Kenny G said the +150 money-line price on Toronto is too good to pass up. He still respects Zack Wheeler’s 2.85 ERA and the fact Philly is 4-1 in his last five starts, but pointed out the Phillies’ 4.48 bullpen ERA has sabotaged several solid Wheeler outings. Kenny believes that weakness shows up again on Sunday. He reminded listeners that the Blue Jays were hot before dropping the first three games of this set and have been a profitable bounce-back team on getaway days. Toronto is 18-15-2 to the under on the road—evidence that their own pen can hold a lead—and he noted the Phillies’ hitters have needed extra innings to push past three runs in two of their last five. With Philadelphia laying –178 despite an unreliable relief corps, Kenny is taking the plus money and trusting Toronto to steal the finale.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the Phillies money-line in a duel of frontline arms. Zack Wheeler is operating at Cy Young level (2.85 ERA, 0.90 WHIP overall; 2.83 ERA, .169 BAA in 38 home IP). Over his last seven starts he is 4-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 0.81 WHIP across 44.2 IP. Jose Berrios has held a 2.79 ERA in his last 42 IP, but Toronto’s staff has allowed 96 HR (28th), while Philadelphia’s awakening offense now supports Wheeler. With the better ace and superior lineup form, the tout prefers Philadelphia.

For the same game, Cash Out Sports Picks projected a low-scoring affair, highlighting Jose Berrios’ 3.38 ERA (≤3 ER in five straight) and Wheeler’s dominance (one or fewer ER in four of last five starts, including three shutouts). Philadelphia has cashed the Under in five of its last six, a trend the tout sees continuing with two efficient starters, limited free passes, and both teams capable of keeping the ball in the park at spacious Citizens Bank on a pitcher-friendly weather slate.

Bill Harrelson offered Yusei Kikuchi under 2.5 earned runs as a filler pick. The Toronto lefty has stayed below this line in 8 of his last 10 starts and 9 of 14 overall this season, including 9 of his last 11 once he shook off a slow April. He has cashed the under in two of his last three meetings with Baltimore and is allowing just 1.2 earned runs per game over his last eight outings. Books are shading the under, reinforcing Harrelson’s angle. With the Orioles posting only a .301 wOBA versus southpaws during that span, Harrelson expects another quality start from Kikuchi.

Kenny G called Philadelphia a slam-dunk play at –170, insisting the line should be closer to –210. He blasted Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis, who sits at 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA and was torched for seven runs in 1.2 innings the last time he faced Philly. Meanwhile Christopher Sanchez is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and has allowed two or fewer earned in four of his last five, including a six-inning one-run gem in Toronto that the Phils won 8-3. Although the Phillies bullpen is wobbly (4.52 ERA), Kenny trusts it more than Francis, and he noted Philadelphia’s offense has scored 15 runs in its past two games and still ranks ninth in MLB scoring and sixth in OBP. Toronto’s lineup has improved to fourth in average but remains inconsistent and draws a tough lefty in Sanchez. With Philly 21-13 at Citizens Bank Park and the Jays just 16-17 away, Kenny is locking in the Phillies moneyline and said bettors could even sprinkle the –1.5 run line for extra value.

Guy Boston Sports called Toronto a “psycho” but attractive dog against Chris Sanchez and the Phillies. The Jays are annihilating southpaws over the last 30 days: no. 1 in batting average and on-base percentage, plus top-10 against sinkers and top-5 versus changeups—Sanchez’s two primary offerings (≈55 % sinker, 25 % change). Sanchez blanked them for one run over six innings in their previous meeting, so the tout expects natural regression. Bowden Francis has scuffled, yet he thinks Toronto’s offense can erase any damage, especially with hot, humid conditions at Citizens Bank Park that should help carry the ball. Because the books are hanging a sizable plus-money number, he advised taking the Blue Jays moneyline and waiting to see if late-afternoon winds shift before considering the full-game over.

JDBetsHQ laid the lumber on Philadelphia –1.5 for the full game. He pointed out that Blue Jays opener-turned-starter Bowden Francis owns a 3.4 ERA over his last 10 appearances and was 'rocked by Philly' in their most recent meeting, surrendering multiple runs by the third inning. Meanwhile lefty Cristopher Sanchez has allowed just 1.9 earned runs per start over his last ten and already blanked Toronto in Rogers Centre earlier this year. This rematch flips to Citizens Bank Park where the handicapper trusts the Phillies’ elite home splits. He is intentionally ignoring both bullpens to avoid late variance and is chasing plus money on the alternate spread, banking on Philadelphia’s lineup—which ranks top-10 in runs and just tagged Francis—jumping out early and holding a multi-run cushion.

Guy Boston Sports recommended betting Bowden Francis over 2.5 earned runs allowed at –130 on DraftKings. The tout highlighted that the right-hander has surrendered 3.15 earned runs per start in 2025 and has cleared this line in 8 of 13 outings (62%) and in 7 of his last 10 (3.7 ER/game). Against Philadelphia specifically, Francis has been rocked for 9 earned runs in two recent meetings (4.5 ER/game average), including a six-run blow-up less than two weeks ago. The Phillies’ bats rank top-10 in batting average versus righties and feature multiple fastball mashers—Kyle Schwarber (.504 wOBA vs fastballs), J.T. Realmuto (.445), Trea Turner (.406), Nick Castellanos (.365), Max Kepler (.378)—while Francis relies on the heater 57.7% of the time. Add in his 8th-percentile batting-average-allowed and 7th-percentile ERA plus an ugly FIP, and the tout expects another rough outing.

