Kenny G is laying the modest –120 with Milwaukee, albeit for a half-unit. He trusts Quinn Priester, who owns a 3.65 ERA and has not surrendered more than three earned runs in five straight (Brewers 4-1 in those starts). Miles Michaelis carries a 4.48 ERA and is fresh off a six-run beating by Toronto; Kenny also pointed out that Michaelis has historically struggled against the Brew Crew. St. Louis’ bullpen has improved to a 3.86 ERA but still lags Milwaukee’s lineup at American Family Field, where the Brewers are 22-15 and 23-13-1 to the Under—evidence of a run-suppressed environment that favors the better current form starter. The Cardinals are just 14-20 on the road, and Kenny doubts their inconsistent offense (9th in runs but only 19th in slugging) strings together back-to-back outbursts. He sees Priester handing a lead to a bullpen that, while shaky all season (4.29 ERA), is at least trending in the right direction.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed Milwaukee on the moneyline, highlighting a clear pitching and bullpen advantage. Quinn Priester carries a 2.35 ERA over his last seven starts, while St. Louis starter McCullough owns a 4.67 ERA in his last five. Brewers relievers sport a 3.61 ERA and .226 BAA at home compared to the Cardinals’ 4.69 ERA and .265 BAA on the road. Milwaukee has won three of the last four meetings and St. Louis has dropped six of seven overall, often undone by a high strikeout rate away from Busch Stadium.

Kenny G made the Brewers –125 his preferred play in the NL Central clash. Jose Quintana has been rock-steady (4-1, 2.66 ERA) and already stifled St. Louis once this year with 5 IP, 1 ER in a 7-1 road win; Kenny expects even sharper work at American Family Field, where Milwaukee is 21-14 and 22-12-1 to the under. Andre Palante, meanwhile, sports a 4.75 ERA and the Cards have gone 1-3 in his past four turns. St. Louis is cratering – six straight losses, scoring just 2, 0, 2 runs in their last three – and owns a mediocre 3.90 bullpen ERA. Although Milwaukee’s pen (4.33 ERA) and lineup (11th in runs but 23rd in average, 28th slugging) are merely average, Kenny trusts Quintana’s form and the Brewers’ home edge over a reeling Cardinals squad that’s 14-19 on the road. He is comfortable making it a potential third straight pinned-comment winner.

Guy Boston Sports is taking St. Louis at plus money to avoid a third straight loss to Milwaukee while also leaning under the total. Jose Quintana relies on a sinker the Cardinals grade bottom-five against over the last month, but he thinks the market over-corrected because Milwaukee’s offense is equally stagnant. Opposing starter Andre Palante has quietly pieced together solid outings and owns a 55 % ground-ball rate that could neutralize the Brewers’ limited power. With both clubs struggling to score and the series trending low-scoring (3-1 and 4-2 finals), he likes the value on the Redbirds and expects another tight game that finishes beneath the posted number.

The tout is bullish on Milwaukee moneyline with Andre Pallante reeling—2+ runs allowed in 10 straight starts and 14 hits, 9 runs over his last 10 innings. Current Brewers hitters own a .300 aggregate average off him. St. Louis drags a six-game losing streak and a punch-less lineup (just 10 hits in two games). Jose Quintana counters with a 4-1 record, 2.66 ERA, and has held the Cards to a .117 career average. Add Milwaukee’s strong 22-14 home mark and the narrative of two clubs headed opposite directions, and the Brewers are the play.

Harrelson advised taking Jose Quintana under 2.5 earned runs against St. Louis. Quintana has stayed below this number in 8 of his past 10 starts and 15 of his last 17 overall, surrendering only 1.2 earned runs per outing during that stretch. His lone clunker in eight 2025 appearances came versus the Cubs, allowing six. Sportsbooks agree—DraftKings, Caesars, Hard Rock, and Sleeper are all juiced to the under. Even last season, Quintana held opponents under three earned in 59 % of 34 starts. Given the Cardinals’ middling offense and Quintana’s current form, Harrelson expects another quality outing that keeps him under the 2.5 mark.

