Kenny G jumped on Pittsburgh at +175, noting the Bucs have quietly won 7 of 8 and send out 25-year-old Mike Burrows, who’s delivered scoreless or one-run outings in three of his last four starts (six shutout innings vs Arizona most recently). San Francisco is mired in a five-game skid, Logan Webb has surrendered 15 earned across his last two starts, and the Giants offense has totaled 1-5-3-1-1 runs in that span. Despite the Pirates’ ugly 14-37 road mark, Kenny refuses to lay –210 with a slumping favorite and trusts Pittsburgh’s now–top-10 bullpen (3.78 ERA) to keep them in a low-scoring game. He labeled the plus-money side “the only bet worth making here.”

Kenny G recommended firing on the Pirates at the juicy +175 moneyline. Pittsburgh has won seven of eight and sends 25-year-old Mike Burrows to the mound; Burrows sports a 4.15 ERA but has allowed three runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, including six scoreless frames against Arizona last time out. The Pirates’ bullpen, once a laughingstock, now ranks 10th with a 3.78 ERA, and the supposedly anemic lineup has scored 3-6-6-2-0-6-8 during the win streak. By contrast, the Giants have dropped five straight and hand the ball to Logan Webb, whose 3.38 season ERA masks back-to-back shellings by Toronto and New York. San Francisco’s lineup is ice-cold (1-5-3-1-1 runs last five). Kenny likes the under 7.5 as well but views the side as the better angle, noting there is “no chance” he’d lay –210 on a reeling Giants club when the hotter team owns a bullpen and recent-form edge at nearly 2-to-1 odds.

Lonte Smith balked at the Giants being listed around –225 with Logan Webb on the hill. Webb has been anything but an ace lately—16 earned runs on 25 hits over his last three outings, two of which came at Oracle Park. Meanwhile rookie Mike Burrows blanked Arizona for six frames his last time out and has logged quality starts against Seattle and the Mets in recent weeks. Factor in San Francisco’s 2-8 skid and Pittsburgh’s current three-game win streak, and Smith thinks anything north of +180 is an autoplay on the Pirates money-line.

Bill Harrelson targeted Henry Davis for MORE than 0.5 total bases versus San Francisco. Davis is riding a nine-game streak of cashing this prop and has done so in 15 of his last 20 contests, including three consecutive meetings with the Giants. He averages 3.4 plate appearances per night. Season-long numbers—32 unders in 50 games (64%)—look ugly, but Harrelson believes the recent form overrides that early-season slump. The big obstacle is Logan Webb, who holds right-handed batters to a minuscule average, yet books across the board still list this at standard juice, suggesting a fair price. Davis’ identical splits against RHP/LHP plus his current barrel rate give Harrelson confidence that a single finds grass and the prop clears.

Guy Boston Sports circled both the first-five UNDER (4 or lower) and full-game UNDER 8/8.5 when Justin Verlander battles Bailey Falter. Pittsburgh ranks dead last against four-seam fastballs and second-worst versus sliders—Verlander’s two most-used offerings—while carrying a league-worst run value against the heater. Falter’s recent seven-inning, one-run gem versus Detroit suggests he can quiet a San Francisco lineup that has struggled against left-handed pitching all season. With each starter coming off a confidence-boosting performance and neither offense scaring him, he forecast small innings and advised taking any number 8 or higher, sprinkling F5 U 4 for extra exposure.

Drew Martin grabbed the Pirates at +135 in San Francisco, citing both platoon dynamics and opposing-pitcher vulnerability. Left-hander Brady Falter just fired seven strong innings (1 ER, 8 K, 0 BB) against Detroit and faces a Giants offense that has struggled versus southpaws all season. Pittsburgh is riding a 5-1 run (with a Game 1 lead pending) and swinging hotter bats than a Giants club sitting only two games over .500. On the opposite bump, 42-year-old Justin Verlander is 1-8 and still looks shaky: last time out he allowed nine hits in two innings, and over his past two starts he has issued seven walks while logging only seven total frames. Martin believes those trends plus the platoon edge make the dog “bark” in the Bay Area.

