Kenny G also likes Detroit on the money-line, noting that despite Cristopher Sanchez’s breakout season the Phillies’ bullpen consistently coughs up leads. Detroit’s offense is in form and Morton’s veteran craft gives them a fighting chance. Philadelphia’s lineup, while top-10 in season-long production, has cooled and scored five or fewer in four of its last five. With the Tigers available at +155 and the Phillies just 33-19 at home, Kenny thinks the visitors are mis-priced.

DFS Army likes Zack Wheeler every bit as much as Skubal, calling Citizens Bank Park his "happy place" where he owns a 32% strikeout rate and 2.71 ERA. Detroit traded away multiple regulars this week and will field what the tout labeled a "AAA lineup" that already strikes out 26.4% of the time against right-handed pitching. Wheeler has fanned 10+ hitters in three of his last five outings and profiles for another ceiling effort if his slider command returns. Despite two shaky appearances in the past three, the underlying swinging-strike rate (14.8% over that span) remains elite. DFS Army plans to feature Wheeler in at least half of its MME builds, pairing him with Bibee or Castillo in GPPs to get different from the Wheeler/Skubal chalk combo.

DFS Army called Tarik Skubal a slate-defining spend despite the hefty salary because his road numbers are "absolutely ridiculous": 35.6% K-rate, 2.14 xFIP and only one barrel allowed in 30.1 IP away from Comerica. Philadelphia strikes out 23.9% of the time versus lefties and has a top-10 swing-and-miss rate, giving Skubal tournament-winning strikeout upside. While ownership projections have the Wheeler/Skubal pairing soaking up nearly 90% combined exposure, the tout is still willing to eat that chalk in cash and three-max builds, noting Skubal has cleared 30 DK points in three of his past five road starts even without the win bonus.

The Bettor Mark backed the Phillies at −177 on Sunday Night Baseball, calling them the anchor of his three-leg moneyline parlay. He likes Philadelphia in a ‘home off a loss’ setup after they were “screwed” by a late two-run homer the night before. With Christopher Sanchez opposing newly acquired Charlie Morton, Mark expects the Phillies’ lineup to rebound in front of a primetime crowd and ‘show out’. He labeled the spot perfect for recouping units lost Saturday, emphasizing the combination of home-field edge, motivational bounce-back narrative, and a bullpen advantage over Detroit.

Drew Martin plans to back the Philadelphia Phillies on Sunday Night Baseball with Cristopher Sanchez dealing. The lefty has yielded one earned run or fewer in six of his last seven outings and is 9-3 with a 2.5 ERA. Philadelphia is 33-19 at Citizens Bank Park. Detroit counters with 24-year-old Melton, making just his third MLB start; after a brilliant seven-shutout inning debut versus Arizona, he was rocked for six earned over five frames by Pittsburgh. Martin expects the Phillies lineup to rough up the inexperienced hard-thrower and will post his exact moneyline number closer to first pitch.

Just A Bet Outside said Jack Flaherty’s strike-out prop is worth an over wager when he faces Philadelphia. The Phillies own the eighth-highest K-rate against right-handed pitching over the last three weeks (25.5%), and Flaherty has been piling up whiffs: 137 Ks in 109.2 innings, at least six strikeouts in six straight starts and seven or more in five of those. His swing-and-miss surge is backed by a July strike-out rate spike to 33.9%. Although his road K-rate (25.8%) lags behind his home mark, it still aligns with an over because Philadelphia’s projected lineup skews right-handed, where Flaherty’s punch-out rate jumps to 32.1%. With the Tigers likely letting him work deep, Steven recommended taking the over 6+ Ks in both betting and DFS prop markets.

Calling it one of his stronger leans, The Bettor Mark advised taking the “Phillies to not bat in the ninth” prop, effectively backing Philadelphia to be ahead after eight and a half innings. He likes Ranger Suarez’s current form and thinks Jack Flaherty is very hittable. Philadelphia’s zig-zag season worries him less at Citizens Bank Park, and he doesn’t believe Detroit’s quiet deadline did anything to boost its lineup.

Kenny G labeled Detroit his “dog of the day” at +128 in Philadelphia. The Tigers have ripped off four straight wins and just swept Arizona while averaging 8.5 runs during that stretch; their offense now sits 5th in MLB in runs and 7th in slugging. Jack Flaherty (6-10, 4.51 ERA) is coming off six shutout innings against Toronto and has logged five straight solid outings. Detroit is 28-25 on the road and a league-best 31-22 to the over away from Comerica. Kenny contrasted that with a Phillies club that has lost two of three to the White Sox, owns a shaky 4.45 bullpen ERA, and has scored only 3, 6, 2, and 3 runs in four of its last six. Ranger Suarez’s overall line (8-4, 2.59 ERA) looks strong, but Kenny pointed to recent wobble versus the Angels and the fact he’ll eventually hand the ball to that suspect pen. With both pens leaking oil Kenny said the Over 8 is defensible, but he prefers the Tigers moneyline because Detroit’s red-hot lineup and Flaherty’s ceiling create value against a slumping Philadelphia squad.

Calling it his favorite play of the slate, B Wade hammered Jack Flaherty to allow over 4.5 hits. The right-hander has been tagged for at least five hits in seven of his last eight outings and has stayed under this number just twice in road starts all season—both before opposing offenses heated up. Now he heads into Citizens Bank Park to face a potent Phillies lineup, and Wade sees no realistic path to Flaherty holding them below five base knocks.