64 Taeks
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Positive Taek
Long-term value rising despite Masters finish
1 hour ago

Kelley Bydlon remains optimistic about Ludvig Aberg's trajectory despite his disappointing finish at the Masters. Bydlon pointed out that Aberg was competitive and hung in contention until he faltered on the final two holes with a bogey and triple bogey. Still, Bydlon expects him to be 'a monster' this season, seeing his Masters result as evidence Aberg is not yet at an elite level but trending strongly upward. Bettors and fantasy players should look for opportunities to capitalize on Aberg's future breakout potential at more favorable odds after this performance.

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Negative Taek
Approach concerns prevent betting despite talent
1 hour ago

Kelley Bydlon decided against betting Ludvig Aberg at the RBC Heritage despite liking his talent and long-term potential. Bydlon has played Aberg frequently previously, but cited significant concerns about his shaky approach numbers, critical at Harbour Town due to high demand for precise iron play. Given the course's setup emphasizing accuracy on approach, Aberg's recent inconsistent iron performances raised enough red flags for Bydlon to pass on him despite thinking the player will likely have substantial success later in the year.

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Positive Taek
Perfect skillset fit and recent strong performance
2 hours ago

Anonymous Swing Coach recommended Ludvig Aberg, impressed by his all-around game displayed at Augusta last week where he nearly secured the green jacket. Harbour Town requires smart, strategic play similar to Augusta, and the coach believes Aberg has all the necessary shots and the mental approach perfectly suited to succeed at this course.

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Negative Taek
Limited iron play weakens DFS attraction versus alternatives
2 hours ago

Brandon Gdula expressed hesitance around rostering Ludvig Aberg for DFS at RBC Heritage, acknowledging Aberg's overall talent but voicing concern about his comparatively weaker iron play among premium options. While acknowledging Aberg's skill and potential, Gdula pointed out that Harbour Town emphasizes elite iron play, an area where Aberg notably trails leading contenders like Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, and Scottie Scheffler. Due to this disadvantage, Gdula would generally prefer alternative selections offering more assured elite approach metrics this week.

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Positive Taek
Course fit and low ownership advantage over Morikawa
1 day ago

Kenny Kim suggested pivoting toward Ludvig Aberg instead of Collin Morikawa in DraftKings fantasy lineups, motivated by expected lower ownership and perceived mental toughness. Kenny argued Morikawa will be popular given his frequent top-ten finishes, but views Aberg as the smarter leverage play given comparable skill, greater perceived competitive killer instinct, and significantly lower roster rates in DFS tournaments. Especially in larger DFS contests, Kenny sees value in differentiating lineups by embracing the lower-owned upside that Aberg provides compared to Morikawa.

Active
Negative Taek
Unfavorable DFS projection demands custom model adjustments for selection
1 day ago

Eric Polzin explicitly advised against using Ludvig Aberg in DFS lineups at RBC Heritage due to his unfavorable statistical data projections. He emphasized that the standard models did not project Aberg as a favorable play this week, noting that anyone intent on rostering him would have to significantly alter and customize their modeling data. Polzin stressed that custom model adjustments to justify a golfer indicates that naturally derived projections do not support the selection, making Aberg a risky, undesirable DFS option based purely on the data.

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Positive Taek
Ideal course fit following Masters uptick
1 day ago

Pat Perry favors Ludvig Aberg over Xander Schauffele as a betting pick at the RBC Heritage, highlighting that despite entering The Masters with shaky form, Aberg regained sharpness during the tournament. Perry believes Harbour Town's course aligns very well with Aberg's skills, emphasizing its position-focused tee shots and requirement for precise iron play. With driver often unnecessary, Aberg can lean on his versatile and accurate iron game—traits Perry expects will pay off this week.

