Kenny G leaned to Minnesota at +135 despite rookie Zebby Matthews making his MLB debut. The Twins have won 13 straight, powered by a lights-out 2.93 bullpen ERA and three consecutive shutouts. Matthews earned the call-up on strong AAA strike-plus-ground-ball numbers, and Kenny trusts the relief crew to cover any short outing. Milwaukee’s lineup is spiraling—zero runs in the first two games of the series and just nine total over its last five contests—and the bullpen is leaking oil at 4.59. Freddy Peralta owns a tidy 2.66 ERA but just coughed up four runs to Cleveland; his 9.7% walk rate hints at volatility. Given Minnesota’s current mojo and a punch-less Brewers offense, Kenny believes the dog price is too generous and expects the Twins to extend their streak if Matthews gives even four competent frames.

Eric Pathi predicted Minnesota would notch its 12th consecutive win against Milwaukee and recommended continuing to back the Twins if bookmakers hang a plus number. He framed it as the inverse of his rule-of-10 logic: you keep betting a hot team until it finally drops one, especially when the public reflexively fades the streak and forces oddsmakers to offer dog money. Pathi sees no edge in laying –166 with the Brewers versus a club that has done nothing but cash tickets for nearly two weeks.

Morgan tagged Rhys Hoskins ($2.9k) as a cheap power play, reminding readers that he still popped 26 HR in a ‘down’ 2024. Hoskins owns a .389 OBP this year and gets to face rookie Zebby Matthews, who posts a 6.69 ERA over nine big-league starts despite solid Triple-A numbers.

Chris Morgan said Freddy Peralta is worth the $9.7k spend on FanDuel because he owns a 2.66 ERA and a 9.24 K/9 through nine starts and gets a Minnesota lineup that is red-hot but still only league-average in overall production. Morgan noted the Twins are ‘not the 1927 Yankees’ and believes Peralta’s strikeout ceiling can pay off even if the volatile Milwaukee offense fails to secure the win bonus.

Hoskins checks in at $2,900 despite a .389 OBP, five homers, and two steals so far this season after launching 26 bombs in 2024. Morgan loves the matchup against Zebby Matthews, who is making his first big-league start and was torched for a 6.69 ERA in nine MLB outings last year. The combination of salary relief, proven power, and an overmatched rookie pitcher makes Hoskins a prime value first baseman.

Chris Morgan slotted Freddy Peralta in as his top-priced arm on Sunday’s FanDuel slate, noting that Minnesota’s lineup remains "middling" despite its recent hot streak. Peralta owns a sparkling 2.66 ERA through nine starts and is still striking out hitters at a 9.24 K/9 clip—a figure Morgan points out is actually low compared to the right-hander’s career norms. With the Twins nowhere near the 1927 Yankees offensively and Peralta’s swing-and-miss stuff fully intact, Morgan expects plenty of DFS scoring even if a win bonus isn’t guaranteed.

Francis told bettors not to hop off the train, recommending another Twins money-line ticket. Minnesota enters Friday on an 11-game winning streak with a +46 run differential during that span and a bullpen holding opponents to a 0.91 WHIP. Until the market forces him off, Francis is content riding the league’s hottest club.

For the same Twins–Brewers matchup, Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the full-game UNDER. Joe Ryan’s night-game ERA sits at a microscopic 1.13 while Chad Patrick owns a 2.42 ERA after dark. Minnesota may be winning but still averages only 5.3 runs per game during the streak, and Milwaukee’s lineup has produced fewer than three runs per contest across its last seven. With two in-form starters, one ice-cold offense, and both bullpens relatively rested, the tout projected a low-scoring Friday at American Family Field.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Twins on the money line, pointing to Minnesota’s 10-game winning streak and a clear edge on the mound. Joe Ryan brings a 2.74 ERA, 0.83 WHIP (third-best in MLB) and a .196 opponent batting average while fanning more than one hitter per inning; across his last 19 innings he has allowed only two earned runs. Milwaukee has lost five of its last seven and counters with Chad Patrick, who owns a 3.19 ERA but has yielded 16 hits and eight earned runs over his last 16.2 frames. The tout highlighted Minnesota’s superior extra-base-hit total (115 vs 99), home-run edge (40 vs 37) and top-six rankings in team ERA and WHIP compared with Milwaukee’s 20th- and 22nd-place marks. With near-even odds, the advice was to ride the hottest team and one of the hottest arms in baseball.

Scott Reichel jumped on Milwaukee at –110, predicting the number will climb once Carlos Correa and Byron Buxton are officially ruled out after entering concussion protocol. He respects Joe Ryan’s 2.74 ERA but points out the Twins are already a bottom-10 road offense and could be missing their two best bats. Patrick Corbin-Patrick’s 2.38 home ERA and Milwaukee’s 12-7 home record give the Brewers enough edge, especially with Minnesota just 9-14 on the highway. Reichel sees the market under-pricing the lineup losses and thinks the Brewers close closer to –130.

