Kenny G said Seattle is the side at –110 in Game 3, calling the price a gift for a club that owns clear edges on the mound, in the ‘pen and at the plate. He trusts Emerson Hancock’s recent form (3 ER over 6 IP vs. Houston and only one truly bad outing all year – the Yankees blow-up) more than MacKenzie Gore’s inconsistency. Washington’s relievers sit on a 6.22 ERA, second-worst in MLB, while Seattle’s bullpen sports a 3.42 mark that has lived inside the top-10 all season. Offensively the Nats profile as a bottom-third unit (15th in runs but 20th AVG / 21st OBP and sporadic outputs of 1, 2, 3 and 0 runs in four of their last six). Seattle ranks 10th in runs, 8th in OBP and 11th in SLG with Cal Raleigh scorching. The M’s are 14-11 at T-Mobile Park versus Washington’s 11-16 road record. With a stronger lineup, a lockdown bullpen and series-saving motivation after dropping Game 2, Kenny graded Seattle ML as the best way to attack the short slate.

For the total, he played OVER. Ten of Seattle’s last 12 at T-Mobile have gone over, even with a half-run discount baked into numbers at the pitcher-friendly venue. The Mariners’ lineup is rolling, and Cash Out Sports Picks expects them to get to Gore, while Washington can scratch a few off Hancock, who owns a 1.65 WHIP at home. With both bullpens vulnerable in high-leverage spots and Seattle’s park factors already priced in, he projects plenty of offense.

Cash Out Sports Picks urged DFS players to build Seattle stacks around Julio Rodriguez when the Mariners face MacKenzie Gore in the second game of the series. He noted Seattle owns the league’s 11th-best OPS despite the pitcher-friendly backdrop of T-Mobile Park, and the total has gone over in 10 of their last 12 home games—evidence that park factors are being outweighed by the offense’s current form. Gore has already been singled out as a vulnerable matchup, and with Seattle’s lineup continuing to mash, Rodriguez sits in prime position to capitalize on elevated run-scoring expectations. The tout expects the posted total to be about a half-run too low and likes Mariners bats to outpace salary-based projections, making them a high-upside DFS core.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted MacKenzie Gore as a prime strikeout play on the tiny five-game slate. Seattle has the 8th-highest K-rate against lefties over the past three weeks (25.5 %), and Gore is one of baseball’s premier swing-and-miss artists with 93 punch-outs in 62.1 innings. He has recorded seven or more Ks in eight of his last nine starts and still carries a gaudy 33.6 % K-rate on the road (39.6 % at home). Left-handed opponents fare even worse, whiffing at a staggering 42.5 % clip. With the Mariners striking out nearly once every four plate appearances and Gore’s pitch mix playing up against lefty-heavy lineups, the host projected him for 7–9 Ks and suggested targeting his over or escalator alt-lines in the betting market or locking him into DFS lineups as a high-ceiling option.

Cash Out Sports Picks sided with the Mariners moneyline in Thursday’s finale. Seattle has won six straight versus NL opponents and sits first in the AL West. Emerson Hancock’s season ERA is an ugly 5.95, but the tout trusts Seattle’s powerful lineup led by Julio Rodriguez and Cal Raleigh to give him support against MacKenzie Gore. Despite Washington’s Wednesday outburst, he sees the Mariners’ 11th-ranked OPS and bullpen depth wearing Gore down and believes the home side secures the series.

Dylan Rockford attacked Emerson Hancock directly, recommending Nationals team total Over 3.5 (–115) and a sprinkle on the first-five Over 4. Hancock has been shelled in Seattle—7, 6, and 3 earned runs in his three home outings—and owns a 46% hard-hit rate plus 10.8% walk rate versus left-handed bats. Washington profiles well: the Nats produce a .321 wOBA against righties compared to .286 vs southpaws, and they have the league’s fourth-lowest strikeout rate, a problem for Hancock’s limited swing-and-miss arsenal. Rockford added that T-Mobile Park’s marine layer dissipates in warmer late-May weather, giving the ball a bit more carry. He expects Washington to scratch four or five by the seventh inning.