Active
Negative Taek
Poor Harbortown statistical fit despite recent strong form
1 day ago

Pat Fitzmaurice expressed concern regarding Ludvig Aberg's statistical fit for Harbour Town despite his recent strong Masters showing and 10th-place finish at Harbour Town last year. Fitzmaurice highlighted several worrying metrics in Aberg's profile, including ranking 100th or worse in driving accuracy, scrambling, and approach shots from both 150-175 yards and 175-200 yards, all crucial categories for success at Harbour Town. Fitzmaurice found this statistical profile troubling enough to advise fading betting exposure to Aberg this week.

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Positive Taek
Strong betting value after top Masters performance
1 day ago

Pat Fitzmaurice identified Ludvig Aberg as a strong betting value at the RBC Heritage following his impressive performance at The Masters. Fitzmaurice highlighted Aberg's recent form at Augusta National as evidence of his strong play against elite fields, noting Aberg had briefly been in contention on Sunday, only falling out of the race late due to a bogey on 17 and a triple bogey on the 18th hole. Despite these late mistakes, Fitzmaurice believes Aberg's overall performance positions him well for success at Harbour Town, where accurate ball striking and consistency are crucial. Considering his odds of +1200, he sees Aberg as a worthy wager.

Winner
+1400
Active
Negative Taek
Fade as betting favorite, unlikely to finish top five
1 day ago

Mike McClure's SportsLine model urges fading Ludvig Aberg as a betting favorite at the 2025 RBC Heritage, despite his recent success including a victory at the Genesis Invitational and multiple top-10 finishes. The model points to clear concerns over his current form. Aberg has recently struggled with consistency, missing the cut in two of his past three tournaments. Accuracy has been a major weakness, as he's just 100th on Tour in driving accuracy (57.63%) and 109th in greens-in-regulation percentage (65.33%), traits often critical at Harbour Town's tight, demanding layout. Additionally, his putting woes have continued, ranked 118th in strokes gained putting (-0.125) and 166th in total putting stats (282.8). Given these struggles, the model deems Aberg unlikely to threaten the leaderboard and is recommending bettors look elsewhere on the odds board.

Negative Taek
Recent missed cuts and swing changes signal DFS trap

Matt Wiley advised caution with rostering Ludvig Aberg this week at The Masters, pointing out concerning factors including recent swing changes and back-to-back missed cuts. Wiley explicitly noted that publicly discussed alterations to his swing make him especially risky in the high-pressure environment of Augusta, cautioning that unproven adjustments inevitably lead to inconsistency and elevated risk in DFS lineups. Given Augusta's demanding conditions and course management complexity, Aberg firmly landed on Wiley's list of players to avoid.

Negative Taek
Fade this expensive golfer after unsustainable putting performance

Derek Farnsworth is fading Ludvig Aberg at Augusta, concerned that last year's near victory depended heavily on an unprecedented career-best putting performance. Historically, no golfer has won the Masters on their debut since 1979, a trend Aberg nearly broke but required unsustainable putting numbers to come close. Farnsworth argues that Aberg's recent form has also slipped since his earlier success, providing further rationale for fading him this year, especially given his high price tag at $10,800 in DFS contests.

Negative Taek
Recent struggles and putting regression prompt Augusta fade

Rick Gehman advised caution with Ludvig Aberg at Augusta, noting his recent struggles and unsustainable past putting performance. Aberg enters this week having missed two consecutive cuts, losing strokes on approach in two of his last three starts, and struggling around the green in three straight events. Gehman highlighted that Aberg's excellent Augusta finish last year relied on a 'career-best' putting performance, gaining 7.5 strokes—a number unlikely to repeat. Considering current poor form in irons and short game play, coupled with expected putting regression from historic highs, Gehman sees substantial risk. He hinted that barring unexpectedly low ownership numbers, he'll likely pass entirely on rostering Aberg this Masters week.

