Kelley Bydlon’s lone outright is Ludvig Aberg at roughly 20-1. Aberg has gained strokes with the flat stick in five of his last seven starts and is gaining across the board in ball-striking. He owns three top-10 finishes over his last four events, and Bydlon believes East Lake’s emphasis on total driving and long-iron approach fits Aberg’s strengths perfectly. The only real fear is Scottie Scheffler, so Bydlon supplemented the outright with a small Scheffler-Aberg exacta at 18-1, effectively creating upside while acknowledging the favorite. The take: keep riding Aberg’s upward trajectory before sportsbooks fully price him among the elite.

McBrayer urged bettors to fade Ludvig Aberg despite three top-10s in his last four starts. He explained that Aberg’s once-elite approach numbers have cratered since an off-season swing tweak, and the Swede still sits near the bottom of the TOUR in scrambling—29th of 30 this week—both crucial at East Lake, where missed fairways lead to delicate up-and-downs. The venue’s demand for precision and short-game touch, skills Aberg ‘hasn’t shown in months,’ makes Bo pass entirely on outright or placement bets.

Barnett pegged Ludvig Aberg at 16-to-1 as his other outright dart. After a quiet mid-season Aberg is "starting to show back up again," just in time for the Ryder Cup, and Barnett believes that surge in form gives him the second-best shot of catching Scheffler at East Lake.

Brian Giuffra stayed on Ludvig Aberg at +1800 after cashing a T7 ticket on him at the BMW. Giuffra cited nearly two strokes gained per round both off-the-tee and on approach during Aberg’s last four events, elite indicators for East Lake’s length. Although the Swede struggled with the putter here in 2024, Giuffra pointed to strong results on Bermudagrass at TPC Southwind and Bay Hill as proof the flat stick can cooperate. With the course suiting his power/finesse combo, Giuffra expects a breakout victory.

Rick Gehman said he will be overweight on Ludvig Aberg in every DFS format and in head-to-head or “without Scheffler” betting markets. Since the Memorial, Aberg has gained at least one stroke both off-the-tee and on approach in every start, ranks third in ball-striking over the last 24 rounds (behind only Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland) and has finally solved the short game, gaining around the green in four straight and with the putter in three of his last four events. Gehman noted Eastlake’s demand for length and accuracy fits Aberg’s profile and allows salary relief in the 9K range, planning a 60/20/20 lineup split of Scheffler, Rory and Aberg if he were entering 100 lineups.

Rick Gehman highlighted Ludvig Aberg as the type of high-ceiling pivot who could steal the FedEx Cup with everyone starting at even par. Aberg ranks third in ball-striking over the last 24 rounds—trailing only Scheffler and Viktor Hovland—and has gained at least one stroke both off the tee and on approach in every start since the Memorial. Gehman emphasized the Swede’s combination of length and accuracy, a premium at East Lake’s penal fairways, and is considering swapping some Rory shares to Aberg at $10,100 to gain salary relief and differentiate builds.

Pat Mayo said Ludvig Aberg rates as one of the best outright and DraftKings punts if he sneaks into Eastlake. Mayo’s custom Rabbithole model filtered the last seven months of strokes-gained off-the-tee on driver-heavy tracks with ‘miss-fairway high-to-average’ penalties, the exact setup at Eastlake. Aberg graded second overall behind only Scottie Scheffler and is coming off a Sunday 6-under round at Southwind that vaulted him back into the FedEx Cup mix. His length advantage, recent approach spike, and projected single-digit ownership make him a high-leverage target for both betting cards and DFS player pools.

Cody Williams selected Ludvig Aberg at +2500, noting the Swede owns three consecutive Top-25 finishes (two Top-10s) and is "10th in SG: Off-the-Tee" while sitting 11th in Strokes Gained: Approach over his last 24 rounds. Williams emphasized Aberg’s rare combo of distance and accuracy will be even more valuable on a firmer, faster, par-70 Caves Valley. He also pointed out that in a similarly set-up BMW a year ago, Aberg finished T2, arguing "let’s do one better this week" on a course he clearly likes and a statistical profile that mirrors every key metric the panel is targeting.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Kyle Murray recommended backing Ludvig Aberg 0.25 units outright at +2200 and 1 unit for a Top-10 at +180. Murray noted that Aberg owns two top-10 finishes in his last three starts and has climbed to 12th in the field in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 20 rounds. Pairing that improved iron play with Aberg’s already elite off-the-tee numbers makes Caves Valley—long, par-70 at 7,601 yards—a spot Murray believes suits him perfectly. Murray concluded that if the recent ball-striking travels, Aberg has a legitimate chance to contend in this no-cut playoff event.

