Cash Out Sports Picks played the Rays on the moneyline, leaning on recent dominance (Tampa has won five straight meetings). Starting pitching looks even: Shane Baz owns a 4.40 road ERA, Griffin Canning a 3.94 home ERA. Both bullpens are elite—Rays 3.08 ERA (3rd), Mets 3.03 (2nd). With no clear edge on the mound, the tout sided with the better recent head-to-head results and took Tampa to keep the streak alive.

Martin is backing the Mets over the Rays, listing Griffin Canning versus Shane Baz. New York sits 45-24 atop the NL East, owns a slight bullpen edge and is scorching right-handed pitching. Canning, the former UCLA second-rounder, is 6-2 with a 3.20 ERA. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, has played only 25 of its first 68 games on the road and carries a far worse split away from Tropicana. Baz flashes triple-digit velocity but is inconsistent and prone to hard contact, something Martin thinks a hot Mets lineup will exploit. He recommends locking in the Mets ML once Canning is confirmed.

Eric Pathi said to back the Tampa Bay Rays as road underdogs in Sunday’s Game 3 after they already took the first two games from the Mets. Pathi explained that casual bettors typically fade a potential sweep and lay inflated juice on the favorite in this spot, which has pushed New York from –140 on Saturday night to –170 for Sunday. His long-running system is simple: when the dog has won the first two games—home or away—you play the dog again because the moneyline value swings too far toward the favorite. By grabbing the Rays at roughly +140, Pathi believes bettors are getting a price that is “more money than you should be” while the Mets’ number is “higher than it should be.”

Kenny G tabbed Tampa Bay at +115 as a potential "dog of the day" behind Drew Rasmussen’s sparkling 2.22 ERA. Rasmussen has allowed just two earned runs total over his last 32 innings and owns a month-long scoreless streak prior to his most recent start. The Rays bullpen (3.14 ERA, third in MLB) backs him up, and the offense has scored 30 runs in its past six games while climbing to 12th in runs. Conversely, Tylor Megill brings a 3.76 ERA that Kenny called misleading after being tagged by the Dodgers and White Sox and showing shaky command versus Colorado. The Mets’ elite pen (3.06 ERA) is a safety net, but their recent offensive surge has come against the Nationals and Rockies. Kenny thinks Tampa’s form, Rasmussen’s dominance and plus-money price create clear betting value.

Guy Boston Sports said the only side he could justify in Saturday’s Rays-Mets game is the New York money line. Tampa ran five of its eight relievers (Fairbanks, Clevinger, Useta, Orze, Montgomery) last night, so Kevin Cash’s pen is taxed while the Mets’ high-leverage arms are rested. Citi Field is dealing with rain and swirling wind, conditions the tout believes favor small-ball offenses; he grades the Mets lineup superior in that style. Although Drew Rasmussen holds the starting-pitching edge over Tylor Megill, the worn-down Rays bullpen and New York’s home-field advantage tilt the late innings toward the Amazins. He recommended a half-unit play at current –110 to +100 prices, pairing it with his larger First-Five Under 4.5 ticket.

JDBetsHQ locked in Tampa Bay +0.5 on the first-five run line at –160. His edge comes from a clear pitching mismatch: Drew Rasmussen sports a microscopic 0.4 ERA over his last five starts (never allowing more than two earned runs) while Tylor McGill has been tagged for 2.6 earned runs per outing during the same window and owns multiple blow-ups. Both clubs rate top-5 in recent offensive production, so he prefers to isolate the innings controlled by the superior starter rather than sweat late-game bullpens. The ticket cashes if the Rays are tied or ahead through five, an outcome he sees as likely given Rasmussen’s form and the Mets’ vulnerability early.

Cash Out Sports Picks played Tampa Bay straight up despite the Mets’ gaudy 27-8 home mark. The Rays have covered the run line in 73.7% of road-dog games (16-9 ATS away, 19-11 as any dog), while New York manages just 55.9% ATS at Citi Field and 51.6% when favored. The Mets are only 22-22 ATS off a win and struggle in interleague spots (42.9% cover). With those trend edges and a tight pitching matchup looming, the tout sees solid value on the Rays moneyline.