Positive Taek
Pure ball-striker suits Augusta at appealing odds

Sean Fairholm recommended Ludvig Aberg at attractive odds (+1800), noting Augusta National has evolved into a course rewarding elite ball strikers due to lengthened holes—this fits Aberg perfectly. Despite recent struggles like two consecutive missed cuts, Fairholm highlighted Aberg's significant upside, exemplified by nearly winning the Masters as a rookie and capturing victory earlier at the Genesis Invitational. Labeling Aberg as a potential future World No. 1, Fairholm encouraged backing him both outright and in top-five finish betting markets (+315), as he fits the type of player profile needed to emerge atop Augusta's leaderboard.

Winner
+4000
Positive Taek
Emerging star poised for major breakthrough at Augusta

Matt Chivers pinpointed Ludvig Aberg as an attractive betting candidate for the 2025 Masters at 18/1 odds, given his impressive Augusta debut performance in 2024. Aberg finished runner-up after pushing eventual champion Scottie Scheffler late into the final round, gaining over two strokes putting—a significant improvement for an otherwise inconsistent putter—alongside excellent ball-striking stats (over one stroke gained off-the-tee and approach). Throughout 2024, Aberg further proved his substantial potential by recording top finishes in premier events like the Memorial (T5), Scottish Open (T4), and Pebble Beach (2nd). His big-game capability was underscored by winning the Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines in 2025. Aberg’s towering drives and elite iron play, evidenced by ranking 7th overall in strokes gained and 14th in strokes gained off-the-tee on the PGA Tour, suit Augusta National's layout perfectly. While putting inconsistencies have been his main challenge historically, his strong performance on Augusta's notoriously difficult greens indicates potential improvement, making him a strong contender and solid bet moving into his second Masters appearance.

Winner
+4000
Positive Taek
Breakout candidate with elite scoring upside

Bo McBrayer is high on Ludvig Aberg heading into the 2025 Masters due to his impressive debut last year, almost winning the tournament in his first-ever major start. McBrayer appreciates Aberg's scoring mentality and killer instinct, likening him to major competitor Brooks Koepka. Noting Aberg's remarkable upside and capability to dramatically separate from the field, McBrayer considers current odds (+2000 odds outright) as the shortest acceptable price he'd bet on him, but remains excited about the young Swede's tournament potential.

Winner
+4000
Negative Taek
Risky Augusta profile makes fade-worthy Scandinavian favorite

Byron Lindeque labeled Ludvig Aberg as running a 'Ponzi scheme' due to his unsustainable reliance on elite putting in his debut Masters appearance. Byron highlighted Aberg's disastrous chipping metrics, losing over seven strokes around greens in majors last year—a glaring liability at Augusta. With Aberg entering the Masters in poor form and reliant on putting significantly better than his career norm, Byron aggressively recommended fading Aberg in the top Scandinavian market, preferring Viktor Hovland or longer-shot picks instead.

Top Nation
+107
Positive Taek
Under-the-radar DFS upside after recent missed cuts

Skylar Hoke suggested that despite recent missed cuts at Players Championship and Valero Texas Open, Ludvig Aberg represents sneaky DFS upside at Augusta. Aberg's volatile but high-ceiling game, including an improbable Sunday comeback win earlier this year, combined with last year's Masters debut finishing second, positions him as a potentially overlooked appealing DFS selection. Priced directly between elite golfers Collin Morikawa and Rory McIlroy, Aberg's recent struggles should lower public roster percentage, making him a strong contrarian DFS candidate.

Negative Taek
Concerning recent form makes outright bet risky despite upside

While praising Ludvig Aberg's obvious upside and strong debut at Augusta last year, finishing solo second, Pat Fitzmaurice expressed reservations about placing an outright bet on Aberg at +2000 because of concerning recent form. Fitzmaurice underscored that Aberg missed the cut in both of his last two events, noting how unusual it would be for a Masters champion to enter with recent struggles. Despite acknowledging his elite talent and mental composure shown last year, Fitzmaurice confessed this recent form trend is enough reason for skepticism about Aberg's outright betting prospects this week.

