Scott Reichel said the money-line price on New York (-125) is cheap given the current pitching matchup. Clarke Schmidt strung together three straight scoreless starts before a six-inning, four-run hiccup in Oakland, and Reichel noted his underlying numbers — 27.8 K%, 3.18 xFIP over his last month — are markedly better than Chris Bassitt’s. Bassitt owns a sparkling 2.60 ERA at Rogers Centre but was shelled at Fenway his last time out and has watched his swinging-strike rate dip below 9 %. Reichel expects Schmidt’s strikeout upside to play against a Toronto lineup that ranks 26th in wOBA versus right-handed four-seamers. With the Yankees’ bats scuffling, he projects a tight, low-scoring affair yet still gives New York the edge because Schmidt is in better form and Bassitt’s home splits are masking declining stuff. He called 4-3 Yankees his most likely score and advised taking the Bronx Bombers straight up rather than laying a run line.

Cash Out Sports Picks likes Toronto on the money line, leaning heavily on ace Chris Bassitt’s dominance at Rogers Centre. Bassitt is 5-0 with a 2.60 ERA in nine home starts, fanning 57 and surrendering just four homers. He has also limited the current Yankees roster to seven earned runs over 38.2 lifetime innings (44 K). New York’s power dips away from Yankee Stadium and Clarke Schmidt’s road ERA (3.71) is a full run higher than at home, making this a "tough test" against a Jays club that owns the AL’s second-best home batting average (.269) and 225 runs in their own park. With Toronto up 3-2 in the season series, the tout expects them to "secure the victory."

Eric Lindquist advised taking a sprinkle on Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s home-run prop if books hang anything north of +400 against Chris Bassitt. Lindquist stressed that Bassitt owns one of the most pronounced platoon splits in MLB, surrendering the bulk of his damage to left-handed bats (a .207 ISO and 1.56 HR/9 to LHB this season). Jazz, who has already taken Kevin Gausman and Jose Berrios deep this series, remains locked in and will again carry the platoon edge. Lindquist believes the market is still pricing Chisholm like a league-average hitter, even though his 46% hard-hit rate and 14.3% barrel rate versus righties scream upside. With Bassitt’s heavy sinker/curve mix staying in the zone and Jazz seeing the ball well, Lindquist sees plus-money bombs as the most attractive way to attack this matchup.

Martin laid the short –120 road price with the Yankees. Clarke Schmidt brings a 3.00 ERA and already blanked Toronto for five innings of one-hit ball earlier this season. Chris Bassitt, meanwhile, coughed up two homers in five innings the last time he saw New York and is coming off a disastrous outing versus Boston (4 BB, 9 R in 2 IP). Across the full season the Yankees sport a +105 run differential and rank among MLB’s best offenses versus right-handed pitching. Toronto’s bullpen is the lone area of concern, but Martin prefers the Yankees’ edge in the rotation and lineup at only a 20-cent tax.

For his home-run prop, Dylan Rockford rode the hot bat of George Springer, who has already left the yard twice during the live recording. Rockford likes the matchup against Yankees rookie Will Warren, whose 5-plus road ERA and 11% walk rate have forced him over the heart of the plate. With the Rogers Centre roof likely closed, the park’s right-center power alley plays short, and Springer owns a .508 career SLG there. Rockford sees plus-425 or better as value on Springer to leave the yard again.

Dylan made Toronto –115 yet found them as an even-money home dog, so he pounced. Will Warren’s road ERA sits above 5.00 and his walk rate has spiked to 11% over the last month, something Dylan doesn’t want to back in the hitter-friendly Rogers Centre. Jose Berrios, meanwhile, posted a 1.03 ERA at home in June, blanking the Yankees for 5.1 innings in April. Toronto is 3-0 in his last three home starts and has scored 16 runs in those outings. With both bullpens ranking top-6 in xFIP, Rockford believes the pitching advantage and home park familiarity justify crossing the street on the wrong favorite.

Cody Bellinger is 3-for-5 with a homer (.600) off Jose Berrios and has hits in 10 of his last 11 contests. The tout views him as a solid 1+ hit or total bases play.

Perrault is taking Toronto at +112 to finish a three-game sweep of New York. The Blue Jays have won 5-4 and 12-5 to open the series and are now just one game behind the Yankees in the AL East. Jose Berrios brings a 3.48 ERA, .227 opponent average, and a 5-1 team record in his last six starts at Rogers Centre. New York counters with rookie Will Warren, whose road ERA balloons to 5.54 with 23 earned runs allowed in 37.1 innings; he was shelled for seven runs in Los Angeles and owns a .265 opponent average away from the Bronx. Toronto’s lineup just tagged Yankee pitching for 12 runs and Springer logged a career-high seven RBI. Perrault is riding the hot offense, the superior starter, and plus money on a motivated home dog while fading a shaky New York bullpen.

