues that result says more about unrealistically high public expectations for Denver than about the roster’s true ability. Because he anticipates both teams trading mistakes rather than grinding clock, Bartel is also betting Over 42.5.

Will Hill played RJ Harvey anytime TD after cashing his rushing-yards Over in Week 1. Hill called the rookie "dynamic and explosive" and expects him to seize the lead-back role quickly, making a Week 2 touchdown versus Indianapolis likely.

Dabbundo pounced on Colts +2.5, arguing the market still inflates a sloppy Broncos team. He recalled last December’s meeting in Denver where Indy led 20-7 and had Bo Nix in a blender until a series of self-inflicted turnovers swung the game. Nix finished with three interceptions that day and now faces a Colts defense that looked much more flexible under new coordinator Lou Anarumo, holding Miami’s elite weapons largely in check during Week 1. Offensively, Jonathan Taylor and Anthony Richardson shredded a leaky Dolphins unit and should find similar success against a Denver defense that just let Tennessee convert only 35 percent of their early-down passes. The look-ahead line was Broncos -3.5; with that edge erased, Dabbundo sees outright upset value at +2.5.