Scott Reichel is betting Washington in the first five innings (–110) because he sees a massive starting-pitching edge. MacKenzie Gore has rediscovered his ceiling, striking out at least seven in four straight and allowing one run over six frames against San Francisco last time out. Emerson Hancock counters with a 6.04 season ERA and an ugly 12.34 ERA at T-Mobile Park, fueled by a .345 opponent average and 2.1 HR/9 at home. While Seattle has won six of Hancock’s last seven, Reichel credited that to run support and wants to remove the Mariners’ late bullpen advantage. He projects Washington leading after five roughly 60% of the time, implying –150 fair odds.

Eric Lindquist advised betting the Nationals at –104, arguing they should be favored because MacKenzie Gore is "exponentially better" than Seattle rookie Emerson Hancock. Gore brings a 27% strike-out rate that plays directly into Seattle’s whiff-heavy lineup, while Hancock owns a meager 15.7% K-rate and has struggled versus left-handed power. Lindquist believes the pitching gap outweighs any park or bullpen concerns and expects Washington’s lineup of lefties to create enough support for a road win.

Calling it his top play of the slate, Drew Martin grabbed Washington at even money behind left-hander MacKenzie Gore. Gore is fresh off six scoreless innings (2 H, 9 K) versus San Francisco and last year limited Seattle to one run over seven frames with eight strikeouts. The matchup is cushioned by Seattle’s documented struggles against lefties. On the flip side, rookie Emerson Hancock owns a brutal home profile: 24 hits and a 12-plus ERA in just 11 T-Mobile Park innings. Although the Nats sit 24-30 overall, Martin emphasized their improved form over the last 10 days and believes Gore’s pedigree (former No. 3 overall pick) gives Washington the mound edge. He recommended risking 100 to win 100 on the Nationals.

Kenny G leans to OVER 8 in Nationals-Mariners because both starters are huge question marks. Trevor Williams owns a 6.39 ERA with 3-5 earned runs allowed in five straight outings, and George Kirby brings a 12.27 ERA after getting torched by Houston in his first start off the IL. Washington’s bullpen is the second-worst unit in baseball, and even Seattle’s strong relief corps will likely cover half the game again. The Mariners have become an over team at T-Mobile Park (13-9-2), climbing to 10th in runs scored behind Cal Raleigh’s 17 homers. Kenny projects a 5-4 or 6-3 type of final and thinks eight runs is simply too low given the pitching matchup.

Bamford fired on the full-game over 8, citing two starters headed in opposite—but equally volatile—directions. Trevor Williams owns a 6.39 ERA and has surrendered at least three earned in every May outing, while George Kirby looked rusty in his season debut (five runs to Houston) and may need another turn to find his command. Seattle games versus right-handed pitching are 25-14-1 to the over, and the Mariners lineup has a .780 OPS at home this month. Bamford projected both pitchers exiting by the sixth, forcing two mediocre bullpens (Washington 4.57 ERA, Seattle 4.22 ERA last 14 days) to patch together nine outs. He hung a 9.1 expected run total, making any 8 or 8.5 a green-light play.

Bamford said he is ‘feeding Trevor Williams’ and singled out Cal Raleigh to go yard in the nightcap. Williams limps into Seattle with a 6.39 ERA, 1.71 HR/9 and at least one long ball allowed in six straight starts. Raleigh, who has 10 of his 12 bombs off right-handed pitching and a .587 SLG at T-Mobile Park, profiles perfectly against Williams’ 89-mph four-seamer. The switch-hitting catcher’s 45% pull rate and top-20 barrel percentage line up with a Nationals staff that ranks bottom-five in hard-hit suppression. With the marine layer expected to be thin Wednesday night and Seattle’s offense carrying a 111 wRC+ in May, Bamford likes any price of +375 or better on a Raleigh homer.

Eric Lindquist circled Rowdy Tellez as a home-run dart at anything better than +480 against Nationals right-hander Trevor Williams. Lindquist noted that Williams has been shelled by left-handed bats all season—six homers in just 130 lefty plate appearances, a 2.16 WHIP and no put-away pitch—while carrying a meek 17% strikeout rate overall. That lack of swing-and-miss plays directly into Tellez’s profile: the big first baseman owns a 517 expected slugging percentage and 50-plus percent hard-hit rate when he actually makes contact, but his 26.4% K rate usually drags the pricing down. With Seattle’s T-Mobile Park still offering a favorable right-field jet stream for power and Williams leaning on a straight four-seamer/change combo that flattens out versus lefties, Lindquist projected Tellez’s true HR odds closer to +390. He advised locking in the long-ball prop before books adjust and added that bettors uncomfortable with the all-or-nothing swing can ladder down to 2+ total bases at plus money as a secondary angle.

