Orlovsky argued that new Falcons play-caller Zach Robinson must dial up far more play action than Atlanta used last season to maximize Michael Penix’s "hand cannon." Penix is a self-described big-game hunter, and the roster boasts multiple vertical threats who can punish single-high looks. Orlovsky wants Robinson to chase chunk gains while still sprinkling an efficient underneath concept portfolio to beat today’s split-safety shells. If Robinson marries that deep-shot philosophy with early-down play action, Penix offers week-winning DFS upside and best-ball spike weeks at his still-depressed draft cost.

Joe Pisapia said fantasy managers in super-flex drafts should treat Michael Penix as an upside swing for their late second or ideally third quarterback slot. Pisapia acknowledged it is "a little suspect" that Raheem Morris has held the rookie out of every preseason snap, but he views that more as Atlanta protecting potential trade leverage with Kirk Cousins than an indictment of Penix’s ability. The lack of in-game reps could slow early chemistry with Drake London and Kyle Pitts, yet Pisapia still prefers stashing Penix over the veteran waiver assortment because Penix’s rushing component and deep-ball profile give him week-winning ceilings if Cousins is dealt or benched.

Erik Beimfohr said fantasy drafters should be actively overweight on Michael Penix in best-ball “punt QB” builds. Beimfohr pointed out that everything analysts liked about Atlanta’s setup last summer still applies, but now the quarterback is a first-round pick who showed well in brief action and peppered Drake London on roughly 40 % of his routes (crediting a Rich Hrbar stat). With London, Bijan Robinson, Darnell Mooney and Kyle Pitts in a fast track, he expects a pass-friendly, high-scoring environment while a still-questionable defense forces shoot-outs. Penix’s current ADP sits in the Baker Mayfield bucket, yet Beimfohr believes the ceiling is “QB-window” territory comparable to where fantasy managers once vaulted C.J. Stroud and Trevor Lawrence after breakout seasons. He suggested pairing Geno Smith and Penix as the ideal two-quarterback combination when punting the position late.

Erik Beimfohr pegged Michael Penix as his favorite punt quarterback, highlighting an ADP in the 140s that makes him "the QB like a million". Atlanta’s skill group of Drake London and Bijan Robinson gives Penix instant spike-week potential if Kirk Cousins falters or the veteran’s Achilles flares up. Beimfohr called 2025 "flap-lag season" for the Falcons, expecting new OC Zac Robinson to unleash a more pass-friendly scheme than Arthur Smith’s. Penix brings a proven deep-ball resume (back-to-back 3,700-plus-yard, 9.0 YPA campaigns at Washington) and first-round draft capital, so the path to starts is clearer than the market assumes. At a near-free cost he is an ideal upside stash in Best Ball tournaments and late-round redraft builds.

Sam Monson advised treating Michael Penix Jr. as a high-upside QB target in best-ball and late-round season-long drafts. In roughly 115 NFL dropbacks he posted 10 big-time throws (9% rate, second only to Joe Milton’s Week-18 cameo) against just two turnover-worthy plays with a 10.5-yard average depth of target—double what Kirk Cousins managed in the same offense. Monson emphasized that Penix’s legitimate 4.4 speed gives Zach Robinson access to movement passes, boot action, and selective design-runs that never existed with Cousins. The result should be an offense that can attack outside the numbers and deep middle, juicing both passing volume and explosive-play rate. Monson concluded Penix offers top-12 weekly ceilings at a low draft cost, especially in DFS slates where his dual-threat profile is undervalued.

Johnny Venezia said the Michael Penix-Drake London stack could swing 2025 drafts. London is coming off a true breakout (100 receptions, 1,271 yards, 9 TDs) that happened with both Kirk Cousins and Penix under center, proving his production is QB-proof. Venezia is "pretty high" on Penix, projecting a massive leap now that the rookie gets a full offseason of first-team reps in what he expects to be a newly up-tempo Falcons offense. Penix’s 120–130 overall ADP lets drafters grab him in the double-digit rounds, while London’s ADP of 24 slots him as a late-second/early-third rounder—ideal as a WR2. Venezia framed it as paying a premium for an anchor receiver while getting an inexpensive ceiling quarterback, calling it "one of the biggest stacks in all of fantasy football in 2025."

Polzin highlighted Michael Penix Jr.’s passing-yard total at PrizePicks as a buy-low spot because it sits roughly 100 yards below every other major sportsbook. He expects Penix to post strong numbers in his rookie season if he stays healthy and said the market gap alone justifies taking the OVER before the line moves to match competitors.

Placing Michael Penix in Tier 8, McFarland acknowledged the former Husky offers little rushing on paper but argued he is the most likely from that tier to surprise on the ground in Year 2. Penix inherits a trio of weapons—Drake London, Darnell Mooney, and Bijan Robinson—while new OC Zac Robinson brings heavy pre-snap motion (63%, 5th) from the Rams. If Robinson adds more play-action to the scheme, Penix could outproduce his late-round ADP.

Geoff Ulrich identified Michael Penix as the best bargain among Year-2 quarterbacks, noting his ADP still lingers around QB20-22 while drafters debate his ceiling. Ulrich likes Penix’s environment: a true alpha in Drake London who earned a 40% target share from Penix last year and a defense projected to remain bottom tier, pushing Atlanta toward a pass-heavy game script. Because Williams, Maye and McCarthy have already surged in cost, Ulrich prefers scooping Penix late in best ball stacks with London or as a final-round QB in redraft.

Johnny Venezia said Michael Penix is one of his favorite late-round quarterbacks for 2025. Penix is slipping to an ADP of 128, meaning you can scoop him in the double-digit rounds while loading up elsewhere. Venezia pointed out that in just three 2024 starts Penix flashed with 775 yards and a 3-3 TD-INT line despite limited practice time. Now he is taking every first-team rep and enters his first full season as the undisputed starter. The surrounding cast is loaded—Drake London, Bijan Robinson, Ray-Ray McCloud, Darnell Mooney, and Kyle Pitts—giving Penix multiple ways to pile up yards after the catch. Venezia also highlighted a "butter" late-season schedule that lines up perfectly with fantasy playoffs, making Penix a playoff hammer if you wait on quarterback.

Sean Koerner projected that Michael Penix’s willingness and ability to attack downfield will make Atlanta’s entire offense more explosive. Penix attempted deep balls on 14 percent of his throws in his three 2024 starts (third-highest rate in the league), while Kirk Cousins ranked dead last at 7 percent. Koerner labeled Penix the best deep passer in last year’s rookie class and argued that vertical shots will force defenses to play safeties back, opening rushing lanes for Bijan Robinson and creating bigger plays for Drake London and Darnell Mooney. He noted that Bijan averaged dramatically better numbers in Penix’s three starts because hand-offs came "in time and in stride" rather than from Cousins’ immobile setup. Although Penix lacks rushing production himself and rates only as a mid-to-high QB2 for fantasy, Koerner believes his presence raises the ceiling for Atlanta pass-catchers and makes the Falcons a prime stack in Best Ball drafts.

Emory Hunt projected a boom season for Michael Penix Jr., arguing the Falcons offense already looked markedly better during his limited appearances than it did with Kirk Cousins. Hunt referenced Penix’s poise in overtime wins against Washington and Carolina and said his down-field aggression should unlock Atlanta’s passing game. The franchise supplemented him with former UFL rushing champ Jashaun Corbin and retained a deep receiving corps, while the defense improved through the draft—factors Hunt believes will allow Penix to play from in front instead of chasing points. He expects "phenomenal numbers" that make Penix an upside late-round pick in season-long leagues and a viable Offensive Rookie of the Year bet.