For GPP players hunting cheap power, Morgan suggested Matt Mervis at $2,700. Although the lefty is hitting below the Mendoza Line, he sports a .449 slugging percentage and seven homers. That profile matches perfectly against Sean Burke, who carries a career 5.02 FIP and has yielded 1.83 HR/9 this season despite limiting lefties to a .194 average. Morgan likes the odds that one of Mervis’s hard-hit fly balls leaves the yard and pays off the salary.

Guy Boston said the only way he could play White Sox-Marlins is to pair a Miami moneyline with the game under. He expects a ‘bounce-back’ after Chicago stole yesterday’s meeting and pointed out that neither offense scares anyone: the Sox rank 28th in wRC+ and Miami sits 25th. Even with two shaky starters (Shane Smith for Chicago, Edward Cabrera for Miami), Boston trusts the Fish because Chicago has scored three runs or fewer in 20 of its last 32 and owns MLB’s worst hard-hit rate. Cabrera’s 29% strikeout rate can mask his walk issues against a Sox lineup that chases at the sixth-highest clip. He also noted Miami’s bullpen has been league-average over the past month while Chicago’s relief corps carries a 5.08 ERA. With wind blowing in at Guaranteed Rate and both clubs ranking bottom-5 in ISO, Boston prefers Miami at plus money and a full-game total under 8.5 for correlated leverage.

Todd Zola recommended streaming Shane Smith after noting the rookie has added a changeup that is already generating whiffs. Smith draws a home start against a Marlins lineup that sits below league average in wOBA and strikes out 24.5% of the time versus right-handed pitching. The weather profile at Guaranteed Rate Field (warm temps, mild wind) is pitcher-friendly per THE BAT X, and Smith’s projected line (5.1 IP, 2.2 ER, 5.3 K, 50% win probability) makes him viable in 10-team leagues.

Kenny G advised betting over 8 runs in the Marlins-White Sox matchup rather than choosing a side. He pointed out that Miami is 11-3 to the over on the road, the best road over record in MLB, while Chicago is 10-6-2 to the over at home. Even though the White Sox offense ranks 27th in runs and dead-last in slugging, Kenny noted both bullpens are shaky and oddsmakers have already hung an 8/8.5 total despite Chicago’s cold bats, signaling respect for run potential. With both clubs carrying sub-par staffs—he actually graded the Sox pen “slightly better” than Miami’s but still unreliable—and neither ace on the mound, he believes the matchup trends outweigh the anemic lineup metrics. He said he would only lean to Chicago at the current pick-em price but the cleaner, data-driven play is the over.

Halterman recommended scooping up Dane Myers while he’s locked into everyday work with Derek Hill on the IL. The 29-year-old late bloomer is batting .342 thanks to a .433 BABIP, but Halterman highlighted real skill growth – improved contact rate and a pace that prorates to 20 homers and 40 steals over 162 games. Even if the hot BABIP cools, Myers could still settle around a 10-HR/30-SB season with an adequate average, which is plenty for managers chasing speed on waivers in standard roto leagues.

Scott Reichel recommended White Sox first-five moneyline at –110 against Miami because rookie left-hander Drew Smith has been a pleasant surprise (2.41 ERA, 28% K-rate) while Marlins righty Edward Cabrera sports a 6.39 ERA and the league’s worst stolen-base prevention metrics (13 swipes in four starts). Chicago’s lineup is finally healthy, averaging 4.9 runs over its last seven, and boasts three of the top-15 sprint-speed players, a direct matchup nightmare for Cabrera. By backing only the first five, bettors avoid Chicago’s unreliable bullpen (5.21 ERA) and still capitalize on Miami’s 29th-ranked wRC+ versus southpaws. Reichel projected White Sox –135 for the opening half and labeled anything at or near pick-em a must-play.

Martin grabbed the Marlins at +100 behind Edward Cabrera. He highlighted 20-mph winds to right center but a cool 53° forecast, conditions he believes favor Cabrera’s 98-mph, high-strikeout profile by limiting White Sox contact. Chicago rookie Shane Smith, a Rule 5 arm, has just six strikeouts against a slew of walks over his last two starts. With both offenses ranking bottom-five, Martin expects Cabrera’s strikeout upside and Miami’s recent baptism against the Dodgers to outweigh Chicago’s rare status as a favorite, making the underdog price attractive.

Brad Francis backed the White Sox on the money line because Miami has completely fallen apart away from home, dropping six straight road games. Francis added that Chicago hands the ball to Shane Smith, whom he called "one of the better guys in this rotation," giving them the starting-pitching edge. He noted the Marlins opened the season respectably but have been "terrible" of late, and the SportsChatPlace betting tools also flashed a play on Chicago. All of that convinced Francis that the South Siders are in a sneaky buy spot despite the series being, in his words, “by far the worst of the weekend.”

Cash Out Sports Picks leaned under on the total, citing two sputtering lineups and a solid home arm. Chicago has scored just four runs over its last four games and will again miss Andrew Benintendi (calf). They were shut out twice in Kansas City and managed six hits in another blanking. Miami plated only one run in its most recent game and owns the 27th-ranked bullpen ERA (5.26). Shane Smith’s 2.41 ERA should neutralize the Marlins, while Cabrera’s road issues may still be mitigated by Chicago’s poor form. Tout expects a low-scoring slog between two bottom-tier offenses.

