Bettor Mark advised considering Cleveland Guardians as an underdog at +115 against the Orioles. He singled out pitcher Gavin Williams as looking impressive in his previous start, facing a struggling Dean Kremer on Baltimore's side. With Kramer performing poorly this season, Mark expects Cleveland to find success. Although this was not officially on Mark's card, he strongly recommended it to bettors looking for another valuable pick.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended betting on Cleveland's money line against Baltimore, due to significant concerns with the Orioles' rotation. Baltimore lost Corbin Burnes in the offseason which weakened their starting pitching. Dean Kremer has struggled significantly in his first three starts and holds a poor track record against Cleveland. Charlie Morton has also shown inconsistency. Though both teams have strong bullpens, Cleveland is more patient and efficient offensively, potentially exploiting Kremer's poor form. Cleveland's lineup has shown recent improvement, scoring six or more runs in three of their last four games before this series, highlighting the potential vulnerability in Baltimore's starting pitching.

Just A Bet Outside strongly endorses Steven Kwan, emphasizing his favorable matchup against struggling Orioles pitcher Dean Kremer. Kwan is batting .360 over the past seven days, showing surprising pop with two home runs recently and hitting .322 on the season. Historically, Kwan is 4-for-8 off Kremer. Furthermore, Kremer has been extremely vulnerable against lefties, surrendering a .389 average and .722 slugging. Kwan is ideal for player props or hits parlays today.

Just A Bet Outside highlights Dean Kremer as a struggling starter to target. Through his first three games, Kremer surrendered five, two, and six runs while not surpassing five innings pitched in any outing. His strikeout figures are extremely low with only 11 Ks over 14.1 innings and alarmingly few whiffs. Opponents have easily scored three-plus runs off Kremer before bullpens even become involved, making the Guardians' team total over 2.5 a strong play.

Kenny G is keen on betting the Guardians at +114, primarily betting against Baltimore starter Dean Kremer's poor form (8.16 ERA). Kremer gave up 8 hits, 6 runs, including three homers in his recent outing against the Diamondbacks and struggled severely against weaker lineups like the Royals and Blue Jays earlier. Kenny G sees this matchup as a prime opportunity for an ordinary Cleveland offense to capitalize against a struggling pitcher. Gavin Williams, the young Cleveland starter, has impressed early (3.46 ERA), supported by an elite Guardians bullpen. Although the Orioles' bullpen improved from last year, Kenny trusts the Guardians' significantly better bullpen and sees an advantage with Gavin Williams against an Orioles team underperforming offensively.

It's The Final Round strongly advised targeting Steven Kwan against Dean Kremer due to excellent matchup factors. Kwan is performing exceptionally well recently, recording hits in 9 of his last 11 games. Historically against Kremer, Kwan has a stellar 500 batting average (4 hits in 8 at bats). This year, Kwan's success extends across Kremer's varied pitch arsenal, hitting four-seam fastballs at .400, cutters .667, curves 1.000, and historically performing well overall. Kremer's pitch struggles (4-seam fastball allowing 500 batting average this year and split-finger at .700 average) further solidify Kwan as an excellent player prop consideration.

Chris Ruffolo is skeptical of Baltimore's offensive performance against right-handed pitching early in the season. Orioles hitters have struggled significantly against righties, batting just .210, mirroring similar struggles experienced by the Guardians. Ruffolo believes these offensive troubles may persist, particularly with Cleveland's superior bullpen capable of limiting Baltimore's scoring opportunities late in the game. Furthermore, he noted that Baltimore is currently fielding multiple starters with high ERAs such as Dean Kremer and Charlie Morton, intensifying the team's vulnerability given that their offense has been unable to compensate sufficiently so far this season.

Chris Ruffolo recommended taking the Cleveland Guardians against Baltimore, largely due to Cleveland's substantial bullpen advantage. Ruffolo highlighted the Guardians' strong bullpen performance in April, citing their near league-best 2.40 bullpen ERA. Conversely, he pointed to Baltimore's bullpen ERA of 4.08, which ranks just outside the bottom 10, making late-game situations far riskier for the Orioles. In tight contests, Ruffolo emphasized greater trust in Cleveland's relief pitching and underscored the bullpen disparity as a key betting factor, especially with the potential for Cleveland to have a late-inning lead.

Chris Ruffolo strongly supports the Cleveland Guardians as an even money play against the Orioles, primarily due to Baltimore starter Dean Kremer's recent struggles. Ruffolo cited Cleveland's patient and disciplined approach at the plate, noting they consistently take concentrated at-bats which should continue against the struggling Kremer, who has allowed significant home run totals and has an elevated ERA early in the season. Even though Cleveland's offensive metrics against right-handed pitching are modest (team batting average .212 and OPS just outside bottom 10), Ruffolo trusts their lineup to capitalize. Additionally, Ruffolo emphasized confidence in the Guardians' bullpen, highlighting their excellent 2.40 bullpen ERA in April, significantly better than Baltimore's bullpen ERA of 4.08. He stated that bullpen superiority would likely play a key role if Cleveland manages to maintain a lead into the late innings.

Chris Ruffolo advised fading Dean Kremer due to his rough start to the 2025 MLB season. Kremer has struggled significantly through his first three starts, all on the road, posting an 8.16 ERA and giving up four home runs and 13 earned runs in just 14.1 innings pitched. Ruffolo highlighted Kremer's issues with consistent hard contact, referencing his recent start against the Diamondbacks where he surrendered six runs including three home runs over only 4.2 innings. Ruffolo also pointed out Kremer's previous season struggles pitching at home, where his ERA was nearing 4.5, reinforcing a negative stance on Kremer's outlook facing a disciplined Guardians lineup.

Data Skrive recommends the Orioles (-135) over the Guardians in Baltimore, predicting a high-scoring 7-6 Orioles victory. Despite Baltimore starter Dean Kremer’s rough early season (8.16 ERA), the model favors Baltimore's offensive upside at home and anticipates an Over (8.5) given the quality of hitters and recent form of the teams. Guardians pitcher Gavin Williams (1-0, 3.46 ERA) presents a sturdier presence but likely won't subdue the projected offensive environment.

Data Skrive highlights Steven Kwan's favorable RBI prop bet opportunity against struggling Orioles pitching. Kwan has been on fire lately, currently riding a five-game hitting streak where he's batting .391 with two home runs and eight RBI. He's leading the Guardians with a team-best .333 average and 11 RBI on the season. These numbers position him ideally against Baltimore pitching staff, which has posted a 4.86 ERA and a low strikeout rate (5.9 K/9), increasing the likelihood he makes productive contact and generates run-scoring opportunities. Given Kwan’s current heater and Baltimore's difficulty keeping opponents off the bases, Data Skrive presents Kwan as a strong candidate to hit the Over on his RBI prop bet.

Data Skrive identifies a significant betting trend suggesting to avoid backing the Orioles in their current scenario as favorites. Baltimore has performed poorly under similar conditions, winning just twice out of the seven times they were favored this season. Furthermore, in their last 10 games, the Orioles have been favored on the moneyline six times, going 1-5 outright (and only 2-8 against the run line spread). Given these persistent struggles and a record of only one win out of three games when favored at odds of -130 or more, Data Skrive implies the Orioles are overpriced favorites worth fading in this matchup against Cleveland.

Kingpin recommends betting the Orioles moneyline, highlighting their offensive advantage at home versus Cleveland rookie pitcher Gavin Williams. Baltimore boasts productive young hitters like Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson. Although Williams is a talented rookie, he will face a challenging test against Baltimore’s confident and aggressive lineup in hitter-friendly conditions at Camden Yards.