Lindquist likes Cleveland on the run line against Colorado. Kyle Freeland is the lone Rockies arm he’s backed at times, but the lefty still owns a double-digit barrel rate that worries him on the road. Cleveland will open with Kolby Allard for an inning or two— and Lindquist pointed out Allard’s elite barrel-avoidance profile— before rolling into the Guardians’ deep multi-inning relief corps. With Freeland’s sub-20 % strikeout rate giving Cleveland’s contact-heavy lineup plenty of balls in play and Colorado’s bullpen among the league’s worst, Lindquist projects a comfortable multi-run win and is willing to lay the –1.5.

Smith took a contrarian angle, grabbing Colorado first-five and the full-game over. He pointed to rookie Tanner Gordon’s six scoreless frames versus St. Louis and said Cleveland’s lineup doesn’t scare him. Guardians lefty Logan Allen has allowed six-plus hits in four of his last five Progressive Field starts and carries a quirky 4-3-2-1 earned-run pattern in his last four outings; Smith joked he hopes the trend means five runs next. Colorado is 5-5 in its last 10 and showing signs of life at the top of the order, so he’s betting they can scratch out an early edge before Cleveland’s bullpen takes over.

Bamford laid the run line with Cleveland. The Rockies have been a disaster away from Coors, getting out-scored 89-35 in their last 13 road games (-54 differential). They also strike out 26 % and own a .091 average versus left-handed pitching over the past two weeks, a terrible matchup against Logan Allen. Colorado starter Tanner Gordon is still a question mark on the road, and Bamford prefers the Guardians’ steadier bullpen. He’s fading Colorado’s travel woes and swing-and-miss profile by taking Cleveland ‑1.5.

Kenny G leaned to Colorado at a juicy +190 despite their dreadful 13-40 road record, arguing the number overstates Cleveland’s edge. Rookie Tanner Gordon (3.13 ERA) just tossed six shutout frames against St. Louis and gets another soft offense here. Meanwhile, Logan Allen has underwhelmed (6-9, 4.16 ERA) and the Guardians are 1-4 in his last five starts. Cleveland’s lineup is 26th in runs and 29th in OBP, so Kenny doubts it can create enough separation to justify a near ‑235 price. He acknowledged Colorado’s shaky bullpen but feels the Guardians’ inconsistent bats and merely average pen (3.70 ERA) keep this within upset range. With both teams trending under on their home/road splits, he considered the 8.5/9 under but ultimately prefers the Rockies moneyline for the value.

Eric Lindquist recommended taking the Rockies +1.5 runs at Cleveland. He called Logan Allen the "new-age Cal Quantrill," noting a 9.9 % barrel rate and sub-18 % strikeout rate that leave him constantly flirting with disaster. Although Colorado’s lineup is watered down, Lindquist still likes the left-on-left power of Nolan Jones and the recent form of Hunter Goodman and Mickey Moniak. With Tanner Gordon on the hill for Colorado, Lindquist admitted the Rockies will give up runs, but he expects Allen’s low-whiff profile to keep Colorado competitive enough to stay within a run at plus money.

Dylan Rockford backed Scott’s play and punched the Guardians –1.5 as well, but added several data points. His model made Cleveland a –$2.00 favorite and he sees value at the current –118 run-line tag. The Rockies are scoring just 2.94 runs per game on the road, have dropped six of Balaylock’s last seven starts—including every road outing—and own one of baseball’s worst bullpens. Rockford also likes how Cleveland’s bats have come alive since the break, making a multi-run margin far more attainable. In his words, “Rockies stink on the road, Guardians are rolling—keep it simple.”

Scott Reichel laid the run-and-a-half with Cleveland, explaining that Rockies starter Tanner Balaylock is a punching bag away from Coors while Guardians rookie Jonah Chiconi has quietly given length and quality in July. Reichel trusts Chiconi to work deep, notes Colorado averages below three runs per game on the road, and reminds listeners that the Rockies’ bullpen is "awful" once Balaylock inevitably exits. With Cleveland’s offense heating up since the All-Star break and the Guardians priced around –240 on the moneyline, Reichel prefers the cheaper –1.5 run line to cut juice.

Kenny G recommended backing Cleveland over Colorado despite juice, noting the Rockies’ historically bad 13-40 road record and their starter Bradley Blaylock’s 8.67 ERA plus zero strikeouts last outing. Colorado’s bullpen carries a 5.05 ERA and the offense is 28th in runs and last in OBP. While Kenny acknowledged the Guardians’ own offensive issues (26th in runs, last in AVG) he trusts Slate Zikoni (5-4, 3.76 ERA; 6 IP, 2 ER vs Baltimore) and a reliable 3.70 ERA bullpen. He said bettors "have to lay –1.5 to make anything," but considers Cleveland the only playable side against a Rockies club setting records for futility.

It’s The Final Round said Jose Ramirez is his favorite Monday prop play against rookie right-hander Bradley Blaylock. Blaylock has been brutal on lefties, surrendering a .411 batting average to them overall and a .341 mark during July, so the host wants to attack him immediately. Ramirez, a switch-hitter who will bat left-handed in this matchup, owns a .280 average versus right-handers and has clubbed 17 of his 21 homers from that side. He is riding a hot streak as well, hitting .333 over his last seven games with nine hits, four RBI and seven runs. Outlier’s AI tool shows Ramirez carrying a 40 percent hard-hit rate against righties and projects an 80 percent chance to record at least one hit, 26 percent chance to homer, 55 percent chance to score and 50 percent chance to drive in a run, translating to 10–12 fantasy points. The tout recommends Ramirez’s ‘to record a hit’, total bases, or fantasy-score props as strong betting angles for Monday’s slate.