Guy Boston Sports said the only way he can attack Blue Jays–A’s is to grab Oakland at +145 and pair it with the full-game under. Jeffrey Springs gives the Athletics a left-handed look against a Toronto lineup that already puts a ton of balls on the ground versus southpaws. On the other side, Chris Bassitt’s home splits (1.2 ERA, 2.3 FIP, 28 % strikeout rate, 1.7 GB/FB) scream run suppression in Rogers Centre. Toronto owns the better offense, the better starter and the better bullpen, but at this number the market has over-corrected; he is willing to fade all three edges. He expects both starters to lean on ground-ball heavy arsenals, the chilly Toronto weather to keep the ball in the park and a grind-it-out game that finishes below the posted total while giving the live dog a path to cash.

Kenny G prefers the Athletics at +140 to the Blue Jays at −165, calling it a classic let-down spot for Toronto after Thursday’s 12-0 romp. He trusts Jeffrey Springs (5-3, 3.97 ERA) far more than Chris Bassitt, pointing out Springs has been "excellent" overall and has yet to face the Jays, while Bassitt’s last outing yielded nine hits and five earned in just four frames versus Tampa. Toronto’s bullpen is solid (3.52 ERA), but Kenny expects the A’s to scratch out runs against Bassitt and a unit that has been worked heavily of late. Oakland’s offense has slipped (0-3-1-5-6-3 runs in its last six), but still ranks 14th in MLB scoring and draws a pitcher trending the wrong direction. On the other side, he reminded listeners that Toronto is only 25th in runs and 24th in slugging despite the 12-run explosion, posting game totals of 2-0-2-1-1 before that outburst. With Sacramento (Oakland) a respectable 12-11-5 to the UNDER on the road and the Jays 16-12 to the OVER at home, Kenny leans slightly to the over 8 but says the actionable edge is the plus-money dog. "I’d rather have the Athletics at +140 than the Jays at −165," he concluded.

Lindquist wants UNDER 4.5 Ks (or 3.5 if the books hang that) on Jeffrey Springs as long as the juice is ‑125 or better. His own model shows Springs with an extremely low strike-out projection because Toronto owns the lowest K-rate in baseball against left-handers and just erupted for power after returning home. Springs also has to navigate a lineup that now features six righties with sub-20% K-rates. Given the opponent profile and his recent dip in swinging-strike rate, Lindquist says to slam the under as soon as the line opens.

Lonte Smith joined Scott on the same wavelength, betting first-five AND full-game unders in Oakland-Toronto. He acknowledged Bassitt’s sparkling home ERA but warned his xERA and .299 xBA hint at regression—one reason he prefers isolating the early frames. Even so, the matchup still leans under because the Jays’ bats are ice-cold (two runs or less in six straight) and the A’s, though more competitive at the dish, have dropped nine of ten. Springs’ road ERA (2.45) and recent run of four starts with <3 earned runs strengthen the case. Lonte noted Bassitt is 4-1 his last five despite a 4.33 ERA, which he views as noise that is already baked into a total of 8/8.5. His official card: F5 under 4.5 and full-game under 8 at standard juice.

Scott Reichel said the best angle in A’s-Jays is the first-five under. He trusts both starters more than either offense right now. A’s lefty Jack Springs owns a 2.45 ERA on the road and has allowed fewer than three runs in four of his last five turns. Chris Bassitt, meanwhile, sports a 1.61 ERA at Rogers Centre and had strung together five straight quality home outings before getting tagged at Tampa. Reichel pointed out that Toronto has scored two runs or fewer in six consecutive games while Oakland, losers of nine of ten, is at least taking good ABs but still sits middle-of-the-pack in wRC+. With two starters capable of working into the sixth and both pens rested after Thursday’s off-day, he projected a 1-1 or 2-1 board through five and recommended playing the F5 under 4.5 at anything minus-120 or better.

Ross Benjamin advised laying the alternate ‑1 run line with Toronto at –119 (DraftKings) instead of the standard –165 moneyline. He distrusts Oakland’s rookie starter Jacob Lopez, who sports a 1.57 WHIP through 14 MLB innings, and an A’s bullpen that has imploded for a 9.14 ERA/1.84 WHIP over the last six games and 8.29 ERA/1.81 WHIP over the last 26. The current A’s roster has produced just a 12-for-62 (.194) line with one homer lifetime against Jose Berrios, who takes the mound for Toronto. Oakland has dropped 13 of its last 14 contests, surrendering 7.5 runs per game in that stretch. While the Blue Jays’ offense was anemic on their recent road trip, they’ve plated 20 runs on 26 hits in their last two home games, and Benjamin expects a return to Rogers Centre to jump-start the bats. Given the mismatch in bullpens, Berrios’ strong history against the A’s and Oakland’s free-fall, he prefers the insurance of minus one rather than chasing the heavier –1.5 run line.

LM Tipster selected Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 HR. Guerrero’s launch-angle tweak has produced a 53% hard-hit rate since May 1, and Jeffrey Springs’ four-seam/slider mix is the exact profile Vlad has slugged .645 against this season. Springs has already allowed eight long balls in 45 innings, giving LM confidence Vlad goes deep at +300.

LM Tipster played Toronto ‑1.5 because Chris Bassitt (4-3, 3.38 ERA) owns a sparkling 1.88 ERA at Rogers Centre. The Athletics’ offense ranks dead last in ISO, and southpaw Jeffrey Springs has labored since Tommy John, allowing a .292 average his last four turns. Toronto’s bullpen sports MLB’s best WHIP (0.97) the past 14 days, helping protect the run-line.

