Guy Boston suggested betting the Colorado team total under 3.5 (−105) at Globe Life. Patrick Corbin’s resurgence is backed by a 31 % whiff rate on his slider/sinker combo— the very pitches Colorado ranks bottom-three against in run value. The Rockies have topped three runs just twice in their last nine games and are slashing .211/.281/.337 in that stretch. Boston conceded Corbin’s 1.32 WHIP hints at traffic but trusts Texas’ bullpen (3.38 ERA, fifth-best leverage index) to clean up if necessary. Because Antonio Senzatela offers little strikeout upside, Boston prefers fading Colorado’s bats rather than laying the Rangers run line in what he expects to be a low-scoring affair.

Steve Merrill said the only way to play Rockies-Rangers is to lay the –1.5 run line with Texas at roughly –110. He pointed out that Colorado is a staggering 7-35 overall and 2-19 on the road, averaging fewer than two runs per game away from Coors Field and against left-handed pitching. Thirty of the Rockies’ 35 losses (30-4 last 34) have come by at least two runs, so the run-line cover rate when they lose is 88%. Merrill added that veteran lefty Patrick Corbin has revived his career in Texas, allowing only 11 earned runs and 32 hits so far after surrendering 109 ER and 208 hits last season; the market is still pricing him like the 2021-23 version. Opposing starter Antonio Senzatela ranks among the league leaders in hard-hit balls surrendered. Merrill also noted the Rockies’ team total is 3.5 despite their sub-2 run averages, making the TT under another angle, but his preferred play is Rangers –1.5.

Adam Rosenberg fired on two separate Wyatt Langford props, calling Wednesday a launch-pad matchup against Antonio Senzatela. Rosenberg pointed out that the Colorado right-hander owns an ugly 8.03 FIP and .398 opponent batting average versus right-handed bats this season, compared with a 3.52 FIP to lefties. Because Senzatela cannot miss bats (15% K-rate) and serves up a 45% fly-ball rate to righties, Rosenberg expects every Langford plate appearance to come with homer potential. He grabbed Langford to go deep at +400 and tacked on over 1.5 total bases at –115, noting that Texas already homered twice last night and that Langford should hit no lower than fifth, guaranteeing at least four cracks at Senzatela and a soft Rockies bullpen. Rosenberg joked the rookie is "going to the moon" and labelled both plays as bonus additions to his official card.

Scott Reichel bet Brenton Doyle under 1.5 total bases at –125. Doyle has stayed below two bases in 18 of his last 21 contests and in 12 of 15 road games this year, producing a miserable 41 wRC+ away from Coors. Reichel highlighted Doyle’s .139 ISO and 29% K-rate against southpaws on the road, plus a 1-for-5 career line versus left-hander Patrick Corbin, who has quietly posted a 3.21 ERA and 1.05 WHIP at home. With Texas’ park suppressing power and Doyle projecting to bat ninth in a weak Colorado lineup, Reichel sees very few paths to two bases, making the under a strong value play.

Malcolm Bamford said the 9.5 total in Rockies-Rangers is simply too high. He pointed out Colorado’s league-worst 2.15 runs per game away from Coors Field and a 7-4 record to the under versus left-handed pitching. Antonio Senzatela games are 6-2 to the under and the right-hander owns a 3.79 road ERA—far better than his Coors numbers—while Texas contests versus southpaws sit 21-10 to the under. Bamford added that “everything points towards the under” because the Rockies do not score, Senzatela is serviceable on the road, and Patrick Corbin-style 2-1 losses have followed Texas even after its recent offensive uptick. He projected a 5–2 or 4–2 type finish and grabbed the full-game under 9.5.

Kenny G said he is "slamming" Under 9 in Rockies-Rangers and hinted it could become one of his pinned "money-bag" bets. The handicap is straightforward: Colorado owns the worst attack in baseball (29th in runs, 28th AVG, 27th SLG, 2nd-to-last OBP) and now faces Patrick Corbin, who sports a 3.13 ERA and has allowed two or fewer earned runs in four of his past five. Corbin’s problem is zero run support—and that should continue, because Texas is scuffling without Corey Seager. The Rangers sit 27th in runs and 28th in OBP, and their home games have been under gold: 17-4 to the Under at Globe Life. Colorado’s own road profile is even starker—14-6 to the Under away from Coors and a miserable 2-18 record, meaning they rarely force opponents to keep the foot on the gas. Neither bullpen is elite (Rockies 4.07 ERA, Rangers 3.88), but Kenny expects low leverage because the bats simply are not scary. Even with shaky starters—Antonio Senzatela has a 5.77 ERA—the total of nine looks inflated given two cold lineups and two ballparks that have produced a combined 31-10 Under mark. Kenny called it "pretty freakin’ good" value for a game he projects in the 4-3 neighborhood.

