Scott Reichel advised betting the Cincinnati Reds at ‑110 against the Minnesota Twins on Thursday. Reichel cited Minnesota’s five-game skid and nine losses in its last 11 contests, plus an 8-games-under-.500 road record. Meanwhile Cincinnati has "been on a bit of a heater," winning eight of ten to move three games over .500. On the mound, Reichel trusts Frankie Martinez (3.98 ERA) more than Chris Paddack, who was just torched for eight earned runs on 12 hits by Houston and has regressed after an 11-start stretch of three earned runs or fewer. Given the opposing trajectories and a pick-em price, Reichel called the Reds the clear side.

Kenny G recommended backing the Cincinnati Reds at -115 and sprinkling on the game total over 9 runs when they host the Minnesota Twins. He pointed to Chris Paddack’s ugly form (2-6 record, 4.30 ERA, fresh off a four-inning, nine-run shelling by Houston) and the Twins’ frigid bats—Minnesota has scored two runs or fewer in four of its last six and now sits 20th in both runs and team batting average. Cincinnati, on the other hand, is heating up: potential four-game win streak, 19-16 at home, eighth in MLB in runs, and Elly De La Cruz’s breakout has them 10th in slugging. While Nick Martinez’s 3.92 ERA isn’t elite, Kenny trusts him more than Paddack and notes the Reds bullpen has shown dominant flashes despite a 4.05 ERA. Great American Ball Park’s hitter-friendly backdrop, two shaky pens, and a modest total of nine make the over viable, but Reds moneyline is his preferred angle.

The host advised not sleeping on Carlos Correa even though his overall numbers look ugly. Correa owns a video-game stat line against Reds right-hander Nick Martinez: 9-for-14 with three home runs. That’s a .643 average and 1.429 slug, spanning enough plate appearances to matter. Martinez’s mediocre 17% strikeout rate and penchant for hard contact (1.26 HR/9) amplify the matchup. Just A Bet Outside framed Correa as a discounted ceiling play in DFS and a candidate for hit or total-bases props, arguing the historical dominance provides the perfect get-right opportunity.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised backing the Cincinnati Reds moneyline, citing two clubs headed in opposite directions. Minnesota has dropped five straight and nine of its last eleven, owns a 16-24 road record, and starter Chris Paddack is 0-3 in his past five turns while allowing 20 hits and 11 earned over 18 innings – the Twins lost every one of those games. Cincinnati, meanwhile, has won 10 of 13 and is 19-16 at Great American Ballpark. Nick Martinez has been lights-out at home with a 2.52 ERA, .215 opponent average, and 35.2 quality innings; all of his struggles have come on the road. With the Reds swinging well against right-handers and enjoying home-field edge, the tout labeled Cincinnati the clear side.

Kenny G backed Cincinnati at essentially pick-em pricing, laying out a laundry list of edges. Nick Lodolo owns a solid 3.76 ERA and returns to hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park after a rare clunker in Cleveland; meanwhile Bailey Ober is reeling, surrendering 12 earned runs across his last two outings. The Reds have caught fire at the plate—6, 8 and 11 runs their past three games—and sit 8th in MLB in runs, 10th in slugging and 11th in OBP ( .322 ). Minnesota’s sticks are trending the opposite direction, ranking bottom-third in every major metric and producing 5-1-2-3-3-6-4 runs their last seven. The Twins have also dropped five straight, sport a 16-23 road record and watched their once-elite bullpen balloon to a 3.75 ERA. Kenny called it a “good spot” for Cincinnati to keep rolling and happily laid the modest –110.

Bamford recommended laying the short –110 with Cincinnati. Bailey Ober has been torched for seven and five earned runs his last two outings and the Twins have lost four straight behind him. Nick Lodolo has struggled in Great American Ball Park (5.85 home ERA) but the Reds’ overall home form was Bamford’s tiebreaker in what he called an otherwise trend-less matchup. With two evenly-matched lineups and bullpens, he sided with Cincinnati’s recent momentum in their own building to eke out a win.

Just A Bet Outside paired Elly De La Cruz with Henderson for a one-plus-hit parlay, citing the rookie’s blazing form. De La Cruz owns the seventh-highest MLB batting average over the past week (.429) and has hits in seven of his last ten contests, including four multi-hit efforts. He slashes .310 versus right-handers and faces Bailey Ober, who allows a .272 average to both sides and carries a 5.25 xFIP plus only a 14.7% K-rate against lefties. With 24 hits surrendered in Ober’s last 22.1 innings, the tout views De La Cruz as a high-probability contact bat to finish the parlay.

It’s The Final Round expects Elly De La Cruz to continue his tear against Bailey Ober. Ober’s last start: 4.2 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 4 HR while broadcasters noted ongoing mechanical tinkering. For the season he’s allowing a .272 average to left-handed hitters, the side De La Cruz bats from vs righties. Elly is 10-for-24 (.417) the past week with four homers, seven RBI and nine runs; even on a hitless night he drew two walks and scored, highlighting multiple paths to cash. Because lines weren’t posted yet, the tout suggests monitoring De La Cruz run, hit, or HR props once they appear, with runs as a potentially cheaper entry.

Guy Boston Sports advised backing Detroit’s offense Sunday, either on the moneyline or, more aggressively, their team-total over. He pointed out Wade Miley’s ugly return to the rotation – a rough first start and an even worse bullpen cameo – and noted that Cincinnati’s relief corps owns a bottom-10 ERA and bottom-10 K/BB ratio. After the Tigers erupted for 11 runs in game one and then got throttled 11-1 yesterday, he expects another pendulum swing toward the bats. With a fresh lineup facing a hittable lefty and a leaky bullpen behind him, the tout believes Detroit clears its team-total with room to spare.