Malcom Bamford doubled down on Boston’s offense, betting the RED SOX TEAM TOTAL OVER and nothing else. He described Tyler Anderson as simply "hittable," citing 4-6-3-5 earned-run lines his last four turns. Boston’s .273 average vs lefties and familiarity after already seeing Anderson once are key edges. Crochet’s back-to-back one-run outings should keep the game close early, but Bamford expects the offense to explode once Anderson’s command wavers. He flagged catcher Logan O’Hoppe as the only Angel in form but doesn’t think that is enough to offset Boston’s run production. Projection: Red Sox score 6+ by the seventh inning.

Lonte Smith called Boston –200 a perfect parlay anchor and paired it with TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 because Tyler Anderson’s early-season magic has disappeared. Anderson has dropped three straight decisions with a 7.07 ERA, allowing 4+ earned in five of his last seven. Boston crushes southpaws (.273 average) and already tagged Anderson for five earned in 4.1 IP earlier this month. Garrett Crochet, meanwhile, has delivered five consecutive quality starts (2.65 ERA, 0.94 WHIP) and has surrendered two or fewer in nine of ten overall. Smith expects Boston’s lineup to do most of the scoring in a revenge spot after the Angels stole two of three at Fenway. Recommended card: Red Sox ML in parlays, Red Sox TT over, and full-game OVER 8.

Eric Lindquist sees positive EV on the Angels money line around +135 in Boston. Southpaw Garrett Crochet will deal with an almost exclusively right-handed Angels lineup featuring Mike Trout, Taylor Ward, Zach Neto and a rested Logan O’Hoppe, all of whom bring power. Tyler Anderson starts for L.A. and owns a 2.78 ERA across his last six turns, while the Red Sox attack is weakened with Rafael Devers sidelined. Lindquist will pull the trigger if the price remains north of +120, believing the market is underrating the Angels’ matchup edge.

Kenny G is willing to swallow the −195 moneyline on Boston, arguing that Garrett Crochet (2.20 ERA, Red Sox 4-1 in his last five) is in a different class than Tyler Anderson (4.56 ERA, Angels 1-4 in his last five). Boston’s bullpen ranks sixth in MLB with a 3.35 ERA, while the Angels relief corps remains a disaster and their offense sits 21st in runs and 29th in average. Kenny concedes Boston’s bats have cooled after the trade deadline, but he still expects Crochet to control a mediocre Anaheim lineup long enough for the Sox to cash, making them the only viable side.

JDBetsHQ is taking the Angels +1.5 (–156) against visiting Boston. He dubbed the matchup 'grade-A garbage' on both sides but sees the run line tilting toward L.A. Boston has managed a 7-3 record despite an anemic .208 average, 30th in hits and RBIs over the last ten. Tonight they roll out Walker Bueller, whom JD called 'absolute garbage' after a 4.6 recent ERA and ugly game logs. The Angels counter with JK, sporting a 3.2 ERA. Historical splits favor Anaheim: current Angels hitters own a .375 average with multiple homers off Bueller, including one from Mike Trout in just five at-bats. Playing at home, with the Red Sox bats still ice-cold, JD likes the one-run cushion far more than the full moneyline and is happy to fade Boston’s shaky starter.

Guy Boston Sports recommended Connor Wong under 1.5 combined hits, runs and RBIs versus the Angels. Wong owns a .138 batting average and .172 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season, and he will see a heavy diet of sinkers (36%) and sliders (32%) from Jack Kachanowicz. Although Wong grades league-average versus those individual pitches, the rookie’s 55% ground-ball rate should suppress Wong’s limited power. Guy doubts Boston will string rallies together behind Wong in the bottom third of the lineup, especially with Kachanowicz limiting righties to a .259 OBP. He projected Wong for 1.1 HRR and would play the under down to –135 juice.

Razzle admitted Walker Buehler (whom he accidentally called Walker Bills) looks gross after an ugly blow-up, yet he cannot ignore the Angels’ strikeout habits: LAA fans the second-most in MLB overall and exceeds 10 K’s per game at home. Books hung Buehler’s strikeout prop at a modest 4.5, juiced to the over, despite the Halos’ free-swinging ways. Even though Buehler has cleared that number only twice in his last seven, Razzle will bet the over and plug him into DFS line-ups as a late-night hammer, banking on the ballpark-friendly 70-degree environment and a whiff-happy lineup to revive his ceiling.

Kenny G leaned to the Angels at +106, explaining that Boston’s lineup has nosedived since the deadline deal – the Red Sox have managed just 5, 2, 7 and 3 runs in their last four and many of their top-10 season stats are ‘way skewed’ by the pre-trade roster. He refuses to pay –125 for Walker Buehler, noting Buehler has not faced L.A. this year and Kenny is ‘not going to be holding my breath’ for a bounce-back. While Jack Kohanowitz’s full-season line (3-8, 5.38 ERA) is ugly, the 24-year-old has allowed only two earned runs in each of his last two starts—including eight strikeouts versus the Yankees—and Kenny hopes the kid can string together a third straight solid outing. He concedes the Angels’ bullpen is still the third-worst in MLB, but with Boston just 18-22 on the road and the Halos a modest 16-18 at home, he thinks the plus-money price justifies a small play on Los Angeles.