Kenny G grabbed San Francisco at +115, arguing the market is underrating a strong home club with the better bullpen. Robbie Ray sports a 2.63 ERA (9-3 record) and has yielded one run or fewer in three of his last five outings; he has yet to face L.A. this season, giving him the element of surprise. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, meanwhile, was hammered in Milwaukee (0.2 IP, 5 R, 4 H) and was torched by these Giants in mid-June, making this a tricky bounce-back spot. The Dodgers’ relief corps remains a liability (4.38 ERA, bottom-seven in MLB), and their bats are ice-cold—scoring 2-7-2-1-1-1 across the last six despite ranking first in runs on the year. San Francisco owns one of baseball’s top two bullpens and is 28-19 at Oracle Park. Even with a sputtering lineup (19th runs, 25th BA) and Rafael Devers nursing a back issue, Kenny prefers the Giants’ pitching edge and home splits to the volatile Dodgers. He considered the under 8 but declared the moneyline the cleaner path.

The Bettor Mark said the Giants are a play at roughly -115 because he trusts Robbie Ray to out-duel Taijuan Walker and keep a light-hitting Philadelphia lineup in check. Mark noted the Phillies are 53-38 overall but still struggle to score consistently, pointing to Monday’s 3-1 loss despite eight San Francisco hits as the kind of low-output game that shows up often for them. Ray, meanwhile, has recorded a win in 9 of his starts this season and continues to cash "to record a win" props at plus money. Mark prefers the Giants moneyline, the alternate market where San Francisco doesn’t bat in the ninth, or Ray’s win prop, all keyed to Ray’s ability to work deep and the Giants’ bullpen advantage if it becomes a close game.

Mark highlighted Robbie Ray to record a win (–110 range) or go over his outs prop as viable looks. Ray has allowed two or fewer earned in five of his last six and averages 6.2 innings per start at Oracle Park. Cleveland has cooled off, ranking 25th in wOBA over the past week, and rookie Slade Cecconi has struggled to a 5.40 ERA on the road. Because the Giants would forgo their ninth-inning swings if leading, Mark prefers Ray win/outs markets or simply parlaying San Francisco’s –160 money line rather than risking the run line.

Razzle labeled Robbie Ray a set-and-forget SP1 whenever he toes the rubber in Oracle Park. Even with a modest home strike-out rate (24%) compared to his road mark (30%), Ray’s fly-ball profile plays perfectly in San Francisco’s marine layer, holding opponents to a .265 wOBA and 0.55 HR/9 at home. The lefty owns three straight quality starts in non-Coors venues, averaging 98 pitches and a 13.5% swinging-strike rate. Cleveland ranks 29th in ISO against southpaws (.121) and is missing Jose Ramirez. With no weather concerns and a late-night hammer edge, Razzle will be overweight on Ray in all tournament builds.

Eric Lindquist advised taking Robbie Ray UNDER 6.5 strikeouts for Wednesday’s start in Colorado. He argued that pitching at Coors Field flattens Ray’s curveball, a pitch he relies on for whiffs, and the thin air magnifies Ray’s long-standing command issues (double-digit walk rate during rehab). The Rockies’ projected lineup owns just a 19% K-rate versus left-handed pitching and works counts aggressively at home, forcing starters to labor. Lindquist wants no part of the Giants side or the game total—pricing is messy at altitude—but sees a clean path to cashing this prop: reduced movement, added walks, and an early hook keep Ray below seven punch-outs.

Kenny G recommended laying the -170 with San Francisco behind Robbie Ray, who is 7-0 with a 2.56 ERA and coming off six shutout frames versus Washington. He trusts Ray against a Miami lineup sitting 19th in runs and 17th in slugging and highlighted the Giants’ MLB-best 2.43 bullpen ERA versus the Marlins’ 4.71. Edward Cabrera flashed 10 strikeouts in his last outing but still carries a 4.73 ERA, and Miami is 22-33 overall. Kenny leans to the under 8 as well, expecting limited production from the Marlins, but the official play is Giants moneyline.

Kenny G said to lay the –160 with San Francisco because Robbie Ray continues to pitch like a Cy Young candidate while Washington counters with struggling Michael Soroka and a bottom-two bullpen. Ray is 6-0 with a 2.67 ERA and has allowed zero runs in three of his past four starts. The Giants bullpen backs him with a league-best 2.61 ERA. Soroka owns a 5.95 ERA, has already surrendered four homers in just four outings, and Washington is 1-3 in his starts. Kenny pointed out the Nationals’ pen (6.24 ERA) and middling lineup (14th in runs, 19th OBP) as further liabilities. Although San Francisco’s surface numbers suggest a top-10 scoring offense, Kenny trusts the more telling slash line—19th in slugging, 22nd in average—which inflates Ray’s importance and keeps the money-line price reasonable. He labelled this a classic Sunday bounce-back spot after the Giants were shut out yesterday and hinted it could end up in the pinned comment as one of his stronger plays.

