Winks warned that Kyren Williams carries hidden team risk on top of his own injury profile. If Matthew Stafford’s absence turns the Rams from a projected top-10 offense into a middling unit, Williams loses the scoring-environment boost that helped him finish 2024 as an RB1. Winks added that Williams’ fantasy floor is volume-driven; if the offense stalls, even a 65-70 percent snap share may not deliver consistent RB2 numbers. Managers drafting Williams at his current late-second/early-third ADP should bake in the possibility that the Rams’ quarterback situation drags him outside the top-20 backs.

Winks moved Davante Adams down an entire tier on his overall board—now behind Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson and Trey McBride—because the veteran wideout may have to catch passes from Jimmy Garoppolo. Winks called Garoppolo "not bad for a backup," but emphasized that spending a Round-3 pick on a receiver tethered to a replacement-level quarterback is a risk he is no longer willing to take when running backs such as Breece Hall or other premium positions are available. The wide-receiver rankings themselves stay mostly intact; the shift is that Adams is no longer auto-selected at his previous overall slot. Fantasy drafters should be prepared to pivot to other positions if the Raiders do not upgrade the quarterback room before Week 1.

Hayden Winks said he nudged Puka Nacua down his overall board—dropping him behind Christian McCaffrey—because the Rams still have not put Matthew Stafford on the practice field. Winks stressed that every day Stafford sits should shave a bit more value off Rams skill players. He is not demoting Nacua within the wide-receiver ranks, only in the cross-position ranks, because he believes Nacua’s manufactured touches (screens, quick-outs, jet motion) will translate even if Jimmy Garoppolo ends up starting. Winks reminded listeners that Garoppolo is “fine for a backup,” but a first-round ADP attached to a possibly league-average quarterback carries extra risk. The actionable takeaway: keep taking Nacua, but treat him more like the last name in the Round-1/2 turn instead of the middle of Round 1 in season-long or best-ball drafts.

Hayden Winks warned that if Matthew Stafford does not throw in the Rams’ August 5th in-house scrimmage—an event the team treats as more important than preseason games—it should be treated as a genuine red flag. Stafford is already managing multiple spine and disc issues, the Rams still have left-tackle questions, and Winks observed a clear decline in Stafford’s accuracy whenever he played through pain last year. While Sean McVay’s system and Puka Nacua’s emergence make the theoretical upside obvious, Winks believes the downside (another flare-up that shelves Stafford for weeks) is being discounted in current drafts. He advises only drafting Stafford in best-ball builds that can absorb a goose egg or pairing him with a healthy, secure QB2 in managed formats.

Ray Summerlin highlighted that with DeMarcus Robinson and Cooper Kupp no longer in Los Angeles, there is a glut of end-zone targets waiting for Davante Adams. Even if Puka Nacua keeps siphoning roughly 30% of overall looks, Sean McVay’s scheme historically funnels red-zone designs to its X receiver. Adams already owns one of the league’s best win-rate profiles inside the 10-yard line, and Summerlin expects the Rams’ tempo to give him a path to double-digit touchdowns. Grabbing Adams at the 3/4 turn provides both target-volume stability and premium TD equity for best-ball roster builds.

Hayden Winks flagged Kyren Williams as a worrisome third-round pick on Underdog. While the Rams’ offense keeps his touchdown outlook strong, Winks expressed "a lot of concern" about Williams’ underlying efficiency heading into 2025. The back rode unsustainably high touchdown and snap rates last year, and even a slight drop in yards-per-touch could torpedo his ability to pay off a top-30 overall price tag. Winks urged drafters to consider pivoting to cheaper veteran backs in better value pockets rather than banking on another perfect-storm season from Williams.

Gilles Gallant advised grabbing Tyler Higbee at +310 for an anytime touchdown in the Rams’ opener. He noted Sean McVay historically leans on Higbee whenever the tight end is healthy—citing three touchdowns in Higbee’s final five games last year, including playoffs. Another year removed from his ACL tear, Higbee should see full snaps, and Matthew Stafford has long preferred throwing to tight ends inside the 20. With defenses forced to account for Puka Nacua, the transcript-mentioned “Devontae Adams,” and Kyren Williams, Gallant expects soft coverage between the hashes. He projects the Rams offense as top-five if Stafford stays upright and believes a 3-to-1 price is likely to close nearer +200 once the market catches up.