Negative Taek
Fading Aberg despite major tournament upside

Brandon Gdula advised DFS lineups should avoid Ludvig Aberg, despite Aberg's striking performance (runner-up finish) in last year's Masters debut. Gdula argued Aberg doesn't match up statistically alongside other top golfers at his premium pricing, noting Aberg's season-long metrics haven't been strong enough to justify the salary. While acknowledging Aberg's future potential, Gdula emphasized not being able to roster every premium golfer; therefore, he prefers alternatives with stronger statistical foundations like Collin Morikawa or Jon Rahm and thus won't be rostering Aberg this week.

Negative Taek
Significant disadvantage for Masters debutant

Steve Bamford highlighted doubts about Ludvig Aberg's chances at Augusta due to his limited experience and weaknesses in approach play compared to what Augusta historically demands. Bamford noted that Aberg's iron play, a critical skill at Augusta, is notably less precise than the required standard at the Masters, especially for someone without previous Masters experience. Furthermore, he pointed out that historically, success at Augusta normally follows multiple prior appearances where players develop course knowledge and strategic familiarity, both of which Aberg significantly lacks in his debut. Thus, Bamford urged bettors and DFS players to avoid Aberg at this Masters.

Negative Taek
Short-game woes damaging Masters outlook

Neil Parker is skeptical of Ludvig Aberg’s chances at Augusta due to recent putting struggles. Aberg, who finished second at last year's Masters, has recently missed consecutive cuts—primarily due to losing true strokes on the green in both events. The problems are compounded by inconsistent approach play. Given Augusta’s reliance on precision around challenging greens, Parker sees significant reason for concern this week for Aberg.

Positive Taek
Strong Masters Contender due to exceptional long iron play

Wes Reynolds recognized Ludvig Aberg as a legitimate Masters 2025 contender, highlighting his exceptional ability from tee-to-green, specifically off the tee (12th for strokes gained), and his elite proficiency with long irons, ranking first on the PGA TOUR in approaches over 200 yards. Reynolds noted the importance of this skill set given Augusta National's length (7,500-yard golf course). The analyst also added confidence due to Aberg's comeback from last year's runner-up finish at Augusta and his recent victory at the Genesis Invitational—a notable Signature event—for his largest career win to date. Reynolds additionally acknowledged Aberg's full recovery from a torn meniscus injury that hindered much of his 2024 performance.

Negative Taek
Potential superstar but still unproven at majors

Robby Kalland recommended avoiding betting heavily on Ludvig Aberg due to lingering proof required on the major stage despite high upside. Although Aberg posted an impressive runner-up finish at his Masters debut last year and is considered golf's next young star, he remains relatively untested in the most pressurized environments. Until he proves capable of closing such events at only 25 years old, betting hesitancy is advised.

Negative Taek
Fade due to shaky recent form and popularity

Mike McClure advises against rostering Ludvig Aberg in 2025 Masters fantasy lineups because of his inconsistent recent play and expected high ownership. Despite Aberg finishing second at last year's Masters and having short odds (14-1), his recent performances raise concern—he missed the Players Championship cut and struggled in four of his first six PGA Tour events this season, finishing outside the top 20. Additionally, after his runner-up debut at Augusta, Aberg missed the weekend cut at two of the following three major championships, making him a potential trap for fantasy managers.

Positive Taek
Strong candidate after last year's near miss and recent win

BetMGM sees Ludvig Aberg as an attractive choice for the 2025 Masters based on strong recent form and past Masters performance. Last year, Aberg nearly ended the longstanding trend of first-timers struggling at Augusta, narrowly missing victory and finishing runner-up. While illness held him back in January and February, he quickly rebounded with a significant victory at the Genesis Invitational where he gained 10 strokes tee-to-green—third-highest of his career. Known for his elite ball striking, Aberg is well positioned to succeed in the Masters tournament this year.