Dylan Rockford advised taking the Rockies team-total under rather than chasing the full-game number. Colorado averages only 2.15 runs per road game, owns the worst away OPS in baseball, and must face a resurgent Rangers staff that has allowed just 2.6 runs per contest since changing hitting coaches. Rockford noted the Colorado bullpen’s bottom-three ERA offers no late scoring safety net, so even if Texas jumps ahead early he still expects the Rockies to finish below their posted total of 3.5.

With the game total climbing from 9 to 9.5, Rockford pivoted to a Rangers team-total over, pointing out that Texas has erupted offensively since firing its hitting coach last week. Antonio Senzatela has surrendered four-plus earned in five of six starts and now faces a lineup that mashes at Globe Life Field. Colorado’s bullpen sports a bottom-three ERA and the Rockies have won just two road games while allowing 2.15 runs per inning away from Coors. Rockford projects 6+ runs for Texas and would also play the full-game over if bettors can still grab a flat 9.

Kenny G leaned under 8.5 in Rockies–Rangers despite ugly ERAs for both starters. Colorado is 13-6 to the UNDER on the road (best mark in MLB) and the Rangers are an even stronger 16-4 to the UNDER at Globe Life. Kyle Freeland (0-5, 6.41) just allowed nine runs to Detroit, while Jack Leiter (2-2, 5.09) has been rocked in back-to-back outings—but both offenses are historically bad. Colorado ranks 29th in runs, 28th in OBP and has scored 2-1-3-2-0 in its last five. Texas is only slightly better, sitting 27th in runs and 27th in OBP, with a recent 2-6-10-1-0 run total sequence. Each bullpen lands in the bottom third yet still owns sub-4.15 ERAs, enough to protect a low total given these bats. Kenny considered NRFI and a small Rangers play, but the confluence of extreme under trends, anemic lineups and a hefty 8.5 number made the total his preferred wager.

Malcolm Bamford tossed out Hunter Goodman as his home-run dart, banking on Jack Leiter’s command implosion. Leiter has yielded 10 earned runs and issued 10 walks over his last two starts, pushing his season WHIP to a ghastly 1.74. Colorado has thrived on contact under its new skipper, and Goodman has immediately slotted into the clean-up spot with a 45% fly-ball rate. Bamford believes the combination of hard-throwing but erratic righty and a power-hunting middle-order bat is perfect for a long-ball shot, especially in the warm Arlington air. He suggested anything north of +600 as playable and paired the prop with his previously stated Rockies team-total over for correlated upside.

Malcolm Bamford went the other way, grabbing the Rockies’ team-total over 3.5 instead. He cannot back Kyle Freeland, but he’s even less convinced Jack Leiter is ready—10 earned runs in Leiter’s last two outings and 10 walks over his past three point to command issues ripe for exploitation. Colorado just snapped a seven-game skid and Bamford thinks their contact-heavy lineup can scrape together four runs, especially with the wind projected to blow out at Globe Life. Because Texas ranks 25th in wRC+ versus lefties and has gone 8-3 to the under this month, he prefers isolating the vulnerable rookie on the other side rather than a full-game over.

Lonte Smith recommended betting the Rangers’ team-total over 5 against Colorado and even laying -2.5 runs for plus money. His reasoning: Kyle Freeland has allowed five or more runs in three of his last five starts and continues to bleed contact (38% hard-hit rate, 1.57 WHIP). Texas’ offense has been quiet but finally shows signs of life, and Smith wants them to build momentum before a rough June schedule. He trusts Jack Leiter enough to keep Colorado in check, but the bet is really on Corey Seager & Co. teeing off on a southpaw who owns a 6.80 ERA away from Coors.

Eric Lindquist said the Rockies first-five money line is worthy of a wager at the juicy +190 he saw pop on Hard Rock. His reasoning: Texas is missing two everyday bats—Corey Seeger (hamstring) and Josh Smith—which leaves the heart of the Rangers order far less intimidating. Even noted reverse-split masher Adolis Garcia cannot fully cover the holes in a patch-work lineup that was just no-hit through five on Monday. Lindquist also pointed out that Kyle Freeland is a different pitcher outside of Coors, and with the Rangers scuffling offensively he expects Colorado to hold an early lead before the bullpens get involved. He plans to wait for books to “calibrate,” but anything in the +180 to +190 range is a green light.

