The under was recommended because Mikolas’ recent form suppresses scoring and Povich is likely to be on a short leash given Baltimore’s bullpen needs. St. Louis’ own relief corps has been steady, and despite Baltimore’s ugly pen numbers, the tout expects Mikolas to keep the O’s offense quiet enough to keep this inter-league tilt below the total.

The Cardinals money line was the selection because Miles Mikolas has flipped the switch, spinning a 1.33 ERA over his last six outings (2.32 if you toss the Boston dud). Baltimore counters with Cade Povich (ERA just under 5.00) and a rotation ranked near the bottom of MLB. Worse, the Orioles bullpen has a 14.23 ERA the past week. With St. Louis swinging it well and backing Mikolas with a competent pen, the tout expects another Redbird win.

Just A Bet Outside grabbed the Cardinals moneyline at +110 against Baltimore, citing multiple edges. Miles Mikolas has yielded one earned run or fewer in five of his last six starts, owns a 3.00 road ERA, and is limiting hard contact. Rookie Kade Povich carries a 6.75 ERA at Camden Yards, a 9.9% swinging-strike rate, and pronounced struggles versus right-handed hitters—bad news with Nolan Arenado, Masyn Winn, Ivan Herrera, and Wilson Contreras lurking. St. Louis has produced 2+ runs off five of the last seven lefty starters, including eight total off Skubal, Ragans and Luzardo. Meanwhile, Baltimore ranks 19th in wRC+ versus righties over the past three weeks and just exhausted its bullpen with Soto, Akin, Cano (back-to-back outings), Baker and Geraldo pitching the last two nights. The Cardinals have a fresher pen and, in Steven’s view, the better starter, lineup and relief corps—making the plus money price attractive.

Kenny G stamped St. Louis +105 as a worthy Dog of the Day. He is fading rookie Cade Povich (1-3, 4.86 ERA) despite two decent outings because they came against the slumping Red Sox and mediocre Nationals. Kenny still sees implosion risk and points to Baltimore’s atrocious 5.55 bullpen ERA, fourth worst in MLB. Offensively the O’s have cratered to 25th in runs and 24th in OBP, producing just 4-5-5-2 runs their last four. Meanwhile the Cardinals are 7-4 behind Miles Mikolas this season and enter on a solid overall run. Baltimore’s 9-15 home record versus St. Louis’ plus-money price sealed the recommendation—Kenny expects the Cardinal bats to outlast a shaky starter and a gas-can bullpen.

Rockford grabbed the Cardinals at even money, calling it a mis-price. Miles Mikolas owns a 2.01 ERA and 0.98 WHIP over four May starts, while Kade Povich sports a ghastly 6.75 ERA at Camden Yards and has lost six of his last eight outings. Rockford’s model installed St. Louis as a –125 favorite thanks to the Cards’ superior bullpen (3.42 ERA in May) and top-10 wRC+ versus lefties. He sees St. Louis holding edges in starter form, relief pitching, and lineup depth, making the plus-price irresistible.

Eric Pathi said to bet the St. Louis Cardinals at +100 ("plus 10 cents") as Wednesday road underdogs in Baltimore. Pathi’s angle is straightforward: when a road dog wins and oddsmakers leave them a dog again the very next day, he rolls with that team, believing the market has not adjusted to their form. At recording time the Cardinals were already up a few runs in the current series opener, which Pathi feels adds momentum and underscores the mis-pricing. He labeled the pick his complimentary selection and expects another St. Louis win at attractive plus money.

Malcolm Bamford targeted the first-five under, citing a stack of trends: Sugano-led Orioles games are 8-1 to the F5 under, while Pallante’s starts sit 5-4. The Cardinals overall are 19-14 to the F5 under this season. Both hurlers limit hard contact—Sugano through heavy ground-ball rates, Pallante via a cutter/sinker mix—and neither bullpen weakness comes into play in a first-half wager. With Baltimore’s win expectancy hinging on run prevention and St. Louis’ road OPS lagging, Bamford expects a 2-1 or 1-1 score through five innings.

Kingpin Sports took the Orioles moneyline, pointing to Tomoyuki Sugano’s sharp 3.07 ERA and the Cardinals’ ongoing inconsistency with Andre Pallante (4-3, 4.18). They expect Baltimore’s bats to capitalize on Pallante’s middling command while Sugano keeps damage contained.