Winner
+4000
Positive Taek
Overpriced DFS contender sets up as contrarian GPP play

Geoff Ulrich suggests Ludvig Aberg as a uniquely contrarian DFS tournament play for the 2025 Masters despite recent struggles (two consecutive missed cuts). Aberg enters the event significantly overpriced compared to similar LIV players such as Rahm and DeChambeau. Yet Ulrich argues that this inflated pricing—due to early salary release—will drive ownership far lower than his actual winning potential merits, providing GPP entrants a rare high-upside player with suppressed popularity. Though acknowledging the risk Aberg brings due to recent form, Ulrich stresses that Aberg’s elite talent (having won on tour within the past two months) can be leveraged in large-field tournament formats to set lineups apart from the competition.

Negative Taek
Exceptional putter unsustainable, caution advised despite ball striking

Pat Mayo expressed caution about Ludvig Aberg's outlook at the 2025 Masters after labeling his recent elite putting performance as unsustainable. Despite his excellent ball striking, including strong off-the-tee and approach play, Mayo noted Aberg struggled significantly around the greens, vividly recalling watching him mishit a chip shot at Valero Texas Open. Mayo compared Aberg's short-game struggles to Viktor Hovland, highlighting that this weakness could severely hurt him at Augusta, a course notoriously demanding precision around the greens. Mayo emphasized concern about the extreme 8-stroke putting gain being unrepeatable and ultimately unsustainable for outright winning potential, suggesting caution and skepticism about Aberg's chances at Augusta this year.

Negative Taek
Avoid due to recent erratic form despite previous Masters success

David Barnett advised fading Ludvig Aberg in Masters DFS lineups. Barnett expressed concern over Aberg's recent inconsistent form, notably his spotty ball striking, subpar short game, and volatile putting performance. Although Aberg impressed at his Masters debut previously—largely driven by an unsustainable eight-stroke gained putting performance—Barnett emphasized this performance looks like an outlier rather than something repeatable. Despite having Joe Skovron on the bag as a positive factor, the overall level of inconsistency made Barnett confident Aberg is a beneficial fade this year compared to similarly priced DFS options in the high-priced range.

Negative Taek
Short game and caddy questions limit betting appeal

Pat Mayo expressed concern about betting Ludvig Aberg at current odds of 15/1 for the Masters due to significant shortcomings in two key areas: short game proficiency and caddy effectiveness. Despite Ludvig's burgeoning reputation and remarkable runner-up finish last year, Mayo highlighted Ludvig’s struggles in short game performance, especially around Augusta where precision and finesse are critical. Additionally, Mayo scrutinized Ludvig’s caddy, Joe Skovron, noting Skovron’s questionable track record in major championships with Rickie Fowler, who had close calls but often failed to convert when it mattered most. Mayo emphasized his skepticism that Skovron could help Ludvig elevate his play enough to actually win the Masters, even though Ludvig already demonstrated the raw talent to contend with his runner-up finish previously. Ultimately, Mayo finds it unlikely Ludvig will go from runner-up to winner this quickly, along with the unusual indicator of Ludvig missing a cut in his recent play—a statistic rarely associated with past Masters champions.

Positive Taek
Emerging star potential makes appealing DFS selection

Pat Mayo highlighted Ludvig Aberg as a compelling DFS play due to his rising star power and exposure from TGL events. Mayo credited Aberg with a strong performance in last year's Masters, where he played in the penultimate group, indicating he's already capable of competing on major stages. Additionally, Mayo pointed out Aberg's increased public visibility in TGL competition alongside stars like Billy Horschel and Wyndham Clark, which significantly elevated his profile. Incorporating a promising young talent with clear upside, Mayo targeted Aberg as a standout player likely to provide DFS value and a potential future cornerstone player on the PGA Tour level.