Perrault also grabbed the Giants moneyline at –118, banking on Robbie Ray to keep his personal and team winning streak alive. Ray owns a perfect 6-0 record and has been even better at home (2.32 ERA, .213 BAA). San Francisco has won every game he has started thanks to both his length and a bullpen that has protected leads. Facing a Royals lineup that has scored two runs or fewer in four of its last five, Perrault projects a 4-3 Giants victory and sees value at anything south of –120.

Just A Bet Outside said Robbie Ray’s strikeout prop deserves an over look against Kansas City. The Royals have only the 20th-highest K-rate versus left-handed pitching over the past three weeks (21.1%), but Ray’s individual form is carrying the play: he has logged 8-plus punch-outs in four of his last six starts and owns a 26.4% season-long K-rate. The host noted that Ray’s stuff has ticked up after an early-season velo dip, generating the second-highest swinging-strike rate on Monday’s slate. Ray’s one bugaboo remains walks (12% BB%), yet the Royals rank bottom-10 in walk percentage against southpaws, reducing the risk of pitch-count blow-ups. With Oracle Park suppressing power and Kansas City posting just a .301 wOBA on the road, the tout expects Ray to work deep enough to clear most posted totals and even suggested a K-ladder for plus money.

Razzle put Robbie Ray squarely in tournament builds because the Wrigley wind is howling in and the total has crashed to 7 with juice to the under. Ray owns three 8-K games in his last four and carries a 5.5 K prop (slight juice to the under). He strikes out hitters at an elite clip on the road, but the volatility is real: a double-digit walk rate and seven stolen bases allowed in 38 IP. The Cubs love to run (33 steals in 17 home games), so Ray’s WHIP can spike, but the weather suppresses the long ball and gives him a path to a ceiling performance that few arms on the slate can match.

Just A Bet Outside flagged Robbie Ray’s strikeout prop as another under candidate. Ray faces a Cubs lineup that owns the second-lowest strikeout rate versus left-handed pitching (15.3%) over the last three weeks. Despite Ray’s own high strikeout pedigree, Stephen believes Chicago’s contact-oriented approach makes it difficult for the southpaw to clear an inflated K total.

Razzle pegged Robbie Ray as a volatile tournament flier. Colorado owns the league’s 2nd-highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching away from Coors, and Ray’s slider can exploit that despite his control hiccups. The Giants are moderate favorites, and Ray’s K prop is expected around 6.0 once posted. Razzle warns of the walk/homer risk but believes the path to eight strikeouts at sub-5% ownership justifies sprinkling him into MME builds.

Peterson laid -1.5 with San Francisco at -120 (he priced it -148) because Colorado is averaging a miserable 2.1 runs at home and now heads to a tougher run environment. Antonio Senzatela has been shelled in three of his last four starts, giving up 2.1 HR/9 with only 4 K/9. Robbie Ray’s 3.73 ERA is serviceable, and the Giants are 6-0 in his outings despite his 5.5 BB/9. San Francisco’s bullpen ERA is nearly two runs better than Colorado’s, making the two-run cushion more attainable.

Romanelli’s favorite total is the under at Oracle Park. He expects Robbie Ray—fresh off a 7-IP, 8-K gem—to handle a Colorado offense that just struck out 12 times against Chris Sale. Ray’s swing-and-miss profile plays in spacious Oracle, and Antonio Senzatela brings a solid 3.02 road ERA to face a Giants lineup with worrisome underlying metrics. Given two strikeout-prone offenses, a marine layer–friendly park, and bullpens he trusts more than the bats, Romanelli projected a low-scoring game and bet the under.

Scott Reichel doubled‑down on fading Robbie Ray and laid out two actionable angles for Monday. Ray has handed out 15 walks in just 19.1 innings (7.0 BB/9) and has already thrown multiple wild pitches, showing the same command issues that plagued him late in his Diamondbacks days. Reichel noted this will be Ray’s fifth straight start in which he’s issued at least four free passes. Because Milwaukee owns a top‑10 team walk rate, he expects the Brewers to force deep counts and create constant traffic. To protect himself from Milwaukee’s shaky bullpen, Reichel prefers the Brewers first‑five moneyline but would also consider Ray OVER 2.5 walks if the juice stays reasonable. He trusts rookie Quinn Priester—five innings in both outings with a 0.90 ERA—to keep the game level early and likes Milwaukee’s patient bats to break through before either bullpen enters.

