Guy Boston strongly advocated betting unders surrounding Colorado's offense against Tampa Bay. He noted Colorado bats struggle significantly away from high-altitude parks like Coors Field, pointing to their modest scoring totals in the first two games of this series (3-2, 2-1). Guy further emphasized that Taj Bradley is a significantly better pitcher at home, making this a particularly tough spot for Colorado hitters. Considering these factors, Boston confidently highlighted a realistic scenario leading to team total unders or a low-scoring outcome overall.

Guy Boston advised targeting unders in Tampa Bay vs Colorado, specifically highlighting the advantageous spot for Rays starter Taj Bradley. Bradley has historically pitched far better at home, drastically improving his performance whenever pitching in a familiar environment. Boston pointed to the Rockies' substantial struggles when playing away from elevation, noting their lack of consistent power and weak offensive ability on the road. Considering the low-scoring nature of recent Tampa Bay-Colorado games (3-2 and 2-1), he recommended an under or first-five under as a prudent betting angle, indicating strong confidence in Bradley's ability to keep Colorado's bats quiet.

JD Bets initially considered prop bets involving Rays pitcher Taj Bradley, noting how Bradley started extremely strong last year before a drastic decline from a potential Cy Young candidate to bottom-tier performer seemingly overnight. Given Bradley's highly inconsistent recent form, JD Bets ultimately recommended caution, advising against taking any prop bets related to Bradley or this game due to high unpredictability and risk, emphasizing responsible bankroll management.

Chris Morgan recommended Taj Bradley as a strong DFS pitcher on FanDuel, highlighting Bradley's marked improvements during his sophomore season. Bradley maintained a strong strikeout ability with a 10.04 K/9 rate while reducing his FIP to 4.09 and notably upping his groundball rate to 42%. He specifically mentioned that Bradley added a cutter this offseason aimed at reducing home runs allowed. Morgan noted the Rockies' mediocrity in power hitting, ranking merely 15th in home runs in 2024, and considered Bradley well-positioned to leverage these improvements against an opponent whose strength is not hitting homers.

Eric Pathi recommended betting on the Colorado Rockies as an underdog against the Rays on Sunday due to a distinct betting trend. Pathi emphasized a strategy of backing underdog teams coming off a win, noting that baseball is a game of momentum and streaks. He specifically highlighted that regardless of pitching matchups, any underdog who wins one day and is priced again as an underdog the next day represents strong betting value. The Rockies already won as underdogs on the previous day, thereby fitting Pathi's profitable 'dog-after-win' scenario, a fundamental aspect of his overall MLB underdog betting system, which emphasizes volume and selective trend betting for consistent profit.

Dan Marcus pinpointed Jonathan Aranda as a strong DFS value play at only $2,600. He cited Aranda's potential lineup positioning in the cleanup spot due to injuries (specifically Josh Lowe's expected absence) and the favorable hitting conditions provided by the short right porch at Steinbrenner Field as compelling reasons to utilize him in DraftKings lineups.

Considering the Rays' tremendous moneyline position (-206), Data Skrive highlights betting confidence for Tampa Bay over Colorado. Tampa's pitching matchup and recent form data imply high win probability, supporting the recommendation despite heavy juice on the bet.

Kyle Purviance recommends betting Zack Littell's strikeout prop over 5.5 at plus money against the Rockies. Purviance justified his optimism by referencing Littell's performance from last year, hitting 5 or more strikeouts in six of his first seven starts once he became a starter. He also pointed to Colorado's current lineup struggles, implying substantial difficulties generating offense, making them prime targets for strikeout-heavy pitchers and creating significant value on the Littell prop bet.

Sean Zerillo advises betting the Colorado Rockies at substantial plus-money odds (+185 or better) against Tampa Bay, emphasizing it as a strict numbers play. Though neither strong matchup edges nor meaningful narrative advantages exist, Zerillo highlighted preseason discussion behind the Rockies' potential as value bets early this season due to market assumptions inflating opponents' prices against them. He sees the current elevated line for Tampa Bay in this matchup as unwarranted and exploitable, recommending Colorado specifically from a purely numerical perspective.

Sean Zerillo cautioned against betting on a Brandon Lowe home run prop for the Rockies-Rays game despite preseason expectations of targeting Tampa Bay's Steinbrenner Field for overs. Though the field mirrors Yankee Stadium dimensions favorable to home runs—particularly left-handed hitters against right-handed pitching—today's forecast has strong winds (10 to 15 mph) blowing in heavily from right field, directly counteracting the usual home run advantage. The expected mid-80s temperatures would normally have been ideal to support overs and home runs, but Zerillo emphasized the wind conditions nullify this advantage entirely. Therefore, he explicitly recommended passing on Brandon Lowe home run props and all hitting props associated with the short right-field porch at Steinbrenner Field for this game.

JD Bets highlighted Kyle Freeland's struggles and recommended taking the over on Freeland's earned runs allowed prop (set at 2.5) against Tampa. Freeland's spring numbers were shaky, posting a 6.16 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, following a disappointing previous season where he went 5-8 with a 5.24 ERA. Additionally, JD pointed out how Tampa has multiple hitters that excel against left-handed pitching, with several strong batting averages including a standout matchup for Christopher Morel (2 home runs in 6 at-bats vs Freeland). Considering Freeland's poor form and Tampa's strength against lefties, JD confidently suggested the earned runs prop as a strong wager.

Brian Howard strongly advises betting on Ryan Pepiot to surpass 6.5 strikeouts against the Rockies. He noted how Colorado ranked near the top of the league in strikeouts last year, averaging nearly 10 per game (around 9.87), and described Pepiot as having good pitching stuff. He sees Pepiot as positioned for success filling in for Shane McClanahan and facing a Rockies lineup that struggles to consistently make contact and generate offense.

Eric Lindquist discusses Junior Caminero's huge improvement in plate discipline during fall ball in the Dominican Republic, significantly benefitting his hitting approach. Although Caminero was previously overly aggressive last season, Lindquist points out he showed a noticeable increase in selectivity and patience in fall league play. Caminero's current betting line (+240) feels slightly off market according to Lindquist, and he's eagerly awaiting a more advantageous betting number on the walks prop when more sportsbooks post their lines. This disciplined approach makes Caminero an attractive betting play once better odds become available.

Eric Lindquist advises betting against Kyle Freeland when he faces Tampa Bay, highlighting Freeland's alarming underlying metrics from 2024. He posted a .279 expected batting average and a .345 expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA), along with an elevated 10.6% barrel rate—clear indicators of a struggling pitcher. Lindquist also notes this game isn't at Tropicana, which typically is pitcher-friendly, making conditions even more favorable for offense against Freeland. He emphasizes this situational advantage isn't fully accounted for in current betting market pricing, making it an actionable betting opportunity.

Eric Pathi recommended taking a contrarian angle on the Colorado Rockies due to public overreaction regarding their road performance. Pathi highlighted that Colorado has a well-known betting trend of being exceptionally profitable at home while significantly struggling on the road, causing bettors to undervalue them dramatically when traveling. Given the early season lack of detailed information, Pathi believes bookmakers will overcompensate by inflating odds against them when playing away games. He specifically noted that betting plus one-and-a-half runs at plus money is one of the best value wagers available in baseball, emphasizing its consistent long-term profitability. Therefore, Pathi recommended betting the Rockies either on the moneyline at substantial plus odds or plus one-and-a-half runs if you can secure it at positive odds.