Ben Stevens told listeners to bet the over on any first‑round running‑back prop (commonly set at 1.5) because the market is already giving away its hand. Ashton Jeanty is a prohibitive –350 favorite to go inside the top six, while Omarion Hampton is –1500 simply to be selected on Thursday night and –400 to be the first back taken after pick 10. Those numbers, Stevens argued, imply at least two backs are virtual locks, with TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins still lurking as late‑round one surprise candidates. He also referenced the positional resurgence—Bijan Robinson (8th) and Jahmyr Gibbs (12th) in 2023—as evidence that front offices are once again willing to invest day‑one capital in bell‑cows. His advice: “If your book is still hanging over 1.5 at plus money, smash it before they catch up.”

Ben Stevens urged bettors to double‑dip on Ashton Jeanty: hammer the under 6.5 draft position at –350 and sprinkle the Raiders at +110 to be the team that pulls the trigger at No. 6. Stevens highlighted new GM John Spitech’s Big Ten pedigree and his public comments lauding both running‑back value and elite special‑teamers—evidence the regime is happy to buck modern positional biases when chasing an offensive identity. He added that Tom Brady’s minority‑owner influence and Antonio Pierce’s run‑first coaching mantra point toward a back who can be the face of the rebrand. Jacksonville, drafting one slot earlier, remains a wild card but is openly shopping No. 5, making it more likely Vegas stays put and selects the Boise State star. According to Stevens, “six is the odds‑on landing spot,” and locking in both markets creates a correlated, low‑risk betting portfolio.

Ben Stevens recommended swallowing the juice on Abdul Carter at -470 to be drafted third overall by the New York Giants. He argued the board is effectively locked: Cam Ward is ticketed for Tennessee at 1.01, Cleveland is expected to chase offense at No. 2, and New York desperately needs an edge rusher to pair with Brian Burns and Kayvon Thibodeaux. Carter’s status as the class’s top overall prospect and the Giants’ scheme fit make a late upheaval unlikely, giving bettors a perceived ‘sure thing’ they can anchor parlays with. Stevens added that a Carter‑Giants pairing would create a “race‑car package” pass‑rush trio capable of wreaking havoc from Day 1.

Ben Stevens declared Ashton Jeanty a virtual certainty to be selected inside the top 10, advising bettors to pound any pick‑position under that hangs near 9.5. Stevens cited the position’s recent renaissance—Bijan Robinson went 8th in 2023 and Jahmyr Gibbs 12th the same year—while noting there were zero first‑round backs in 2022 or 2024. Jeanty’s three‑down profile, plus a class light on blue‑chip quarterbacks, gives running‑back‑needy teams “real needle‑moving upside” that justifies the premium. Stevens framed Jeanty as the lone offensive skill player outside Cam Ward who can immediately transform an offense, making a slide past pick 10 highly improbable.