Rockford urged bettors to keep fading Baltimore and grab Milwaukee at anything up to ‑140. The Orioles have cratered, losing 15 of their last 17 and averaging only 3.26 runs per road game—second worst in MLB behind Colorado. Meanwhile the Brewers are a respectable 14-9 straight-up at American Family Field and send Chad Patrick, who has been ‘okay’ but serviceable, to the mound. Rockford’s model made Milwaukee a ‑140 favorite, so the widely available ‑120/-125 represents value. Given Baltimore’s freefall and Patrick’s competence, he labeled the Brewers moneyline a straightforward play until the O’s show life.

Lindquist fired on Over 8.5 runs (even money) for Orioles-Brewers. He expects little swing-and-miss from 35-year-old newcomer Tomoyuki Sagano (36.9% hard-hit rate, minimal K history in NPB) and even less from Milwaukee bulk man Chad Patrick (sub-19% K rate, 44.9% hard-hit). Baltimore’s left-handed core—Gunnar Henderson, Jackson Holliday, Adley Rutschman, Cedric Mullins, plus platoon masher Ryan O’Hearn—should punish Patrick’s 5.4% barrel rate, while Christian Yelich & Co. can do damage against Sagano’s aging arsenal. He would play it up to –110 and labeled it a “square-peg, square-hole” total.

Shubham Soni backed Jackson Holliday to leave the yard at +600 in Milwaukee. He cited the rookie’s Statcast resume—91.1 mph average exit velocity and a 47.7% hard-hit rate—on top of a .272 average with six homers and 18 RBI. Soni argued those underlying numbers show Holliday consistently barrels baseballs even if the box-score power has been modest. Facing a Brewers staff that has surrendered above-league-average fly-ball contact, Soni believes one well-struck swing can cash the long odds.

Peterson grabbed Brewers -118 (model -138) because Chad Patrick’s 3.04 ERA and 0.6 HR/9 keep the ball in the yard, whereas Tomoyuki Sugano’s surface 3.08 ERA hides a bloated 4.84 FIP, only 5.0 K/9 and 1.5 HR/9. Baltimore’s bullpen is a liability at 4.90 ERA (25th), giving Milwaukee a starting and relief edge worth more than 20 cents in value.

JD Bets took Logan Henderson to record six or more strikeouts against Baltimore. Henderson fanned 9 and 7 hitters in his last two outings and carries a 31% whiff rate on the season. Baltimore strikes out nine times per game (21st in MLB) and owns a bottom-five contact rate against right-handed four-seamers—the pitch Henderson throws 48% of the time. JD dismissed the small-sample concern by noting that one of Henderson’s recent K explosions came against Cleveland, a team even harder to strike out than the Orioles. With Keegan Akin opening a bullpen game on the other side, JD expects Henderson to pitch with a lead and work at least six innings, giving him ample chances to clear 5.5 Ks.

Henderson has fanned 16 hitters through his first 11 MLB innings and gets an Orioles lineup that has under-performed expectations. Still, Razzle cautioned he threw only 83 and 72 pitches in two big-league outings and owns just +250 Win odds. Premium price tags on DraftKings further muddy the profile. Viable for MME if you believe the Brewers stretch him to six frames, but Razzle will cap exposure.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Milwaukee Brewers on the money line for Tuesday’s interleague clash with Baltimore. The tout noted the Orioles are in free-fall—riding a six-game losing streak, sitting 25th in runs per game (3.78) that dips to 3.23 on the road, and fresh off firing manager Brandon Hyde. Projected opener Keegan Akin has a 5.40 career ERA as a starter and will hand the ball to a bullpen that allows nearly 10 hits a night and ranks near the bottom of MLB in ERA. Milwaukee may have dropped seven of its last ten and is missing Brandon Woodruff and Jose Quintana, yet still sits top-15 in walk rate and plate discipline, enabling them to manufacture offense against shaky relief arms. With Baltimore’s pitching staff in disarray and the Brewers’ patient lineup poised to exploit long counts, Cash Out Sports Picks advised laying the short price on the Brew Crew to stop their skid at home.

Brad Francis is backing Milwaukee on the moneyline for the second straight night, insisting the Orioles are “dog-meat” and a team bettors should oppose until the market adjusts. Monday’s win with the Brewers reinforced his belief that Baltimore’s roster is badly outclassed, so he will keep exploiting what he sees as a clear talent gap.

Kenny g laid the −124 money-line with Milwaukee, saying the market has not caught up to how badly Baltimore is sliding. The Orioles are 15-31, have dropped five of six, own the league’s 25th-ranked offense and may have to run out a bullpen game despite their relief corps carrying a 5.24 ERA. Logan Henderson, meanwhile, has been a bright spot for the Brewers: 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA through two MLB starts, allowing just 7 baserunners in 11 innings against Oakland and Cleveland. Even though Milwaukee’s own bullpen (4.53 ERA) is shaky and the lineup ranks only 16th in runs and 28th in slugging, Kenny trusts Henderson to hand off a lead and notes the Brewers are 13-9 at home while both clubs play 14-7-1 to the under in their respective ballparks. He considered the 8.5 under but prefers exploiting Baltimore’s free-fall by backing the steadier side.

Lonte Smith prefers the full-game UNDER, projecting a 2-1 or 3-1 Milwaukee win. Five straight Sagano starts have cashed the under, and Henderson has been "solid" in limited duty for the Brewers. Offenses are ice-cold: Milwaukee has scored one run or fewer in five of its last ten games (including four shutouts), while Baltimore has lost by 2+ runs in five of six and continues to hemorrhage early deficits. With both lineups flailing and two pitchers in good current form, Smith would bet anything 8 or higher and would still nibble at 7.5 at plus money.

Malcom Bamford said he is auto-betting Milwaukee while Baltimore remains in free-fall. The Orioles have dropped 14 of 16 overall and somehow own only one more win than the White Sox despite being priced like a contender all season. He called the birds "un-backable, a complete mess," pointing to a weekend series in which Washington’s entire lineup batted around twice. Bamford likes the matchup for rookie right-hander Logan Henderson, who is 2-0 with 16 strikeouts and has been spotted 23 runs of support in those two outings. Because Sagano (the likely Baltimore starter) is merely a "bright-ish spot" on an otherwise sinking ship, Bamford expects bookmakers to hang a modest number—something in the –120/–125 range—and is happy to lay it with a Brewers club that is 23-9 at home.

The tout advised taking Milwaukee’s money line. Baltimore limps in on a six-game skid and a 7-15 road record after coughing up 24 runs in three games to Washington. Dean Kremer has allowed four or more earned in three of his last five starts. Milwaukee, 13-9 at American Family Field, sends out Quinn Priester, who has been solid outside of two clunkers versus the Cubs and Cards. With the Orioles averaging just 3.2 runs away from Camden Yards and showing no signs of turning things around, he prefers the steadier Brewers in their own park.

As a bonus play, Bill Harrelson suggested Jackson Chourio UNDER 0.5 runs scored versus Baltimore. The Brewers’ rookie has failed to score in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20 games as his bat has cooled since late April. He has stayed under in both prior meetings with the Orioles and owns a 57% season-long under rate (26-of-46). Chourio hits .247 overall but just .240 against righties, and he draws Dean Kremer, who limits right-handed hitters to a .218 average compared with .265 overall. Multiple books (Bet365, MGM, DraftKings) have the under juiced, reinforcing Harrelson’s lean toward another scoreless night.