Kenny G leaned toward laying -158 with Detroit. He argued the Tigers’ top-5 offense (4th in runs, 10th in AVG .254, 5th in SLG) should eventually get to Jeffrey Sprague and, more importantly, the league-worst Oakland bullpen (6.00+ ERA). While Dietrich Enns is a 34-year-old spot starter and a bit of an unknown, Kenny noted Detroit’s pen still owns a respectable 3.74 ERA and plays far better at Comerica where the club is 27-12. Oakland’s lineup is scrappy, but its relief corps routinely coughs up late leads, making Detroit the side even if value is modest. He also mentioned a slight lean to the 8.5 over because the A’s are 19-15-5 to the over on the road, but his actionable advice was Tigers moneyline.

Just A Bet Outside backed Detroit to clear an alt team-total of 2.5 runs against Jeffrey Springs and the A’s. He noted the Tigers own the league’s best numbers versus left-handed pitching over the past three weeks (171 WRC+, No. 1 in ISO, batting average, and OPS) and have scored 3-plus in 17 of 22 games against southpaw starters this season, averaging five runs in those matchups. Springs has actually been worse against fellow lefties (.266 average, 4.73 xFIP) and has allowed 3-plus earned in four of his last six outings. With a bullpen that ranks bottom-three in ERA and FIP lurking behind him, the host called this a classic bounce-back spot after Detroit was shut out Wednesday and labeled the over 2.5 a “no-brainer” leg for parlays or straight bets.

Malcom Bamford agreed on a low-scoring script but chose the FIRST-FIVE UNDER instead of the full-game total to keep Oakland’s league-worst 5.94 bullpen ERA out of the equation. He cited Severino’s sparkling 0.93 road ERA and Skubal’s "untouchable" form as the key reasons the first five innings should stay quiet. Bamford noted that Detroit snapped a three-game skid Sunday and believes both starters can work clean frames before managers turn it over to volatile pens.

Lonte Smith loves the full-game UNDER 7 in Tigers-A’s. He pointed out that Tarik Skubal has given up only three total earned runs across his last five starts and now gets an Oakland lineup that ranks bottom-five against lefties. On the other side, Luis Severino owns a 0.93 ERA in six road outings (2-0 record) and hasn’t allowed more than one earned run away from home all season. Despite Severino’s reduced strikeouts (never more than five on the road), Lonte thinks his contact profile plays in Comerica’s spacious outfield. He projected a 4-1/4-2 type final and advised bettors to avoid the –280 money-line tax by taking the under instead.

Eric Lindquist recommended Detroit ‑1.5 runs at ‑130 with Tarik Skubal on the mound. Skubal has been nearly untouchable in 2024 and now faces an A’s lineup leaving its hitter-friendly park for spacious Comerica. Oakland counters with Luis Severino, whom Lindquist still rates as homer-prone to both sides of the plate. Detroit’s left-handed core of Riley Greene and Kerry Carpenter should have the platoon edge, and Lindquist’s model gives the Tigers a full 0.8-run FIP advantage. He believes the run-line price should be at least ‑150, making the current number a bet.

Kenny G said bettors should not overthink the juiced number and lay the -290 moneyline with Detroit because Tarik Skubal puts them in a different class than Oakland. Skubal is 8-2 with a 2.06 ERA and the Tigers are 4-1 in his last five starts, the only blemish a 1-0 defeat where he threw seven scoreless frames. He contrasted that with Luis Severino’s 2-7 record and 4.42 ERA and reminded listeners that Oakland’s bullpen is dead-last in MLB while Detroit’s sits at a respectable 3.81. Offensively the Tigers have erupted for 9, 3, 8, 4 and 9 runs over their last five, ranking fifth in MLB scoring, whereas the A’s have produced just 2, 0, 2, 5, 6 and 4 and are 14th. Detroit is also 26-12 at home versus Oakland’s 17-21 road mark. With those edges across starting pitching, bullpen and lineup, Kenny flagged Detroit as his potential “massive lock of the day.”

Matt Perrault said he was comfortable laying –1.5 runs with Detroit against Oakland for anyone looking to tack on a side to his Tigers-A’s Under 7.5 ticket. He reiterated Tarik Skubal’s Comerica Park dominance—1.88 ERA, 6-0 record, .208 opponent average and only 11 earned runs over 52.2 home innings—as the primary reason Detroit should take control early. While Luis Severino’s 0.93 road ERA looks scary, Perrault pointed out the Athletics are still just 3-6 in his nine away starts because their bullpen sports a 4.83 ERA and routinely coughs up late leads. With Detroit’s relievers ranking top-10 in win probability added and the A’s bottom-5 in OPS versus left-handed pitching, Perrault expects the Tigers to scratch out a few runs and let Skubal plus the pen make them stand up for a multi-run victory. He likes grabbing the run line at plus money as a correlated play alongside the under.

Matt Perrault played the Under 7.5 in Tigers-A’s, citing two starters in peak form. Tarik Skubal has been untouchable at Comerica Park: 1.88 home ERA, 6-0 record, .208 opponent average and only 11 ER in 52.2 IP. Detroit has won eight of his last nine starts while cashing four straight unders prior to the Pittsburgh blow-up. Surprisingly, Luis Severino has been even better away from Oakland, riding a microscopic 0.93 road ERA across 38.2 innings with a .194 BAA and just four earned runs allowed. Perrault doesn’t expect Detroit’s slumping offense to solve Severino and doubts the light-hitting A’s can dent Skubal, so he grabbed Under 7.5 runs.