Peterson grabbed St. Louis -105, pricing the Redbirds at -116. He is fading Baltimore starter Tomoyuki Sugano, whose shiny 3.08 ERA masks a 4.81 FIP, just 4.9 K/9 and 1.5 HR/9. Those contact issues are compounded by an Orioles bullpen that sits 27th with a 5.46 ERA. While Cards starter Andre Pallante carries a 4.18 ERA, he faces an Orioles offense ranked only 25th at 3.8 runs per game, making the Cardinals the value side.

Lonte Smith advised laying the short price with Baltimore (-115) and pairing it with the game over 9. He argued Tomoyuki Sugano is underrated—two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts while inducing grounders—and regularly works deep, giving the bullpen a breather. The Orioles’ bats have woken up, plating 5+ runs in five of their last six. St. Louis is far stronger at Busch than on the highway, and Andre Pallante’s best work has come at home; most of his 2025 starts on the road have been mediocre. Lonte projects a 6-5 type of game, so he wants both Baltimore’s money-line edge and the over.

Kenny G recommended looking at the under 9 runs in St. Louis–Baltimore. He expects Andre Palante (4-3, 4.18 ERA) to keep the light-hitting Orioles in check and trusts Tomoyuki Sugano’s 3.07 ERA to limit a dangerous Cardinals lineup. Baltimore’s offense has cratered to 25th in runs, on-base percentage, and batting average, scoring only 5-5-2 runs during their current three-game win streak. Although both bullpens worry him (Cards 3.93 ERA, Orioles 5.37 ERA), the starting-pitching edge and Baltimore’s inability to slug convinced him that a lower total is more likely than a shootout. He stopped short of making it a pinned-comment play but still views the under as the better angle than a side.

Just A Bet Outside went beyond the single-hit parlay he mentioned earlier and singled out Paul Goldschmidt as a stand-alone power/total-bases bet Tuesday against Tyler Anderson. The tout rattled off a laundry list of data points: Goldy has a hit in 24 of 25 road games and is batting an absurd .425 away from Busch. Versus left-handed pitching he is somehow hotter, posting a .548 average and recording at least one knock in 10 of 11 games started by southpaws. Anderson in particular looks like gasoline on that fire—Goldschmidt is 5-for-15 off him lifetime, and the Angels lefty owns a 5.35 xFIP with only a 17 percent strikeout rate to right-handed hitters this season. Those numbers plus Goldy’s road/lefty dominance led the tout to recommend attacking home-run and 2+ total bases props in addition to the safer 1-hit market, calling it the best spot on the slate for power exposure.

Just A Bet Outside paired Paul Goldschmidt with Duran for 1+ hit, leaning on absurd splits. Goldy has recorded at least one knock in 24 of 25 road games this season and in 10 of 11 starts against left-handed pitching while slugging an outrageous .548 batting average versus southpaws. He’s also hit safely in eight of his past 10 overall. With a lefty scheduled to open, the tout sees virtually automatic contact from the veteran and deemed the –115 price fair given the reliability of Goldschmidt’s road and platoon splits.

Scott Jenstad said Colton Cowser should be the bat fantasy managers stash this week. Cowser heads out on a rehab assignment in the coming days and is fresh off a 2023 campaign that featured 24 homers and a Double-plus walk rate in the upper minors. Unlike Parker Meadows, Cowser has already shown he can dominate advanced pitching, and Baltimore’s thin outfield depth means he could slide right back into a near-everyday role once activated. Jenstad is prioritizing Cowser in 15-teamers and even stashing him in some 12-team formats where bench space allows.

Dylan Rockford also laid –120 with St. Louis, explaining his numbers grade the Cards at –140. He noted the Orioles have lost every single start that Charlie Morton (the probable per MLB.com) has made since signing, and whichever arm Baltimore throws will be backed by a bottom-five relief corps. Rockford highlighted the Cardinals’ red-hot bats (4.73 runs per road game over the last three weeks) and Fedde allowing only two earned runs across his past 20⅔ road innings. Baltimore’s lineup could be shorthanded as Adley Rutschman exited Sunday early with injury, further tilting the matchup toward St. Louis.

Scott Reichel said the Cardinals deserve to be small road favorites at –115 and grabbed St. Louis on the money-line. His core angle is Eric Fedde’s extreme home/road split: a 2.43 ERA away from Busch versus 5.20 in St. Louis. Fedde also blanked opponents across his two previous starts before one hiccup against Detroit. Reichel pointed to Baltimore’s 8-15 record at Camden Yards, a rotation that still has Monday listed as TBD, and a bottom-five bullpen that rarely bails anyone out. With two mediocre offenses he projected something like 4-3, but still felt the line should be closer to –135 given the clear pitching edge and Baltimore’s inability to protect leads.