Peterson grabbed the Athletics Moneyline at +145 (he made it +131). He trusts Jeffrey Springs’ drastic road/home split—2.45 ERA and just 0.9 HR/9 away from Oakland versus a 5.88 ERA and 2.1 HR/9 in the Coliseum. Toronto counters with Chris Bassitt, whose 3.38 ERA masks shaky recent form (three or more earned runs in three of his last five starts). The Blue Jays lineup has been equally uninspiring, ranking 25th in both home-run rate and overall scoring at 3.8 runs per game, giving Springs the support edge despite the big price.

Kenny G tagged the Athletics at +122 as his "dog of the day." He likes Jacob Lopez’s trajectory—2.57 ERA through two big-league starts and seven shutout innings against Philadelphia last week—and thinks the rookie can keep Toronto’s sputtering bats quiet. The Blue Jays are 25th in runs, 24th in slugging, and haven’t won any of Jose Berrios’ last four starts (4.22 ERA, 0-4 team record in that span). While Kenny admits Oakland’s bullpen owns a gruesome 6.03 ERA and the offense has cooled (14th in runs after a torrid April), he trusts Lopez more than Berrios and sees value because Toronto’s only clear edge is a middling 3.68 bullpen ERA. With the Jays laying –145 despite a 16-12 home record that barely tops .500, Kenny argued the plus-money A’s are worth a straight moneyline stab on a short slate.

He also played the UNDER in Oakland-Toronto. The Jays have managed just four runs in five games, going under in three of Berrios’ last five starts, while the A’s scored only four combined in their last two. Berrios historically pitches better at night in this park and Oakland strikes out at one of MLB’s highest clips. With both offenses sputtering and each bullpen quietly ranking top-10 in K-rate, he forecasted another low-run outing.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Athletics moneyline in Toronto. He liked Frankie Lopez’s momentum after seven dominant innings (1 ER, 8 K) versus Philadelphia, while Toronto’s lineup is batting just .206 over its last ten and has scored four total runs in its previous five games. Jose Berrios owns a 5.19 ERA and 0-1 record in five Rogers Centre starts, surrendering too many long balls. With Oakland’s bullpen trending up in strikeouts and the Jays mired in a slump against lefties, he sees value on the underdog A’s.

Dylan Rockford’s model produced a 9.0 total and he grabbed Over 8.5 at –122 before the market adjusted. Oakland overs have cashed in four of five thanks to a rotation posting a 5.89 ERA in May and a bullpen that ranks 28th in WPA. Thursday lines up as a pure bullpen game after Jacob Lopez’s one-inning openers, exposing that soft middle relief. Rockford never trusts Jose Berrios either, pointing to his 46% hard-hit rate and 1.27 HR/9. Toronto scores a full run more at Rogers Centre (4.4 R/G home vs 3.4 road), while Oakland’s bats get a park upgrade and have quietly posted a .333 BABIP the last week. Rockford expects both clubs to reach at least four runs.

Scott Reichel advised betting Toronto –1.5 at +145 because Oakland has entered full free-fall. Since May 13 the A’s are 1-11 with nine losses coming by multiple runs and a –47 run differential. Their staff owns a 6.22 ERA during that stretch, and Thursday projects as a bullpen day with Jacob Lopez opening (career 5.10 xFIP) before handing it off to the league’s third-worst relief unit (4.91 ERA). Reichel called Jose Berrios merely "fine" (4.22 ERA, 3.98 xFIP) but good enough against a lineup slashing .192/.268/.299 over the last two weeks. He set the fair price at –175 ML / –105 RL and therefore sees value riding a comfortable Jays cushion.

Eric Lindquist labeled Brent Rooker his No. 1 home-run prop on the slate. He wants anything longer than +310 against Jose Berrios, citing Berrios’ elevated 12.3% barrel rate and penchant for surrendering loud contact to right-handed power bats. Rooker already owns double-digit bombs and a 16% barrel rate of his own, so Lindquist expects the combination of Rooker’s pull-side pop and Rogers Centre’s friendly dimensions to pay off. He prefers Rooker over other HR targets such as Isaac Paredes because the price is better and the matchup is weaker.

Eric Lindquist said the Athletics are undervalued at +120 and should be backed on the money line. His primary angle is fading Jose Berrios, noting Berrios’ 12.3% barrel rate, .363 expected wOBA allowed and only a 20.6% strike-out rate that spikes inconsistently. Lindquist emphasized Berrios’ long-standing struggles with hard contact and added that Toronto is coming off a Texas road trip while Oakland stayed put. On the other side, southpaw Jacob Lopez owns a 2.85 expected ERA and just worked seven efficient innings in his last start, giving the A’s what Lindquist believes is near-even pitching with a far better price. Because the market is hanging roughly –140 on Berrios, Lindquist feels the value clearly sits with Oakland.

Drew Martin will only look to the Athletics, likely at plus money, in their series opener at Toronto. He highlighted Jacob Lopez’s dominant seven-inning, three-hit, one-run performance against the Phillies his last time out and noted that Lopez’s lone blemish came via a solo homer. The A’s offense has been scorching—top-five in MLB by wRC+ over the past week—while Toronto has dropped four of five and returns home after a road trip, a spot Martin dislikes. On the other side, Jose Berrios sports a 4.20 ERA, declining velocity, and four-or-fewer strikeouts in three straight starts. Those factors, coupled with reduced travel for Oakland (already halfway across the continent after playing in Houston), make the Athletics Martin’s preferred wager.