Peterson bet Under 10 because Jesus Luzardo is locked in (1.95 ERA, two total homers in 10 starts, two runs or fewer in five straight) and Oakland’s lineup averages just 4.3 runs per game at spacious Coliseum. Rookie Gunnar Hoglund has been mediocre (5.06 ERA), but Peterson still projects only 9.2 runs in this run-suppressing environment.

Soni spotlighted Kyle Schwarber at +205 to homer against Oakland rookie Gunnar Hoglund (5.06 ERA). Schwarber has blasted 3 homers in his last 6 games and posted a 1.163 OPS over that stretch, pushing his season total to 18 bombs. A 27.6% walk rate paired with a matching strikeout rate shows pitchers are avoiding him or paying the price, and Soni expects the lefty slugger’s elite power to play in another hitter-friendly matchup.

Kenny G prefers attacking the over (9.5 or 10—your pick) rather than a side in Phillies-A’s. He noted both clubs will enter on tired bullpens after Saturday’s extra-inning marathon; Philadelphia’s pen already sits at 4.60 ERA while Oakland’s is a brutal 6.06. Starter mismatch suggests early runs too: the Phillies give the ball to Hazelos Luzardo, who owns an elite 1.95 ERA and five straight dominant outings, but he rarely works deep, meaning that shaky relief corps will still decide things. Opposite him rookie Gunnar Hoglund has been rocked for 11 earned across his last two appearances (vs Angels and Dodgers) and sports a 5.06 ERA. Offenses lean over as well—Philly ranks 7th in runs and 3rd in OBP, Oakland’s once-hot lineup is cooling but still middle of the pack (14th runs). Ball-park splits support a shoot-out: the A’s are 17-9 to the over at home while Philadelphia trends 16-9-1 to the under on the road, a dichotomy Kenny says is skewed by pitcher-friendly NL parks rather than the matchup in Sacramento’s power alley. With neither bullpen fresh and a volatile rookie on the hill, he projects both teams landing in the 5-6 run range and made any number below 11 playable.

Romanelli laid −1.5 with Philadelphia, citing a massive starting-pitching disparity. Jesus Luzardo just carved up Colorado for six innings of one-run ball with 10 strikeouts at altitude, and the Phillies have won each of his last five turns. Gunnar Hoglund, meanwhile, has surrendered nine earned over his past two outings (10 IP) with five homers, five walks, and 13 hits, undoing the promise from his debut. Ron expects the Phillies’ top-five May OPS to punish Hoglund’s erratic fastball early, giving Luzardo a comfortable cushion before the dependable Philly bullpen closes the door.

It's The Final Round flagged Trea Turner as a prime target against Gunnar Hogan, a three-pitch arm who is bleeding contact. Hogan’s four-seam (39% usage) gives up a .286 average, his sweeper (26%) a .333, and his sinker (20%) an ugly .500. Turner is crushing those same pitches this season: .364 vs four-seams, .400 vs sweepers, .417 vs sinkers. Turner has hit safely in 17 of the last 21 games and owns a 34.6% launch-angle sweet spot (117th of ~260). Recent prop trends: 22-of-27 on 0.5-hit line, 7-of-10 on 1.5 H+R+RBI, 4-of-5 on 1.5 total bases, 7-of-10 on 0.5 runs, 16-of-20 on singles. The tout advises shopping for whichever Turner market offers plus money or modest juice once books post numbers.

Cash Out played the under in the same matchup, pointing out that Christopher Sanchez (2.50 ERA, .154 BAA in May) and Jeffrey Springs (1.46 ERA, 0.81 WHIP in May) have both been dealing. Double-play issues for each lineup (Phillies 32 GIDP, A’s league-leading 49) further suppress run expectancy. With both offenses already below average in slugging and each starter carrying hot recent form, the tout expects the total to stay beneath the posted number.