Jon Warner said he has started sprinkling Jordan Whittington onto Rams builds after hearing Sean McVay call the rookie "a guy you don’t bet against." Warner highlighted the coach’s praise for Whittington’s strength, route precision and work ethic, then reminded viewers that the Rams used him as Cooper Kupp’s practice-squad clone all last season. With Kupp now 31 and coming off back-to-back injury-marred campaigns, Warner believes Whittington could step directly into the high-percentage slot role that funneled 28 % of team targets to Kupp in 2021-22. Because Whittington is undrafted in most rooms, Warner likes tacking him onto Stafford or Vikings bring-back stacks as a free shot at 6-to-8 target weeks if Kupp misses time or cedes snaps in two-WR sets.

Pat Kerrane has flipped Christian McCaffrey ahead of Puka Nacua in his 1-2 pocket after Matthew Stafford’s chronic back flared up again. Kerrane already had 16 percent Puka exposure but said he is now "basically following ADP" because a Stafford setback would cut the Rams’ pass-rate-over-expected and crater Nacua’s reception volume. He conceded Nacua could still survive with Jimmy Garoppolo—thanks to Jimmy G’s tendency to pepper first reads—but the downside of a backup QB or extended Stafford absence makes Nacua a less optimal first-round anchor than the workload-proof McCaffrey. Kerrane will keep nibbling on Puka shares only when he slides past the middle of the first round in Best Ball drafts.

Pat Kerrane said he has officially moved Christian McCaffrey ahead of Puka Nacua in Round-1 best-ball drafts and will only click Nacua after the 1-2 turn. Kerrane’s pivot is driven by mounting concern over Matthew Stafford’s chronically bad back—“it has been injured since 2011,” he reminded listeners. If the veteran quarterback skips next week’s joint practices with Arizona, Kerrane will get even more bearish, fearing the Rams may have to turn to a stop-gap like Jimmy Garoppolo. A Garoppolo-led offense would slash Los Angeles’ explosive-pass rate and pin Nacua to lower yards-per-route efficiency. Kerrane already had 16 % exposure to Nacua early in draft season but is now following market sentiment, advising drafters to prioritize the higher floor/ceiling combo of McCaffrey at pick 6-8 while letting Nacua drift. He called paying full freight on the wideout before Stafford’s health stabilizes “an extinction-level risk.”

Jagger May advised fading Kyren Williams at his current draft cost, arguing that last year’s fantasy output was propped up by an unsustainably high number of one-yard touchdowns. May pointed to Williams’ bottom-five broken-tackle rate and the Rams’ league-worst explosive run rate as evidence that Williams is a replaceable talent. He noted that Los Angeles spent meaningful draft capital on Blake Corum and later Jarquez Hunter—two prospects whose profiles specifically address those deficiencies (power and big-play ability). May expects negative touchdown regression once the easy goal-line scores dry up and believes the rookie duo will siphon both early-down and red-zone work. Instead of banking on Williams repeating a fluky scoring binge, May recommended grabbing rookie Amarion Hampton, who steps into a Jim Harbaugh/Greg Roman run-first scheme with a wide-open backfield after Najee Harris’ uncertain health status. Hampton’s superior size, tackle-breaking ability, and explosiveness give him far more upside relative to cost.

Pat Kerrane is hammering Puka Nacua whenever he slips outside the top five picks, insisting the market treats him like a tier below CeeDee Lamb when his resume says otherwise. Nacua posted an outrageous 3.23 yards per route run last year—Tyreek-level efficiency—and racked up 40 targets in his first two NFL games. Even battling shoulder and groin issues, he still lapped the league; the runner-up, Nico Collins, managed only 2.86 YPRR. Kerrane shrugged off worries about newcomer Davante Adams, stating flatly that Nacua is "just better" and remains Sean McVay's unquestioned first read. McVay backed that up this week, praising Nacua’s off-field routine to stay healthy. In spike-week–driven Best Ball tournaments, Kerrane prefers Nacua over veteran runners like Christian McCaffrey and already holds 16 % exposure.