Zola recommended streaming Robbie Ray in Oracle Park versus the Brewers. Ray’s double‑digit strikeout ceiling is amplified by Milwaukee’s early‑season struggles against southpaws and by a massive park downgrade for Brewers hitters moving into San Francisco’s spacious yard. THE BAT X projection: 4.7 IP, 2.2 ER, 4.7 K, but Zola emphasized a wider range of outcomes with legitimate 8–10 K potential if Ray has his slider working.

Chris Welsh said he is fine dropping Robbie Ray in shallow formats if you can’t stash him. Ray’s strikeouts remain intact—eight punch‑outs in his last start—but the command is a mess, producing five walks and consistent three‑ball counts every outing. Welsh joked that Ray "couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn" and noted the pattern has become regular, not a one‑off. If you have deep benches, park him there and hope the whiffs eventually offset the free passes, but in 10‑ or 12‑team leagues Welsh would rather churn for healthier arms with cleaner ratios.

Michael Savio identified serious control issues for Giants pitcher Robbie Ray as a major concern, despite Ray's superficially impressive early-season numbers (3-0, 2.93 ERA). Ray has walked nine batters combined in just ten innings over his last two starts, an uncharacteristic lack of command likely tied to limited innings from prior injuries. Facing a talented Phillies batting lineup on the road makes Savio skeptical Ray can maintain his statistical dominance, forecasting a rough outing for the former Cy Young winner.

Scott Reichel strongly notes Robbie Ray's historical dominance over the Yankees lineup, highlighting their collective struggles, batting just .184 against him. Despite noting Ray tends to allow walks—which raises his on-base percentage against—he emphasizes the Yankees' inability to consistently find hits and their vulnerability to strikeouts. With a lofty strikeout prop at 6.5, Reichel still sees value in Ray based on this past dominance over the current Yankees roster, despite his tendency to labor through innings at times.

Kenny G is skeptical about Robbie Ray's strong 2-0 start with a 3.18 ERA given soft matchups so far against weaker offenses of Cincinnati and Seattle. Ray yielded a few home runs in those starts despite the favorable matchups. Now facing an elite Yankees offense ranked second in total runs and first in slugging percentage, Kenny G believes Ray is in line for significant regression, suggesting potential struggles against more formidable competition. He advises caution before trusting Ray, as he expects him to have trouble maintaining his strong start against the Yankees.

Dan Marcus identified Robbie Ray as an appealing tournament option for DraftKings MLB contests on Saturday night. He acknowledges Ray's persistent issue with giving up home runs, forcing a volatile outlook. But Marcus highlights Ray's significant strikeout upside, especially against a Mariners lineup that currently ranks sixth-highest in strikeout rate early this season, making Ray an intriguing DFS consideration in large-field tournaments at a price point of $8,800.

ESPN Fantasy cautioned fantasy managers considering Robbie Ray as a streamer on Saturday against the Mariners. Ray surrendered two home runs in his first start of the season against Cincinnati and has historically shown issues both with the long ball and issuing walks. Although Oracle Park typically suppresses home runs and thus mitigates power to a degree, the Mariners' lineup features league-average power coupled with a patient approach (high walk rate), both elements aligning problematic for Ray's persistent weaknesses. Managers looking to stream should proceed cautiously.

Dan Marcus identifies Robbie Ray ($8,800) as a high-risk, high-reward DFS pitching option due to Ray's well-documented tendency to allow home runs, including two in his first start. However, Marcus highlights Ray's strong strikeout potential against Seattle, who currently hold the league's sixth-highest strikeout rate early in the season. Ray is recommended for tournaments, offering appealing upside but with volatility that DFS players should consider.

Chris Morgan acknowledged Robbie Ray as a high-risk, high-reward DFS pitcher, appealing especially to players willing to embrace risk. Morgan emphasized Ray's impressive strikeout potential, noting his massive 12.62 K/9 rate across limited starts last year and his career mark of 11.07 K/9, highlighting Ray's prior Cy Young success. Morgan contrasted Ray's upside with the Reds' unimpressive .693 OPS last season, presenting the Reds as a viable target for Ray to capitalize with potentially big strikeout numbers.