Kenny G was willing to eat the –160 juice on Seattle, pointing to Logan Gilbert’s return to vintage form and a stark mismatch everywhere else. Gilbert owns a 3.07 ERA and, over his last two appearances, threw 12.2 innings of two-run ball, including 6.1 shutout frames versus Detroit. The right-hander has looked sharp in three of his past four starts and hasn’t faced the Angels yet in 2025, giving him a scouting edge. Seattle backs him with a 3.84 bullpen ERA and an offense that sits 12th in runs and 10th in slugging; Cal Raleigh’s presence adds feared left-hand power. Meanwhile, Kyle Hendricks brings a bloated 4.92 ERA and surrendered four earned in six innings the last time he saw the M’s (June 6). The Angels’ relief corps remains bottom-tier and their lineup is sputtering again—run totals of 2, 3, 2, 3, 2 in their last five—ranking just 17th in runs and 25th in batting average. With Seattle only 4.5 games behind Houston and owning MLB’s best road Over mark (31-20-1), Kenny thinks motivation plus pitching superiority justify the premium price, labeling the Mariners his preferred play on Sunday’s board.

Martin is laying it with Seattle because Logan Gilbert is cruising while Kyle Hendricks looks hittable. Gilbert has blanked opponents in consecutive starts, racking up 10 and nine strikeouts, and he draws an Angels lineup that struggles with power righties. Hendricks owns a 5.00 ERA, sits at only 67 strikeouts in 100 innings, and simply doesn’t miss enough bats for Martin’s liking. With a better lineup split and the pitching edge, the Mariners are his play in SoCal.

The Bettor Mark said he would back Seattle at the current –150 number if he were forced to play the late-night game in Anaheim. His confidence rests on George Kirby’s recent form and the broader resurgence of the Mariners rotation, noting that Kirby and Bryan Woo once again look like future Cy Young candidates. Kirby’s elite strike-throwing profile, a 4.5% walk rate on the season, should play well against an Angels lineup striking out 25% of the time versus right-handers in July. Although Mark acknowledged Angel Stadium’s run-scoring environment and the 8.5 total suggest a potential shoot-out, he still believes Seattle is the correct side—he is simply passing because the price is a touch rich for his personal bankroll. Listeners looking for late action could lay the lumber with the Mariners or use them as a parlay anchor.

Drew Martin was comfortable laying –145 to –155 with Seattle behind George Kirby. The 27-year-old righty has won three of his last four starts and dominated the Angels earlier this season with seven innings of two-run ball and a ridiculous 14-to-0 K:BB line. Los Angeles enters on a four-game skid and hands the ball to Tyler Anderson, who hasn’t recorded a win since mid-April, owns a 2-6 overall mark, and just allowed four earned runs in back-to-back appearances, walking five last time out. Martin noted the Mariners’ proficiency versus left-handed pitching and expects their bats to punish Anderson while Kirby goes deep. He labeled Seattle the clear side at the ‘low watermark’ price.

Lonte Smith echoed the Mariners play, arguing the –120/–125 tag should be closer to –140. He framed it as a ‘breather’ series after Seattle just faced Houston and Milwaukee. Woo has yielded four combined earned runs in his last five non-Astros starts and has posted back-to-back road gems (13 IP, 1 ER). Soriano’s 5.65 home ERA and 4.2 BB/9 leave him vulnerable to a patient Mariners lineup that sits top-8 in MLB walk rate since the break. Smith also flagged Soriano’s 34% hard-hit rate allowed when behind in counts, something he expects Seattle to exploit. With the Angels bullpen carrying an xFIP over 5.00 in July, Smith projected the Mariners to push past four runs and win by multiple, calling the current moneyline ‘too short to pass.’

Scott Reichel made Seattle a buy at –125, saying the market is underrating Bryan Woo’s consistency and overrating Jose Soriano’s shaky home profile. Woo sports an 8-5 record with a 2.91 ERA and had allowed only four earned runs TOTAL across five starts before a stumble against Houston. On the road he’s held opponents to two or fewer in three straight. Soriano, meanwhile, owns a 5.65 ERA at Angel Stadium and continues to fight walk issues (10.2% BB rate). Reichel added that the Angels were ‘great for four innings versus the Mets and awful thereafter,’ while Seattle just survived consecutive series with Milwaukee and Houston— a massive step up from Los Angeles. He power-rated the game Mariners –140 and called the current number a bargain.

