Kenny G recommended backing Detroit at -135, arguing Arizona has "fully mailed it in." The Diamondbacks are 51-57, have lost 12-2 in this series, and their offense has produced 2-1-0-0-1 runs over the last five games, making them the coldest lineup in MLB. Though Ryne Nelson sports a 3.29 ERA and Arizona is 4-1 over his last five starts, Kenny emphasized the club’s disastrous bullpen and overall morale. Detroit, conversely, has won three straight and is 34-21 at Comerica. Newly acquired Chris Paddack (3-9, 4.95 ERA) just tossed a strong outing versus the Dodgers and, in Kenny’s words, "will want to make a good first impression" in his Tigers debut. The lineup’s resurgence (12, 5, 10 runs last three) plus a bullpen he believes has "good arms that’ll turn things around" make Detroit the play, with a decent chance this winds up in his pinned comment as an official premium pick.

Lindquist grabbed Detroit at –130, calling the line short against Ryne Nelson’s shaky profile. Nelson owns a 43 % hard-hit rate and .256 expected batting average, numbers Lindquist believes will play up in spacious Comerica because the Tigers now have Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, and Spencer Torkelson all healthy and swinging well. On the Detroit side Chris Paddack, recently acquired because the Tigers ‘saw something,’ should benefit from the park’s deep dimensions and a re-tooled changeup the coaching staff is eager to feature. With Arizona in sell-mode and Nelson’s fly-ball tendencies ripe for punishment, Lindquist made the Tigers ML one of his favorite morning starts.

Kenny G recommended laying the -135 with Detroit. He believes Arizona has "fully mailed it in," noting the D-backs’ offense has produced just 2-1-0-0-1 runs across the last five games and their bullpen remains a "disaster." Ryan Nelson is on a personal hot streak (3.29 ERA), but Kenny doubts it will matter with zero run support behind him. Detroit’s sticks have come alive—12, 5 and 10 runs in the last three—and Chris Paddack makes his Tigers debut after a strong outing versus the Dodgers. Kenny expects the veteran to pitch well while trying to impress new teammates, and even a wobbly Detroit pen should hold a lead given Arizona’s ice-cold bats.

Lonte Smith called this his favorite play on the card. He highlighted Ryne Nelson’s four quality starts in his last five and only eight total earned runs during that stretch, allowing two or fewer in seven of his last eight. On the flip side, Paddack has surrendered five-plus earned in two of three, and six bombs in four games. Lonte thinks Detroit’s surprise outburst the night before was an anomaly and expects Arizona’s bats to do damage; he likes both the moneyline and the D-backs team total over.

Malcom Bamford grabbed Arizona at +110 largely because he wanted no part of Chris Paddack in a rushed Tigers debut. Paddack has been rocked for 5+ earned runs in two of his last three outings and given up six homers over his last four. Malcom added that a mid-week cross-country trade means a new locker room and little prep time. Conversely, Ryne Nelson has limited opponents to two earned or fewer in seven of eight, and Arizona is 7-1 straight up in that span. All signs, per Malcom, point to the Snakes being undervalued.

The tout laid the money line with Detroit, citing a 35-21 home record and an offense that has piled up 27 runs across the last three contests. Arizona’s lineup has gone ice-cold during a 1-4 skid and owns just a 25-29 road mark. While Ryne Nelson has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four, Detroit counters with trade-acquisition Chris Paddack in his Tigers debut. Cash Out Sports Picks is content to fade the slumping Snakes until their bats wake up.

As a bonus play, Bill Harrelson suggested UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs for Colt Keith versus the Diamondbacks. Keith has failed to reach this line in 9 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20 games (75% hit rate to the under). He is 0-for-his-last-five at home and has stayed under in five straight games this series. Over a combined 250-game sample dating back to 2024, he has cleared this number only 41% of the time. Sportsbooks—DraftKings, FanDuel, Bet365—are all pricing the under identically, underscoring market agreement. The lone yellow flag: Keith is 3-for-3 lifetime off Wednesday starter Ryne Nelson. Harrelson is willing to overlook the tiny BvP sample because Nelson owns a .157 opponent average against lefties this season, and the larger sample of Keith’s struggles outweighs the perfect but tiny matchup history.

Smith backed up Bamford’s D-backs pick, calling the Tigers ‘trending the wrong way’ after dropping seven of their last eight at Comerica. He noted Detroit’s lineup scored just one total run in the first two games of the Pittsburgh series and still ranks bottom-five in wRC+. Arizona is only 5-5 over its last 10 but has survived despite a cold offense, and Smith likes its chances to rebound against Mize’s 1.50 WHIP and .282 opponent average. He labeled the plus-money price on Arizona a ‘WTF’ line and took the D-backs to win outright.