Pat Kerrane explained why he is sitting at 16 % exposure to Puka Nacua and still clicking whenever the Rams star falls outside the top five picks. Nacua posted a ridiculous 3.23 yards per route run last season—easily tops in the league and nearly half a yard better than second-place Nico Collins (2.86). He also racked up 40 targets in his first two NFL games and cleared 2.75 YPRR as a rookie, numbers Kerrane likened to early-career Tyreek Hill. Sean McVay just praised Nacua’s off-field routine and conditioning, easing health concerns that stem from his partial-season college history. Kerrane thinks the market incorrectly treats Nacua as a tier below CeeDee Lamb, even though Nacua is already the clear No. 1 over Davante Adams in Los Angeles. In formats that reward single-week spike weeks, he views Nacua’s combination of target share and after-catch ability as a genuine overall WR1 outcome and is comfortable sacrificing some Christian McCaffrey shares to stay overweight.

Buck argued that Davante Adams is the premier third-round receiver after opening RB-RB. He believes Adams is "completely under-priced" given his elite touchdown and red-zone profile and said Matthew Stafford’s accuracy will keep the funnel flowing. Buck acknowledged the report of Stafford’s back soreness but dismissed it as routine veteran rest. With Adams’ ceiling of double-digit TDs and 140+ targets, Buck thinks passing on him in the third is a mistake for anyone chasing tournament-winning upside.

Johnny Venezia recommended targeting Matthew Stafford and new Ram Davante Adams as an overlooked 2025 stack. Stafford’s ADP sits at 127, meaning managers can wait until the late rounds to snag a quarterback Venezia still sees as a "4,000-yard, 30-plus TD" passer even if he no longer approaches his 5,000/40 peak. Adams slides into Round 4 at an ADP of 43 despite posting 85 catches, over 1,000 yards, and eight scores last season in what Venezia called "a mess" of a Jets offense. Venezia praised Adams’ elite release and route running, arguing the veteran’s skill set will age gracefully. Because Stafford won’t be an every-week starter, drafters can stream him in "butter matchups" and unlock spike-week upside whenever they plug the QB–WR combo, making it a cost-efficient, high-ceiling pairing.

Matt Harmon called Matthew Stafford a "good quarterback two" who should be drafted aggressively in Superflex and best-ball leagues now that he has both Puka Nacua and Davante Adams. Harmon noted Stafford offers zero rushing value, so his ceiling is tied directly to pass-game efficiency and protection. In 2022 the Rams’ injury-ravaged line made Stafford "non-functional," while 2023 splits showed a massive drop-off when pressured. Left-tackle Alaric Jackson’s blood-clot issue is Harmon’s main concern, but if the unit stays healthy the passing environment could be "top-five in the league." Harmon believes Stafford’s low ADP fails to account for that upside and labeled him a priority stack partner with either Rams wideout.

Matt Harmon said Davante Adams can still post WR1 numbers even at age-31 now that he slots in as the Rams’ full-time X receiver. Reception Perception charted Adams at an 80th-percentile success rate versus man and an 89th-percentile mark versus press in 2023—down from his peak seasons but still elite territory. Harmon compared Adams’ aging curve to Dez Bryant (sudden cliff) and Keenan Allen (gradual decline) and concluded Adams looks much closer to the Allen path. Los Angeles has tried and failed to fill the true X role with Odell Beckham and Allen Robinson, so Harmon expects Sean McVay to lean heavily on Adams’ press-beating skill set while keeping Puka Nacua in a movable, designed-touch role. With Matthew Stafford healthy, Harmon projected the Rams to finish as a top-five offense if the offensive line holds up, giving Adams a realistic shot at double-digit touchdowns and weekly WR1 overall finishes in season-long and best-ball formats.

Matt Harmon argued that fantasy drafters are already bored with Puka Nacua even though the 23-year-old just vaulted into what he calls the NFL’s six-man "true elite" receiver tier. Reception Perception shows Nacua improved from zone-only assassin as a rookie to a complete receiver in Year 2, adding down-field ball-winning that he specifically told Harmon he worked on last offseason. Despite finishing top-five in targets, catches, and yards, Nacua was left off ESPN’s decision-maker top-10 WR list, which Harmon labeled "crazy." He views Nacua as a justified first-round pick in 2024 drafts and a slam-dunk cornerstone in dynasty, noting Cooper Kupp’s age makes Puka the unchallenged alpha in Sean McVay’s high-volume attack for years.