Cash Out Sports Picks laid the juice with Philadelphia, highlighting that the Phillies have captured seven of their last eight series while hitting .280 in May and will hand the ball to Zack Wheeler (2.67 ERA, team has won four straight Wheeler starts). Oakland counters with a bullpen game started by Jacob Lopez, who has yet to exceed three innings and whose team is 0-4 in his appearances. The A’s recently endured a nine-game losing streak and rank 15th in OPS with RISP compared to Philly’s fourth-place .787. The tout labeled the Phillies moneyline the best way to attack the mismatch.

Lonte Smith prefers isolating the Phillies’ offense and played their team total Over (expecting 5.5) instead of the side. Philadelphia owns MLB’s best May wRC+ (138) and has plated six-plus runs in seven of its last ten. Oakland’s arms are gassed – a 5.98 ERA for the staff this month – and the projected starter had not been announced, signaling another bullpen day. Smith praised Cristopher Sanchez’s road consistency but noted backing the team total lets him avoid late-inning variance if Rob Thomson manages aggressively with a big lead. He expects early traffic against an Athletics relief corps that is walking 11% of hitters and forecast a 7-3 or 8-4 type scoreboard explosion.

Scott Reichel is done trying to thread needles with Oakland and will simply play Phillies –1.5 once the market drops. The A’s have lost nine straight and are surrendering an eye-popping 7.8 runs per game during that skid. Cristopher Sanchez brings a 4-1 record and 3.10 ERA into cavernous Oakland Coliseum and has limited road opponents to a .278 wOBA. Reichel dismissed concerns over Philly’s travel, noting Rob Thomson’s club is 14-8 in road series openers. With the A’s rotation in shambles and a bullpen sporting a 6.01 ERA over the last two weeks, he projected a comfortable 6-2 Phillies win and advised betting the run line before oddsmakers shoot it to –140 or higher.

The Bettor Mark targeted Kyle Schwarber to record at least one walk (Over 0.5 BB) at –145 on DraftKings. He noted that Schwarber has drawn a free pass in seven of his last ten games (70%) and, as the leadoff man, is guaranteed an extra plate appearance relative to teammates. Facing fellow left-hander Jeffrey Springs, Mark expects Oakland to pitch around Schwarber, especially early, citing the slugger’s elite strike-zone judgment. He even forecasted the possibility of a first-inning walk and is comfortable laying the juice given Schwarber’s recent discipline and Springs’ off-speed heavy approach that often misses the zone.

Donnie Rightside said the Philadelphia Phillies are his favorite World Series futures bet at the current 10-to-1 number. He noted that Philadelphia actually owns the National League’s best record at 32-18 despite a schedule that has been front-loaded with weak opponents—and the soft stretch continues this weekend in Sacramento, giving them a chance to stack more wins and shorten this price. He compared the Phillies’ 31–19 start to the Dodgers’ 31–19 mark and argued that Los Angeles being only a game better yet priced at +250 shows how much inflation is in the Dodger number. Rightside added that the Braves are treading water (dropping games to Washington) and the Mets are inconsistent, so the Phillies have a clear path to the NL East crown, a key checkpoint for a deep October run. He urged locking in the 10-1 before the market fully adjusts.

Scott Reichel said he is happy to lay the -1 run line with Philadelphia because Oakland is “in a free-fall.” The A’s have dropped eight in a row and he expects the skid to reach nine thanks to a brutal bullpen and spot starter Ross Stripling, whom he noted “can’t hold runners” and has coughed up 12 steals across his last three outings. Oakland’s offense owns the worst May OPS (.604) and has been held to three or fewer runs in seven of the last eight. Meanwhile Zack Wheeler has been “great,” rolling into Friday with a 1.96 ERA, 30-to-4 K/BB ratio, and six straight quality starts. Reichel trusts a top-5 Phillies bullpen to protect any lead and projected a 5-2 type final. He will play the -1 down to -140 and would sprinkle the traditional -1.5 if plus money shows.

