Pisapia likes the Mets’ team-total over (price not specified) and a separate +105 homer prop on Pete Alonso in Baltimore. He called Alonso "red-hot" and emphasized that Camden Yards plays perfectly to Alonso’s pull-side power. Opposing starter Shintaro Saggano—whom Pisapia labeled a "gas can"—has allowed hard contact north of 45 % in his last three outings, setting the table for a big Mets night. The recommendation is to stack both wagers, using Alonso’s form and the favorable park/pitcher combo as correlated angles.

Despite not knowing New York’s starter, Cash Out Sports Picks leaned Mets in Game 2 because Baltimore’s starter Sugano (4.44 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) has been crushed lately—45 hits and 23 ER in his last 29.1 IP—and even worse at home (4.91 ERA, .288 BAA). The tout expects the Mets’ mid-pack but improving offense (4.45 R/G, 4.47 on road) to take advantage.

Cash Out Sports Picks backed the Mets on the moneyline in Game 1, pointing to a clear edge on the mound and at the plate. David Peterson’s 3.18 ERA and 1.27 WHIP have kept New York in virtually every start, while 41-year-old Charlie Morton owns an ugly 5.47 ERA and 1.55 WHIP overall and a 5.12 ERA with a .272 opponent average in 45.2 Camden Yards innings. The tout said New York’s lineup has "found its rhythm," and with Morton showing obvious age-related decline, the Mets should control the game from start to finish.

Lindquist advised betting the Orioles moneyline in the first game of Thursday’s Mets–Orioles double-header. He expects negative regression for Mets left-hander David Peterson and highlighted that Camden Yards now favors Baltimore’s own left-handed bats. The Mets will be shorthanded for game two and could be forced to dip into Triple-A depth, while Baltimore retains flexibility to attack whichever spot starter New York selects. Lindquist also reminded listeners that Sagano, the likely Mets bulk arm, still owns an expected ISO north of .200 versus lefties, keeping the matchup tilted toward Baltimore.

Francis targeted the Game-2 nightcap of Thursday’s double-header, recommending Mets team total over 4.5 runs. He said hitting conditions at Camden Yards will be advantageous and that Baltimore spot-starter Tomoyuki Sugano "hasn’t looked good as of late." Despite riding the Orioles run-line Wednesday, Francis is flipping sides because Sugano’s declining command plus a humid forecast set up well for New York’s offense to clear five runs.

Matt Perrault backed the Orioles moneyline at +135 despite their combustible bullpen. He pointed out that starter Shintaro Sugano has seen Baltimore win four of his last six outings, and the O’s offense has shown it can erase pitching mistakes (22-run game two home starts ago). The real angle is fading David Peterson on the road: the Mets have dropped Peterson’s last three away starts by scores of 9-1, 7-1 and 5-4, and the left-hander carries a 4.44 ERA with a 1-4 record and .249 opponent average when traveling. Perrault acknowledges Baltimore’s pen can implode (they just coughed up a 6-2 lead), but believes the plus-money price overrides that risk given New York’s anemic results behind Peterson outside Citi Field.

Cash Out Sports Picks sided with the Mets, citing a clear pitching edge: David Peterson sports a 3.68 ERA and 1.27 WHIP across his last 44 frames, while Tomoyuki Sugano owns a bloated 6.75 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in his previous 34.2. New York’s .742 team OPS ranks 7th, compared to Baltimore’s middling .705. Sugano has been tagged for 45 hits and 23 earned in his last 29.1 innings and carries a 4.91 ERA with a .288 BAA at Camden, making the visitor the play.

Scott Reichel grabbed Baltimore at +130, arguing the Mets remain overpriced after a brief two-game burst against the Yankees. He questioned laying –155 behind Kodai Senga, whose 4.42 road ERA and 11.3% walk rate leave the door open for trouble. Reichel pointed out that Baltimore’s OPS jumps 44 points at Camden Yards and that the Orioles bullpen owns a 3.41 ERA compared to New York’s 4.26 on the road. With Dylan Rockford already showing value to the under, Reichel liked pairing that market lean with a play on the home dog, projecting the O’s no worse than +115.