Mike Wright acknowledged Kyren Williams’ lack of explosiveness—just 182 receiving yards on 34 catches and few breakaway runs—but still labeled him an elite floor play. Williams has finished as the RB6 in back-to-back seasons thanks to absurd goal-line usage: league-leading 79 red-zone touches, a 74 % share of team carries inside the 20, and 14 touchdowns from inside the five in 2024. Wright currently ranks Williams as his RB10 and prefers drafting him as a high-end RB2 to pair with another upside back. He believes fantasy managers are over-penalizing the efficiency dip, noting Williams had plenty of splash plays two years ago and is only 25. With a friendly opening schedule (HOU, @TEN, @PHI, IND) and no credible threat to his red-zone role, Wright sees Williams as a rock-solid anchor in season-long leagues who rarely loses you weeks even if he seldom wins them outright.

Andy Holloway said Puka Nacua can “easily” finish as the overall WR1 and is a smash at his current 1.09 ADP. Holloway reminded listeners that after returning from his early-season oblique injury Nacua was on a 17-game pace for 170 targets, 124 catches and 1,600 yards despite playing one game at only 30 % of snaps. Touchdowns (just six in two seasons) are the lone missing ingredient, but Holloway noted elite wideouts often have a random 12-13 TD spike year and expects positive variance now that defenses must also account for Davante Adams in the red zone. Because he is being drafted as the WR5—well behind Jefferson, Chase and Hill—Holloway views Nacua as a rare late-first value in both season-long and best-ball formats as long as Matthew Stafford’s back cooperates.

Jason Moore argued that Davante Adams is an undervalued WR1 at his current 4.04 ADP, dismissing fears that he will reprise Allen Robinson’s Rams flop. Moore said late-season film showed Adams “crisp and explosive,” posting 7.9 targets and 15.2 PPR points per game over the final six weeks despite sharing looks with both Puka Nacua and a hobbled Cooper Kupp. Meanwhile Kupp’s yards per route run plummeted from 2.6 in 2023 to 1.4 down the stretch, prompting the Rams to sign Adams to a two-year, $46-million deal to assume the old Kupp role. Moore highlighted that Sean McVay led the league in WR target rate last season (71%) and that the WR1/WR1A price gap—Nacua at 1.09 versus Adams at 4.04—mirrors historical smash spots like Diggs/Thielen and Chase/Higgins. He is drafting Adams aggressively in both season-long and best-ball formats.

Jason Moore warned that Puka Nacua’s current third-round ADP only makes sense if Matthew Stafford stays upright. Moore said that a Jimmy Garoppolo takeover would be “devastating” because Garoppolo habitually spreads the ball and struggles to connect on deep, outside-the-numbers throws—the very routes that propelled Nacua’s breakout. He cited last year’s Raiders tape where Davante Adams routinely torched corners down the sideline yet averaged just 54 receiving yards in Garoppolo’s six starts. Moore expects a similar efficiency collapse for Nacua and even projects a 3-4 target dip per game if Stafford’s lingering back and neck issues force him to the sideline. Fantasy managers should either pair Nacua with a sturdier WR floor or fade him outright in season-long drafts until Stafford proves healthy.

Jason Moore reacted sharply to news that Matthew Stafford opened camp on a pitch count because of back soreness, calling it "real bad news" for an already 36-year-old quarterback with a documented neck history. Moore warned that persistent back trouble this early could force the Rams to lean on Jimmy Garoppolo, a downgrade for Puka Nacua and newly acquired Davante Adams, both of whom rely on Stafford’s aggressive downfield tendencies for ceiling weeks. While Moore conceded Garoppolo is a competent backup, he downgraded the entire Rams passing stack in season-long formats and advised best-ball drafters to pair Stafford with a sturdier QB2 rather than betting on a full 17-game season.

Andrew Cooper warned that tight ends who block on more than 15% of their pass snaps almost never finish top-five in fantasy scoring—only George Kittle (once), an injury-shortened Rob Gronkowski season, and Julius Thomas in Peyton Manning’s 55-TD year have done it in the last decade. He used Tyler Higbee’s early-career 20% block rate as a textbook example of hidden usage that crushes fantasy value: Higbee was on the field but running too few routes to matter. Cooper recommends fading any tight end, including Higbee in 2024 drafts, whose coaching staff routinely keeps him in to block because the statistical odds of a ceiling season are overwhelmingly against them.

Polzin prefers the OVER on Kyren Williams’ 999.5 rushing-yard line at Bet365, noting PrizePicks and Underdog are already hanging 1,024.5. He dismissed summer hype for Jarquez Hunter and Blake Corum, reminding listeners that Williams was "under-hyped" last year yet still dominated touches in Sean McVay’s backfield. With no credible threat to his early-down role, Polzin believes Williams’ true median is well north of 1,000 yards, making the Bet365 number a discount worth grabbing.