It's The Final Round advised riding Trea Turner’s hit prop again against Bowden Francis. Francis has allowed right-handed batters to slash .333 over his last three outings, and Turner is at .375 against righties in the past 10 days (27 PA). Turner has notched a hit in 13 of his last 15 games, including 8 of the last 10, and has scored a run in 7 of 11. The tout plans to parlay Turner to record a hit with Machado’s props but will pivot to solo plays if the market opens at prohibitive juice (e.g., -140 or worse). Bottom line: Turner to record at least one hit remains the preferred wager.

Harrelson played Addison Barger over 0.5 total bases. Barger has turned a slow start into a hot streak, eclipsing the mark in 12 of his last 14 and 8 of his past 10 overall. He has done so in 4 of 5 meetings with Philadelphia and owns a .333 average in three career plate appearances off left-hander Christopher Sanchez. DraftKings is shaded to the over at ‑125, and Barger’s splits are better versus southpaws (.273) than his season average (.265). With a 55 % season hit rate (26 of 47 games) and upward momentum since May 7, Harrelson expects at least one knock from the Toronto rookie.

B Wade took Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs largely because of his matchup with Bowden Francis. Schwarber homered in the second inning Friday and is 2-for-5 with a bomb lifetime off Francis, whose arsenal the Phillies see well. Schwarber has cashed this prop in back-to-back games against Toronto and, per Wade, is likely to square up another extra-base hit—whether a double off the wall or another dinger—pushing him over the 1.5 threshold.

B Wade backed Cristopher Sánchez to clear 4.5 strikeouts despite Toronto boasting the league’s lowest K-rate. Sánchez averages 6.4 Ks per start and has topped this number in 10 of 13 outings. He has never missed the mark at home, and both of his prior starts against the Blue Jays went over. The lone recent miss was a four-strikeout road appearance versus Toronto, his worst effort in eight starts. With the rematch in Citizens Bank Park, Wade felt the 4.5 line was simply too low.

B Wade said Bowden Francis is an ideal fade at 5.5 hits allowed because the Phillies have owned him every time they have seen him. They racked up six knocks and three earned last season, then seven hits and six earned less than two weeks ago when he was yanked after recording only five outs. Francis has surrendered at least six hits in six of his last nine overall and is 2-for-2 on the over versus Philadelphia. Wade expects the matchup problems to continue and bet the over on 5.5 hits allowed.

Drew Martin advised playing the Phillies on the first-five moneyline because Cristopher Sanchez is in far better form than Bowden Francis. Sanchez owns a 3.1 ERA with a 5-2 record and just blanked this same Blue Jays lineup last week, tossing six innings of one-run ball. Francis, meanwhile, was torched for seven earned runs by Philadelphia in that start and has issued seven walks while lasting only 4.1 total innings over his last two outings. Martin acknowledged Toronto’s season-long success versus lefties and its bullpen advantage but feels those edges do not come into play in the first five. He is willing to lay the mid-150s juice on Philadelphia, confident the southpaw’s command and the right-hander’s struggles will show up early.

Cash Out Sports Picks stayed on the Toronto Blue Jays moneyline train, noting their sweep of St. Louis and general 30-day surge. He highlighted Toronto’s right-hand–heavy lineup as a tactical edge versus Phillies lefty Ranger Suarez, who has received only three total runs of support across his last two starts. While Kevin Gausman’s season has wobbled, his 3.88 ERA and 1.03 WHIP are still solid, and the Jays’ bats are smashing lefties. Philadelphia, missing Bryce Harper, hasn’t strung together consecutive wins all month. Given Toronto’s form and matchup advantages, the tout expects the hot streak to continue.

Kenny G said he is willing to back Philadelphia at –134 on the full-game line but thinks the cleaner wager is Phillies first five innings because Ranger Suarez is dealing. Suarez owns an MLB-best 1.72 ERA, has worked at least six frames in eight of his last nine starts, and faces a Blue Jays lineup that is just 16-17 on the road and 17-15-1 to the under away from home. Kenny wants no part of a Phillies bullpen lugging a 4.56 ERA (eighth-worst), so isolating Suarez makes sense. He added that the Jays’ relief corps is mediocre (4.15 ERA), and their offense has scored three runs or fewer in 10 of their last 16. Philadelphia’s bats have shown signs of life with 7, 4 and 4 runs the last three games and still rank ninth in both runs and batting average. Home/road splits (Phillies 21-13 in Philly) plus the clear starting-pitching edge led Kenny to recommend Phillies F5 moneyline around –140 and a smaller lean to the F5 under if the total opens at 4.

B Wade played Ranger Suarez under 2.5 earned runs allowed. After a late start following surgery, Suarez gave up three earned in his season debut when fatigue set in during the sixth. Since then he’s surrendered only three earned runs total across four starts, including a shutout. He’s routinely working into the seventh but Wade avoids the outs prop and instead banks on six efficient innings. Current form—seven total runs in five outings—and a bullpen ready to back him make the under the safer angle at +161 or better.

It's The Final Round said Trea Turner is a rock-solid "record a hit" play against Kevin Gausman. Over Gausman’s last three starts right-handed hitters are batting .310, and Turner himself owns a .375 average versus right-handed pitching in his last 10 games (27 PA). The tout also highlighted Turner’s long history versus Gausman: 9 hits in 26 career at-bats (.346). Turner has collected at least one hit in eight of his last ten contests, making this a strong leg for a basic two-batter parlay.