The same handicapper leaned OVER in Rockies-Rangers. Neither starting pitcher is reliable: Freeland’s meltdown has been documented, and Texas hurler Jack Leiter has yielded 10 earned on 11 hits and 6 walks over his two May starts (10 innings). Both bullpens are hemorrhaging – Colorado 5.22 ERA/1.49 WHIP, Texas 4.99 ERA/1.40 WHIP. With right-handed mashers like Jock Pederson (3-for-4 with a double off Freeland) and a hitter-friendly forecast at Globe Life Field, Cash Out Sports Picks projects both clubs to reach the mid-teens in combined hits, pushing the score past the listed total.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended backing the Rangers on the run line versus Colorado. Kyle Freeland has imploded, giving up 18 runs (14 earned) on 28 hits and 4 walks in 13.1 innings over his last three. Texas hitters have historically owned him—Corey Seager is 14-for-23 (.609) with two doubles and a homer, and Marcus Semien is 4-for-5 with a double. Even if Seager’s sore hamstring scratches him, the tout trusts a deep lineup facing a pitcher whose ERA has ballooned past 7.00. With the Rockies bullpen lugging a 5.22 ERA in May and Texas needing wins to stay in the AL West race, laying the runs with the Rangers is the call.

Guy Boston recommended betting Michael Toglia under 0.5 hits + runs + RBI at +115. Toglia will face a menu of fastballs, splitters and cutters from Tyler Mahle, all three pitches he has posted sub-.260 wOBA results against in limited MLB action. Boston reminded listeners he has cashed Toglia unders "all but one time" this season and trusts Mahle’s 29 % strikeout rate versus left-handed bats to keep the switch-hitting rookie quiet. Even in a potential high-scoring environment for Texas, Boston doubts Toglia gets enough volume or quality contact to record a counting stat.

Guy Boston said the Texas offense is set up to hang at least five on Chase Dollander and the Rockies. Dollander is throwing nearly 20 % cutters – a pitch the Rangers rank 11th in run value against – and he leans on a four-seam fastball that Colorado hitters struggle with but Texas can handle in Arlington. Boston pointed to the Rangers scoring 16 runs in their last two games at Detroit as evidence the bats are warming, and noted that Tyler Mahle’s heavy fastball approach should keep the Rockies quiet, eliminating any negative game-flow risk. Books were hanging a team total of 4.5 at roughly –115; Boston called that number a buy, adding that the first-five run line at –0.5 (–140) is playable for bettors comfortable with the juice.

Razzle advised steering clear of Chase Dollander. The rookie brings a big arm but is plagued by walks and home-run issues— both problems against a Texas lineup he believes is waking up after a sluggish April. With the Rangers implied for a hefty run total and Dollander owning the slate’s worst win odds (+280) and only a 3.5 K-prop, there’s no reason to gamble on him today. Razzle will attack him with Rangers stacks instead.

Razzle endorsed Tyler Mahle as the other core pitcher. Mahle’s underlying metrics hint at some luck— he has 0 and 1 strikeouts in two of his last three outings— yet the context is perfect. Texas is the slate’s largest favorite (–265) and Mahle is +110 to get the W with a 5.5 K-prop juiced to the over. Razzle noted that picking on the Rockies, especially outside Coors, has been profitable all season and expects the resurgent Rangers bats to give Mahle run support. Even with minor strikeout concerns, the combination of elite win odds and a weak opponent makes Mahle a priority in all formats.

Metler also grabbed Josh Jung to homer at +700. Jung owns an OPS north of .800 versus right-handed pitching and just went deep at Comerica Park on Sunday, suggesting he is seeing the ball well. Dollander is vulnerable to both handedness, and once he exits the game Colorado’s bullpen (5.78 ERA, bottom-three HR/9) offers even softer matchups. Projection models make Jung roughly +525, giving bettors a sizable edge at the posted price.

Metler played Wyatt Langford to hit a home run at +425. Colorado rookie Chase Dollander has surrendered eight homers in just 28 innings (2.6 HR/9) and is allowing right-handed hitters a .298 average with three bombs. Globe Life Field offers a neutral 80-degree environment with the roof likely open, one of the few hitter-friendly weather spots on Monday’s slate. Projection models price Langford closer to +300, giving roughly a 5-point edge over implied odds.

Mark Zinno warned listeners that sportsbooks have inflated prices so aggressively against the Rockies that standard wagers are no longer viable. Books are hanging alternate run lines of −2.5 and even −3.5 and charging as much as −180 on the traditional −1.5, a move designed to limit liability because Colorado is "that bad." Zinno’s advice: casual bettors should avoid laying those numbers and instead search for alternate markets—first-five, team totals, or player props—if they still want to fade the Rockies. Only sharp bettors willing to ignore the sticker shock should touch the oversized spreads.