Nick Whalen said Davante Adams is still a weekly touchdown machine even as the nominal WR2 behind Puka Nacua. He reminded listeners that the Rams finished 2024 desperate for a red-zone target and that Matthew Stafford was "one of the most inefficient quarterbacks inside the 20" last year. Whalen expects Sean McVay to funnel those high-value looks to Adams, especially in weeks when the fragile Nacua inevitably misses time. Because of that bankable TD equity, Whalen is comfortable drafting Adams ahead of several younger names in Tier 4 despite acknowledging a slight age-related dip in open-field explosiveness.

Best Ball Guy said Matthew Stafford is an auto-click in Sprint drafts whenever you start with Puka Nacua and Davante Adams because the veteran still carries genuine week-winning upside at a late QB price. He reminded listeners that Stafford threw 41 touchdowns during the Rams’ Super-Bowl run and has hovered around 4,000 passing yards even in injury-marred seasons. With a healthy Nacua plus the newly-acquired Adams replacing the wash-out snaps that forced Kyren Williams touchdown plunges last year, BBG projects a realistic path to 4,000 yards and 30-plus scores. He also noted the fantasy-playoff runway—Detroit, Seattle and Atlanta in Weeks 15-17—sets up three potential shoot-outs. Compared to Bryce Young, whom the room keeps reaching for, Stafford offers a cleaner ceiling at a cheaper ADP and perfectly completes the double-stack that only back-half drafters can build.

Fuller argued that Stafford’s QB19 finish masks how close he is to a spike season. His 2024 TD rate was only 3.9% compared with 5.3% during his first three Rams seasons and 4.6% for his career. With 3,762 yards but just 24 TDs, Stafford’s fantasy value was torpedoed by poor red-zone luck. The Rams responded by importing Davante Adams, rookie TE Terrance Ferguson, and receiving back Jarquez Hunter, giving Sean McVay even more reason to lean pass. Fuller projects a simple reversion toward career TD efficiency—adding 4-6 scores—and notes a 30-plus TD outcome would vault Stafford into the top-10 despite his nonexistent rushing. Because he is being drafted outside the top-20 QBs, the cost/benefit profile is attractive.

Trowbridge flagged Matthew Stafford’s latest bout of back soreness as a red flag for anyone leaning on the Rams’ passing game. The 37-year-old is opening camp working with trainers after a career dotted with major spine issues—a broken back in 2018 and the spinal-cord contusion that ended his 2022 season. Stafford currently sits at QB22 in Fantasy Life consensus rankings, but Puka Nacua (WR4) and Davante Adams (WR15) both need him healthy to justify their lofty target projections (135-plus each). Trowbridge compared the upside drop-off to falling from a Tesla into a tricycle if the team is forced to roll with Jimmy Garoppolo or Stetson Bennett. Until Stafford logs full practices, he advises baking extra risk into every Rams skill-position pick in season-long drafts.

Hayden Winks advised passing on Matthew Stafford as anything more than a late QB2 and skipping his long-shot MVP tickets. Stafford is 17th in EPA per play over the past three seasons, and Winks’ tape review showed his once-surgical accuracy eroding—high sailers are fueling a growing pile of turnover-worthy throws. Because Stafford adds no rushing value and turns 37 this season, Winks fears any further accuracy decline or interior pressure will be catastrophic. The veteran still uncorks superstar lasers, but those flashes come with wide weekly variance; once he feels heat, the hero-ball fastballs now find defenders more often than Cooper Kupp. Winks labeled Stafford a boom-bust option who will crater best-ball advance rates and recommended drafting someone with legs instead of betting on the fading arm talent.

Pat Kerrane preferred drafting Puka Nacua over Christian McCaffrey at pick 1.07. He argued Nacua already draws targets at an elite rate and added a full yard to his yards per route run as a rookie—rare efficiency for a first-year wideout. Kerrane noted that both players carry some injury risk, but Nacua offers a younger profile with a similar ceiling and a far higher weekly target floor. In best ball, Kerrane views the 23-year-old receiver as a better bet to stay productive all season while still owning week-winning upside, making him a smarter pick than the aging workhorse RB at that slot.

