Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Detroit Tigers on the money line, pointing to Detroit’s 32-14 home record and the chance to finish off a sweep. He noted Tampa Bay’s staff has surrendered 4-plus runs in five straight, while the Tigers are "in a groove" behind a staff anchored by Reese Olson, who looked sharp in his first start back from the IL. Although Zach Littell has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three outings, the tout emphasized Tampa’s lack of momentum and Detroit’s knack for finishing games, advising bettors to keep riding the hotter club.

Scott Reichel recommended laying roughly –140 on the Tigers at home against Tampa Bay. He trusts Reese Olson’s 2.89 ERA and 23% strike-out rate while pointing out that Zack Lattell lives in the zone and gives up too much hard contact. The Rays have dropped four of five and their offense has cooled, whereas Detroit is averaging 4.87 runs per game at Comerica during its recent 8-3 stretch. With Olson in better form and the Rays reeling, Reichel thinks the line should be closer to –160 and is comfortable backing Detroit.

Eric Lindquist said the Jonathan Aranda home-run prop is worth firing on at +550 or longer against Detroit right-hander Reese Olson. Lindquist stressed that Olson’s shiny 2.89 ERA hides a 3.59 xERA and an almost certainly unsustainable total of just three homers allowed all year. Olson’s heater has been barreled at a 10% clip in July, and Lindquist expects HR regression as temps rise at Comerica. With Rays opener Zack Littell having allowed the most bombs of any qualified starter, Lindquist projects a high-variance, power-friendly game overall, which makes the big number on Aranda’s homer “too good to pass up.”

B Wade doubled down on the same game, taking Riley Greene over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs despite backing Littell’s strikeouts. Greene has cleared the number in 7 of his last 10 games (70 %) and owns a .305 average versus right-handers. The kicker is his success against Littell: 5-for-9 lifetime (.556) with three runs and an RBI across only two games (6/22/25 and 9/25/24). Those two outings alone supplied nine combined hits, runs and RBIs, giving Wade confidence that Greene can still produce even if Littell racks up five punch-outs.

B Wade played Zack Littell over 4.5 strikeouts at Detroit. The right-hander has cashed this number in five straight starts and in 6 of his last 9 overall. On the road he has hit it in four straight trips (Minnesota, Baltimore, Boston, Houston). Versus Detroit specifically, Littell owns a perfect 3-for-3 record, logging 7-K efforts in both 2024 meetings and 5 strikeouts in this season’s prior matchup on June 22. Wade considered 17.5 outs as an alternative but passed because Littell failed to reach the sixth inning in his last two starts against the Tigers despite pitching well. Strikeouts were deemed the safer angle.

Lonte Smith recommended backing Tampa at roughly –125 because Ryan Pepiot owns the clear edge over Jack Flaherty. Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts and shows swing-and-miss stuff with 7+ strikeouts in four of his past six. He already stifled Detroit on June 21 (1 ER over 5.1 IP, 3 H). Flaherty has been wildly inconsistent—one good start, one blow-up—and faces a Rays line-up that has historically hit him hard. Detroit’s offense has been winning despite middling numbers, so Smith sees value on the better arm. He also leaned to the over given that every game in the previous series landed 12, 11 and 22 runs, but his primary wager is Rays money-line.

Ron Pick Dawgz laid out why Tampa is a road buy: the Rays own one of baseball’s best 30-day OPS marks versus right-handers, while Jack Flaherty’s ERA is “just under five” and trending poorly. Ryan Pepio, meanwhile, gives Tampa the superior mound option. Ron recommended Rays money-line, expecting their righty-crushing lineup to strike early and Pepio to navigate Detroit’s middling bats.

Brad Pick Dawgz recommended taking the Tigers straight-up against Tampa Bay. He pointed to Detroit’s current seven-game home winning streak versus AL East clubs and said the club has been "so damn dominant" at Comerica Park overall. Brad also believes the Rays have "lost a bit of their juice" after a short hot spell and that the posted price still underrates Detroit’s edge, making the Tigers a solid money-line wager.

Lindquist recommended going back to Jonathan Aranda props (HR or 2+ total bases) and slotting him into DFS lineups against Jack Flaherty. Aranda owns "ridiculous" splits versus right-handed pitching – a .267 ISO and .400+ expected wOBA in his brief MLB sample – while Flaherty has surrendered "well over a .200 expected ISO" to left-handed hitters this season. The analyst pointed out that Tropicana Field depresses homers, but Detroit’s Comerica Park plays much fairer and the Rays moved Aranda up in the order when Brandon Lau sits. All signs, per Lindquist, point to Aranda barreling at least one extra-base hit Tuesday.

Just A Bet Outside advised betting against Jack Flaherty until he rediscovers his mechanics. The Tigers’ right-hander has surrendered 7, 8, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last four starts while issuing 14 walks across just 18 innings. The tout emphasized that Flaherty’s command has completely evaporated, putting him at risk for another quick hook and making Detroit a team to fade on both the full-game moneyline and first-five markets. Under bettors can also consider Flaherty’s strikeout under, given the high walk rate likely to inflate pitch counts and shorten his outing.

Just A Bet Outside endorsed riding Shane Baz on Monday, pointing to his return to pre-injury form. Over his last two outings Baz tossed 7 and 8 innings respectively, piling up 20 strikeouts while allowing only three earned runs versus Oakland and Kansas City. The host believes those performances signal that his fastball/slider combo is fully back and that Detroit’s slumping lineup (bottom-10 wOBA in July) will struggle to make contact. Backing Baz’s strikeout over or laying the short road juice on Tampa’s moneyline were both mentioned as viable bets.

Dylan Rockford set the Tigers as only a −115 favorite, so he is hunting for plus odds on Tampa’s moneyline. Rockford pointed to Jack Flaherty allowing 15 runs in his last two starts and 21 in his last four while Baz has won four straight decisions and fanned six in his most recent outing. Historically, the Rays average roughly five runs per game against Detroit compared to 3.7 for the Tigers. He personally modeled the total at 9.3 and expects the market to open lower, making an over play attractive— especially with Tampa’s bullpen woes and Flaherty’s current form creating a run-heavy environment. His plan: grab the Rays at any plus number and look to the over if sportsbooks hang 9 or less.

Scott Reichel advised playing the Rays in the first-five innings Monday. He trusts Shane Baz, who is 8-3 with a 4.33 ERA and has looked "in better form" than Jack Flaherty, while Detroit’s starter has surrendered 21 earned runs over his last four outings. Reichel wants to avoid Tampa’s shaky bullpen that just blew a four-run lead and lost on a walk-off bunt Saturday. Because Detroit will likely open a small home favorite, bettors should get plus money or a cheap price on Tampa early. His takeaway: isolate the pitching edge with Baz before the relievers get involved.