Positive Taek
DFS upside attractive for second Masters appearance

Despite not necessarily liking Ludvig Aberg at the Valero Texas Open, Bo McBrayer enthusiastically touts Aberg as an appealing DFS play in his second appearance at Augusta National for The Masters. McBrayer indicates Augusta National suits Aberg's skillset considerably better than TPC San Antonio. Although he doesn't elaborate extensively on specific statistics, McBrayer's enthusiasm centers around Aberg's potential breakout on golf's biggest stage, making him an attractive DFS play due to potential depressed pricing and expected upside.

Positive Taek
Poised to bounce back with strong top-5 showing

Cam DaSilva backed Ludvig Aberg for a top-5 finish at the Valero Texas Open, viewing this tournament as a prime opportunity for the favorite to rebound after a missed cut at the Players Championship. DaSilva noted Aberg's elite length and accuracy off the tee, mentioning how well his game suits TPC San Antonio, a course that poses minimal challenges to his style.

Positive Taek
High leverage top-priced option worth paying up for

Zach Thompson advised DFS players to confidently pay up for Ludvig Aberg this week at the Valero Texas Open due to his highly favorable leverage situation. Aberg currently leads the field in SimLeverage, which indicates he has the highest chance of landing in the optimal lineup according to thousands of simulations from FantasyLabs. Despite possessing the top Perfect% (optimal lineup probability), his ownership projection remains moderate. Adding validation, Zach pointed out that Aberg leads the event in Pro Trends matched, has the best Vegas odds to win, and also has the highest median and ceiling projections. Aberg has delivered promising early-season results including victory at the Genesis Invitational, T5 at The Sentry, and T22 at Bay Hill. Additionally, he improved significantly in his second appearance at TPC San Antonio, climbing to T14 after missing the cut in his debut, reinforcing that he's well-equipped to perform strongly again.

Positive Taek
Good positional play due to favorable course and wind comfort

Matt Gannon tentatively supports Ludvig Aberg as a positional bet at the Valero Texas Open. While not strongly recommending Aberg outright at shorter odds, Matt points to Aberg's win at a similar, shorter Bermuda course (RSM Classic) where hitting wedges and short irons well is important. He also notes Aberg's comfort with Texas conditions and wind, considering his college golf background in Texas. Matt sees Aberg potentially being within three or four shots of the lead heading into Sunday, making a 12-1 bet acceptable in that scenario, but prefers positioning bets rather than outright at the current numbers.

Positive Taek
Elite off-tee skills set for breakthrough at familiar course

Ben Coley strongly backs Ludvig Aberg to contend at the Valero Texas Open, noting Aberg's elite strokes-gained off-the-tee ranking at the Oaks Course last year, as well as his familiarity from collegiate events. Despite recently struggling at challenging Florida layouts like TPC Sawgrass, Coley emphasizes Aberg returning to a course he knows well in Texas—where ball-striking is crucial—as a significant advantage. Coley argues Aberg's odds should realistically be single-digit rather than 12/1, given his tee-to-green prowess and strong overall fit for this event.

Negative Taek
Skip betting favorite due to poor course fit

Bo McBrayer is advising to fade betting favorite Ludvig Aberg (12-1 odds) at the 2025 Valero Texas Open due to a poor fit with TPC San Antonio. Despite his general talent, Aberg struggles particularly with scrambling and short game—two key skills required for success here. While it wouldn't shock McBrayer if Aberg performs well because of his elite ball striking, he strongly believes Aberg's current short-game limitations make his betting odds unattractive this week, given the golf course's demands.

Positive Taek
Bounce-back candidate after Players missed cut

Brian Giuffra highlighted Ludvig Aberg as the betting favorite and a strong bounce-back candidate at the Valero Texas Open, following a disappointing missed cut at the Players Championship. Aberg already has claimed victory earlier this year at Torrey Pines and was runner-up at last year's Masters to Scottie Scheffler. Considering his past ability to perform well in prestigious events and his need to regain form before Augusta, Giuffra sees this event as an important tune-up week for the Swede.