Cash Out Sports Picks took the White Sox money line, largely fading Miami starter Edward Cabrera on the road. Cabrera’s lone away outing produced an 11.25 ERA and .450 opponents’ average. Chicago counters with Shane Smith, who owns a 2.70 ERA and .220 BAA in 16.2 home innings (2.41 overall across seven starts). Even the pens tilt Sox: 4.63 ERA vs Miami’s 5.26 (27th MLB). The Marlins are 4-10 away from home and carry the league’s worst team ERA (5.86). With Cabrera’s six-plus ERA and Chicago’s better bullpen, the tout expects Smith to finally get run support and secure the W.

MacPherson recommended betting Bryse Wilson under 3.5 strikeouts at +120 or better, citing Portfolio EV projections. Wilson is stretching back out after relieving but still profiles as a pitch-to-contact arm; models peg him for just 3.7 Ks. Miami’s projected lineup owns a league-low 17.7% strikeout rate since the start of last season, and Guaranteed Rate Field boosts offense compared with Wilson’s previous Miami home park. Although Wilson threw 89 pitches in his last outing and notched four punchouts, the +120 line represents a 4.3% expected ROI based on Stokastic’s simulations, making the under a +EV wager.

Scott Reichel recommended attacking the full-game Over 8 in Marlins–White Sox because neither starter can miss bats right now. Chicago’s Spencer Wilson just allowed nine hits and four runs to Houston and owns a .357 batting-average-against the first time through the order. Miami rookie Max Meyer has completely lost his early-season form, surrendering ten runs across his last two outings with his slider command vanishing. Reichel added that both bullpens sit bottom-seven in WHIP over the past two weeks, so even if the sticks start slowly, crooked numbers are live in the late innings. He admitted neither offense is trustworthy long-term, but with two contact-heavy pitchers and wind projected out to left, he expects at least nine total runs by the final out.

Lonte Smith preferred isolating Miami’s bats and played the Marlins team-total Over (projected 4.5). He trusts Miami’s lineup far more than the flailing White Sox and called Wilson “a glorified batting-practice arm” after noting his 49% hard-hit rate and 1.54 WHIP. Chicago’s bullpen offers little relief, lugging a 5.11 ERA over the last ten games with three different relievers sporting walk rates north of 12%. Smith acknowledged Meyer’s shakiness, which is why he passed on the full game side, but he still leaned Marlins −1.5 for anyone seeking plus money. The core position, however, is Miami scoring five or more runs, something they have done in six of their last nine when not facing the Dodgers’ pitching buzzsaw.

He played the full-game Over, highlighting that Miami games have gone over in 24 of 36 contests with an average of 10.53 total runs (11.86 on the road). Chicago games have surpassed the total in 18 of 38, and both staffs have struggled. With the Marlins averaging 4.43 runs per game away from home and the White Sox bullpen leaking, he expects more offense than the posted number implies.

The tout backed Miami on the moneyline even though the Fish have lost 10 of 13. His case rests on the pitching matchup: rookie Max Meyer has surrendered only 17 earned runs in 39 innings, while Bryce Wilson has been rocked for 32 hits, 14 runs and 11 walks in just 22.2 innings. He noted that fading the White Sox has been profitable for three straight seasons and reminded listeners that Chicago’s lineup sits 26th in MLB at 3.37 runs per game.

Just A Bet Outside said Chicago remains a punching bag for right-handed starters and recommended blindly leaning OVER on pitcher outs props until the lineup shows signs of life. He pointed out that nine of the last 13 righties who have faced the White Sox cleared their posted outs line. Over the past three weeks Chicago ranks 6th-worst in WRC+, 4th-worst in batting average and 5th-worst in OPS against right-handed pitching. Their approach helps pitchers work deep: they see the 11th-fewest pitches per plate appearance and own the 9th-highest first-pitch swing rate, leading to quick contact and pitch efficiency. The host advised targeting competent right-handed starters—especially those on 90-plus-pitch leashes—to record six full innings or more in betting markets until the Sox offense wakes up.

Just A Bet Outside expects Max Meyer to right the ship after consecutive clunkers and go at least six full innings (18 outs) against Chicago. Before getting tagged by two top-10 offenses (Mariners and Athletics) Meyer had surpassed 17.5 outs in four straight starts. His underlying profile remains strong: 84th-percentile whiff rate, 80th-percentile K rate and an 86th-percentile 53.8 % ground-ball rate that keeps the ball in the yard. The White Sox are a dream matchup – last three weeks they sport the sixth-lowest WRC+, fourth-lowest batting average and fifth-lowest OPS versus righties, while swinging early (ninth-highest first-pitch swing rate) and seeing the 11th-fewest pitches per plate appearance. Nine of the past 13 right-handed starters have topped this outs line against Chicago. The host anticipates Meyer’s pitch efficiency and Miami’s willingness to let him work deep (100-pitch ceiling) will cash the OVER 17.5 outs at –125.

Just A Bet Outside warned that Max Meyer’s strikeout over is no longer automatic despite a juicy matchup with Chicago. The White Sox have the 4th-highest K-rate against righties in the past three weeks (23.8 %), but Meyer is coming off a zero-strikeout clunker versus Oakland and has been tagged for six and five earned runs in back-to-back outings. His whiff rate dips on the road (25 % vs 30.5 % in Miami), and the host emphasized you should tread lightly or even consider the UNDER until Meyer proves the shoulder is sound.

B Wade recommended betting Max Meyer over 1.5 walks (-110) because wildness has been a theme: 2+ walks in 5 of 7 starts overall and a perfect 3-for-3 on the road this season. Stretching back to last year, Meyer has issued at least two free passes in five straight away outings and seven of his last ten anywhere. Although the White Sox are a poor club, they sit 15th in walk rate—league average—which should keep pressure on Meyer. Wade expects the rookie to work into the sixth inning in a low-scoring game, giving him extra chances to lose command late and clear the number.