Calling it his favorite play of the day, B Wade bet Jose Quintana under 2.5 earned runs. Quintana owns a 2.60 ERA and has stayed under this number in every start except one—against the league’s best lineup. St. Louis is ice-cold, totaling just four runs in its last three games and riding a six-game skid. The veteran lefty held the Cardinals to one earned run in each of his last two meetings dating back to 2024. With the Redbirds’ bats sputtering, Wade expects another quality outing that keeps Quintana below the 2.5 mark.

Drew Martin labeled Milwaukee at roughly –117 his best bet, citing Jose Quintana’s consistency compared with Andre Pallante’s volatility and St. Louis’ current skid. The 36-year-old Quintana is 4-1 with a 2.60 ERA and kept the Cardinals to one earned run over five frames in their last meeting by expertly changing speeds. Pallante has been the opposite—five walks and five earned runs in five innings against Milwaukee last time out and 14 hits allowed over his last 10 innings overall. The Cardinals arrive on a five-game losing streak and have struggled on the road, while the Brewers remain in the thick of the NL Central race at home. Martin is comfortable laying just 17 cents, provided Quintana is listed as the starter.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted Christian Yelich as a prime DFS option because of his excellent numbers versus Eric Fetty. Yelich has gone 8-for-15 in the matchup, while teammate William Contreras sits at 8-for-14 with two homers, suggesting Milwaukee’s core handles Fetty well. The host views Yelich as the safest Brewer bat to feature in tournaments or mini-stacks Friday.

Kenny G advised laying the –160 with Milwaukee, citing a clear edge on the mound and superior recent form. Freddy Peralta owns a 2.69 ERA and hasn’t allowed more than three earned in any of his last five starts, including six scoreless, one-hit frames against San Diego. Eric Fedde may sport a 3.54 ERA, but he was torched for eight runs by these Brewers in April and has been wildly inconsistent. St. Louis has lost five straight and its bats have cooled (0, 2, 9, 4, 3 runs this week) while the bullpen remains leaky. Milwaukee’s offense is hardly elite (12th in runs, 24th AVG, 28th SLG) but should scratch out enough support at hitter-friendly American Family Field. Kenny projected a 5-3 Brewers win and said he would play Milwaukee up to –165 rather than trust a Cardinals club that looks flat in every phase.

It's The Final Round highlighted Christian Yelich’s tiny but perfect 4-for-5 (.800) line against Eric Fetty along with hits in five of his last seven (13 of 16 dating back further). He framed Yelich as a high-probability hit prop for tonight.

It's The Final Round pointed to Willson Contreras’ 5-for-13 (.385) career line with two homers off Freddy Peralta and his current run of hits in 11 of 12 games. The tout labeled Contreras a favorable prop option for at least one base knock tonight.

Kenny G advised laying the short price on St. Louis at –130, citing a lopsided pitching matchup. Sonny Gray is 7-1 with a 3.35 ERA and enters on back-to-back scoreless starts; the Cardinals are a perfect 5-0 over his last five outings, a run that includes wins over the Dodgers, Rangers, Diamondbacks, Tigers and Phillies. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is throwing top prospect Jacob Misiorowski in his big-league debut, and Kenny doubts the 23-year-old flamethrower will work deep before exposing a shaky bullpen (4.41 ERA). The Brewers’ bats have also cooled, scoring 2-4-1-0-4 runs their last five games and ranking 24th in batting average and 23rd in slugging. Although St. Louis is just 14-18 away from Busch, Kenny expects Gray’s form and the pressure Milwaukee’s offense and bullpen are under to swing this one the Cardinals’ way.

Just A Bet Outside recommended taking Paul Goldschmidt to record a hit (or use him in one-plus-hit SGPs). Goldy is 8-for-14 lifetime off Seth Lugo and has been a road monster, batting .383 away from Busch and logging at least one knock in 20 of 22 road games this season (91% hit rate). Lugo surrendered a .267 average in May and lacks the swing-and-miss stuff to neutralize Goldschmidt, making the matchup profile too good to pass up.

Just A Bet Outside warned bettors to stay away from (or even play under on) Sonny Gray’s K prop. Milwaukee has quietly become a contact-oriented lineup, carrying the 9th-lowest strikeout rate versus right-handers over the last three weeks at just 20.7%. Because of that recent trend, Gray did not make the show’s list of favorable K matchups despite his strong season numbers, making the host skeptical that he will reach an inflated strikeout total.