Just A Bet Outside recommended riding Ryan O'Hearn’s bat in hitter props or DFS stacks. O'Hearn owns the 3rd-best batting average in MLB over the past week (.462) and is slashing .354 in May with a .323 mark versus right-handed pitching. He’s logged 3-plus hits in three of his last five contests and posts a 37.4 % hard-hit rate off righties compared to 21.7 % vs lefties. Tonight he draws Eric Fetty, whose 4.92 xFIP against left-handed hitters and paltry 14.4 % K-rate suggest plenty of balls in play. The tout expects O'Hearn to stay hot and hinted at including him in a hitter parlay or single-game hit prop.

Kenny G advised backing the Cardinals at roughly -110 in Baltimore, surprised the market opened as a near coin-flip. St. Louis just swept Arizona and sits eighth in runs, fourth in batting average, and sixth in OBP, having scored 4-plus runs in five of its last six. Erick Fedde (3-3, 3.77 ERA) is in a bounce-back spot after a rough outing against Detroit; his two prior starts were seven-inning shutouts of Philadelphia and Washington. The Cardinals’ bullpen ERA has fallen to 4.00 after an ugly April. Conversely, the 18-34 Orioles have no confirmed starter, rank 25th in quality starts and next-to-last in team ERA, while their bullpen owns a 5.46 mark. Offensively, Baltimore is 25th in runs and 19th in slugging, suffering a historically steep drop-off from last season. The O’s are just 8-15 at home, whereas St. Louis is only slightly below .500 on the road. Kenny expects the Cards’ superior lineup and pitching edge to prevail and called the near-even moneyline “very reasonable.”

For the total, the tout leaned Under. St. Louis games combine for 8.77 runs overall, 9.15 on the road; Baltimore’s average total is 9.52, but only 3.85 of those are from an anemic Orioles offense. Fed has allowed seven runs in his last 24.2 innings, while Morton has at least steadied slightly. Given both scoring profiles and Morton’s gradual improvement, Cash Out Sports Picks expects this one to stay below the posted number.

Cash Out Sports Picks took St. Louis on the money line, noting Eric Fed’s 2.43 road ERA and .190 BAA over 24.2 IP, contrasted with Charlie Morton’s worst season and Baltimore being 16 games under .500. Cardinals arrive on a sweep of Arizona, while the Orioles remain one of MLB’s toughest bankroll drains. Until Morton shows improvement, the tout insists backing the hotter team with the steadier arm is the sharp angle.

Despite Charlie Morton’s ugly 0-7 record and 7.68 ERA across 41 IP, Soni likes the over 3.5 strikeouts at -135. Morton still wields an 8.8 K/9 and has cleared this prop in two straight outings thanks to a curveball that continues to post strong whiff rates. Facing a Cardinals lineup that has struggled with breaking balls, Soni expects at least four punch-outs even if Morton’s run prevention woes continue.

Peter Dewey recommended the Cardinals moneyline at –110 because St. Louis has won 7 of its last 10 and faces an Orioles club that is 18-34 overall and 8-15 at home. Baltimore starts Charlie Morton, who owns a 7.68 ERA (10.22 as a starter) and whose team is 0-12 in his 2025 appearances. Erick Fedde (3.77 ERA) gives the Cards a clear pitching edge, and St. Louis also boasts a stronger bullpen while Baltimore’s relievers rank fourth-worst with a 5.46 ERA. Dewey expects the Cardinals’ current surge to continue against Morton and a shaky relief corps.

Shubham Soni backed Erick Fedde to clear 3.5 strikeouts at -150. Soni noted Fedde’s quietly solid 2025—3-3 record, 3.77 ERA, 1.27 WHIP through 57.1 IP—and pointed out that his 34 total Ks (5.3 K/9) look pedestrian only because he pitches to contact. Against Washington’s bottom-of-the-order hitters, Fedde’s broad pitch mix and steady early-game command give him multiple paths to four punch-outs. The modest line plus a favorable matchup make this a value play despite Fedde’s low season-long K rate.

Greg Peterson backed the Cardinals at -104, saying his own line made St. Louis a -144 favorite. He pointed to Erick Fedde’s 3.77 ERA and stingy 0.8 HR/9 as a clear advantage over Charlie Morton’s ugly 7.86 ERA, 5.3 BB/9 and 2.0 HR/9. Peterson added that Baltimore’s offense entered Sunday just 25th in runs per game (3.8), giving Fedde a soft landing spot. With the pitching mismatch paired with an anemic Orioles lineup, Peterson felt the market was undervaluing St. Louis.