Cash Out Sports Picks urged bettors to play the under in Red Sox-Brewers, stressing how every data point screams low scoring. Boston has cashed five unders in its last seven because the staff keeps opponents in check while the lineup ranks bottom-10 in OPS this month. Milwaukee has finished under in four of its past six, including a 3-2 nail-biter on May 26. The matchup of Brayan Bello and Freddy Peralta only amplifies those trends: Bello owns a 2.45 ERA over his last three turns with a 57 % ground-ball rate, while Peralta sports a 2.14 ERA and 31 % strikeout rate at American Family Field. Both bullpens sit top-10 in FIP the past two weeks, and each club carries a modest minus-0.2 run differential despite winning records, suggesting close, tight games are the norm. The tout projected another 3-2 type finish that never threatens the posted total, making the under his preferred full-game wager.

Drew Martin laid -150 on Milwaukee’s first-five line with Freddy Peralta facing Boston, noting the Brewers are 16-10 at home and Peralta has surrendered just one earned run in each of his last two starts. The 28-year-old Dominican right-hander owns a 60/23 K/BB and only 44 hits allowed in 60+ innings, with a slight velocity bump supporting his 2025 surge. Martin is simultaneously fading Brayan Bello, who has coughed up nine earned runs in his last eight innings and carries a shaky 27/20 K/BB across 35 frames. By shortening the wager to five innings, Martin avoids Milwaukee’s suspect bullpen and trusts Peralta to outduel a cold Bello before the lineups and pens decide things late. Play: Brewers 1H ML -150.

Kenny G pegged Boston +135 as his potential Dog of the Day despite the club’s four-game skid. He likes Brian Bello’s underlying numbers more than Freddie Peralta’s recent form. Peralta owns a shiny 2.55 season ERA but has issued 8 walks in his last 14.1 innings and just got touched up by Pittsburgh. Bello, meanwhile, limited Baltimore to two earned over four innings and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any start this year. Boston’s bullpen (3.69 ERA) rates far better than Milwaukee’s 4.71 mark, and Kenny believes the Sox offense—stuck on 1-2-1-1 runs its last four—“won’t stay ice-cold forever.” Add in the avoidance-of-sweep narrative and the plus-money price, and Kenny feels the Red Sox are the clear value side over a Brewers team that almost blew a game even with Christian Yelich’s walk-off grand slam.

Dylan Rockford prefers isolating Milwaukee in the first five innings, removing bullpen variance. He underscored Freddy Peralta’s pristine home splits—3-0 record, 0.75 ERA, opponents batting .186—and the Brewers being 4-0 in his home starts. Peralta has surrendered just one run across his last 16 home innings. Conversely, Rockford distrusts Brayan Bello’s inconsistency and points to Boston’s punch-less lineup that has produced only four runs over the past three games. He expects Milwaukee to be leading at the midpoint more often than not.

Malcolm Bamford laid Milwaukee –130, citing Freddy Peralta’s home dominance. Peralta owns a microscopic 0.75 ERA at American Family Field, allowing just 16 hits over four starts while the Brewers are 4-0 in those games. Meanwhile Brayan Bello carries a 1.70 WHIP and has gone 5-2 to the over, signaling constant traffic when he’s on the mound. Boston’s injury-thinned offense has scored only four runs in its last three contests, and Milwaukee is 16-10 at home. Bamford trusts Peralta and a deeper bullpen far more than Bello, making the short moneyline price a value.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Red Sox plus the runs, emphasizing Boston’s 76.9 % cover rate as road underdogs (10-3 ATS) and a 15-11 straight-up road record despite a negligible −0.2 run differential. Milwaukee has covered only 43.8 % of the time as a home favorite and owns the same −0.2 differential at American Family Field. Both clubs have struggled to string wins together after a victory, but Boston’s knack for keeping games tight away from Fenway gives them the edge catching a cushion on the run line.

Jordan Cooper highlighted Boston as a high-variance, low-owned stack thanks to bargain salaries on the bottom half of the lineup—Toro, Campbell, Mayer, Abreu, Rafaela all under $4.5K. SimLabs generated multiple Red Sox five-mans that cracked the top-100 despite omitting chalk pieces Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers. Cooper likes that Boston is on the road (guaranteed nine innings) and that their pricing flexibility lets you pair expensive arms such as Rodon or Ryan while staying unique in large-field tournaments.