Eric Lindquist advised playing Jose Soriano’s strikeout over and even sprinkling the ladder against Seattle. Although Soriano owns only a 20 % season-long K-rate, Lindquist noted the right-hander strikes out righties at a higher clip and will face a projected Mariners order heavy on swing-and-miss right-handed bats such as Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez and Mitch Garver. Seattle’s league-worst 27 % team strikeout rate dovetails with Soriano’s 97 mph sinker that generates chase, and Lindquist is unfazed by Soriano’s shaky 11 % walk rate because the Angels bullpen can cover late innings. Weather is neutral in Anaheim, keeping the roof open scenario from inflating offense. He labeled Soriano a “clear-cut K play” after similar ladders cashed earlier in the week.

Eric Lindquist said to attack the Jose Soriano strikeout prop and even consider a ladder against Seattle. He noted that Soriano’s raw stuff plays up in K markets – the rookie owns a 26% strike-out rate, pairs an upper-90s sinker with a wipe-out curve, and still generates a 55% ground-ball rate that keeps him in the game long enough to pile up punch-outs. Seattle strikes out 27% of the time versus right-handed pitching (second-worst in MLB) and just lost the newly-acquired Josh Naylor for Friday’s lineup, removing one of the few low-K bats. Lindquist feels the baseline 4.5 line is too low and expects 6–7 Ks with ceiling for more, making standard over plays and incremental ladders (+650 at 8+, +1200 at 9+) worth a look.

Kenny G prefers the Angels at –120 against Seattle. He trusts Yusei Kikuchi’s steadier profile—4-6, 3.13 ERA and just two earned allowed last time out—over 24-year-old Logan Gilbert (called "Logan Evans" in the transcript), who owns a 3.81 ERA but has been wildly inconsistent, surrendering nine walks and 12 earned across his last three outings. Seattle’s bullpen has ballooned to a 3.90 ERA, while the Angels’ pen is worse (5.09) but will be partly shielded by a home crowd and power-heavy offense that ranks eighth in slugging. Seattle’s bats have cooled off (two, one and zero runs the past three games), and home teams have dominated league-wide, a trend Kenny specifically mentioned. Add in Mike Trout’s recent spark and the Halos’ 24-23 home record, and he sees enough edges to justify the small lay price.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Los Angeles Angels on the moneyline against Seattle. He rode ace Yusei Kikuchi, who owns a microscopic 0.39 ERA across four career starts versus the Mariners and brings a 3.13 season ERA that earned him an All-Star nod. The handicap leans on Seattle’s light-hitting profile—fresh off a 1-0 win that required a solo Cal Raleigh homer—and their dependence on tight, low-run games. Logan Evans, the Mariners’ rookie starter, was torched for six earned in four innings by the Yankees in his last outing, exposing a volatile bullpen early. Team trends amplify the play: the Angels are 4-2 as home favorites against AL West foes, while Seattle is 3-7 in its past ten trips to Anaheim. With a healthy lineup of Taylor Ward, Mike Trout, Jo Adell, and Jorge Soler supporting Kikuchi and the Angels exploiting Seattle’s shaky pitching depth, he labeled the Halos the clear betting side.

Jay Yang advised betting the Seattle Mariners money-line at +114 because the matchup heavily tilts their way. He highlighted that Yusei Kikuchi will work on just four days rest, a pattern that has pushed his July ERA up to roughly 4.64 and shows signs of mid-season fatigue. While Kikuchi’s surface stats still look decent, Yang pointed to a rising WHIP and steady traffic on the bases that make him vulnerable. Seattle’s bats have handled left-handed pitching better this month and should punish any slip-ups. On the mound for Seattle, rookie Evans is throwing strikes, keeping the ball in the yard, and just turned in a bounce-back effort (4 IP, 2 ER, 5 K on July 19), suggesting the early nerves are gone. The Mariners own a far more trustworthy bullpen, whereas the Angels’ relievers have been coughing up games regularly. Factoring in the rest disadvantage for Kikuchi, Seattle’s platoon edge, and the clear bullpen superiority, Yang believes the Mariners are mispriced and offers a solid plus-money play—so long as Evans and Kikuchi are the confirmed starters.