B Wade backed Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to eclipse 1.5 total bases versus New York right-hander Will Warren. Guerrero has hit this mark in 12 of his last 20 games and has not failed to reach it in back-to-back contests for more than a month. Warren enters with a 4-plus ERA and 1.30+ WHIP, surrendering plenty of loud contact. Guerrero produced three bases in the series opener and historically hits Yankee pitching well. Coming off a hitless night while teammates thrived, Wade views Wednesday as a classic Guerrero bounce-back and values the plus-money price that helps create a 3x parlay return.

Mark recommended New York’s team total Over 4.5/5.0 (–110 range) in Toronto, arguing that Max Scherzer’s fastball is down 1.6 mph and his hard-hit rate has climbed to 42 % in June. The Yankees just hung a 12-spot on the A’s and get Aaron Judge back in the heart of a lineup that owns MLB’s second-best wRC+ versus righties since mid-June. He sees a ‘feast-or-famine’ profile for Scherzer and expects New York to push five plus across in a dome environment where weather is controlled and the short porch in right can be exploited by several left-handed bats.

Just A Bet Outside recommended taking the Yankees team-total over 2.5 runs because he no longer trusts 40-year-old Max Scherzer to miss bats or work deep. Scherzer’s fastball velocity and slider bite have both dipped, and he has only five strikeouts with three walks through eight MLB innings this season. The tout reminded listeners that Scherzer posted a 4.00 ERA last year and looked similarly flat in his lone rehab start. New York’s offense has plated at least three runs in eight of its last 10 overall games, six of its last 10 against right-handed starters, and 70 percent of its road contests while averaging 5.0 runs away from Yankee Stadium. Toronto’s bullpen is coming off a heavy weekend and may be asked to cover multiple innings. With nine guaranteed trips to the plate as the road team, the host sees three runs as the floor, making the team-total over a viable stand-alone play or anchor leg in parlays.

Just A Bet Outside spotlighted Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as Monday’s premier hitter prop target because of his dominant history against Carlos Rodon. Guerrero is 8-for-12 lifetime versus the Yankee left-hander with three extra-base hits, including a home run. On a smaller eight-game slate the host called it the standout individual matchup, suggesting bettors consider total bases, hit props, or DFS captain exposure. The analysis leans on the perfect blend of a right-handed power bat facing a southpaw he has already tagged for a .667 average and a .917 slugging percentage.

Dylan Rockford said he will lay as much as –140 with the Yankees in Toronto. His model made New York exactly –140, and he is comfortable firing at that number because Max Scherzer has looked shaky in his first two Blue Jay outings—both Toronto losses—and has yet to work past the fifth inning. Rockford noted that New York is crushing on the road, batting .261 away from the Bronx and coming off a double-digit run outburst earlier in the day. He doubts the Jays can generate enough offense to keep up while Scherzer is still getting stretched out, so anything at –140 or better is a green light.

Razzle advised steering clear of Max Scherzer in DFS. The 39-year-old looked rusty in his first start back from the IL and now faces a surging Yankee lineup. Razzle questioned whether Scherzer’s velocity and slider bite will ever fully return, noting mounting injuries and diminishing whiffs. With more appealing options in the same salary tier, he labeled Scherzer a full fade on this slate.

Razzle said Carlos Rodon is firmly in play on the six-game slate even though Toronto owns the lowest strike-out rate in baseball. Rodon’s Yankee Stadium splits remain excellent—higher WHIP but still an elite strike-out percentage—and his individual history against this batting order shows a 25 % K-rate (22 punch-outs over 86 plate appearances). The only hitter who has really hurt him is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (8-for-12, 3 BB, 0 K). On a slate lacking many aces, Razzle believes Rodon’s raw ceiling at $9.4K on DraftKings outweighs the matchup risk.

B Wade called Vladimir Guerrero Jr his favorite play of the slate, taking OVER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs. Vlad is 8-for-12 (.667) with a homer and ZERO strikeouts in 12 career plate appearances versus Carlos Rodon, despite Rodon owning one of MLB’s higher K-rates. Guerrero has eclipsed this prop in 13 of his last 20 games and rarely strings together more than two poor outings all year. Wade even floated taking 1.5 total bases at plus money but opted for the safer HRR over in a three-leg slip, citing Guerrero’s elite track record against Rodon and season-long consistency.