Kyle Kargel said Wilyer Abreu is a live +350 home-run ticket tonight in Milwaukee. Aaron Civale has already surrendered 4 homers in just 7.0 innings this year, with 3 of those bombs coming from left-handed bats in only 14 lefty at-bats. The right-hander also served up 29 long balls last season, a top-10 mark among all MLB pitchers. Abreu fits the matchup perfectly: all 12 of his 2025 homers have come off right-handed pitching, and six of them have come during May. He is significantly more dangerous on the road ( .580 slugging ) than at Fenway ( .434 ), and six of his 12 homers have come away from Boston. With the Red Sox traveling to a hitter-friendly American Family Field and Civale’s fly-ball tendencies on display, Kargel urged bettors to grab Abreu at +350 as his favorite HR prop for Tuesday.

Kingpin Sports bet Over 9.5 runs, pointing out Aaron Civale’s brutal 9.00 ERA for Milwaukee and Boston’s yet-to-be-named starter adding volatility on the other side. The tout views both staffs as liabilities, making a high-scoring environment likely.

Data Skrive projected a 7-6 final in Milwaukee, endorsing the Over on the 8.5-run total. Their model leans that way because Boston is scoring 4.6 runs per game with 12 homers over its past 10 contests, while Milwaukee is at 4.2 runs and nine homers in the same window. Both clubs have hit the over in half of those recent games (5 of 10 for each). Add in American Family Field’s reputation as a top-10 run-environment and neither bullpen sporting an ERA under 3.80 (Brewers 3.85, Red Sox 4.10 in the last 10), and the algorithm expects combined damage to clear the number more often than not.

Data Skrive assigned Milwaukee a 52% win probability and still tagged the Brewers as the side at a modest -120 price. Milwaukee has thrived in this range all season, winning 15 of 19 games (78.9%) when priced -120 or shorter and 19 of 28 overall as a favorite (67.9%). Boston, meanwhile, has cashed only 46.7% of its 15 games as an underdog and is 6-5 when listed +100 or longer. Given the Brewers’ stronger bullpen (9.2 K/9 over the last 10) and home-field edge, the model shows a sliver of value on the Crew to take the series opener.

Just A Bet Outside included Jarren Duran for 1+ hit in his hitter parlay, noting the outfielder’s torrid stretch: multi-hit efforts in four of his last five and eight of his last 13. Duran owns a .288 average and 127 wRC+ against right-handers with a 37% hard-hit rate, and he’s 4-for-8 lifetime off Aaron Savalli, who has just seven innings under his belt this year and lacks swing-and-miss stuff. A middling Brewers bullpen lurks once Savalli departs, enhancing Duran’s chances of extending his run. The single-hit leg helps anchor the −115 parlay price.

Cash Out Sports Picks is betting the OVER because neither side can trust its starter. Aaron Civale’s ERA sits at nine, and Boston hasn’t named a proper starter, leaning on a bullpen that ranks 18th in team ERA. Milwaukee games had gone over in five of six before Monday’s 1-0 anomaly. With Civale still shaking off a March hamstring injury and the Sox pen stretched, the tout anticipates plenty of crooked numbers.

It's The Final Round said Jarren Duran is his favorite hit-prop play on May 27 versus Aaron Civale. Civale is leaning on a cutter 46 % of the time and allowing a .296 average on the pitch, while his sinker (.333 BA allowed) has also been punished. Duran owns a .300 mark against sinkers and, despite just a .222 clip versus cutters this season, the tout dismissed the small sample. More importantly, Duran is scorching: 11 hits in his last 13 games with seven multi-hit efforts. He has handled Civale well historically (4-for-8, .500 over the past three years) and has posted nearly a .300 average versus four-seam fastballs, Civale’s tertiary pitch. All signs point to at least one knock, making Duran a strong over 0.5 hits or Total Bases prop candidate.

Declaring Boston “officially on the banned list,” Kenny G is willing to eat the modest –120 with Milwaukee even though Aaron Savale owns a grisly 9.00 ERA through two starts. His logic is simple: the Red Sox offense has crashed, scoring just 2-1-1 runs over its last three while the club’s rotation sits 18th in ERA and the pen is merely average. Boston’s strong year-to-date run totals (t-5th overall) mask the current slump. Milwaukee’s own pen is ugly, and the lineup ranks just 23rd in AVG and 28th in SLG, yet the Brewers are 16-10 at home and 16-9-1 to the under in that park—evidence they can win tight, low-scoring games. Given the coin-flip price, home/road splits, and Boston’s nosedive, Kenny says Brewers –120 is the only side worth considering, even if he labels the game a low-confidence stay-away for larger bets.

