Cash Out Sports Picks advised backing Milwaukee on the money line. The Dodgers arrive on a five-game skid, scoring only one run in four of those losses, and hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow in his first start since April—an unknown commodity. Milwaukee, playing its best baseball of the month, counters with Jose Quintana, who owns a 3.44 ERA and 1.39 WHIP after rediscovering his form. Even with Quintana’s home inconsistency, the tout trusts the Brewers until L.A.’s lineup wakes up.

Rockford also grabbed Milwaukee at +132 to +135, noting he made the Dodgers only –120 favorites. He does not trust Glasnow after a 70-day layoff and highlighted Los Angeles’ sputtering offense (3.2 runs per game over its last seven) plus a bullpen ranked 21st in xFIP. Milwaukee, by contrast, owns a .341 home OBP and is 17-6 in its last 23 at American Family Field. The combination of rusty starter, cold bats, and strong home splits makes the Brewers a value dog in his model.

Reichel jumped on the Brewers at +135, calling the number "offensive." The Dodgers have lost four straight and their bullpen owns a 4.71 ERA over the last month. Tyler Glasnow is making his first start since April 27 after a 60-day IL stint, so a short leash (and that shaky pen) looms. Meanwhile, Jose Quintana has quietly gone 6-3 with a 3.44 ERA and keeps the ball on the ground (51% GB rate) at American Family Field where Milwaukee is 26-12. With better current form and home-field, Reichel thinks Milwaukee should be no worse than +115.

Malcom Bamford saw the Dodgers listed at –115 with Clayton Kershaw on the hill and did not overthink it. Los Angeles is averaging 1.3 runs per game above the posted total and has cashed the run line in 62 % of contests. Kershaw comes in fresh off his 3,000-strikeout milestone, while rookie Jacob Misiorowski is still finding his footing after being knocked around by the Mets last start. Bamford trusts the Dodgers’ elite offense against a Brewers bullpen that has slipped to a 4.32 ERA over the past ten. He also reminded listeners that Misiorowski opened at a juicy underdog price in his debut, then swung to an inflated favorite in his second start and immediately got tagged—evidence the market may still be overrating him. With the better lineup, superior pen and Hall-of-Fame arm, Bamford called –115 ‘a gift’ and backed LA to win outright.

Matt Perrault said the Brewers’ team total over 3.5 runs is his favorite play tonight. His case centers on three angles. First, Milwaukee is annihilating left-handed pitching: they led all of MLB in June with a .316 average and posted a .938 OPS against southpaws through July 6, with Christian Yelich cited as the poster boy for that lefty-on-lefty dominance. Second, Clayton Kershaw starts but rarely works deep anymore (about four innings recently) and the Dodgers’ bullpen is gassed after Yoshinobu Yamamoto failed to escape the first inning last night, forcing Dave Roberts to use six relievers—two of whom surrendered multiple runs. Third, Los Angeles has dropped four straight, while Milwaukee is 28-17 at home and hung nine on the board yesterday. With Kershaw likely out early and a worn-down pen behind him, Perrault expects at least four Brewers runs and likes the even-money side on Milwaukee but is officially betting the team total at –132.

Ron Pick Dawgz took Milwaukee money-line at American Family Field. Rookie flamethrower Jacob Mizorowski owns 10 shutout home innings with 13 Ks, and Ron expects a solid outing if the control holds. Milwaukee has the third-best OPS versus lefties over the last 30 days, while Clayton Kershaw “wasn’t his best” against the White Sox and now faces a far tougher split. With lineup edge against southpaws and a live arm, Ron sees value on the Brewers upset.

Although not an official wager, The Bettor Mark said he has a "weird feeling" the Dodgers jump on Brewers rookie Jacob Mizorowski and cash the −115 moneyline or their team-total OVER. Mizorowski’s ERA ballooned in his last start after giving up more hits in one game than in his previous three combined. Mark respects Milwaukee’s recent offensive surge but notes the Dodgers still own a top-5 wRC+ versus fastballs—the pitch Mizorowski throws 63% of the time. With Clayton Kershaw steady on the other side and L.A. undervalued because of mediocre road splits, he believes bettors will see closing money push the Dodgers closer to −130.

Perrault grabbed the Brewers at +127 as home dogs versus the Dodgers despite Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s gaudy 1.57 road ERA. His rationale: Freddy Peralta has been untouchable at American Family Field—1.76 ERA, 5-0 record, only 9 ER in 46 IP and opponents batting .202— and Milwaukee has won four straight Peralta starts (scores of 7-2, 9-3, 8-7, 3-2). The Brewers are 27-17 at home and 50-40 overall, while Los Angeles limps in on a three-game skid after being swept by Houston. It’s the clubs’ first meeting of 2024, giving Milwaukee extra edge as the unfamiliar opponent. Perrault views the plus money as a pure price play: ride the hot pitcher, the hot home team, and the cold visitor until the streak ends.

Eric Lindquist recommended backing the Dodgers on the moneyline against Milwaukee. He likes Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s ability to neutralize a Brewers lineup that suddenly lacks thump now that Reese Hoskins has hit the 10-day IL. Lindquist stressed that Milwaukee’s remaining core—Christian Yelich, William Contreras, and Brice Turang—puts the ball on the ground (average launch angle under 10°) and owns below-average barrel rates, which plays right into Yamamoto’s elite splitter/curveball mix. Conversely, Freddie Peralta has allowed a 9.7% barrel rate and an 18.5° launch angle this season, numbers Lindquist sees as a nightmare versus a Dodgers order that will now feature Miguel Vargas nearly every day alongside the usual lefty power of Shohei Ohtani and Freddie Freeman. With the roof expected to be open at American Family Field—turning the park into what Milwaukee locals call a "sauna"—Lindquist expects the ball to carry for Los Angeles, giving the Dodgers both the pitching and hitting edge.

Reichel’s dog of the day is Milwaukee at +122. He noted the Dodgers’ recent inconsistency and mediocre 20-21 road record, suggesting the club could be flat after a grinding series in Houston. Freddy Peralta has allowed two runs or fewer in three straight outings and owns a 2.66 ERA at American Family Field, giving the Brewers a legitimate pitching edge over a Los Angeles bullpen game. Milwaukee’s offense has produced just enough at home (4.3 runs per game) to support Peralta, and Reichel trusts a top-five bullpen to protect any late lead. He projects a tight 4-3 Brewers victory and sees value any time Peralta is plus-money in his own ballpark.

Rockford made L.A. a –150 favorite and happily laid –140 behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Japanese ace looks locked-in again, allowing just one total run his last two outings and only two earned across his past three road starts. Freddy Peralta, by contrast, has surrendered multiple runs in three straight and now faces a Dodgers lineup that still scored in a tough Houston series. Milwaukee’s offense worries Rockford even more—just a .227 average and 3.89 runs per game at American Family Field. He also likes the game under (projected 7.5) but the primary bet is Dodgers moneyline, expecting Yamamoto to win a low-scoring duel.