Mark Giannotto highlighted Ludvig Aberg at +1800 after quoting Sportsbook Wire’s note that the Swede’s recent run — T-8 at the Genesis Scottish Open, T-23 at the Open Championship, and T-9 last week at the FedEx St. Jude — shows a clear upward trajectory. Giannotto emphasized that Caves Valley is playing longer this year with thicker rough, a profile that rewards Aberg’s combination of elite carry distance and above-average driving accuracy. The course fit, paired with his three straight top-25 finishes against stronger fields, makes Aberg a live outright bet and an aggressive DFS anchor.

Andy Lack projected a T17-ish finish for Ludvig Aberg, noting the Swede habitually mixes one even-par round into otherwise strong weeks—exactly what happened Saturday in Memphis. While acknowledging Aberg’s Torrey Pines victory and overall talent, Lack sees inconsistency that caps win equity and suggests holding off on outright tickets or core DFS exposure until the four-round ceiling shows up.

Jim Sannes said Ludvig Aberg is his preferred consolation play at $10,600 if roster construction forces him off Rory McIlroy. Aberg brings elite distance and has jumped to 13th in ball-striking over the last 36 rounds, yet is the cheapest golfer in FanDuel’s second-tier pricing cluster. Sannes acknowledged some short-game volatility but believes the combination of raw power, trending approach play and discounted salary gives Aberg the upside needed to compete in GPPs.

McBrayer tagged Ludvig Aberg as his favorite play in the sub-40/1 range. He argued Caves Valley’s point-and-shoot layout minimizes short-game concerns and accentuates Aberg’s strengths: elite ball-striking and plus distance. Recent results back the form—8th at the Scottish Open, 23rd at the Open Championship, and 9th at the FedEx St. Jude. In what Bo expects to be a birdie fest, he trusts Aberg’s ability to go low and sees odds in the mid-30s as a steal.

Farnsworth is overweight on Ludvig Aberg as a ceiling play even though the model ranks him lower than salary peers. Aberg is “one of the best drivers of the ball in the world,” has gained strokes on approach in seven consecutive starts, and profiles perfectly for a 7,600-yard par-70 that will demand drivers on nearly 80 % of tee shots and long-iron approaches beyond 200 yards. Pairing Aberg with another 10K stud yields a distance-heavy, low-owned core that can take advantage of the no-cut format.

Gannon endorsed Ludvig Aberg at $10,200 even if ownership is high. Aberg’s T9 at TPC Southwind featured ‘all-green’ strokes-gained numbers, and he currently flashes some of the Tour’s steadiest ball striking. Long and straight off the tee, Aberg fits the Caves Valley driver-heavy setup, and Gannon thinks steady form soon converts into a win—making him a strong DFS core play.

Brady Kannon backed Ludvig Aberg at 22-1, stressing that Caves Valley has been stretched to 7,600 yards and converted to a Par 70, which historically rewards players who gain strokes off the tee. Aberg ranked 5th in SG: Off the Tee and 14th in Driving Accuracy last week in Memphis and owns the length Kannon covets after modeling Driving Distance, Ball-Striking, and Birdies or Better. The Swede already collected his second PGA Tour win this season at another driver-heavy venue (Torrey Pines) and has two top-10 finishes in his last three starts, plus a T-12 at Pinehurst’s U.S. Open. Kannon thinks that combination of recent form, bentgrass putting comfort, and course fit makes Aberg a strong outright play.