Bill Harrelson advised betting Jo Adell NOT to score a run. Adell has failed to record a run in 7 of his last 10 games, including four straight, and is 14-for-20 (70 %) to the "no run" side. Historically against Seattle he is 11-for-18 (61 %) in this prop. Over a 92-game 2025 sample his under rate is 64 %, and last season’s 127-game sample was similar at 61 %. He sees roughly four plate appearances per game but has been mediocre at the plate (.240 AVG versus both righties and lefties). Thursday’s opposing starter, Evans, allows a .255 average to right-handed hitters—9.5 % lower than his season average—further reducing Adell’s chances of scoring. Every major pick-em site, including Underdog, posts the no-run side as the favorite, so Harrelson expects Adell’s cold streak to continue.

Brad PickDawgz took Angels moneyline, noting the club has won five straight when listed as a favorite immediately after a loss. He highlighted having ‘their ace Kikuchi on the mound’ and said the Angels have been ‘sneaky good.’ Brad also faded Seattle starter Logan Evans (Gilbert), pointing out his surface stats are propped up by pitching in spacious T-Mobile Park and that a shift to a hitter-friendly environment should hurt him.

Harrelson took Jo Adell to NOT score a run. Adell has failed to reach home in 7 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20 (70 %). Versus Seattle he has stayed under in 11 of the last 18 meetings. Season-long data (92 games) shows a 64 % under rate, and last season’s 61 % adds confidence in a larger sample. He noted opposing starter Evans is tougher on right-handed bats (overall .277 BAA drops to .255 vs RHB, a 9.5 % improvement), while Adell is merely a .240 hitter from either side. With sportsbooks and pick-em apps unanimously pricing the under, Harrelson expects another scoreless night from the Angels outfielder.

Jay Yang advised betting the Seattle Mariners money line at +114 against the Angels. He highlighted several edges: 1) Yusei Kikuchi is pitching on four-day rest for the second straight turn, and in July his ERA on that schedule has ballooned to 4.64 with zero quality starts, which Yang attributes to mid-season fatigue. 2) Despite a respectable surface ERA, Kikuchi's WHIP and constant traffic on the bases signal trouble, and the Angels bullpen has repeatedly blown games behind him. 3) Seattle's lineup has handled left-handed pitching better this month, positioning them to punish Kikuchi early. 4) Rookie Emerson Evans "throws strikes and keeps the ball in the yard"; after a rough six-run outing versus the Yankees on July 9, he bounced back on July 19 with 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, suggesting the nerves are gone. 5) The Mariners bullpen is far more trustworthy than the Angels relief corps. Combining the Mariners’ platoon advantage, current form of both starters, and bullpen edge, Yang sees clear value on Seattle and insists bettors list Evans and Kikuchi when placing the wager.

Calling it his favorite play of the week, Lindquist locked in Angels ML at –115 against Seattle. Yusei Kikuchi owns a respectable 4.03 xFIP and has limited RH power all season, while projected Seattle starter Logan Evans ranks dead last on the slate with a 5.50+ expected ERA. Lindquist sees a massive starting-pitching mismatch and notes that Seattle’s dominant bullpen is far less intimidating away from T-Mobile Park. He made the line Angels –160, so anything south of that is an auto-bet in his model.

Bamford is targeting an Angels first-five (or even first-three) wager rather than a full-game play. His angle hinges on Seattle’s well-documented struggles against left-handed pitching—they often start slowly before adjusting—and southpaw Yusei Kikuchi’s decent surface numbers at home. Conversely, Seattle rookie Logan Evans owns a 5.06 ERA in five road starts with 39 hits, six homers, and eight walks in only 26.2 innings, making him highly hittable early. Bamford concedes the Halos’ bullpen is shaky, so he wants exposure only to the opening frames where those splits favor Los Angeles.

Rockford priced Seattle at –105 yet found them around +110, calling it blatant mis-pricing. The Mariners lead baseball in road scoring (5.40 runs per game) and are batting .270 away from T-Mobile Park. Angels starter Yusei Kikuchi has coughed up three-plus runs in back-to-back home appearances, and Los Angeles backs him with a bottom-five bullpen and error-prone defense. Given the Angels’ streaky nature, shaky pen, and Seattle’s road dominance, Rockford views any plus-money offer on the M’s as automatic value.