Malcolm Bamford rejected a full-game play and instead backed Pittsburgh first-five innings. He likes Bailey Falter’s underlying profile—1.18 WHIP despite a pedestrian ERA—and thinks the left-hander has been unlucky. Conversely, Justin Verlander is 1-8 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.49 WHIP; San Francisco merely papered over his issues in snapping a six-game personal skid last start despite five walks. The Giants are just 9-15-2 F5 versus southpaws, while Pittsburgh enters 6-4 in its last 10 overall. By isolating the opening five frames, Bamford avoids the Pirates’ suspect bullpen and wagers that Falter can out-duel a name-brand pitcher running on fumes.

Kenny G recommended grabbing Pittsburgh at +135, arguing the market is over-valuing a Giants club that has lost three straight and trots out Justin Verlander (1-8, 4.70 ERA). Verlander’s lone win came in his last start, but Kenny noted he still walked five and owns a 1.46 WHIP on the season. Bailey Falter gives the Bucs a path to an upset; the left-hander just spun seven innings of one-run ball with 8 K and 0 BB against Detroit and carries a solid 3.82 ERA overall. Pittsburgh’s bullpen has quietly improved to a 3.81 ERA down the stretch, while San Francisco’s offense ranks 23rd in runs and 26th in average with no intimidating bats. The Pirates have scored 6, 2, 0, 6 and 8 their last five and Kenny thinks that is enough against a cold Giants lineup. Ballpark and team trends back a low-scoring grind (Pirates 31-17-2 road unders; Giants 30-20 home unders), but his official stance is the Pirates moneyline, trusting Falter plus a steadier pen to outduel a fading Verlander at a juicy price.

Dylan Rockford followed Reichel on Pittsburgh, stressing that Keller’s 3.53 ERA and 26% strike-out rate are far better than his 4-10 record suggests. Rockford hammered San Francisco’s 2-8 skid and miserable 13-37 straight-up mark away from Oracle Park. With the Giants undecided between Landen Roupp or Carson Whisenhunt—both sporting ERAs north of five in Triple-A—Rockford made the Pirates –115 and sees plus money as a gift. He added that Pittsburgh’s lineup has averaged 4.9 runs over the past week, enough support for Keller to finish six strong and hand things to a rested back-end bullpen.

Scott Reichel took Pittsburgh at +110 with Mitch Keller on the hill, calling it potentially Keller’s ‘last start in this uniform.’ Keller owns a 3.35 ERA since May 1 and has worked six or more innings in seven of his last nine turns, giving Pittsburgh an enormous reliability edge over San Francisco’s to-be-announced starter and shaky bullpen. Reichel mocked the Giants’ annual second-half collapse—2-8 in their last ten—while the Pirates just swept Detroit and are finally scoring. He projects Pittsburgh as a small favorite and will keep fading San Francisco until the market adjusts.

Brian Free Pick Dawgz advised betting the Pittsburgh Pirates on the moneyline Monday in San Francisco. He called the -short- price a classic spot where bookmakers are 'begging for Giants money.' Brian trusts Mitch Keller, citing his steady 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP this season, even though the Pirates offense has given him poor run support. He expects the Giants to be flat after playing on Sunday Night Baseball, making this a contrarian buy-low opportunity on Pittsburgh.

Cash Out Sports Picks endorsed San Francisco, noting the Giants’ 7-3 record in the past 10 meetings and 4-of-6 series success last year. Pittsburgh ranks dead last in wOBA and 29th in wRC+ versus left-handed pitching, and will face rookie southpaw Carson Weisenhunt backed by the No. 2 bullpen ERA and No. 1 WHIP in MLB. That depth advantage led the tout to recommend Giants money line.