Bill Harrelson recommended OVER 1.5 total bases for Brandon Nimmo, highlighting a torrid stretch in which Nimmo has cleared the mark in seven of his last ten and racked up 3, 5, 2, 4 and 5 bases in five of his past six games. Although his season-long hit rate on this line is only 41%, Harrelson stressed that Nimmo is locked-in on the road—averaging 2.9 total bases and cashing 7 of his last 8 away from Citi Field. He also draws a right-handed starter, and Nimmo’s .258 average in 252 plate appearances versus righties slightly edges his overall .255 clip. Harrelson added that Nimmo has topped the prop in two of the last three head-to-head meetings with Baltimore, including three total bases yesterday, and the betting market is heavily juicing the over.

Bill Harrelson advised taking Tyler O'Neill UNDER 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs on Underdog. Harrelson noted O'Neill has stayed below this line in 18 of 26 games this season (69% under) and managed the over only eight times. The left-handed matchup is the key: O'Neill owns a disastrous .115 batting average versus southpaws this year compared to .193 overall, and he faces Mets lefty David Peterson, against whom he has just one hit in three career plate appearances. O'Neill averages roughly four plate appearances per game, but Harrelson pointed out that in his last three meetings with New York he produced exactly one hit/run/RBI each time, never clearing the line. With Underdog the only book hanging this prop, Harrelson likes the value on the fade.

Malcom Bamford said to keep it simple and bet the Mets team total (and money-line) because Brandon Young is a gas can. Young sits at 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and has been rocked by right-handed hitters such as Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor. Clay Holmes, meanwhile, owns a 2.79 ERA on the road, so Bamford expects New York to play from in front. Baltimore’s bullpen has coughed up a 5.12 ERA in its last 10 games and the Orioles’ defensive metrics are bottom tier. Offense should be plentiful: eight of the Mets’ last nine have gone over the total and seven of the last eight Mets-Orioles match-ups at Camden Yards have as well. All of that led Bamford to fire on the Mets team total over.

Ron Pick Dawgz backed the Mets on the money-line, calling the Clay Holmes vs. Brandon Young matchup “lopsided.” Young brings a 7.02 ERA and, in Ron’s words, “isn’t a viable big-league starter right now,” while the Mets have been hot against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Holmes has road splits Ron trusts—five to six solid innings are expected if he limits recently rising walks. With New York swinging well and getting the far better arm, Ron labeled the Mets the clear side.

The Bettor Mark backed the Mets at -125, calling the number "too cheap" compared with his own projection that New York should have been a steeper favorite. He leaned on three core factors: (1) Clay Holmes owns a sub-1.00 WHIP and is holding hitters below .200, giving the Mets five to six solid innings in nearly every start; (2) the lineup is scorching, ranking 7th in MLB batting average over the past week and coming off an off-day after winning four of five; (3) Baltimore returns from a road trip in which they were swept by Atlanta and have been inconsistent, dropping two of three to Texas just before that. Camden Yards’ short right-field porch worries some bettors, but Mark is not concerned, noting Holmes’ heavy ground-ball profile. He labeled New York a "first official play" and recommended laying the modest price as a short road favorite.

It's The Final Round said Juan Soto is a strong bet to record at least one hit Tuesday. The matchup is attractive because Orioles rookie Brandon Young has made four MLB starts and has yet to work five full innings while surrendering a .333 batting average to left-handed hitters. Soto himself is heating up: he owns a .333 average (7-for-21) over the past week and is 5-for-9 (.556) with a homer against right-handed pitching during the last seven days. Combining Soto with Lawrence Butler in a two-leg hit parlay pays roughly +100, but Soto is a standalone play thanks to Young’s lack of put-away stuff and Baltimore’s vulnerable bullpen.