Positive Taek
Top-five best betting market due to volatility

Byron Lindeque specifically targeted Ludvig Aberg as a perfect top-five betting candidate at +240 for Valero, rather than less profitable low-upside bets like top-20 or outright win. Byron detailed that over the last 15 months, consistently betting Aberg in the top-5 market yielded clear profits while other markets lost money consistently due to his volatile play. Byron emphasized strongly avoiding lower-variance bets on Aberg, highlighting top-5 bets capitalizing on his periodic high upside spikes as the preferred strategy.

Positive Taek
Elite ceiling and favorable Texas course fit

Matt Gannon highlighted Ludvig Aberg as a strong DFS choice at the Valero Texas Open. Despite Aberg being the highest-priced golfer and favorite, Gannon noted he might go lower-owned as he hasn't dominated lately. Ludvig's Texas college experience and powerful driving leading into short irons and wedges make him an excellent course fit. Gannon compared him winning against a similarly weaker field at the RSM Classic and forecasts he possesses genuine winning upside here, adding momentum going into the Masters.

Negative Taek
Questionable favorite despite recent marquee victory

Kevin Cunningham raised doubts about Ludvig Aberg's viability as the betting favorite at the 2025 Valero Texas Open. Despite winning the prestigious Genesis Invitational earlier in the season, Cunningham noted Aberg's form outside of that victory has been inconsistent. Aberg's previous performance at the Valero Texas Open, finishing T14, is respectable but doesn't fully justify the short odds (+1200) he's receiving. Cunningham emphasized the potential risk in backing Aberg given his uneven recent tournament results, suggesting caution for bettors despite his runner-up finish at last year's Masters following the Valero.

Negative Taek
Top favorite likely to disappoint due to recent struggles

Mike McClure's SportsLine simulation strongly suggests that Ludvig Aberg, the odds-on favorite for the Valero Texas Open, will significantly underperform this week. Despite winning at the Genesis Invitational earlier this season and starting strong with a T-5 finish at The Sentry, Aberg is suffering from a notable dip in performance recently. Over his past two tournaments, Aberg finished T-22 or worse and missed the cut at a high-profile event, The Players Championship. Analytical data highlights critical weaknesses: he's currently ranked just 99th in strokes gained: approach to the green at -0.033, and an even lower 130th in driving accuracy at only 54.81 percent. Additionally, issues surfaced on the greens, as Aberg ranks poorly at 98th in strokes gained putting (-0.002) and 161st in total putting (261.8). Such struggles are particularly damaging at TPC San Antonio—a course demanding precise ball-striking and steady putting—thus making Aberg a risky and lower-value betting option despite his favored status.

Positive Taek
Neutral outlook despite superior talent level

Rick Gehman likes Ludvig Aberg's elite talent level this week at the Valero Texas Open but suggested tempered expectations due to course fit concerns. Aberg is clearly the most talented player in the field and historically has impressive ball-striking at TPC San Antonio—gaining six strokes off-the-tee last year en route to a T14 finish. However, Gehman noted recent struggles with approach play and weaknesses on and around the greens as reasons for caution. Ultimately, he concludes Aberg will perform well, but due to his high price point and slight concerns about recent form, Gehman intends only to match the field's exposure level rather than actively exceeding it.

Negative Taek
Surprising first-round selection offers diminished value compared to top-tier names

Pat Mayo questioned the logic behind selecting Ludvig Aberg with the sixth overall pick in an Underdog majors fantasy draft, expressing surprise given the availability of higher tiered golfers who have proven major-winning upside. Mayo argued that Aberg's selection would hold diminished value relative to more established and strategically sound picks like Xander Schauffele, who recently topped the field in approach at Valspar and has substantial major tournament pedigree—including two wins last season—as more suitable options at that stage of the draft.

