Guy Boston Sports advocated taking the Marlins moneyline—sprinkling a smaller play on the first-five under—because Ryan Weathers’ southpaw profile is a nightmare for the Giants’ lineup. San Francisco owns bottom-tier numbers against left-handed fastballs, a pitch that comprises roughly 50% of Weathers’ mix. In a 21-PA sample versus the current Giants roster, Weathers sports a 24% strikeout rate, 0% walk rate, .200 batting average against and an xwOBA of .249. The tout admitted Hayden Birdsong has real talent but noted Miami’s offense only needs a league-average showing to cash as short dogs if Weathers controls contact. Concerns about either young starter blowing up kept him from a full-unit exposure, so he recommended quarter-unit positions on both the Marlins ML and the first-five under, banking on a 2-2 type start before bullpens decide it.

Martin wants the Marlins as a plus-price home dog because Ryan Weathers looks like a breakout arm. Off an injury, his fastball velocity is up and he has surrendered only two earned runs total across three starts. Opposing rookie Hayden Birdsong is a bullpen convert with one good and one bad outing and rarely goes deep, meaning San Francisco’s strong bullpen will be asked to cover considerable innings. The Giants’ bats have been cold, while Miami surprisingly ranks top-10 in wRC+ over the past week. Martin said he’ll list Weathers and back the Fish as long as bookmakers don’t wipe out the underdog price.

Cash Out Sports Host leaned to the Giants’ money-line, citing Hayden Birdsong’s 2.48 ERA and only nine earned runs allowed in 32.2 innings across swingman duty. Marlins starter Ryan Weathers has looked fine on paper but has yet to work more than 5.2 innings, exposing a Miami bullpen carrying a 4.70 ERA. The Giants have limited opponents to four or fewer runs in nine of their last ten and bring the stronger 2025 offense into a park where they already own a 3-2 edge over the past five games. With Miami dropping three straight at home and six of nine overall, he expects San Francisco to snag the road-trip finale.

Lonte Smith sprinkled Miami on the moneyline at +145 despite the pitching mismatch on paper. He trusts Edward Cabrera’s recent surge—1.96 FIP over his past three home starts—and pointed out that the Marlins offense has actually out-scored San Francisco during the last seven days. The Giants are laying –175 despite ranking 27th in runs per game this month and traveling to one of the league’s most pitcher-friendly parks. Lonte figures Cabrera only needs six solid innings because the Giants have yet to solve elite sinker/curve combinations this season (.271 wOBA). With Miami in better current form, he believes the line should be closer to +125 and is happy to fade a slumping favorite.

Lonte Smith tailed the under 8.0 for the whole nine innings. Cabrera owns a 2.61 ERA across his last four appearances and has walked only four batters in that span after early-season control problems. Ray enters with six straight quality starts and has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five, pushing his season WHIP down to 0.94. Neither offense inspires confidence: Miami sits 29th in hard-hit rate during the past two weeks, while San Francisco’s bats have completely cratered ( .196 team average and just 0.84 runs per game over the last three). Lonte projected a 3-2 or 3-1 finish and would still play the under at 7.5 if the market drops.

Scott Reichel played the first-five under 4.5 because neither lineup is trustworthy at the moment. He reminded listeners that San Francisco has scored just five runs total over its last three games and every Giants contest this week finished below eight runs. Miami starter Edward Cabrera routinely cruises the first time through the order (2.61 ERA over his last four starts) while inevitably melting down later, so Scott wants to stop the clock before the blow-up inning arrives. Giants ace Ray is 7-0 with a 2.56 ERA and a 29% strike-out rate, and Miami’s offense ranks 28th in ISO versus left-handed pitching. San Francisco is also third-to-last in stolen bases, negating Cabrera’s biggest weakness. Reichel expects no more than two runs apiece through five and would play under 4.5 down to –120.

Kenny G recommended laying the -170 with San Francisco behind Robbie Ray, who is 7-0 with a 2.56 ERA and coming off six shutout frames versus Washington. He trusts Ray against a Miami lineup sitting 19th in runs and 17th in slugging and highlighted the Giants’ MLB-best 2.43 bullpen ERA versus the Marlins’ 4.71. Edward Cabrera flashed 10 strikeouts in his last outing but still carries a 4.73 ERA, and Miami is 22-33 overall. Kenny leans to the under 8 as well, expecting limited production from the Marlins, but the official play is Giants moneyline.

Guy Boston Sports backed San Francisco in every possible way—first-five moneyline, first-five run line (-0.5 at ‑115) and even full-game run line at plus money—because the matchup tilts heavily toward Kyle Harrison. Harrison has strung together multiple six-inning, two-run outings while Cal Quantrill’s 13 % walk rate and volatile cutter/fastball mix make him, in Guy’s words, "a ticking time bomb." The Giants’ bullpen is rested after a night off, whereas Miami’s relief corps remains suspect, and the Marlins rank dead last at home versus left-handed pitching in wRC+, OPS, ISO and SLG. San Francisco’s offense has been mediocre, but facing a righty who nibbles could be the antidote. He also mentioned a Marlins team-total under 3.5 as a viable add-on play given Miami’s inability to square up southpaws.

Kenny G flagged Miami +150 as a sneaky upset spot and said the Marlins may end up his “dog of the day.” Rookie Kyle Harrison has shown little in either role—four innings, two earned in his first start and a 5.12 FIP overall—while Miami counters with Cal Quantrill, who has allowed two or fewer earned in three of his last four, stifling the Dodgers, Rays and Angels during that stretch. San Francisco’s bullpen is elite (2.48 ERA), but the bats have vanished: 3-1-1-3-4 runs in their last five and just 25th in batting average. Miami’s relief corps is bottom-six, yet the offense has woken up with 10, 6 and 6 runs in three of its past five and ranks 12th in batting average. Market numbers show the Giants priced at –180 despite a 14-16 road mark and a rookie on the hill. Kenny thinks that is too rich, trusting Quantrill’s current form and home-field variance to make the Marlins live at +150.