Ryan Heath advised steering clear of Kyren Williams at his current ADP, labeling the Rams runner "very fragile" for 2025. Williams ranked near the bottom of the league in targets per route run because Matthew Stafford historically ignores running backs, so he lacks the receiving fallback most RB1s enjoy. Heath added that Los Angeles spent Day-2 capital on Blake Corum and Jarquize Hunter, creating real risk that Williams’ 90-percent goal-line share drops into the 65-70-percent range. If his carry monopoly turns merely average, Williams no longer pays off a top-40 pick. Heath prefers taking higher-upside backs in the same draft pocket.

Whalen closed Tier 3 with Kyren Williams. Williams lacks big-play juice or heavy receiving volume but ranked third in total touches last year and led all backs with 70 red-zone carries, commanding 89 % of the Rams’ inside-the-20 rushes. As long as he stays healthy Sean McVay shows no inclination to rotate backs, making Williams a safe if unsexy RB1/2.

Kelly Bydlon is betting Puka Nacua over 5.5 receiving TDs at –120. With Cooper Kupp gone and an aging Davante Adams sliding into a complementary role, Bydlon expects Nacua to become "the dude" in Los Angeles. He referenced his Matthew Stafford MVP long-shot as evidence he anticipates healthy pass volume and argued five-and-a-half scores is simply too low for a new No. 1 option.

Liam Murphy expressed uneasiness with Kyren Williams’ ADP after dissecting several pieces of Rams coach-speak. GM Les Snead has talked up a desire to be 'more running-back-by-committee,' and Sean McVay has praised Liam Cohen’s multiple-back sets from Tampa last season. Murphy thinks those comments translate to Williams’ snap share sliding from the 90% range to roughly 70-75%. That still leaves Kyren the lead back, but it erodes his weekly ceiling if he continues last year’s mediocre efficiency. Murphy is still mixing Williams at the 3-4 turn for structural reasons, yet he warned that drafters should price in a real chance the Rams fold Jarquez Hunter, Blake Corum or other backs into meaningful work, capping Kyren’s upside.

Peter Overzet said he would take Kyren Williams over Davante Adams at the same draft spot because running-back depth falls off a cliff immediately afterward. In Pete’s view, the Rams’ offense is one of the league’s most concentrated workloads—last year Williams handled 88 % of L.A.’s backfield touches in games he started—so you are essentially locking up a bell-cow role that can’t be replicated later in the Badge Bros Brawl’s 12-round format. The next tier of backs is committee-ridden, while wide receiver remains flush with viable starters. Overzet’s takeaway: if you are staring at that Kyren/WR pocket, grab Williams and let the room push each other around at wideout.

Ian Hartitz said Davante Adams can still post elite numbers after the rumored move to Los Angeles, forecasting a scenario where BOTH Adams and Puka Nacua finish as top-10 fantasy receivers. Hartitz pointed to the historical production of Sean McVay/Matthew Stafford offenses—Rams wideouts rank first in total receiving yards and second in receptions since the duo joined forces—as proof the scheme can funnel massive volume to two alphas. He added that Tutu Atwell functions strictly as a vertical clear-out piece, so the target tree should stay extremely condensed. Hartitz reminded listeners Adams was the overall PPR WR3 over the final six weeks of last season, showing no signs of age-related decline. With Stafford’s willingness to pepper preferred targets and the Rams unlikely to feature any true third option, Hartitz believes Adams has a realistic path back to 165-plus targets and a double-digit touchdown season, making him a bargain at a mid-second-round ADP.

Rich Hribar doubled down on the Rams smash spot, arguing that even if Adams simply inherits the target share Cooper Kupp vacated, it is an efficiency upgrade across the board. Hribar zeroed in on touchdown equity: Puka Nacua has only nine TDs in two seasons and saw just five end-zone targets last year, while journeyman Demarcus Robinson bizarrely commanded 12. Robinson is gone, leaving a massive high-leverage vacuum. Hribar expects McVay to give those looks to Adams, whose red-zone conversion rate has routinely hovered above 30%. He called the Rams scheme the best offensive environment Adams has ever been in—Los Angeles funnels volume to wide receivers and ranks top-three in WR target share under McVay. The result, per Hribar, should be more spike-week upside than Adams enjoyed with the 2024 Jets, when he still finished as a weekly top-12 scorer in 31% of his games. Current ADP sits in the late second round, and Hribar thinks that price leaves room for a full-tier jump into the elite WR1 bucket.

