Bill Harrelson advised taking Freddie Freeman under 1.5 total bases. Freeman owns just two total bases over his last five games and has failed to reach two bases in 9 of his past 10 and 17 of his past 20 (85% under clip). On the full season he is under 56% of the time and was at 54% last year, so the recent drought is an acceleration of a longer-term trend. The matchup exacerbates things: Freeman’s average climbs from .262 versus left-handed pitching compared to .310 overall, and he draws Kansas City left-hander Nick Cameron, whose opponents are hitting .182 overall and a microscopic .154 when batting left-handed (54 lefty plate appearances). Books are leaning the same way—DraftKings –145, No-Vig equivalent –134, Caesars –130—all shading the under. Harrelson summed it up: massive cold streak, negative handedness split, elite opposing pitcher versus lefties, and unanimous sportsbook juice equals a strong fade.