Jason Bevilacqua said his Dimers predictive model makes Under 12 runs the smartest wager for Friday’s Yankees–Rockies clash at Coors Field. After thousands of simulations, the model assigns the under a 57.3% win probability and a 6.8% long-term edge at the current -102 price at DraftKings. Even with the park’s notorious thin air, the data projects scoring to fall short of 12, creating what Bevilacqua labeled a +EV total to target.

Bevilacqua advised backing the Twins straight up at -116 after Dimers’ model produced a 57.4% win probability and a 3.7% betting edge. The simulations favor Minnesota’s pitching matchup and home-field edge in the 1:10 PM ET tilt, making the moneyline a plus-EV wager according to the site’s projections.

Bevilacqua relayed that the Dimers model recommends White Sox +1.5 at -128 against Seattle. Simulations give Chicago a 58.2% chance to cover, producing a 2.0% edge versus the posted price. The projection leans on the Mariners’ league-average run differential and the Sox bullpen’s recent improvement, making the extra run and a half valuable in a mid-afternoon matchup.

Jason Bevilacqua said Dimers’ predictive analytics model flagged Pirates +1.5 at -154 as Wednesday’s highest-probability play. After thousands of simulations, the run-line hit rate clocks in at 63% with a 2.4% estimated edge over FanDuel’s implied odds. The early 12:35 PM ET start and Pittsburgh’s recent trend of keeping games within a run against Cincinnati factored into the projection. Bevilacqua emphasized that the pick grades out as profitable long-term rather than just likely to win.

For Brewers–Rays, Bevilacqua relayed that the Dimers model prefers Under 9 at +100. Simulations generate a 53.8% likelihood the game stays below nine runs, translating to fair odds of roughly -117 and producing a 3.8% positive expected value. The Under becomes attractive at even money, with the projection accounting for park factors, each club’s recent run-production distribution, and starting-pitcher baselines baked into the algorithm.

Bevilacqua highlighted Texas on the moneyline at +225, explaining the Dimers projections give the Rangers a 34.2% win probability. That figure creates a 3.4% edge versus the 30.8% implied odds, turning the heavy underdog into a +EV play. The recommendation stems from the same simulation set that underpins the run-line play, showing enough upset potential to warrant a sprinkle on the outright despite Detroit being favored.

Jason Bevilacqua said the Dimers predictive-analytics engine fired on Rangers +1.5 at +105, flagging a 5.0% expected value edge after thousands of Monte Carlo simulations. The model gives Texas a 53.8% chance to cover the run line – meaning the implied price should be closer to -116, not +105. Bevilacqua noted the pick is machine-learning driven and updated the morning of the game, giving bettors a playable cushion in a matchup where Detroit is still favored straight-up but projects to win by one run or less often enough to make the +1.5 profitable.

Jason Bevilacqua advised grabbing the Marlins +1.5 at +105, explaining that Dimers’ simulations give Miami a 52.1% probability of covering—good for a 3.4% expected-value edge. He emphasized that the recommendation is purely numbers-driven, generated after running thousands of game simulations and comparing the projected line to current odds at BetMGM.

Bevilacqua’s model also shows value on the Marlins outright, recommending a +225 moneyline play with a 33.7% win probability—translating to a 3.2% edge versus FanDuel’s price. Although the probability is low, the plus odds make it a profitable long-shot per Dimers’ expected-value calculations generated from thousands of automated simulations.

Jason Bevilacqua said the Dimers predictive analytics model flagged the Angels–Twins matchup as a +EV total, projecting a 53.1% chance the game lands Over 8 runs. After thousands of Monte Carlo simulations, the model shows a 2.6% edge versus the market price of -102. Bevilacqua noted that the pick comes from the same simulation engine that powers all Dimers best bets and is time-stamped for the 7:40 PM ET first pitch.

Bevilacqua reported that Dimers’ simulations recommend Under 10.5 runs (−118 DraftKings) in the Mariners‑Red Sox clash at 6:45 PM ET. The model outputs a 59.4% probability and a 5.3% edge, projecting both offenses to combine for only 9.9 runs on average once weather and bullpen freshness are factored in. Any total above 10 provides what the site flags as a top‑tier Wednesday edge.