Rick Gehman slotted Ludvig Aberg third in the 10K tier behind Scheffler and Rory, citing a massive tee-to-green upswing. Aberg gained five strokes tee-to-green en route to a T-9 at Southwind and has totaled roughly 15 strokes tee-to-green over his last 12 competitive rounds (Scottish, Open, St. Jude). Although he has no history at Caves Valley, Gehman dismissed that as irrelevant because the course offers few secrets to elite talents. He plans to take overweight DFS exposure to Aberg and fade the rest of the 10K crowd outside his top three.

Kenny Kim locked Ludvig Aberg in as his first cash-game cornerstone for BMW DFS builds. Kim loves Aberg’s field-leading strokes-gained off-the-tee numbers and his ability to spike with the putter—two skills he thinks Caves Valley will reward. Pivoting off the chalkier Patrick Cantlay/Xander Schauffele pairings that burned him recently, Kim sees Aberg’s $10K-plus salary as a high-floor, high-ceiling anchor around which he can comfortably construct balanced lineups.

Kenny Kim said he is betting Ludvig Aberg at 33-1 with three places for the BMW Championship because the course rewards "driver-putter" specialists and Aberg checks both boxes. Kim noted Aberg ranks among the very best drivers on Tour and has already gained 3+ strokes putting in 25 percent of his PGA Tour starts. The Swede has gained on approach in five straight measured events over the last 10 weeks, suggesting the iron play is trending with the flat stick. Kim expects another lift-clean-and-place setup that will keep greens-in-regulation near 70 percent, minimizing short-game importance and allowing Aberg’s length and spike-putting profile to separate. Kim thinks the recent middling finishes were simply variance and Aberg “gets back on track” this week.

Kenny Kim opened his outright card with Ludvig Aberg for the BMW Championship, arguing that Caves Valley lines up perfectly for Aberg’s power-plus-putter profile. Kim noted that the Swede has gained strokes on approach in five straight events and sits near the top of this field in driving distance – a crucial edge at a par-70 that now stretches past 7,600 yards. Just as important, Aberg is an explosive "spike" putter: in 48 recorded ShotLink rounds he has gained 3-plus strokes with the flat stick 12 times, a 25 % clip. Kim reminded listeners that when the Tour last visited Caves Valley (2021) every player who finished T9 or better ranked top-18 in putting and top-10 off the tee, reinforcing the driver-putter narrative. With no cut, narrowed-but-still-wide fairways and at least 25 birdies likely needed to win, Kim believes Aberg’s combination of length, iron consistency, and volatile putting gives him true slate-breaking upside in both outright betting markets and large-field DFS contests.

Dom Cintorino wants to open his outright card with Ludvig Aberg at 22-1. Cintorino loves that Aberg has gained strokes both off-the-tee and on approach in every start since the Memorial, noting the Swede’s game log is "all green." Caves Valley is long with generous landing areas, allowing Aberg to weaponize a driver that is simultaneously long and straight. Even though Aberg projects to be one of the chalkier plays of the week, Cintorino believes the combination of recent ball-striking form, distance, and a no-cut format makes the low-20s price fair for betting and highly attractive in DFS builds.

Bo McBrayer urged bettors to avoid Ludvig Aberg at 28-1. His model ranks Aberg 48th of 70 and the Swede is not top-10 in any key category. Mid-iron approach play has cratered, scrambling is 59th, and driver accuracy has turned ‘erratic.’ Bo said he wouldn’t touch an outright even at 50-1 and expects Aberg to struggle as the playoffs begin.

Pat Mayo likes Ludvig Aberg as a value-priced outright at the FedEx St. Jude. He noted that DraftKings has Aberg priced below Russell Henley by $700 despite Aberg owning comparable win equity, making him an attractive start in two-stud builds alongside Viktor Hovland. Mayo believes the mis-pricing plus lower exposure compared to the Scottie/Xander chalk gives Aberg both leverage and strong ROI in DFS and betting cards.

Pat Mayo said Aberg sets up perfectly for TPC South-wind because the fairways are among the narrowest on Tour and missing them usually means hacking out of four-inch Bermudagrass. Mayo argued Aberg’s combination of top-tier distance and a proven +1.3 SG-Approach baseline allows him to score even when he is in the rough, a profile that has translated at other big-driver venues like Torrey Pines. Mayo expects the Swede to pick up strokes on approach from 175-225 yards and capitalize on four reachable par-5s, making him a core DraftKings play and an outright consideration.