Bamford grabbed Arizona as a short dog behind Brandon Pfaadt. The right-hander has strung together three straight quality outings, finally limiting home runs and carrying a decent WHIP despite a bloated ERA. Casey Mize, meanwhile, has surrendered 10 earned runs over his last two starts, and Detroit had lost six straight before salvaging Sunday’s finale. Arizona averages more runs per game than Detroit, and its bullpen owns a top-five ERA over the last week. Bamford sees the better current form on the D-backs side and happily took plus money.

For Arizona at Detroit, Cash Out Sports Picks laid the money line with the Tigers, citing their 28-17 record as home favorites and recent uptick at the plate. Arizona is just 2-5 in its last seven games when listed as a road dog and has struggled to score. Given the Diamondbacks’ current offensive funk and Detroit’s motivation to ‘snap back’ before the trade deadline, he expects a lopsided Tigers win similar to the previous day’s rout.

Kenny G recommended Detroit at ‑150, noting the two-game winning streak has the Tigers’ lineup heating up (10 and 5 runs the last two) after a six-game slide. Detroit still ranks 6th in runs and 10th in slugging on the season, so he trusts the bats against an Arizona club in full fire-sale mode. The Diamondbacks have scored 1-0-0-1-3 runs their last five and have a bottom-five bullpen by ERA. While Brandon Pfaadt (4.76 ERA) has looked sharp recently, Kenny sees Casey Mize (9-4, 3.40 ERA) bouncing back at home where Detroit is 33-21. He called Arizona’s clubhouse "low on positive energy" with players on the trade block and likes the Tigers to exploit it. No total play for him at the 8.5 number—just the Detroit moneyline.

Scott Reichel said he is grabbing Detroit as soon as books post a line because Arizona’s roster is being dismantled in real time. He noted the Diamondbacks traded away Nailor and Grishik Sunday night and are rumored to move even more pieces after Zac Gallen’s start. The lineup looks checked out, managing just one total run (and that came in extras) during a three-game sweep by Pittsburgh. Reichel gives the Tigers the pitching edge with Casey Mize, whom he still considers “pretty good,” while Eduardo Rodriguez continues to struggle on the road. With Arizona’s offense ice-cold and clubhouse morale sinking, Reichel is comfortable backing Detroit on the moneyline at anything south of –120 and will look at the run line if books open too high.

Kenny G leaned to the Tigers –130 at home, noting that Arizona’s lineup "scored one run the entire series" in Pittsburgh and the club is in visible sell-mode. He does not trust Eduardo Rodriguez (3-6, 5.50 ERA; shelled in two of his last three) and reminded listeners that the Diamondbacks’ bullpen has been bottom-5 all year. While rookie Troy Melton (0-1, 10.80 ERA) was awful in his lone MLB start, Kenny expects some positive regression and likes Detroit’s 33-21 home record and recent 10-run breakout against Toronto. He cautioned it’s not a premium play but sees Tigers as the right side given Arizona’s depressed bats and bullpen.

Lindquist leaned toward Detroit on the moneyline despite the Tigers’ recent offensive struggles. He expects Arizona to be in sell-mode ahead of Thursday’s trade deadline, which could further weaken a roster already missing bullpen pieces. Detroit, meanwhile, just got Kerry Carpenter back (projected .523 xSLG hitter) to lengthen the lineup and figures to stick in the AL Central race, meaning they’re unlikely to ship away talent. With Troy Melton likely opening in front of a rested bullpen and Eduardo Rodriguez no longer in the Tigers dugout to haunt them, Lindquist believes the current – even moneyish – number on Detroit is the only viable side and could shorten if Arizona moves more assets.

Eric Lindquist circled Jose Ramirez’s home-run prop as his favorite way to attack Monday’s Diamondbacks-Guardians matchup. Lindquist noted that Ramirez will hit from the left side against Arizona rookie Slade Cecconi, whom he labelled “pretty bad” after watching the 25-year-old post a 5.34 xFIP and 2.1 HR/9 through his first handful of big-league appearances. Progressive Field boosts left-handed power, and Lindquist reminded viewers that J-Ram’s barrel rate spikes to 13 % when swinging left-handed. With favorable summer weather expected in Cleveland and Cecconi’s 43 % fly-ball rate, Lindquist believes the switch-hitting star is far more likely to leave the yard than the implied odds on most books (generally +320 to +350).