Eric Pathy said he will look to bet against the Twins on Saturday if oddsmakers list them as favorites. Minnesota has won 11 straight, including two separate three-game sweeps of Baltimore, making them the first club this year to top a 10-game run. With the Twins enjoying a rest day Friday, Pathy expects the market to overreact to the streak, so he plans to grab their opponent’s moneyline once prices are posted.

Kenny G advised taking the Twins at ‑110 in what books list as a coin-flip. He does not trust Milwaukee starter Chad Patrick to work deep — Patrick has yet to complete five frames in three of his past four turns — and a 4.65 Brewers bullpen ERA looms the moment Patrick hands over the ball. Milwaukee’s bats do little to offset that liability: they rank 15th in runs, 23rd in batting average and 27th in slugging, having been shut out in two of their previous three before a nine-run outlier. By contrast, Kenny is comfortable backing a Minnesota club that, while just 9-14 on the road, owns a 12-9-2 under record in those parks, signaling the pitching and defense usually travel. He thinks the market is mis-pricing this as even money and placed the Twins money-line in his pinned picks.

Lindquist leaned toward Joe Ryan staying UNDER 17.5 outs (essentially failing to complete six innings) even at even money. Although Ryan has cruised in his last few starts, Lindquist called the matchup in Milwaukee a classic sell-high. Ryan is still surrendering a 44 % hard-hit rate and a 23-degree average launch angle—numbers that invite big flies if the American Family Field roof is open in warmer summer weather. With the Twins running thin defensively—Byron Buxton and Carlos Correa are both sidelined—Lindquist expects more pitches per plate appearance and an earlier bullpen call from Rocco Baldelli, who has pulled Ryan before the sixth in three of seven starts this season. He would take plus money but is comfortable down to –105 if roof reports confirm hitter-friendly conditions.

Rob Donaldson wagered three units on the Brewers moneyline despite Minnesota’s recent tear. He believes Milwaukee’s underrated staff, led Friday by rookie Chad Patrick, can keep the game tight until they expose a Twins bullpen missing closer Jhoan Duran. Joe Ryan is tough, but Rob expects the Brewers’ contact-heavy lineup to scratch out 1–2 runs over the first six innings and then capitalize on a relief corps that has logged 13.2 innings in the last three days. In a projected low-scoring contest, Rob feels the +120 price (implied 45%) underrates Milwaukee’s bullpen edge and home-field advantage.

Peterson bet Milwaukee at -104 (model -111) largely because Chad Patrick has quietly been nails as a starter—2.83 ERA and just 0.7 HR/9 after throwing out one rough bullpen appearance. Joe Ryan is far more vulnerable away from Target Field, carrying a 4.05 road ERA and surrendering 1.6+ HR/9 versus 3.60 and 1.3 HR/9 at home. That hard-contact split was enough for Greg to side with the Brew Crew.

Michael Savio backed the Twins moneyline because Joe Ryan is on a tear—3-2 record with a 2.74 ERA and microscopic 0.83 WHIP on the year, but more importantly a 0.95 ERA and 0.63 WHIP across his last three starts. Savio noted Milwaukee’s offense is circling the drain, ranking sixth-worst in OPS (.665) and batting just .209 over the past week while being shut out twice in their previous series. On the other side, Chad Patrick’s May collapse (3.19 season ERA but ballooning after a 1.82 April) gives Minnesota a clear pitching edge. With the Twins’ bats trending up and Ryan in ace form, Savio expects another low-scoring night for the Brewers and advised laying ‑115 on the Twins ML.

In the same Twins-Brewers matchup, Peterson also played Over 7.5 because his number landed 8.4. Joe Ryan’s sharp home/road splits (4.05 ERA, 1.6 HR/9 on the highway) suggest Milwaukee can contribute multiple long balls, while Chad Patrick—though solid—doesn’t miss many bats. With both offenses getting nine full turns in an NL park and a total sitting below his projection by nearly a run, Greg saw enough value to back the over.

For gamers needing savings, Bennett highlighted Chad Patrick ($7,600) as a GPP punt capable of 3× value. Minnesota’s 11-game heater masks middling underlying numbers: a 3.9 run team total, 21.4 % K-rate and neutral 100 wRC+ against righties. Patrick’s 6.9 % HR/FB could regress given his 47.5 % fly-ball profile, but the Twins only elevate 35.5 % of the time, limiting blow-up risk. Decent strikeout potential plus win equity makes Patrick the cheapest arm Bennett is willing to click on this deep slate.

Ryan Wooden recommended Trevor Larnach to homer at +550 (BetMGM) versus Baltimore. Larnach has raised his average from .225 to .250 over five games with three homers in his last six. All seven bombs this season have come off right-handers, and he faces Tomoyuki Sugano, who owns a .234 average against lefties and has surrendered five HR to them. The model set Larnach’s fair line at +500, so bettors are getting 50 points of value on a hitter seeing the ball extremely well.