Pat Mayo endorsed Ludvig Aberg as an outright and core DFS piece, arguing that Southwind’s layout amplifies Aberg’s elite driver. Tournament data shows players hit driver 81 percent of the time here last year versus a 68 percent Tour average, making distance plus accuracy paramount. Mayo called Aberg “probably the longest, straightest player out there most weeks,” and expects him to gain strokes by simply avoiding the water and giving himself birdie looks. With scrambling statistically 11-39 percent easier than Tour norms, Mayo is willing to overlook Aberg’s spotty around-the-green numbers, banking on his tee-to-green advantage and birdie rate to chase the –15 to –17 winning score historically needed at this par-70. Aberg will headline Mayo’s Scheffler-less GPP builds and is on his outright card at 28-1.

Mayo’s second outright is on Ludvig Aberg at 28-1, betting the talented Swede’s ball-striking can break through in the first FedEx playoff stop.

Ben Coley advised a 3-point each-way bet on Ludvig Aberg at 28/1, arguing that Southwind’s demand for pure ball-striking is tailor-made for the Swede. Aberg was 10th in strokes-gained off-the-tee here last year and slightly positive with his approaches despite a disastrous week around the greens, showing the long-game foundation Southwind rewards. Since 1 June his iron play has flipped from losing roughly 0.5 strokes per round to gaining 0.76, pushing his overall tee-to-green gain above +2 per round—an eight-shot improvement over 72 holes. Coley compared Aberg’s trajectory to Will Zalatoris, noting parallel flashes (nearly winning the Masters on debut, excelling at Torrey Pines where Aberg captured this year’s Genesis). While Aberg’s chipping and streaky putting remain concerns, Coley believes the recent surge in long-game form coupled with Southwind’s status as “arguably the number-one tee-to-green course on Tour” makes 28/1 generous value.

Tindall highlighted Ludvig Aberg (25/1) as the ultimate birdie generator for Betfair’s promo after the Swede led last week’s Scottish Open with 22 par breakers (20 birdies, two eagles). Twelve came in his first two rounds, confirming immediate scoring punch. Earlier in the season Aberg opened the Masters with a 70 containing five birdies and has already posted 2nd and 7th at Augusta plus 12th at the US Open in limited major appearances. Fresh off an 8th-place finish at the Renaissance Club, Aberg’s combination of fearless driving and hot irons makes him a prime candidate to pepper Portrush’s flags and pile up free bets while contending for the title.

Byron Lindeque pulled Ludvig Aberg’s recent strokes-gained splits and flagged a glaring weekly trend: in the ten Saturday rounds he’s recorded this season, Aberg is giving away roughly 0.75 strokes to the field, yet he rebounds to gain an average of 1.7 strokes on Sundays. Lindeque called it a clear 'Saturday problem' that resurfaced again last week when Aberg 'bombed out' in Round 3. The data implies elevated Round-3 volatility and a potential buy-back opportunity for Round-4 Showdown or live betting, but warrants caution when you’re locking in 72-hole outrights or DFS lineups that rely on four clean weekend rounds.

Noonan lumped Ludvig Aberg into his ‘fade’ bucket alongside Hovland, calling the Swede’s sub-30-1 outright price far too short given recent volatility. He highlighted that Aberg has not strung four clean rounds together since early spring, losing strokes around the green in four of his last five starts while ranking outside the top-100 in scrambling from tight lies. Royal Troon’s shaved run-offs demand creativity with bump-and-runs—shots Aberg has yet to demonstrate at the professional level. Until the wedge play stabilises and the Swede slows his rapid-fire pre-shot routine, Noonan plans to oppose him in head-to-heads and ignore him in outright markets.

Although Aberg’s talent is undeniable, Lack listed him as his least-favorite $9k option because Royal Portrush places a premium on scrambling. Aberg’s short game remains an obvious weakness, and on Colt’s tiny greens that tilt into tight run-offs Lack expects those around-the-green deficiencies to be exposed, making the Swede an avoid at $9,100.