Positive Taek
Generational driving gives Sawgrass advantage

Keith Stewart highly touts Ludvig Aberg at TPC Sawgrass due to his transformational advantage off the tee. Stewart points out that in his Players debut in 2024, Aberg secured an eighth-place finish despite subpar putting—a signal of his massive upside. Emphasizing Aberg's elite combination of driving distance and accuracy, Stewart mentions the player's ability to reach fairway positions inaccessible to others, markedly increasing his scoring opportunities. Alongside superb short- and long-approach play, reliable scrambling talent, and impressive birdie-or-better rates, Stewart considers Aberg uniquely equipped among favorites to challenge the world's top-ranked players.

Positive Taek
Ideal fit for Players Championship despite recent struggles

Pat Mayo is backing Ludvig Aberg for a strong outing at the Players Championship, dismissing recent isolated struggles like Aberg's disastrous third round at Arnold Palmer Invitational as anomalies. Aberg held the first-round lead at Farmers before illness derailed him, and even with a poor weekend at Bay Hill, he managed a T-22 finish. His other recent performances included a win, a top-5, and a minor withdrawal. Mayo emphasizes two key reasons for his pick: the significance of recent form and iron play at Sawgrass in March, with Aberg excelling in these areas in his prior appearances. Following an impressive T-8 finish last year at Sawgrass, Mayo believes Aberg has the optimal combination of tee-to-green game and approach accuracy for success at this prestigious event.

Positive Taek
Ideal sleeper pick with local familiarity

Derek Farnsworth praised Ludvig Aberg's potential this week at The Players Championship, highlighting several factors signaling upside. Despite recent form being suboptimal due to playing an event while ill, Farnsworth stressed that his stats are misleading. Importantly, Aberg now lives near TPC Sawgrass, reportedly playing the course frequently in preparation, and he finished 8th last year in his debut. Farnsworth believes this local familiarity combined with his strong driving game presents a high-upside sleeper option, especially if public DFS ownership remains modest.

Positive Taek
Course aligns perfectly with strengths despite driving limitations

Matt Every reinforced confidence in Ludvig Aberg at TPC Sawgrass, believing the golf course specifically fits his style even though the layout won't allow Aberg to unleash his driver consistently. Every emphasized Aberg's overall skill set and impressive form tee-to-green. He remarked confidently that Aberg's game matches perfectly with the precision demands Sawgrass presents, positioning him as a very attractive DFS and betting selection despite a recent off-course distraction and disappointing recent finish.

Positive Taek
Clear choice for top nationality bet against weak competition

Ben Coley firmly recommends Ludvig Aberg as an appealing favorite at odds of 4/9 in the top Swedish player bet at THE PLAYERS Championship due to his overwhelming talent edge. Coley highlights that Aberg is manifestly superior to the other two Swedish players competing—rookie Jesper Svensson, who struggled greatly last weekend, and Henrik Norlander, who is notably poor at Sawgrass with previous rounds totaling 13-over. Coley confidently forecasts a straightforward victory in this market for Aberg, noting that he considerably enhances the value of Coley's recommended nationality market treble.

Positive Taek
Experienced caddy boosts chances at TPC Sawgrass

Keith Stewart noted Ludvig Aberg as a strong DFS pick at THE PLAYERS Championship due to having caddy Joe Skovron, who previously helped Rickie Fowler win at TPC Sawgrass. Stewart, who has walked several rounds with Aberg this year, highlighted the excellent synergy between player and caddy as a distinct advantage. Stewart also praised Aberg's exceptional ball striking and consistency, suggesting these traits combined with veteran caddy experience make Aberg an enticing DFS selection with solid upside.

Positive Taek
Ready to bounce back for big win

Casey Johnston recommends backing Ludvig Aberg (+1800) at THE PLAYERS Championship, citing his strong closing round (4-under) performance following a poor Saturday at Arnold Palmer Invitational. Johnston views the bounce-back finish as a positive indicator signaling Aberg's readiness for another win in what he has dubbed the 'Year of Aberg.'