Eric Pathi made the Oakland Athletics his “Dog of the Day” at +55 cents (+155) against the Philadelphia Phillies. Pathi argued that backing Philadelphia as a road favorite is a losing proposition: if you had laid $100 on every Phillies game this season you would be up only $194 overall, and a laughable $6 in their road contests. Philadelphia is 27-14 as a favorite but basically break-even because of the heavy juice, while their 5-4 record as an underdog accounts for most of the meager profit. He compared them to the Dodgers, another team with a winning record yet a negative ROI, to illustrate how dangerous it is to chase big-name favorites. Pathi likes the A’s strictly on price, noting that betting underdogs who win roughly 40% of the time is the only statistically viable long-term MLB strategy. He advised grabbing the A’s at +155 and fading the overrated Phillies in this spot.

For the total, Cash Out Sports Picks leaned UNDER. Wheeler has not allowed more than two runs in any of his last six outings and is striking out 30% of batters faced. Oakland’s offense owns just a .716 OPS and 104 wRC+ versus right-handers the last two weeks. Expected starter Jeffrey Springs can keep Philly to a modest output—he’s held opponents to three ER or fewer in five of six—and the park in Sacramento plays neutral. The tout envisions a 5-2 or 4-1 Phillies victory that sneaks below the book’s number.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Phillies money-line. Philadelphia rides a seven-game overall and six-game road winning streak, outscoring foes 42-18. Zack Wheeler owns a 5-1 mark, 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, allowing two or fewer runs in six straight. Oakland, losers of nine straight, has surrendered 9+ runs in five of those defeats and still hasn’t named a starter capable of matching Wheeler. The tout expects Philly’s top-3 offense against lefties (128 wRC+) to feast and the surging bullpen (2.91 ERA in May) to slam the door.

Donnie Rightside said the betting market has pushed every angle of Phillies-Rockies beyond value. Philadelphia has hung at least seven runs in each of the first three games at Coors-like altitude, driving the game total to 11.5 and the Phils’ team total to 7.5. Rightside compared laying those numbers to taking an elite NFL running back’s rushing prop at 98.5 yards—there is simply no meat left on the bone. While he expects Ranger Suarez, who has surrendered only three earned runs over his last 14 innings, to help the matchup clear the posted 11.5 again, he will not touch the over or the -250 moneyline straight. The only scenario he would consider is tucking the Phillies into a multi-leg parlay, otherwise it is a stay-away spot due to inflated pricing.

Holmes backed Yes Runs First Inning at ‑110 for the Phillies–Athletics contest in Sacramento’s Sutter Health Park, citing that the temporary Triple-A venue has seen a first-inning run in 37 percent of games—the highest mark for any big-league ballpark this season. Philadelphia ranks fourth in NL runs, carries a top-three on-base percentage, and sits top-ten in slugging despite a modest homer total. Harper, Turner, and Schwarber will face an inexperienced bullpen arm, making at least one first-inning run highly probable at near-even money.

Jay Croucher recommended playing Zack Wheeler’s strikeout prop to the over (projected 6.5 Ks). Wheeler has fanned at least six hitters in six consecutive outings and is coming off a six-strikeout, six-shutout-inning performance against Pittsburgh. Facing an Athletics lineup stuck in a nine-game skid and now missing everyday third baseman Gio Urshela, Croucher expects Wheeler’s swing-and-miss stuff to play for 7-9 punch-outs while the Phillies look to push their win streak to eight.

Jay Croucher backed the Phillies on both the moneyline (-181) and the -1.5 run line for Friday’s tilt in Sacramento. He pointed to Philadelphia’s seven-game overall winning streak and the fact they have covered the run line in six straight. Zack Wheeler brings a 5-1 record, 2.67 ERA and a six-start streak of 6+ strikeouts, while Oakland counters with Jeffrey Springs (3.91 ERA) and a bullpen that just blew back-to-back late leads during a nine-game losing skid. Croucher added that the Phillies have already won three straight in this ballpark and Oakland will be without Gio Urshela (hamstring). Even though the total has gone under in 14 of Philadelphia’s 24 road games, he expects the superior starter and the red-hot lineup to extend the streak and cover the run line at plus odds.