Shane Bacon said Ludvig Aberg is a stay-away at Port Rush because the Swede keeps shooting himself in the foot at the worst possible times. Bacon cited Saturday’s triple bogey in his most recent start: a wild iron OB, a fringe chip raced eight feet past, and a missed comebacker that turned a bogey into a snowman. He added that Aberg is constantly short-siding himself, three-putting, and chasing unattainable flags. The major résumé backs it up—outside of one good week at Pinehurst, Aberg has either missed the cut or finished well outside contention in every non-Masters major. Compared with Xander Schauffele’s steady early-career major record, Bacon argued Aberg’s trend is alarming and reason enough to bet against him lifting the claret jug.

Rick Gehman said he plans to be OVER-weight on Ludvig Aberg despite acknowledging Aberg is, in his words, "more inconsistent than he's ever been." Gehman pointed to Aberg’s T-8 at the Scottish Open where the Swede mixed stretches of miserable golf with dominant ball-striking yet still finished top-10 and produced a complete strokes-gained profile. Gehman is willing to live with that volatility in DFS tournaments because Aberg owns week-winning upside every time he tees it up. Although Aberg missed the cut in his lone Open appearance last year at Troon, Gehman believes the 24-year-old’s ceiling makes him a perfect GPP differentiator in the mid-9K salary tier and expects ownership to lag behind Xander, Fleetwood and Lowry.

Patrick McDonald urged caution on Ludvig Aberg outright bets after watching the Swede implode during a three-hole stretch Saturday at the Scottish. Aberg went bogey, triple, double while three-putting BOTH par-3s and rinsing his approach on the par-4 along the water. McDonald called them “young-man mistakes” that are cropping up whenever Aberg faces firm coastal setups. He still likes the long-term talent, but for Portrush he prefers top-20 or FRL markets instead of an outright because one blown stretch can erase four rounds of elite ball-striking.

Geoff Fienberg warned bettors to tread lightly with Ludvig Aberg at sub-30 odds. While Fienberg still believes Aberg owns as much win equity as anyone outside the Scheffler-Rory tier, he said the Swede’s 3-to-6-foot putting has "become a real problem" in recent starts. Fienberg tracks every Aberg round and said he has watched too many kick-ins turn into bogeys or worse—exactly the kind of mistakes Royal Portrush punishes with doubles and triples. Given Open Championship weather volatility, Fienberg fears those shaky par-savers could derail an otherwise elite tee-to-green profile and make an outright ticket dead on Saturday. He’s holding off until Aberg proves the short-putt issue is fixed or the price balloons well past the current 25-to-1 range.

Skylar Hoke said Ludvig Aberg is the elite-tier name finally trading at a slight discount and urged bettors to pounce before the market corrects. Hoke acknowledged Aberg’s missed cut in last year’s Open but argued the Swede answered every links question by finishing 8th at the Scottish Open. Over the last three events Aberg’s ball-striking has rebounded, highlighted by two Sunday eagles at Renaissance despite still leaking strokes with two missed three-footers and a Saturday triple bogey—evidence, in Hoke’s eyes, that the ceiling remains sky-high even when the polish is missing. Books still price him outside the Scheffler/Rory/Rahm tier even though “most people think he’s already the fourth-best player in the world,” so Hoke likes buying outright tickets now and building DFS lineups around a potential breakout before the numbers tighten.

Myers slotted Ludvig Aberg eighth at 28/1, arguing the 24-year-old Swede is destined to snag a major sooner rather than later. He likes Aberg’s power-driven profile for Portrush and the tidy number under 30/1. Myers did flag significant risk: Aberg missed the cut in his Open debut last year and in the two most recent majors this season, so bettors are banking on ceiling over proven pedigree.

Paul Williams recommended an each-way flutter on Ludvig Aberg at 28/1 (7 places, 1/5 odds) because the Swede’s ceiling is ‘Morikawa-like’. Aberg already owns PGA Tour wins at the 2023 RSM Classic and the 2025 Genesis Invitational and has flashed major chops—2nd and 7th at Augusta plus 12th at Pinehurst, where he led after 36 holes. Williams highlighted Aberg’s Scottish Open tune-up: T-8 despite a triple-bogey stretch, and praised the Ryder Cup star’s ability to flight irons low in links wind. While Aberg missed the cut at Troon last year, Williams believes his elite tee-to-green profile and comfort on firm Bent/Fescue greens make him the one debutant capable of smashing the usual Open-experience narrative. The tout thinks Aberg’s raw talent plus each-way safety nets justify the 28/1 ticket.