Bevilacqua relayed that the Dimers model makes Mets +1.5 a worthwhile play at −156 on FanDuel for Wednesday’s 1:10 PM ET tilt with Philadelphia. The algorithm gives New York a 64.5% probability to stay within a run, producing a 3.5% expected value edge. Simulated distributions project a one‑run game 34% of the time, making the extra cushion particularly attractive in what the model grades as a coin‑flip matchup on the moneyline.

Jason Bevilacqua said the Dimers predictive‑analytics model sees solid value on Under 8.5 runs in Wednesday’s 1:10 PM ET Reds–Marlins game. After thousands of Monte Carlo simulations, the model assigns the Under a 56.4% hit rate and a 5.9% edge against the posted −102 price at BetMGM. Bevilacqua noted that all model edges above 5% are flagged as +EV and that the day game’s roof‑closed setting in Miami historically suppresses run environment, reinforcing the Under call.

Jason Bevilacqua said Dimers’ predictive analytics model spit out the White Sox +1.5 at +112 as Monday’s top run‑line value. After running thousands of machine‑learning simulations, the model gives Chicago a 50.1% chance of covering, which translates to a 2.9% expected‑value edge over the posted odds. The pick hinges on what the simulations project to be a tightly contested early game at Fenway, making the extra 1.5 runs plus money worth a bet.

According to Bevilacqua, Dimers’ simulations project just 7.4 total runs in Reds‑Marlins, creating value on Under 8 at -115. The model assigns a 56% hit rate, yielding a 2.6% positive expected value. With both clubs profiling as below‑average offenses in the early season data dump, the model leans toward a pitcher’s duel at LoanDepot Park.

Bevilacqua relayed that the Dimers model also likes a small stab at the White Sox outright at +240. Simulations give Chicago a 31.6% win probability, good for a 2.2% edge versus the market. Even with Boston favored at home, the model’s range of outcomes shows enough upset equity to justify a plus‑odds moneyline sprinkle.

Bevilacqua highlighted Pittsburgh at +120 on the moneyline as Friday’s second‑best edge. Dimers’ model assigns the Pirates a 48.9% win probability against the Guardians, translating to a 3.4% positive expected value even though the computer makes them a virtual coin‑flip. The recommendation leans on the same simulation framework that drives all Dimers picks and has been monitored for multi‑season accuracy.

Jason Bevilacqua and the Dimers predictor model recommend betting on the Kansas City Royals moneyline (+125) against the New York Yankees as a top MLB pick for Monday, April 14, 2025. This recommendation is derived from an extensive analysis involving thousand of simulations using data-driven predictive analytics and machine learning. According to their simulations, the Royals have a 47.4% win probability, translating into a positive betting edge of 2.9% at the current odds offered. Dimers identifies this pick as the standout moneyline play of the day, noting it presents significant value for bettors looking to capitalize on favorable odds backed by advanced statistical analysis.

Jason Bevilacqua highlighted an attractive underdog moneyline wager on the Nationals at odds of +150 in their matchup against the Dodgers. According to Dimers' analytics and simulation-based predictions, this bet boasts a substantial 5.1% edge with a 45.1% probability for an upset win by Washington. Given the considerable added value presented by these odds, the Nationals moneyline represents a high-impact opportunity for MLB bettors.

Jason Bevilacqua identified the run line bet for Nationals +1.5 against the Dodgers as an outstanding betting opportunity for Monday's MLB slate. Using advanced predictive analytics based on thousands of game simulations, Dimers' model sees a substantial betting edge of 9.3% at odds of +105, giving the +1.5 line a 58.1% probability. The attractive edge and probability stem from the model's extensive evaluation of matchup factors and current form, making Nationals +1.5 an appealing bet.

Jason Bevilacqua highlighted another strong value play for Monday's action, recommending the Nationals on the moneyline (+170 odds) against the Dodgers. Dimers' model ran thousands of simulations on this matchup and calculated a notable 7.6% betting edge, placing the probability of a Nationals victory at 44.6%. The sizeable edge and potentially generous payout (+170 odds) suggest considerable value in backing the Nationals to win outright.