For the same game, Cash Out Sports Picks recommended betting the full-game over. The over has cashed in five of the last eight Rockies-Rangers meetings and Colorado’s pitching explains why — the Rockies have allowed at least eight runs in six of their past seven contests. Dollander was torched for six runs in three innings by Boston in his last outing and five runs in four frames by Kansas City the start before. Both offenses are hot coming in (Rockies .785 OPS, Rangers .764 OPS over the last week) and neither bullpen is elite (Colorado 19th, 4.12 ERA; Texas 16th, 3.96 ERA). With Texas scoring 16 runs in its previous two games and Colorado’s staff reeling, the tout expects another shootout that sails over the posted total.

Kenny G rushed to bet Under 8.5 in Rockies-Rangers, citing a perfect storm of trends and matchups. Colorado is 13-6 to the Under on the road (best in MLB) and Texas is an eye-popping 16-4 to the Under at home. Tyler Mayhill (1.48 ERA) has allowed just two earned runs in four of five starts and faces a Rockies lineup ranked 29th in runs and 28th in AVG. Rookie Chase Dollander is volatile (7.71 ERA) but draws a Texas offense that, despite recent signs of life, still sits 20th in runs and 27th in OBP and has failed to support its starters most of the year. Both bullpens are passable—Rockies 4.12, Rangers 3.96—and Globe Life has played pitcher-friendly in the early season. Kenny expected Texas to win something like 5-2 and said he would bet Under to 8.0.

Scott Reichel’s home-run pick is Corey Seager, riding a six-game hit streak and fresh off a two-homer Saturday. Reichel highlighted Seager’s .300/.362/.500 slash since returning from the IL and the matchup with rookie right-hander Chase Dollander, who sports a 7.71 ERA, 43% hard-hit rate, and has failed to finish the fifth inning in three of four road outings. Colorado’s bullpen owns a 5.92 ERA, so even an early pitching change benefits Seager’s chances. Reichel added that Globe Life Field has played long-ball friendly in warm May weather and that Seager’s career .599 slugging percentage at home versus righties speaks for itself. He recommended grabbing the HR prop at +425 or better and sprinkling on Seager 2+ hits at plus money.

Lonte Smith agreed with the Rangers side but made his primary wager Colorado team total under 3.5 runs. He cited Max Molly’s home dominance—one total earned run allowed in his last four Globe Life appearances—and the Rockies’ league-worst .267 road OBP. Colorado’s rookie Chase Dollander has failed to reach the fifth in three of four, forcing a bullpen that owns a 5.92 ERA back onto the mound early, which should let Texas control tempo. Lonte believes Colorado will be "too busy celebrating" Sunday’s rare win and, with a .136 ISO away from Coors, projects them for two or fewer tallies.

Scott Reichel laid −1.5 at −125 with Texas, reminding listeners that Colorado is a brutal 2-17 on the road and has dropped six of its last seven away games by multi-run margins. He praised starter Max Molly’s quietly strong home profile—1 combined run allowed over his last four starts at Globe Life and a 28% K-rate—while trashing Chase Dollander’s 7.71 ERA, sub-5 innings pitched in three of four, and 43% hard-hit rate. Texas’ bats have shown signs of life, averaging 4.9 runs across their last seven. With the Rockies producing the league’s worst road wRC+ and a bullpen ERA north of 6.00, Scott expects a comfortable Rangers cover.

Lindquist laid −1.5 runs with Texas at −130, arguing the Rockies are in a classic post-Coors let-down spot and sending insanely lucky rookie Chase Dollander (3.95 xERA, .713 xSLG, 16.5% barrel rate) into a park where breaking balls actually move. He called Tyler Mahle’s 33.6% hard-hit rate and 3.82 xERA more than good enough against a Colorado lineup that loses 40 points of wOBA on the road. With the Rangers’ offense ranked top-five in hard-hit percentage and their dome likely closed, he projects Texas winning by two or more 57% of the time.

Cash Out Sports Picks advised betting the Rangers on the run-line. The tout pointed out that Colorado owns the worst team ERA in baseball at 5.89 and has surrendered 8-plus runs in six of its last seven games, including 21 and 13 runs in back-to-back blowouts against San Diego. Rookie starter Chase Dollander has been even worse than the staff as a whole (0-2, 7.71 ERA, .256 BAA, 11.2 shaky innings, all on the road). Texas counters with Tyler Mahle, who is 2-1 with a microscopic 0.70 ERA and .146 opponents’ average across five home starts. Offensively, the Rangers have Adolis Garcia and rookie Wyatt Langford swinging well, and they own a .764 team OPS over the last week. Meanwhile, the Rockies’ OPS with runners on base is an MLB-worst .619. With the clear starting-pitching edge, a competent bullpen (3.96 ERA vs Colorado’s 4.12) and recent offensive form, the tout expects Texas to win comfortably and cover the run line.