Bob Harris said Davante Adams is the easiest wideout to click among players changing teams because he immediately patches the one hole the Rams still have—finishing drives. Adams is coming off his fifth straight 1,000-yard campaign, did it while splitting 14 games between the Raiders and Jets, and still punched in eight touchdowns. Harris reminded listeners that Adams has logged six separate seasons of 10-plus TD receptions and was the NFL’s most efficient goal-line receiver when paired with Aaron Rodgers. Los Angeles ranked just 20th in red-zone TD rate last year, so Harris expects Sean McVay to spam Adams on the one- and two-yard fade routes that made him famous. Adams already proved the fantasy ceiling is intact—he was the overall WR13 in 2024, but averaged 17.7 PPR points per game (WR5 pace) once he arrived in New York. Harris projects a similar or better target share than the version of Cooper Kupp we saw last year and thinks Matthew Stafford can once again support two top-24 wideouts, as he has in three of his four Rams seasons. Bottom line: Harris is treating Adams as a mid-range WR1 who is still being priced as a back-end option in early best-ball and redraft rooms.

Overzet is aggressively drafting fourth-round rookie Jarquez Hunter (ADP 196.3, Super Model 68). Sean McVay has praised Hunter’s ability to hit 'home runs' and said the back has made 'positive strides.' While Kyren Williams and Blake Corum occupy the top of the depth chart, neither offers Hunter’s explosion, creating a plausible early-season change-of-pace role with contingent upside if injuries hit. Hunter fits both Zero-RB builds and RB-heavy starts because he carries stand-alone big-play potential plus traditional handcuff equity. Overzet’s personal exposure sits at 13 %.

Best Ball Guy said Blake Corum is being “priced like an afterthought” despite profiling as the direct replacement for Kyren Williams. He reminded viewers that Kyren carried a full bell-cow workload last year, yet drafters are letting Corum slip to the 18th round. BBG insisted Corum should be going near Will Shipley, arguing that if Williams misses time the rookie would absorb the early-down and goal-line work rather than change-of-pace back Jermaine Burton. While acknowledging Corum’s value is contingent on an injury, BBG emphasized that contingent-upside backs win playoff weeks and called the current ADP “pretty crazy” for a player who could walk into 20 touches on an offense that fed one runner all year.

Best Ball Guy warned drafters to pump the brakes on Davante Adams at his current third-round ADP. He pulled up Adams’ yards-per-route-run trend—3.24 in 2021, 2.59 in 2022, and an ugly 2.00 in both 2023 and 2024—and argued that efficiency drop-off is exactly what you would expect from a receiver entering his age-32 season. Even more concerning, Adams was still being force-fed by Aaron Rodgers during part of that stretch, yet the metric kept sliding. With the market finally admitting he isn’t a first-rounder anymore, Best Ball Guy sees no reason to keep paying a premium for a profile that has shown four straight years of erosion and now has to learn a brand-new playbook. His bottom-line advice: pass on the nostalgia and redirect those picks toward younger wideouts with truly explosive ceilings.

Pat Fantasy Dog Pound is fading Davante Adams at his current second-/third-round ADP, holding just 2.7 % exposure. He thinks drafters are paying near-ceiling for a receiver who turns 33 in December and is therefore staring at a potential age cliff. Pat contrasted Adams with Stefon Diggs—who goes in the 70s—arguing that missing on a Round-6 pick won’t wreck your portfolio, but whiffing on a top-30 selection "gets your feelings hurt." Unless Adams posts a season large enough to vault him back into next year’s second round, Pat sees little room for profit and would rather redirect that capital toward younger, higher-leverage swings.

Answering a redraft question, Pat Fantasy Dog Pound advised selecting Puka Nacua over Malik Nabers at the 1.07 in 10-team PPR leagues once the elite six are off the board. Pat conceded Nabers probably carries the higher season-long ceiling but pointed out that Nacua offers a much higher weekly floor thanks to his established chemistry with Matthew Stafford and a clarified offensive role. Nabers, by contrast, must adapt to an offense that could toggle between Russell Wilson and Jaxson Dart in-season, creating early volatility. For managers chasing both stability and upside after the top tier is gone, Pat believes Nacua’s bankable target volume makes him the smarter pick.