Harrelson recommended the under on 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs for Josh Lowe. Lowe has failed to clear this combo line in 8 of his last 10 and 13 of 20, and sits at a 65 % season under clip (17 of 26 games). Although he’s 2-for-3 lifetime (.667) against Mets right-hander Christian Miguel, Harrelson pointed out that Lowe’s production dips versus righties overall, while Miguel has been more effective against left-handed bats. Books across the board lean under, giving Lowe a difficult path to two or more counting stats Saturday.

B Wade played Juan Soto over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs at even money, noting Soto has cashed in eight of the last 10 games and 11 of 14 since a slump-busting Colorado series. He has demolished Tampa, clearing this line in six straight with an eye-popping average of six HRR per game over the last five meetings. Drew Rasmussen owns a sparkling 2.20 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP but finally showed cracks by allowing two runs and multiple hits to Miami last time out. Given Soto’s torrid form and extreme success versus the Rays, Wade argued the book is still undervaluing the superstar.

Eric Pathy said to grab the Tampa Bay Rays at roughly +130 because the Mets’ six-game winning streak has artificially inflated the favorite’s line. Pathy’s ‘rule of 10’ flags teams chasing a seventh straight win as prime fade material, pointing out San Francisco’s identical spot earlier in the day where Colorado cashed as a dog. He emphasized underdogs are hitting 42.5 % this season—2.5 points above the long-term 40 % baseline—making plus-money shots even more attractive. Pitching matchups do not alter his stance; starters rarely finish games, so he focuses strictly on price. Pathy framed the Rays’ 13-15 record as “printing money” when catching plus odds and argued that laying chalk on streaking favorites is a bankroll killer over time. In short, take Tampa Bay and the extra 30 cents rather than paying the Mets’ tax.

Kenny G called the Mets –166 moneyline a bargain and a potential "lock of the day." The Mets own MLB’s best home record at 27-7 and ride a six-game winning streak, averaging 6.5 runs during that span. Clay Holmes sits at 7-3 with a 2.95 ERA and just survived Coors Field with one earned over six innings; a bullpen sporting a 2.89 ERA (second in MLB) backs him. Taj Bradley has regressed to a 4.58 ERA and was blasted for seven earned by Miami in his last outing. Tampa’s lineup has produced only four total runs in its last two games and ranks 19th in OBP. Kenny sees clear edges in starting pitching, bullpen and home field, and said he would back New York up to –190.

Guy Boston Sports said he prefers the Mets team-total over rather than laying the steep money-line price. He pointed to a clear pitching mismatch – Kodai Senga owns strong surface numbers while Michael Soroka’s underlying stats (inflated FIP and WHIP) paint him as hittable. Weather further tilts the board: first-pitch temps near 80° with 13 mph winds blowing out to the power alleys in Nationals Park. Add in a shaky Washington bullpen and an eight-run game total he considers suspiciously low, and he expects New York to plate a "respectable number" despite getaway-day worries. He dismissed the Nats’ lineup as too inconsistent to trust, so isolating the Mets bats is his preferred wager.

Guy Boston Sports grabbed Juan Soto over 1.5 total bases at +130 (half-unit lean). Soto has topped this number in 7 of his last 10 (70%), posting 2.7 TB per game, and in 4 of his last 5 (3.4 TB). He has been feasting on his former club, clearing the line in 5 of 6 meetings with Washington this season, including 5 and 6 TB in the first two games of the current series. The matchup is juicy: against Nationals righty Michael Soroka, Soto owns a 600/714/1.200 slash in 14 career plate appearances (12 total bases, two extra-base hits). Soroka surrenders a 50% extra-base-hit rate to left-handed hitters, while Soto generates a 45% XBH clip versus righties, making a double or homer a realistic path to cash. Season-long hit-rate is only 42%, explaining the plus money, but the tout believes the recent surge, revenge narrative, and pitcher-batter history justify the play.