Lindquist plans to fire on Rafael Devers over 1.5 total bases as long as the number opens with a plus sign. He highlighted Devers’ elite underlying profile—418 xWOBA, 568 xSLG, 58.3% hard-hit rate, only 22.9% strikeouts and a 16.1% walk rate—calling him "one of the best hitters in baseball, period." The matchup sweetens things: Aaron Civale sports a 7.52 expected ERA through two 2024 starts and yields high fly-ball contact. Lindquist expects Devers’ HR prop to be unplayably short (sub +280) but projects the total-bases market right around 50/50, giving bettors significant EV if plus money appears.

Despite going with a bullpen opener, Cash Out Sports Picks backs Boston on the money line. Milwaukee starter Aaron Civale owns a 9.00 ERA over two injury-interrupted outings and was lit up by the Yankees pre-hamstring issue. Boston desperately needs wins after sliding to fourth in the AL East, and Rafael Devers is finally heating up. The handicapper sees the Sox offense exploiting Civale’s rust and the pen doing enough to protect a lead.

Razzle viewed Chad Patrick as an intriguing salary saver. Patrick just held Baltimore in check and now faces a potentially thinned-out Red Sox order. The total is only 7.5 (juiced to the under) and his 5.5 K-prop is fourth-highest on the slate. Though DraftKings gives him brutal +330 win odds because he opposes Crochet, Milwaukee is only a +130 underdog overall, so Patrick could pay off in tournaments if Boston’s injuries limit their punch.

Razzle said Garrett Crochet owns the highest strikeout upside on the daytime main slate. His K-prop sits at 6.5 and is juiced to the over, while books still give him +105 to snag the win despite Boston being a solid –155 favorite. Razzle pointed out that Milwaukee has struggled badly versus left-handed pitching all year—Sunday’s blip against Bailey Falter notwithstanding—giving Crochet both a plus matchup and the slate’s No. 1 projection for punch-outs. Warm temps are confined to Tampa, so weather in Boston is not a concern. All pieces together, Crochet is his top cash-game arm and a core DFS spend-up.

Jeff Erickson told listeners to buy—or simply stop worrying about—Rafael Devers after the third baseman torched May pitching to the tune of a .402 average and a league-leading RBI total entering Friday night. Erickson chalked Devers’ April slump up to the fact he missed all of spring training with shoulder irritation, noting that diminished bat-speed readings in early April have already bounced back to 2023 levels. With the rust gone, Fenway’s cornerstone slugger is back to posting 50-percent hard-hit rates and top-10 barrel percentages, metrics that historically translate into 35-homer, 110-RBI pace over a full season. Erickson advised sending aggressive offers before the narrative fully flips, suggesting a package headlined by a top-25 outfielder (e.g., Christian Yelich) in redraft leagues. He also expects Devers’ DraftKings salary to jump $600-plus within a week, making this the last window to roster him at a discount in DFS tournaments.

Scott Jenstad advised dropping triple-digit but not all-in FAAB bids on Marcelo Mayer because the rookie has a clear runway at third base while Alex Bregman nurses an oblique injury that cost him 50 games the last time it flared up. Jenstad acknowledged the floor—Mayer owns just an .807 OPS at Triple-A and has never posted an outright ‘knock-the-door-down’ season—but noted several encouraging skill gains: the 22-year-old has trimmed his strikeout rate from the mid-20s to 19 %, is walking more, and ranks in the 48th percentile of Triple-A hitters with a 48 % hard-hit rate. Boston’s alternatives are bleak (Nick Sogard, Abraham Toro, David Hamilton all sub-.250 OBP), so even mediocre production should keep Mayer in the lineup. Fenway’s short right-field fence also plays to his emerging pull-side power, giving him 15-homer, double-digit-steal upside if he sticks. Jenstad summed it up as “big upside, real risk”—worth 12-15 % of remaining budget for teams needing corner or middle infield help.

Dylan Rockford passed on the side but pounded Milwaukee’s team total UNDER (projected 3.5–4.0). He pointed out Crochet hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any road start this season and the Brewers average just 3.76 runs per game at American Family Field while hitting .219 at home overall. The splits get even uglier against lefties (.222). Given that profile, Rockford does not believe Milwaukee can crack three runs, making the team-total under the most attractive angle on the board.