Lonte Smith played over 8 in Washington–Seattle, expecting both rookie starters to leak traffic. Logan Evans carries a 1.58 WHIP and has allowed four-plus earned in two of three road turns, while fellow lefty Mitchell Parker has given up at least three earned in four of five and owns an 8.11 May ERA. Neither pitcher is working deep—each averaging barely five innings—leaving two average bullpens exposed. Smith noted the Mariners’ offense has woken up just enough since its early-May lull, and Washington is "feisty in clutch spots," ranking top-10 in hitting with RISP the last two weeks. He projected 5-4 or 6-4 final tallies and passed on Seattle –150, wanting runs instead of side.

Kingpin Sports chose Mariners moneyline, forecasting a close contest between starters Mitchell Parker (4-3, 4.39) and Levi Evans (2-1, 3.33) but trusting Seattle’s superior bullpen to seal the deal at T-Mobile Park.

Peterson grabbed Seattle -1.5 at +145 when he made the run line -102. Nationals rookie Mitchell Parker has coughed up at least three runs in five straight starts (4.39 ERA, 4.1 BB/9), and Washington’s bullpen is a disaster with a 6.13 ERA (29th). Seattle starter Logan Evans owns a respectable 3.33 ERA, and even if his 4.93 FIP hints at regression, a ninth-ranked bullpen (3.43 ERA) provides cover. The pricing discrepancy on the alternate run line was simply too juicy for Peterson to pass.

Despite T-Mobile’s 24th-ranked park factor, the tout likes the Over eight runs. Seattle games have reached eight or more in four of their last five, and Parker has surrendered 23 runs in his past five starts. Washington’s bats have hit righties well lately, and Evans’ 1.55 WHIP this month suggests traffic. Factor in a shaky Nats bullpen (1.61 WHIP) and Seattle’s own offense peaking at home, and Cash Out Sports Picks projects a total nearer to double-digits than the current line.

Kenny G is sprinkling Washington +130, arguing Logan Evans (the 23-year-old Seattle right-hander with a 3.33 ERA) is due for another let-down after alternating strong and shaky outings all season—his last start was the shaky one (6 IP, 4 ER at the White Sox). Mitchell Parker has been merely serviceable (4-3, 4.39 ERA), but the Nats are 3-2 in his last five turns and he faces a Seattle lineup that is starting to look like last year’s version: 21st in AVG and 12th in SLG despite ranking 10th in runs. Washington’s biggest flaw is a hideous 6.13 bullpen ERA, yet Kenny believes value lies in the plus price because Seattle’s offense has cooled, the Mariners are only 13-11 at home, and Parker can at least keep the game close through five. He mentioned first-five under 4.5 as a secondary angle given both offenses’ recent inconsistency (Nats’ last four: 2-3-0-8 runs, Mariners’ last four: 3-4-2-1), but his official lean is the Nationals moneyline, counting on regression from Evans and a few timely swings from C.J. Abrams and James Wood.

Eric Lindquist said the Nationals are worth a plus-money stab at +125 or better because Mitchell Parker profiles far better than the still-unconfirmed Logan Evans. Parker heads to the most pitcher-friendly park in baseball with Seattle’s lineup striking out 25.6% of the time versus southpaws, giving Lindquist confidence to sprinkle Parker strikeout overs once books open. By contrast, Evans has surrendered six earned runs to Texas, three to Toronto and four to the White Sox in his last three turns while allowing three home runs to Chicago despite frigid, pitcher-friendly weather. Lindquist worries about Evans’ five-day turn on short rest and his heavy hard-contact rate, noting that the top of Washington’s order is sneaky good now that James Wood is mashing. With Seattle’s offense historically weaker at home (park-adjusted), Lindquist makes Washington a slight favorite and is happy to lock the Nats’ moneyline anywhere north of +120.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed Seattle, highlighting Mitchell Parker’s brutal May (1-2, 8.00 ERA, .292 BAA, 23 runs in 23 IP) against a Mariner lineup that owns the sixth-most homers (70) and a 117 wRC+ vs LHP the last 10 days. Logan Evans (3.27 ERA in May) offers a steadier hand, and Seattle’s lefty-heavy bullpen can neutralize Washington’s late threats. The Nationals’ relief group still totes a 6.13 ERA, giving the M’s an additional late-inning cushion.