Doug Burrell advised taking the Bengals +5.5 in Pittsburgh, emphasizing the situational and statistical edge. Cincinnati already beat the Steelers 33-31 earlier this season, and divisional rematches historically tighten scoring margins. The Bengals are coming off a bye, giving them extra prep time to patch the coverage busts that plagued them in October. By contrast, Pittsburgh’s offense just mustered fewer than 300 total yards in a 25-10 loss to the Chargers: they converted poorly on third down, and Aaron Rodgers completed only 51.6% of his throws with two interceptions. Despite defensive lapses, Cincinnati is averaging 37.7 points per game over its last three contests and ranks near the bottom of the league in penalty yards, traits Burrell believes will keep them within a field goal. He framed the spread as an overreaction to record disparity, stating that the underlying team quality gap is far smaller than 5.5 points.