Pat Mayo lumped Ludvig Aberg with Viktor Hovland as players to fade at Royal Portrush despite their elite tee-to-green ceilings. Mayo likes Aberg at flatter venues like Renaissance Club, but Portrush’s elevated greens and shaved run-offs create an ‘up-and-down exam’ that exposes Aberg’s worst skill. Over his last 50 rounds the Swede sits outside the top 120 in strokes gained around-the-green and has lost strokes in that category in seven of his last nine starts. Mayo believes those numbers are disqualifying on a course where missed greens are inevitable in 20-mph winds. Unless Aberg produces a historically great ball-striking week, Mayo expects double-bogey blow-ups and is steering clear of outrights, DFS cores and head-to-head bets involving the rookie.

Gannon tagged Ludvig Aberg as his favorite $9k play. Aberg nearly won here last year, gaining strokes in every category, and he enters on the best four-week iron run of his 2025 season. Because most DFS chatter is on Collin Morikawa, Gannon expects Aberg’s ownership to stay manageable, making him a strong tournament pivot with legit win equity.

Asked about Ludvig Aberg’s chances, Bo McBrayer quickly passed, pointing to the Swede’s ongoing chipping issues. Aberg missed the cut in his 2023 Scottish Open debut and failed to make the weekend at last year’s Open Championship, and McBrayer does not believe those short-game deficiencies magically disappear on the Renaissance Club’s shaved surrounds. Until the scrambling numbers improve, Bo thinks bettors should stay away despite Aberg’s elite tee-to-green upside.

Matt Every said the 30-1 number on Ludvig Aberg is finally long enough to fire despite the Swede’s well-documented short-game slump. Every reminded listeners that Aberg actually held the lead at last year’s Genesis Scottish before finishing T4 and has looked progressively sharper over his last three U.S. starts (T38 U.S. Open, T17 Travelers, T8 Rocket Mortgage). He also noted Aberg already owns a stateside win at the Genesis Invitational and spent the past two weeks back home in Sweden recharging. While Aberg is still losing strokes around the green, Every argued firm Scottish links let players mask scrambling with bump-and-runs and putter work, and Aberg’s iron play is “back to where we expect it.” Because Aberg is normally parked in the 20-22-1 range, Every believes the extra value plus proven win equity make him a core outright and DFS anchor this week.

David Barnett urged caution on Ludvig Aberg despite the tempting 30-1 price. Barnett admitted Aberg’s ceiling as an elite ball-striker and referenced last year’s T4 finish, but pointed to the Swede’s recent short-game slump—"his scrambling has been not good"—at a venue where Barnett expects around-the-green play to matter more because of the anticipated dry, bouncy conditions. Given that weakness and the premium links courses place on imaginative recovery shots, Barnett does not believe Aberg currently has the all-around skill set to justify an outright ticket and prefers fading him in matchup and placement markets until the short game turns around.

Matt Brown said this is the perfect spot to fire outright and DFS shares on Ludvig Aberg but warned he will likely have zero exposure at next week’s Open Championship. Brown loves Aberg’s current profile for Renaissance—elite driver who ranks top-20 in Birdie or Better Gained and Opportunities Gained over the last 16 rounds, plus a T-4 here in 2024 that proves course fit. The Scottish setup features generous fescue run-outs and oversized greens, minimizing short-game stress. Brown thinks that masks Aberg’s one glaring hole: around-the-green play, where he sits outside the top 100 on Tour. At Royal Troon next week, the tighter lies and mandatory creativity around pot bunkers will punish that weakness, so Brown plans to pivot off Aberg there. For this week, however, he expects the Swede’s driver-plus-birdies combo to thrive in a projected 20-under shoot-out and is happy to grab him at 30-1 or better.