JJ Zachariason urged drafters to lean on Tyler Higbee in the 20th round when their build still needs a third tight end. He argued that zeros at the position are “actually horrible” for best-ball EV, and Higbee’s entrenched role in Sean McVay’s offense makes him one of the few late-round options likely to avoid them. Zachariason predicted at least one slate where Higbee shows up as a $3,300 salary-relief staple in DFS cash games—evidence that volume and red-zone routes will still be there. In contrast, flyers like Arande Gadsden or Will Dissly project as functional zeros even if they see the field. For Zachariason, locking in Higbee’s 3-for-35 floor is far more valuable than chasing long-shot upside that never materializes.

Pat Kerrane said he would not hesitate to grab Puka Nacua if the wide-out’s ADP settled at 1.03. Kerrane already takes Nacua every time the sophomore slips to pick seven or later, and feels the market is finally catching up to how valuable an alpha receiver with his target-earning profile should be in full-PPR best ball formats. Even though Kerrane personally prefers CeeDee Lamb and wants some running-back exposure early, he still believes Nacua’s combination of league-winning ceiling and floor warrants top-three consideration.

JSU said Matthew Stafford is a priority QB2 in DraftKings best-ball rooms because his production spikes the moment Puka Nacua is on the field. Stafford averaged just 9.1 fantasy points in games Nacua missed last year but jumped to 16 per game when the rookie played, a 75 % increase JSU called “staggering.” With Nacua healthy, an offensive line upgrade, and ongoing rumors the Rams could still land Davante Adams, JSU projects more multi-touchdown outings and believes Stafford will outscore several quarterbacks drafted three-plus rounds earlier. He likes pairing Stafford with Puka in Rams or bring-back stacks and sees him as the perfect late anchor when drafters punt QB early.

Peter Overzet said he is willing to grab Cooper Kupp only because Kupp “is going to give us three good games this year while Jordan Addison is suspended and then he’s going to fall off the age cliff in Week 4.” Overzet framed Kupp as a short-term patch, not a season-long anchor. The take hinges on two points: 1) Kupp’s advancing age and recent injury history make a late-season drop-off likely; 2) the early-season usage window aligns with Addison’s presumed absence, giving drafters a narrow period to bank usable weeks before moving on. In best-ball terms, Overzet views Kupp’s fourth-/fifth-round ADP as palatable only if drafters specifically need early production and are comfortable fading him down the stretch.

Peter Overzet said he is still comfortable clicking Kyren Williams at the 1-2 turn in Eliminator drafts even though Williams ranked near the bottom of the league in explosive-run rate last season. Overzet argued Sean McVay’s history of riding a single back—Williams handled 87 % of Rams RB touches after Week 6—makes the volume too sticky to fade. He acknowledged concern about Kyren joining the "600-plus touch" club that eventually breaks down, but countered that Los Angeles added no serious backfield competition, re-signed all five starting linemen, and projects for the sixth-easiest opening-month schedule in rush EPA. With guaranteed work and a top-10 red-zone share (28 % of team opportunities in 2023), Overzet views Williams as a high-floor RB1 whose price has not caught up to his touch projection.

James Koh called Jarquez Hunter a textbook fit for Sean McVay’s offense—he posted a class-best 75% success rate on inside-zone runs, and the Rams ran inside zone at the NFL’s 3rd-highest clip while using zone schemes overall 8th most. Hunter even finished top-three in both man-gap and zone success rates, the only prospect to rank top-5 in both. Unfortunately, McVay historically rides one back, and Kyren Williams absorbed 79% of Los Angeles RB touches last season (highest share in the league). The team also spent a third-round pick on Blake Corum. Koh downgraded Hunter’s fantasy outlook to 6.5/10 despite the pristine schematic match, making him mainly a deep dynasty stash unless an injury opens the door.

Chris Raybon said Tutu Atwell is the cheapest way to buy the Rams passing game and called him a breakout candidate in both Season-long and Best-Ball. Atwell just signed a one-year, $10 million deal that signals real playing-time intentions. Raybon expects defenses to focus on Puka Nacua’s chain-moving routes and Davante Adams’ red-zone prowess, leaving Atwell to face soft coverage from slot corners and safeties. Even with Sean McVay planning more 12-personnel looks, Raybon believes Atwell’s speed will keep him on the field because the Rams still lack a proven vertical threat behind him. He compared the setup to Demarcus Robinson’s late-season spike weeks in 2023 and projected a jump from last year’s 15% target per route rate to something in the 18-20% range. Atwell profiles as a weekly FLEX with splash-play upside who can win Best-Ball tournaments at his current WR70 ADP.