Just A Bet Outside grabbed Miami’s first-five-innings moneyline at +136 (FanDuel) behind Cal Quantrill’s rediscovered form and the Giants’ dismal road offense. Quantrill owns a 3.06 ERA, 3.99 xFIP, and 1.02 WHIP in May, surrendering one earned run in three of his last four starts—two of which came against the Dodgers and Cubs. His walk rate is down and hard contact is way down. By contrast, San Francisco’s lineup ranks 28th in road wRC+ (67) versus right-handed pitching this month, and sits bottom-three in road average and slugging. Rookie left-hander Kyle Harrison brings only a two-pitch mix (94% fastball/curve) and a 4.56 ERA last season; in his lone 2024 start he allowed two runs over four frames. The host trusts Miami’s starter and early offense but wants no part of the Marlins’ leaky bullpen, hence the F5 angle. A tie after five pushes, so he likes the fish at plus money for a half-unit sprinkle.

Cash Out Sports Picks likes the UNDER because San Francisco is 1-9 to the over in its last ten games. The Giants’ offense has been dead-quiet all year and now faces a pitcher that historically silences them. Although the Marlins have swung the bats better lately, the tout doubts they can clear the total by themselves. Unless San Francisco suddenly erupts, he expects a modest score line at spacious Lone Depot Park.

Cash Out Sports Picks recommended the Marlins on the moneyline citing Cal Quantrill’s strong track record versus San Francisco. Quantrill owns a 3-0 career mark with a 3.06 ERA and has limited the current Giants roster to a .204 average (11 K in 54 AB). Miami has won six of his last nine starts and the right-hander is trending up, surrendering only six earned runs over his past 17.2 innings. The Giants are just 5-12 ATS as road favorites and have cooled off offensively while starting rookie Kyle Harrison, who has logged only 9.1 MLB innings this season. With Miami 4-2 ATS as recent underdogs against SF, the tout sees the Fish as a value home pup.

Scott Reichel made the first–five under 4.5 his Friday lock in Giants-Marlins. He pointed out San Francisco’s offense has completely cratered—five of the last six games have finished with four runs or fewer and the Giants are batting barely .200 over that span. On the mound, rookie lefty Kyle Harrison has settled in, allowing two earned or less in three straight while topping 95 mph with the fastball, and Cal Quantrill has surrendered a single earned run in three of his last four outings. LoanDepot Park’s spacious power alleys plus two pitchers who routinely work into the sixth set up what Reichel called a "2-1 type script" through five. He is comfortable playing the F5 under down to –120 and would not touch the full-game total because Miami’s bullpen remains volatile.

Lonte Smith doubled down on the Marlins, recommending both the first-five and full-game moneylines. He highlighted San Francisco’s brutal offensive slide—nine of the Giants’ last ten have stayed under because the lineup is hitting .200 overall and below .215 on the road. Conversely, Miami is 5-5 in its last ten but has plated six or more runs in three of the previous five and owns a .270 team batting average during that window. Smith also pointed to the Giants’ 2.29 road bullpen ERA as a mirage created by low-leverage innings; he expects heavier usage tonight with Harrison unlikely to eclipse five frames. Quantrill has limited opponents to one earned in three of his last four at home, giving Miami a real chance to win the first half of the game outright before the fresher bats take over late. His card: Marlins F5 ML to +110 and full-game ML down to +135.

Scott Reichel said the only way to play Giants-Marlins is to grab Miami around +150. He argued San Francisco’s –180 tag is based on April form, not what we are seeing now: the Giants have dropped four of five, are embarking on a third straight road series, and are batting barely .200 over their last ten away from Oracle. Rookie lefty Kyle Harrison is just one start removed from the IL and has yet to cover five innings in any of his last four outings, so Reichel expects a heavy bullpen tax. Miami’s offense, meanwhile, has scored six-plus in three of the past five and is hitting .270 over that span. Cal Quantrill’s surface ERA is ugly (6.00-plus at home) but he has surrendered one earned run or fewer in three of his last four appearances, giving the Fish an early path to the lead before turning it over to a still-iffy but improving bullpen. With the Giants overvalued and travel-worn, Reichel projected something like Marlins 5-4 and advised taking any plus-money number down to +135.

Bill Harrelson said to take the over on 4.5 hits allowed for Kyle Harrison. Harrison has coughed up at least five hits in 4-of-his-last-5 starts, 7-of-10 overall and 6-of-his-last-7. Dating back to last season he cleared this line in 16 of 24 outings (67%). The lone 2025 appearance saw him surrender five knocks, and the previous time he faced Miami he was tagged for eight. Harrelson added that the Marlins own a better wOBA versus left-handed pitching than versus righties, giving the matchup extra bite. Books agree—DraftKings and Sleeper are juiced to the over. All of that leads him to expect another rough contact night for the young southpaw.

LM Tipster likes Thairo Estrada over 1.5 hits. Estrada is hitting .342 vs sinkers and Cal Quantrill throws the pitch 40% of the time. With Estrada batting second and Miami’s bullpen carrying a 5.21 ERA, LM projects four plate appearances, enough volume for two knocks.

LM Tipster grabbed Giants moneyline because rookie Kyle Harrison (3.86 ERA) has produced a 30% K-rate while Miami ranks 27th in wRC+ vs lefties. Cal Quantrill’s 6.09 ERA includes an ugly 7.88 mark at loanDepot park, giving San Francisco the starting pitching edge. The Giants are 10-3 in one-run games, insulating the straight moneyline play.