Scott Reichel felt Boston’s full-game price of –160 was actually cheap and elected to shorten exposure by playing Red Sox –0.5 in the first five innings. His rationale: Garrett Crochet has been “solid” all season while Chad Patrick’s stuff “isn’t that great.” Milwaukee owns just a .222 batting average versus left-handed pitching, and Reichel reminded listeners the Brewers are one of the worst offenses in baseball against southpaws. By isolating the opening five, he maximizes Crochet’s edge and avoids Boston’s shaky bullpen. He expects the Sox line-up to strike early against Patrick and give Crochet a cushion.

Kenny G recommended laying the -155 with Boston in Milwaukee, calling it a fair tag for a get-right spot. The Red Sox have slumped to just two runs over their last two contests, but Kenny emphasized they are still fifth in MLB in runs scored and eighth in batting average on the season. Garrett Crochet brings a 1.98 ERA, 4-3 record, and a dominant last outing (5⅓ IP, 1 ER vs the Mets). On the other side, Chad Patrick owns a 3.23 ERA but relies on short outings and hands games to a Brewers bullpen with a shaky 4.72 ERA. Milwaukee’s offense is merely 13th in runs and bottom-five in both average (25th) and slugging (28th). Kenny questioned the Brewers’ legitimacy after splitting a series with Pittsburgh and called the Red Sox the superior club in a bounce-back narrative backed by the clear pitching edge.

The tout leaned Over, citing Milwaukee’s current .308/.357/.346 line in 26 ABs vs Garrett Crochet, plus a recent 109 wRC+ and .142 ISO. Boston’s bats own a 112 wRC+ and .199 ISO over the last week, and both bullpens sit outside the top-10 in opponent average. With Patrick likely to face regression and Crochet facing a lineup that handles him, Cash Out Sports Picks expects more scoring than the posted total implies.

Cash Out Sports Picks grabbed the Brewers as home dogs, pointing to Milwaukee’s 15-10 home mark and Chad Patrick’s 2.70 ERA and .228 BAA at American Family Field. Boston is 11-14 on the road, will miss Alex Bregman (quad) and has scored three or fewer in five of seven. While Garrett Crochet owns a sparkling 1.98 ERA, the price didn’t reflect Patrick’s consistency (never more than three earned in 11 starts). The tout believes situational edge plus better odds make Milwaukee the side.

Erik Halterman labeled William Contreras a buy-low, arguing that a fractured middle finger, not declining skill, is suppressing production. Contreras ranks sixth in Ideal Attack Angle and has improved his plate approach—chase rate down, contact rate up, strike-outs trimmed from 21% to 18%, walks up from 12% to 16%. While bat speed is down 2 mph and his hard-hit rate (49%→41%) and barrel rate (10%→5%) have dipped, Halterman attributes that to the finger injury he’s been playing through since early May. Once healed, the elite attack-angle profile and refined plate discipline should translate back into 2023-level power, making Contreras a worthwhile trade target despite short-term risk.

Labeling him the "safest pick of the day," Soni took Garrett Crochet over 6.5 strikeouts at -170. Crochet carries a 1.98 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 78 Ks in 68.1 IP (10.3 K/9). With pitch counts consistently in the 90s and a fastball that overwhelms hitters from the left side, he draws a lineup vulnerable to left-handed velocity. Soni believes Crochet’s swing-and-miss stuff plus workload make seven or more Ks highly probable.

Soni recommended the under 5.5 strikeouts on Chad Patrick at -165. Patrick owns a 3.23 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, and 45 Ks over 53 IP (7.6 K/9), but Soni stressed that the right-hander rarely flashes the ceiling needed for six punch-outs. Boston’s lineup ranks near the top of the league in contact rate and walk percentage, extending counts without whiffing. With the Red Sox disciplined against mediocre secondary stuff, Soni views Patrick’s path to six Ks as slim, making the under the sharper side.

Peter Dewey said the Red Sox are a worthwhile First-5 innings moneyline play at –160 because ace Garrett Crochet (1.98 ERA) owns elite Statcast marks — 99th percentile pitching run value, 73rd percentile xERA, 84th percentile strikeout rate — and has held opponents to two or fewer earned runs in 10 of 11 starts. Milwaukee’s lineup is just 25th in OPS this season and must rely on extended-opener Chad Patrick, whose Brewers are 4-7 when he pitches and who has gone the full five only five times. Boston’s bats have woken up (7th in runs, 6th in OPS over the past 15 days), so Dewey expects Crochet to secure a lead before either bullpen appears.