Connor Allen called the Packers to draft a wide receiver first at +700 on DraftKings, labeling it a rare mis‑price for a franchise that finally looks ready to break its no‑WR‑in‑Round‑1 streak. Allen said internal buzz around Green Bay suggests GM Brian Gutekunst has Tetairoa McMillan as the WR1 on his board and would sprint to the podium if the Arizona star slips past pick 12. If McMillan goes earlier, Allen sees Emeka Egbuka as the fallback, meaning Green Bay has two clear ‚outs‘ to the ticket. He argued the depth chart screams for an alpha—Jordan Love’s vertical mindset is wasted on a room topped by slot‑only Jaden Reed, inconsistent burner Christian Watson, and unreliable Romeo Doubs. Derek Brown chimed in that Jaire Alexander’s likely retention pushes corner down the priority list, further strengthening the WR case. With local beats echoing McMillan love and the roster holes aligning, Allen believes the true probability is closer to 25‑30 percent, making the 7‑to‑1 price a must‑bet.

Connor Allen said bettors should grab the Steelers to take a defensive lineman or edge rusher first at +225. Allen merged beat‑writer chatter with roster needs, noting multiple Pittsburgh reporters have downplayed quarterback interest while stressing Mike Tomlin’s desire to fortify the front four. The Steelers sit at pick 21 and have a realistic shot at blue‑chip interior or edge prospects such as Kenneth Grant, Walter Nolen or Derek Harmon. Allen argued that if the organization truly loved a quarterback—Jackson Dart, Jalen Milroe or even Shedeur Sanders—it would be maneuvering into the top 10 rather than standing pat. Because the betting board still lists QB as a co‑favorite, Allen believes the D‑line option is mispriced and should be closer to +120.

Connor Allen advised taking Matthew Golden at +160 to be the first wideout selected. Allen said multiple plugged‑in evaluators, including Daniel Jeremiah, view the Golden‑versus‑Tetairoa McMillan debate as a coin flip, yet the market still prices McMillan as the clear favorite. Allen’s sourcing around the Cowboys front office indicates Dallas prefers Golden’s field‑stretching speed to complement CeeDee Lamb’s underneath dominance, making pick 12 a realistic floor. If McMillan does not come off the board before Dallas, Golden becomes the de facto favorite. Given that Allen sees the true odds close to 50/50, the plus‑money ticket represents value in a draft market that can move violently once inside information leaks.

Connor Allen recommended grabbing Tyler Warren at +800 to be the exact No. 9 pick. Allen believes the market is pricing the slot incorrectly because bookmakers have made Shedeur Sanders the favorite for New Orleans, yet every report he has seen says the Saints front office is not enamored with Sanders. If they pass on a quarterback, Warren—who Allen views as a near‑lock to go somewhere in the top‑10 thanks to his elite size/speed profile and unique "Kittle‑meets‑Taysom Hill" versatility—immediately becomes the cleanest fit on the board. Allen added that defensive line is the only other realistic alternative, so the number of viable outcomes is small, making the 8‑1 price a worthwhile long‑shot investment.

Connor Allen reminded the audience that he grabbed Ashton Jeanty at 20‑to‑1 in the 4for4 Discord two weeks ago and still likes the RB at 12‑to‑1 to land with New Orleans. He laid out a scenario where Chicago, holding pick 10 and two early second‑rounders, could use that ammo to jump Carolina at 8 and snipe Jeanty—proof that multiple teams value the Boise State back as a fringe top‑10 talent. Allen added that Saints GM Mickey Loomis has shown a willingness to ignore positional value when he loves a prospect (citing the 2022 Chris Olave trade‑up) and that Jeanty’s three‑down skill set would immediately relieve Alvin Kamara’s heavy workload. He called any double‑digit price on Jeanty “mis‑aligned with the league’s view” and worth a speculative wager.

Connor Allen encouraged listeners to sprinkle the 8‑to‑1 price on the Rams’ first selection being a quarterback. He pointed out that Los Angeles sits in no‑man’s‑land late in Round 1, giving them the flexibility to take a swing on a long‑term Matthew Stafford successor rather than chase a specific position of need. Allen argued that Sean McVay has historically prioritized upside at the position and noted that Stafford’s contract becomes easy to move on from after the 2025 season. Shedeur Sanders is the obvious target if he slides—Allen compared Sanders’ arm talent to Jared Goff’s and said the dome environment would mitigate any concerns about pure velocity—but he believes the ticket pays even if the Rams prefer Michael Pratt or Quinn Ewers. With Los Angeles linked to multiple positions in public mocks, the quarterback prop remains depressed at +800; Allen thinks fair value is closer to +500 given Stafford’s age, the franchise’s willingness to move future picks, and McVay’s stated desire to groom the next guy now rather than later.

Connor Allen admitted he was initially skeptical when Kelvin Banks’ draft‑slot prop steamed from 24.5 to 18.5 and now sits at 13.5 (‑110 both sides at multiple shops). After re‑running team‑by‑team scenarios, Allen decided the Under is finally worth a wager. He pointed out that Banks has been linked to every club from the Giants at 6 through the Colts at 14, giving bettors up to nine outs for the ticket to cash. Allen emphasized that mock‑draft aggregator VR shows Banks going as high as 7 in 10‑percent of simulations, and no credible mock in the past week has him falling past pick 15. With tackle‑needy teams like the Titans, Niners, and Dolphins clustered in that range, Allen now views the 13.5 line as a late market catch‑up rather than an over‑reaction and is comfortable firing on the Under before it potentially drops to 12.5.

Connor Allen advised fading the –150 consensus price on Ashton Gentie to the Raiders at No. 6 and instead sprinkling Amarius Mims at 10‑to‑1. While Gentie is the popular mock‑draft choice, Allen noted that new personnel chief John Spytek has historically broken ties toward premium positions—something Spytek reiterated in a quote tweeted by Albert Breer during the show. Las Vegas already has Maxx Crosby, Tyree Wilson, Malcolm Koonce and a solid front seven but a glaring hole on the right side of its offensive line. Mims can start immediately at right tackle or slide to guard, matching Pete Carroll’s trenches‑first M.O. Allen also argued the running‑back class is deep enough for the Raiders to address the position on Day 2, making a Round‑1 back a poor allocation of resources. Given the organizational philosophy and roster construction, he believes Mims at double‑digit odds is the clear value pivot if Gentie is merely market chalk.

Connor Allen said he “has a tough time putting anyone other than Mason Graham” in Jacksonville’s No. 5 slot. He cited new GM James Gladstone’s repeated public comments—six separate press appearances—about rebuilding the interior trenches and noted Gladstone’s Rams background, where L.A. aggressively traded up for defensive tackles such as Braden Fisk. Graham’s profile as an elite interior disrupter fits that blueprint. While Allen conceded another offensive lineman could be in play, he stressed that media mock‑draft consensus and Gladstone’s history point squarely to Graham, making the Michigan star a strong bet in ‘First Non‑QB Defender Selected’ and exact pick markets.